The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

Just now, TheFlatLannister said:

Is Mario WED preview a good comp for Guardians OD? 

Nope. Plus wednesday was not previews. It was full day of BO. You cannot compare wednesday to friday and Mario is a different beast anyway. 

 

Just post raw data and try to extrapolate BO based on number of tickets. Ultimately you will have comps when Marvels or even Flash tickets are on sale. 

[Mickiland16]

1 hour ago, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-42 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	83	390	17734	2.20%

 

Total Seats Sold in Whatever Days: 36

 

Comp - T-42

0.729x of Jurassic World: Dominion (13.12M)

4.937x of Nope (31.59M)

 

Yay we have comps now!

What are you thinking for Fast X now? I know the comps are most likely going down since Dominion was more walk-up heavy but could it stay flat from Fast 9?

[kayumanggi]

2 hours ago, nerves said:

how is Renfield doing?

 

BoxOfficePro has lowered their forecast.

 

 

[keysersoze123]

On 4/6/2023 at 8:33 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3

MTC1 wed - 2756/17472 127820.00 58 shows

MTC1 previews - 77513/1147203 1403541.53 7011 shows

MTC2 previews - 40374/585517 581879.35 3727 shows

 

Nothing much to say at this point. I am thinking Ant previews would be a good target with better finish than Ant. 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3

MTC1 Wed - 2947/17472 136655.00 58 shows

MTC1 Thursday - 80487/1147361 1454153.37 7012 shows

MTC2 Thursday - 42575/585769 613420.04 3725 shows

 

Day and few hours of run. 

 

Edit: updated with wednesday data. thanks @TwoMisfits

Edited April 7, 2023 by keysersoze123

[thajdikt]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

 

BoxOfficePro has lowered their forecast.

 

 

Honestly thought the range would be even lower for Guardians. Hopefully sales pick up

[TwoMisfits]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3

MTC1 Wed - 2756/17472 127820.00 58 shows

MTC1 Thursday - 80487/1147361 1454153.37 7012 shows

MTC2 Thursday - 42575/585769 613420.04 3725 shows

 

Day and few hours of run. 

 

Was Wed run?  It's the same number...

[TheFlatLannister]

49 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

Honestly thought the range would be even lower for Guardians. Hopefully sales pick up

A couple of weeks ago Mario's high end was $125M 5 day. Now it's all the way to $200M. Let's hope GOTG can defy recent MCU trends and blows up later 

[kayumanggi]

 

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, Mickiland16 said:

What are you thinking for Fast X now? I know the comps are most likely going down since Dominion was more walk-up heavy but could it stay flat from Fast 9?

 

Honestly, it's completely up in the air.  The 99 days of pre-sales (NINETY NINE!!!!!) just throws all modeling/comping out of whack.  How many people who might have picked up a ticket, say five or eight days before release, picked it up instead on a whim at a random day the last two months?  Means we can't really look at the curve of, say, F9 until it gets much closer to release.

 

Since JWD had its own insane pre-sale window (43 days!!!!!), that'll be a good comp soon enough.  But we need to wait for JWD's initial surge to be over.  By the time we get to T-35 or T-33 or so, we should have a decent idea for the range of Fast X.  Maybe even as soon as T-38, depending on how fast Fast X stabilizes against JWD.

 

Now subjectively speaking I have been relatively impressed with Fast X's sales, so I do expect an increase from F9.  How much of an increase, I don't know yet though.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Does the Fast and Furious series have the longest gap between pre sales start and release for any movie? They did something similar with F9 when that was supposed to come out in 2020. Even Star Wars only has like two months separate.

[Porthos]

36 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Does the Fast and Furious series have the longest gap between pre sales start and release for any movie? They did something similar with F9 when that was supposed to come out in 2020. Even Star Wars only has like two months separate.

 

Not counting platform/one-day event releases, which can have ludicrously months long pre-sale windows this and F9 v1's window is the longest I have in recent memory. I recall @charlie Jatinder mentioned a film which had an even longer one when F9's initial run was being discussed back in 2020, but I don't recall what it was.

 

Longest for anything that'll get significant amount of money, sure (again not counting things like Fathom Event movies and the like).

[misterpepp]

Get ready:

 

Book Club 2 tix on sale this Wednesday, April 12.

[Krissykins]

4 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

The forecast for this reduced too. 

[Tinalera]

Guardians of the galaxy 3

Vancouver and Calgary Toronto Ontario

Thurs May 4 and Fri May 5

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	4	19	425	3794	4219	0.1007
	Fri	4	26	267	5045	5312	0.0502
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	16	202	2490	2692	0.0750
	Fri	4	22	175	3794	3969	0.0440

 

 

Just a quick peek how GOTG is doing (my weekend fell through so I have time for a couple of counts over the weekend)

[Eric Prime]

9 hours ago, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	2431	39919	6.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 121

 

Comp - T-28

0.353x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.7M)

0.476x of Black Panther 2 (13.32M)

0.830x of Ant-Man 3 (14.53M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	2504	39919	6.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 73

 

Comp - T-27

0.343x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.35M)

0.479x of Black Panther 2 (13.42M)

0.829x of Ant-Man 3 (14.51M)

[Eric Prime]

8 hours ago, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-42 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	83	381	17734	2.15%

 

Total Seats Sold in Whatever Days: 27

 

Comp - T-42

0.712x of Jurassic World: Dominion (12.82M)

4.823x of Nope (30.87M)

 

Yay we have comps now!

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-41 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	83	391	17734	2.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp - T-41

0.503x of Jurassic World: Dominion (9.05M)

4.297x of Nope (27.5M)

[kayumanggi]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

The forecast for this reduced too. 

 

That's correct. Is the marketing kinda muted?

[Eric Prime]

3 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

That's correct. Is the marketing kinda muted?

I’m excited for it as a Universal Monsters fan, but the trailers all have pretty awkward edits and jokes for something that is arguably a pretty tough sell. Plus I think Dracula is like Robin Hood or King Arthur where people know who they are but there isn’t a diehard fan base. And again, I’m saying as a fan

[keysersoze123]

4 hours ago, Tinalera said:

Guardians of the galaxy 3

Vancouver and Calgary Toronto Ontario

Thurs May 4 and Fri May 5

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	4	19	425	3794	4219	0.1007
	Fri	4	26	267	5045	5312	0.0502
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	16	202	2490	2692	0.0750
	Fri	4	22	175	3794	3969	0.0440

 

 

Just a quick peek how GOTG is doing (my weekend fell through so I have time for a couple of counts over the weekend)

you dont have comps with Antman?

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 Fri - 368224/1639981 5354789.16 9711 shows

Mario MTC1 Sat - 402506/1695402 5677818.34 10284 shows

 

Really good presales. Walkups will be hopefully even better than today where the Friday finished at 790521 from above PS. That would be huge. I dont think I have ever seen any movie have 500K walkups so far. Can this movie do it? Could take this to 60m saturday !!!. But I am hopeful that even if evening slow down more than usual I expect saturday to be higher than friday.