The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Tinalera]

Barbie

Thurs July 20 and Fri July 21 (T-24)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

t-24		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	3	14	339	2230	2569	0.1319
	Fri	3	18	329	2995	3324	0.0989
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	11	139	1833	1972	0.0704
	Fri	4	14	205	2381	2586	0.0792

[abracadabra1998]

On 6/20/2023 at 10:40 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Twin Cities Previews:

 

Asteroid City (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	19	83	292	1796	16.26

 

Finally a few more shows, though it still has a low count. Decent growth, almost double the new sales it had at T-3.

 

No Hard Feelings (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 13 theaters	42	20	101	3676	2.75

 

A lot of new shows, but still super anemic sales.

 

Mission Impossible (Tuesday previews, T-21, and Monday EA, T-20):

Day: T-21, T-20	Shows	Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Tuesday: 14 theaters	74	291	291	13666	2.13
Monday EA: 3 theaters	3	209	209	483	43.27
TOTALS:	77	500	500	14149	3.53

 

Finally got to this one, the Wednesday release with Monday EA had me procrastinating a bit. I will have an Indy comp at T-14; Next update for this one on Friday.

 

Twin Cities Previews:

 

Mission Impossible 7 (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13	Shows	Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Tuesday: 19 theaters	89	N/A	586	17346	3.38
Monday EA: 6 theaters	7	N/A	358	1372	26.09
TOTALS:	96	N/A	944	18718	5.04

 

Comp: 0.96x Indiana Jones (??) (Averaged b/t total and just Tuesday, per @M37 advice)

 

Edited June 29, 2023 by abracadabra1998

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:35 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
59	193	9738	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(2.218x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$2.4M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR

 

THURSDAY

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
59	202	9738	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-9

 

(2.040x) of BOOGEYMAN

~$2.2M THUR Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:36 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
78	1078	13845	7.8%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
78	1104	13845	7.9%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-23

 

(0.871x) of Fast X

~$6.5M THUR Previews

Edited June 27, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:42 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
166	1009	33846	3.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

EA

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	553	2148	25.7%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 31 sold / 291 seats  (+2)

MTC2 = 31 sold / 114 seats  (+0)

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.818x) of RoTB

$7.2M TUES

 

(0.529x) of INDY 5

$???

 

Pace hasn't been great. Still time for recovery, but I just don't see a $100M 5 day weekend here...

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Tuesday

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
186	1032	37608	2.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

23

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

EA

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
11	553	2148	25.7%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

Mi7 Walmart+ Special 

 

MTC1 = 31 sold / 291 seats  (+0)

MTC2 = 31 sold / 114 seats  (+0)

 

COMPS

T-14

*Excludes any EA

 

(0.801x) of RoTB

$7.0M TUES

 

(0.533x) of INDY 5

???

Edited June 27, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[Maggie]

(0.801x) of RoTB

 

This is depressing for MI:DR

[abracadabra1998]

9 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 

(0.533x) of INDY 5

???

With something like MI, which has EA previews, when comparing it with something like Indy, which doesn’t, is it better practice to compare their totals or simply their preview days?

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:51 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
119	1612	22198	7.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

39

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1239	1747	70.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

31

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

5

 

 

COMPS

T-24

*Excludes any EA

 

(1.677x) of RoTB

~$14.8M THUR Previews

 

Hopefully pace picks back up again. EA showings are almost completely gone 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
131	1711	24279	7.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

99

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1277	1747	73.0%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

38

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

5

 

 

COMPS

T-23

*Excludes any EA

 

(1.730x) of RoTB

~$15.2M THUR Previews

 

(1.349x) of Fast X

~$10.1M THUR Previews

 

(0.751x) of ATSV

~$13.1M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $12.8M THUR Previews 

 

Not sure about the IM but I'm confident this is going over $10M previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:56 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
90	148	13866	1.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

27

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

13

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.165x) of ELEMENTAL

~$400K THUR Previews

Probably ~$5M OW

 

Finally, it sold double digits seats lmao 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
110	174	17826	0.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

(0.169x) of ELEMENTAL

~$400K THUR Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/26/2023 at 6:59 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
197	2806	40753	6.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

189

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

11

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.777x) of THE FLASH

~$7.5M THUR Previews

 

(1.271x) of FAST X

~$9.5M THUR Previews

 

(0.681x) of TLM

~$7.0M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $8M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
249	3043	50117	6.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

237

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

52

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.755x) of THE FLASH

~$7.3M THUR Previews

 

(1.221x) of FAST X

~$9.2M THUR Previews

 

(0.651x) of TLM

~$6.7M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $7.7M

 

Decreased against every comp. I'm not seeing $60M+ OW like Deadline reported. More like $50M-$55M with a small chance at a number starting with 4 (depending on IM) 

[TheFlatLannister]

14 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

With something like MI, which has EA previews, when comparing it with something like Indy, which doesn’t, is it better practice to compare their totals or simply their preview days?

