The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[JustLurking]

43 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Please track this title once PS Opens. A potential $30M+ Opener for an Basketball Anime! Did $249M in Asia (12 Countries)

It won't even open to 10 let alone 30 imho, SD is not big in the US at all

Edited May 1, 2023 by JustLurking

[keysersoze123]

Guardians

MTC1 Friday - 112544/1275548 1957615.44 6919 shows +12360

MTC1 Sat - 111197/1340096 1775338.09 7283 shows +12225

MTC2 Fri - 90514/841687 1208575.73 +18453 // 3 days of update. overnight run

 

MTC1 data is of just now. Pace is slightly ahead of Previews as it should be. I would shave off couple of thousand for T-4 number. 

 

Some comps for Friday

Ant 3 ~ 134954

Thor - 220,234 // July 5 late and so its T-3

 

I am not sure it will catch up to Ant 3 Friday presales by end of thursday but Ant 3 had ant sized walkups and so Guardians should have better friday and better saturday increase. 

[TheFlatLannister]

20 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Fast X

 

Thursday 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
141	1467	28103	5.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 3:30pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

ATP - $13.60

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Fast X

 

THURSDAY

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
141	1469	28103	5.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 2:00pm EST}

 

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

[Flamengo81]

3 hours ago, JustLurking said:

It won't even open to 10 let alone 30 imho, SD is not big in the US at all

I reckon it will perform pretty bad in all the Americas. Slam Dunk was never even remotely popular in Brazil, the opposite of Captain Tsubasa, I guess the reason why is very obvious.

[Inceptionzq]

On 4/30/2023 at 3:51 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

780

4344

17.96%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

642

3222

19.93%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3704	259	34608	10.70%	14	225

 

AMCs sold	2441
Cinemarks sold	600
Regals sold	261
Harkins sold	402

 

0.554x Thor L&T T-4 (16.08M)

0.371x Doctor Strange MoM T-4 (13.35M)

0.734x Batman T-4 (15.86M)

1.79x Eternals T-4 (17.02M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

821

4344

18.90%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

674

3222

20.92%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
4064	360	34608	11.74%	14	225

 

AMCs sold	2614
Cinemarks sold	678
Regals sold	316
Harkins sold	456

 

0.829x Ant-Man 3 T-3 (14.51M)

0.653x Black Panther WF T-3 (18.27M)

0.564x Thor L&T T-3 (16.34M)

0.376x Doctor Strange MoM T-3 (13.53M)

0.743x Batman T-3 (16.05M)

1.80x Eternals T-3 (17.14M)

 

Unfortunately it looks like Megaplex tracking is dead

[Inceptionzq]

On 4/30/2023 at 3:57 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Drafthouse

 

T-4 Thursday(239 showings): 12605(+569)/34824 ATP: $15.64

0.747x Thor L&T T-4 (21.67M)

0.575x Doctor Strange MoM T-4 (20.70M)

0.985x Batman T-4 Thurs only (17.34M)

 

T-5 Friday(348 showings): 11773(+884)/51314 ATP: $15.44

0.817x Thor L&T T-5 (33.12M)

0.574x Doctor Strange MoM T-5 (31.43M)

0.871x Batman T-5 (30.48M)

 

T-6 Saturday(352 showings): 13293(+1134)/52196 ATP: $14.83

0.968x Thor L&T T-6 (40.76M)

0.608x Doctor Strange MoM T-6 (35.13M)

0.933x Batman T-6 (40.38M)

 

T-7 Sunday(323 showings): 7527(+928)/47784 ATP: $14.46

0.953x Thor L&T T-7 (30.97M)

0.606x Doctor Strange MoM T-7 (23.55M)

1.09x Batman T-7 (37.14M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Drafthouse

 

T-3 Thursday(265 showings): 13710(+1105)/37236 ATP: $15.60

0.893x Ant-Man 3 T-3 (15.62M)

0.691x Black Panther WF T-3 (19.33M)

0.771x Thor L&T T-3 (22.37M)

0.591x Doctor Strange MoM T-3 (21.29M)

0.982x Batman T-3 Thurs only (17.28M)

 

T-4 Friday(384 showings): 13401(+1628)/54733 ATP: $15.40

0.899x Ant-Man 3 T-4 (26.02M)

0.567x Black Panther WF T-4 (31.93M)

0.854x Thor L&T T-4 (34.65M)

0.605x Doctor Strange MoM T-4 (33.13M)

0.879x Batman T-4 (30.76M)

 

T-5 Saturday(388 showings): 14941(+1648)/55685 ATP: $14.78

1.29x Ant-Man 3 T-5 (43.76M)

0.665x Black Panther WF T-5 (37.31M)

1.02x Thor L&T T-5 (43.11M)

