The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

220

2188

10.05%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

112

1179

9.50%

 

Monday: 198

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
733	29	20180	3.63%	13	106

 

0.674

Across the Spider-Verse T-17

2.293

Black Adam T-17

17.43M

0.307	Batman T-17	6.63M
0.824	Eternals T-17	7.83M

The Flash Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

231

2188

10.56%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

114

1179

9.67%

 

Monday: 202(+4)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
759	26	20180	3.76%	13	106

 

0.662

Across the Spider-Verse T-16

0.317	Ant-Man 3 T-16	5.55M
2.174	Black Adam T-16	16.52M

0.295	Batman T-16	6.37M
0.804	Eternals T-16	7.63M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Alamo Drafthouse

T-17 Thursday

118 Showings

2000

+57

19350

ATP:

15.73

0.520

Across the Spider-Verse T-17

2.010

Black Adam T-17

15.28M

0.281

The Batman T-17

4.94M

 

T-18 Friday

157 Showings

1224

+42

26630

ATP:

16.15

0.405

Across the Spider-Verse T-18

1.663

Black Adam T-18

31.75M

0.182

The Batman T-18

6.37M

 

T-19 Saturday

153 Showings

1108

+81

25689

ATP:

15.24

0.346

Across the Spider-Verse T-19

1.395

Black Adam T-19

33.09M

0.195

The Batman T-19

8.44M

 

T-20 Sunday

137 Showings

444

+24

23482

ATP:

14.40

0.271

Across the Spider-Verse T-20

1.930

Black Adam T-20

32.05M

0.194

The Batman T-20

6.61M

The Flash Alamo Drafthouse

T-16 Thursday

120 Showings

2085

+85

19862

ATP:

15.78

0.525

Across the Spider-Verse T-16

0.225	Ant-Man 3 T-16	3.94M
1.911	Black Adam T-16	14.52M

0.287	The Batman T-16	5.05M
0.530	Eternals T-16	5.04M

 

T-17 Friday

157 Showings

1344

+120

26624

ATP:

16.17

0.421

Across the Spider-Verse T-17

0.179	Ant-Man 3 T-17	5.18M
1.691	Black Adam T-17	32.27M

0.193	The Batman T-17	6.77M
0.433	Eternals T-17	9.24M

 

T-18 Saturday

153 Showings

1167

+59

25683

ATP:

15.28

0.348

Across the Spider-Verse T-18

0.151	Ant-Man 3 T-18	5.10M
1.329	Black Adam T-18	31.51M

0.193	The Batman T-18	8.35M
0.374	Eternals T-18	9.02M

 

T-19 Sunday

137 Showings

474

+30

23476

ATP:

14.42

0.271

Across the Spider-Verse T-19

0.144	Ant-Man 3 T-19	3.71M
1.852	Black Adam T-19	30.74M

0.193	The Batman T-19	6.57M
0.280	Eternals T-19	4.58M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Emagine Entertainment

T-17 Thursday

135 Showings

884

+31

20821

0.871

Across the Spider-Verse T-17

 

T-18 Friday

217 Showings

460

+20

33470

0.550

Across the Spider-Verse T-18

 

T-19 Saturday

209 Showings

331

+10

32411

0.895

Across the Spider-Verse T-19

 

T-20 Sunday

203 Showings

119

+2

31494

0.713

Across the Spider-Verse T-20

The Flash Emagine Entertainment

T-16 Thursday

135 Showings

922

+38

20821

0.858

Across the Spider-Verse T-16

 

T-17 Friday

217 Showings

505

+45

33472

0.546

Across the Spider-Verse T-17

 

T-18 Saturday

209 Showings

342

+11

32411

0.840

Across the Spider-Verse T-18

 

T-19 Sunday

203 Showings

139

+20

31494

0.813

Across the Spider-Verse T-19

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/29/2023 at 4:00 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

104

2338

4.45%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

131

1365

9.60%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
461	10	20932	2.20%	13	104

 

0.376

JW Dominion T-31

6.76M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

107

2338

4.58%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

139

1365

10.18%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
473	12	20975	2.26%	13	104

 

0.378

JW Dominion T-30

6.80M

[Tinalera]

30 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Spiderverse is REALLY picking up around here. At this point, as long as it doesn't play like the most frontloaded MCU movies, I don't see how this opens under 100M.