I always split true previews and EA. So I'm comparing Mi7 Tuesday (only) to Indy T-X. Comps is going to be off though because one opens on a Thursday and one on a Tuesday. 

[Fanboy]

Depressing sales all around for next three weeks. Barbenheimer weekend can't some soon enough. 

[M37]

12 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

With something like MI, which has EA previews, when comparing it with something like Indy, which doesn’t, is it better practice to compare their totals or simply their preview days?

It depends? Generally, if EA shows are in same week (like day or 2 before), find it best to just add them in and comp to the Thursday only film, because they’re mostly just pulling business from Thursday, not adding to it.
If they’re earlier - as was the case with NHF last week - better to just comp Thur to Thur and add in approximate value of EA on top 

 

However, for something like MI7, a decent sized opening where the EA shows are a PLF run, find it best to comp with and without and average the two. Both the limited capacity of PLF screens and that those tickets are the majority of early sales can throw of comp value if using just one or the other 

[abracadabra1998]

38 minutes ago, M37 said:

It depends? Generally, if EA shows are in same week (like day or 2 before), find it best to just add them in and comp to the Thursday only film, because they’re mostly just pulling business from Thursday, not adding to it.
If they’re earlier - as was the case with NHF last week - better to just comp Thur to Thur and add in approximate value of EA on top 

 

However, for something like MI7, a decent sized opening where the EA shows are a PLF run, find it best to comp with and without and average the two. Both the limited capacity of PLF screens and that those tickets are the majority of early sales can throw of comp value if using just one or the other 

Makes sense, thanks for the explanation!

[emoviefan]

2 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Well, it worked for Spidey...

 

So, my #1 predicted DOM movie of the summer got a $5 TMobile Atom ticket deal.

And so's my #2 - yes, MI 7 will be getting a $5 ticket deal, but only AFTER its Sunday and Monday EA shows - so, the deal starts Tuesday 7/11.

 

I expect this deal to be a very good thing for this movie to get the fence sitters in to see the amazing stunts.  Who wouldn't for $5 (my spouse, who's never seen an MI, just told me he'd be happy to go for $5:)...

I see posts like this and I get more confident in this movie  doing well and then the latest comps come in and right back to being deflated again. It's got 2 weeks with more social reactions and reviews to come and if that does not do the trick who knows anymore.

[joselowe]

I know it’s early but based on early screenings any predictions for Barbie vs Oppenheimer opening weekend?

 

Oppenheimer: $60 million

Barbie: $80 million

 

or am I way off?

[tonytr87]

1 hour ago, joselowe said:

I know it’s early but based on early screenings any predictions for Barbie vs Oppenheimer opening weekend?

 

Oppenheimer: $60 million

Barbie: $80 million

 

or am I way off?

 

 

I'm thinking Barbie at 90m+ and Oppenheimer around 40m. 

[Gavin Feng]

Quote

‘Indiana Jones And The Dial Of Destiny’ To Whip Up $140M+ Global Opening – Box Office Preview

 

Facing the worst reviews ever for an Indiana Jones movie, the Lucasfilm franchise finale Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny is hoping to gain traction with audiences and best its $60 million-$65 million domestic start and $140M global opening.

 

 

https://deadline.com/2023/06/indiana-jones-and-the-dial-of-destiny-box-office-projection-2-1235425453/

 

 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

we hear presales for Dial of Destiny stood at under $6M last Friday, ahead of No Time to Die; that total is not too far from John Wick: Chapter 4 and Fast X, which had respective stateside debuts of $73.8M and $67M. 

[Anokhe Lal Saxena]

19 hours ago, M37 said:

Don't know if this means anything or helps add perspective but here's how Oppenheimer and Barbie sales look as compared to MI7, opening 10 days earlier, in each tracking sample (ratio as compared to MI7)

 

 

With Drafthouse, where lack of PLF (so no EA for MI7) lowers the baseline, but has merch for Barbie and is generally going nuts for it

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

What is " EA " ?