0.635x Doctor Strange MoM T-5 (36.69M)

0.920x Batman T-5 (39.82M)

 

T-6 Sunday(352 showings): 8781(+1254)/50062 ATP: $14.45

1.13x Ant-Man T-6 (29.14M)

0.664x Black Panther WF T-6 (27.18M)

0.993x Thor L&T T-6 (32.26M)

0.641x Doctor Strange MoM T-6 (24.94M)

1.05x Batman T-6 (35.99M)

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY 3

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
232	7630	34913	21.9%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:30pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

294

 

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

ATP - $14.40

 

Was expecting a bigger SAT and SUN jump but meh to say the least. We'll see how things go on Monday. Still thinking high teens- $20M (This weeks pace has to be great though)

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY 3

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
232	8089	34913	23.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

 

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

459

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

Good jump today

Prediction right now: $19M THUR $125M OW 

 

ATP - $14.40

[vafrow]

Does anyone have an idea on when Across the Spiderverse will start with advance tickets? I looked back through the thread, and Sony appears to have a tendency to wait to about the 20-25 day mark before releasing tickets. Still, with Spiderverse being a bigger release than anything than they had last year, I figure they may go with a 30 day like other big releases.

[M37]

5 minutes ago, vafrow said:

Does anyone have an idea on when Across the Spiderverse will start with advance tickets? I looked back through the thread, and Sony appears to have a tendency to wait to about the 20-25 day mark before releasing tickets. Still, with Spiderverse being a bigger release than anything than they had last year, I figure they may go with a 30 day like other big releases.

Granted there was some COVID hesitation on making release date, but NWH had only a 17 day sales window and that turned out OK … 

 

I haven’t heard, but with Mother’s Day on 5/14, it’s a question of whether they want to push sales for it and start before, or not want to get lost in shuffle of that (and GOTG3) and tip off right after. Haven’t heard, but my guess would be right after, Tue 5/15 or so, in time for Fast X weekend 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am not sure it will catch up to Ant 3 Friday presales by end of thursday

mostly by wed night, if not catch up, will be very close.

Edited May 2, 2023 by charlie Jatinder

[kayumanggi]

The last big movie was like a month ago. The last 'big' PG-13 movie was almost 2 months ago. I want to believe there is a certain hunger for a movie like GOTG III?

[Blaze Heatnix]

19 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

The last big movie was like a month ago. The last 'big' PG-13 movie was almost 2 months ago. I want to believe there is a certain hunger...

 

New The Hunger Games is still months away!

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

mostly by wed night, if not catch up, will be very close.

75K ticket in next 2 days for friday ? That is too high an expectations. Let us see how things go. 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sunday should be good. Let us see how rest of the presales go. 

Earlier this afternoon

Guardians MTC2 Previews - 93317/603351 1347445.02 3826 shows +5769

 

  

 

 

Guardians MTC2 previews - 103019/602560 1480507.14 3815 shows +9702

 

About 29hrs of data(finished around 645PM PST). Very good increase. 

[ThomasNicole]

Well that looks much better, hoping the pacing continues to grow and 20M became a possibility again

[WorkingonaName]

Of course it goes up after I bet on under $120M

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

That’s a crazy ass increase. Last week looks to be coming in clutch with pre sales. 

[charlie Jatinder]

38 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

75K ticket in next 2 days for friday ? That is too high an expectations. Let us see how things go. 

yes was thinking around that considering 12.5K pace. Now more like 180K by Wed.

[Eric Prime]

On 4/30/2023 at 8:46 PM, Eric Foreman said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	4690	39919	11.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 225

 

Comp - T-4

1.396x of Black Widow (18.43M)

2.364x of Shang-Chi (20.8M)

1.879x of Eternals (17.85M)

0.349x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.58M)

0.607x of Thor 4 (17.6M)

0.471x of Black Panther 2 (13.18M)

0.842x of Ant-Man 3 (14.74M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	225	5287	40176	13.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 597

 

Comp - T-3

1.446x of Black Widow (19.09M)

2.297x of Shang-Chi (20.21M)

1.929x of Eternals (18.32M)

0.367x of Doctor Strange 2 (13.21M)

0.639x of Thor 4 (18.54M)

0.495x of Black Panther 2 (13.87M)

0.888x of Ant-Man 3 (15.55M)

[Eric Prime]

On 4/30/2023 at 8:49 PM, Eric Foreman said:

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	95	597	20135	2.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 19

 

Comp - T-18

1.012x of F9 (7.18M)

0.404x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.27M)

2.296x of Nope (14.69M)

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	95	625	20135	3.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 28

 

Comp - T-17

0.995x of F9 (7.07M)

0.412x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.41M)

2.376x of Nope (15.21M)