Pretty much goes with what Im seeing through the different cities as well. Lots of activity going on with it. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/29/2023 at 4:01 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-31 Thursday

112 Showings

3402

+43

18360

ATP:

15.62

1.18

JW Dominion T-31

21.23M

 

T-32 Friday

157 Showings

2677

+50

26283

ATP:

15.46

1.29

JW Dominion T-32

53.81M

 

T-33 Saturday

158 Showings

2503

+43

26672

ATP:

14.73

1.12

JW Dominion T-33

52.56M

 

T-34 Sunday

143 Showings

1214

+44

24382

ATP:

14.37

1.51

JW Dominion T-34

58.36M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-30 Thursday

112 Showings

3438

+36

18356

ATP:

15.62

1.17

JW Dominion T-30

20.97M

 

T-31 Friday

157 Showings

2722

+45

26277

ATP:

15.47

1.27 JW Dominion T-31 52.80M

 

T-32 Saturday

158 Showings

2534

+31

26614

ATP:

14.73

1.10

JW Dominion T-32

51.77M

 

T-33 Sunday

142 Showings

1245

+31

24153

ATP:

14.32

1.48

JW Dominion T-33

57.21M

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/29/2023 at 4:03 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-31 Thursday

137 Showings

592

21333

 

T-32 Friday

222 Showings

154

34048

 

T-33 Saturday

217 Showings

104

33477

 

T-34 Sunday

215 Showings

37

32799

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-30 Thursday

137 Showings

607

+15

21333

 

T-31 Friday

222 Showings

169

+15

34050

 

T-32 Saturday

217 Showings

112

+8

33477

 

T-33 Sunday

215 Showings

44

+7

32799

[John Marston]

23 minutes ago, Ohana said:

But also a wider audience with older people that usually aren't watching Comic Book movies 😉 

 

 

A factor that is being overestimated o think.  Maybe it would be a factor if this was an old man Batman film

but it’s not

[TwoMisfits]

Interestingly, my Cinemarks (and heck my whole Metro b/c I checked the local AMC) STILL have not done final Thursday or weekend sets yet...VERY late...and gonna push the presale push later around here...

[Inceptionzq]

Moderation

 

@Firepower @Ohana @John Marston

 

This conversation is better suited for The Flash thread. Please take it there if you wanna continue it

[cooldude97]

22 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total

180

3271

5.50%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

118

1705

6.92%

 

Wednesday: 382(+41)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
634	26	18591	3.41%	13	107

 

1.510	Black Adam T-9	11.47M
0.424	JW Dominion T-9	7.64M

so at this point is it too late for a potential major surge in pre-sales for Transformers?

[keysersoze123]

Amazing job @Inceptionzq you are tracking 4 movies in 2 chains and 1 city across chains. That is a lot of work even if you automate so of it. 

[Inceptionzq]

3 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

so at this point is it too late for a potential major surge in pre-sales for Transformers?

Well, it should have a major surge during the last few days of presales, but I don't expect it to blow forecasts out of the water. It does look like it'll end up on the high-end of forecasts though.

[Starphanluke]

10 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

so at this point is it too late for a potential major surge in pre-sales for Transformers?

It still has next week to see some gains, but idk if a "surge" is in the cards for this one. 

 

The big question for the movie at this point is if it plays pre-sale/fan heavy (like the old Bay movies used to), or if it has a better IM with a better general audience play. And at this point, it's really hard to tell.

[Starphanluke]

3 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Well, it should have a major surge during the last few days of presales, but I don't expect it to blow forecasts out of the water. It does look like it'll end up on the high-end of forecasts though.

You mean Shawn/BOPro's forecast right? I don't see how the numbers so far could lead to the $68m that Deadline and Hollywood Reporter were touting.

[Mulder]

Just now, Starphanluke said:

You mean Shawn/BOPro's forecast right? I don't see how the numbers so far could lead to the $68m that Deadline and Hollywood Reporter were touting.

Shawn explained it earlier in the thread, the tracking Deadline and THR were citing isn't from a reliable model.

[Inceptionzq]

1 minute ago, Starphanluke said:

You mean Shawn/BOPro's forecast right? I don't see how the numbers so far could lead to the $68m that Deadline and Hollywood Reporter were touting.

Yeah, Shawn's forecast

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/27/2023 at 6:13 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

 GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
125	4920	27184	18.1%

*Numbers taken as of 5:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

292

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

*Mario sold 352 seats from T-6 to T-5 so Spider-Verse isn't too far behind in pace 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.671x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$11.7M THUR Previews

 

 

 

*Not the best comp, but I need a high end*

(2.559x) of Fast X 

~$19.2M THUR Previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	6768	30126	22.5%

*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

1848

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

25

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

I haven't been able to update because i've been swamped with work, then I went on a quick family vacation for Memorial weekend. Anyways here it is... 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.780x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$13.7M THUR Previews

 

 

(2.559x) of Fast X 

~$20.3M THUR Previews 

 

Comps average $17M THUR Previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/27/2023 at 6:08 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screening

 

T-19

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
121	1894	25403	7.5%

^{*Numbers taken as of 5:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

145

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

*Universal Cinemark showing added

 

COMPS

T-19

 

(0.396x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$6.9M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

The Flash

 

THURSDAY includes fan screening

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
121	2056	25403	8.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

162

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Meh 3 days. Let's see if pace increases after Spider-verse is out of the way 

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(0.405x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

~$7.1M THUR Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/27/2023 at 6:03 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1388	22296	6.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

25

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.948x) of Fast X

~$7.1M THUR Previews (probably the high end)

 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1572	22296	7.1%

^{*Numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD FOR (3+ days)

184

 

SHOWINGS ADDED (3+ days)

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.981x) of Fast X

~$7.4M THUR Previews (probably the high end)