The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Massive Talent

AMC Thursday the 21st (4)

AMC Friday the 22nd 

355 (1), 650 (4), 940 (1)

 

Cinemark has 0 sales on Friday and Sat

[Eric is Quiet]

Father Stu Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	175	3571	4.90%

 

Comp

0.833x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 (667K)

2.869x of The Last Duel T-1 (1M)

0.478x of House of Gucci T-1 (621K)

0.777x of Dog T-1 (980K)

[keysersoze123]

Dr Strange 2 Previews MTC2 - overall 138705/693955 1906236.28 4839 shows.

 

Very good growth from mid saturday finish of previous run.

[keysersoze123]

On 4/10/2022 at 7:31 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Fantastic Beasts 3

Alpha Previews - 45868/429056 739876.82 2016 shows

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 Alpha Previews - 53148/486013 848995.28 2414 shows

 

I would say the growth is just ok but overall numbers are still not bad.

[Eric is Quiet]

On 4/11/2022 at 12:20 AM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	1172	16391	7.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 133

 

Comp

0.591x of Shang-Chi T-4 (5.2M)

0.887x of No Time to Die T-4 (5.59M)

1.000x of Dune T-4 (5.1M)

0.469x of Eternals T-4 (4.46M)

1.312x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-4 (5.91M)

 

Yeah I'm not convinced about sub-40M. The comps keep going up here more and more every day, and there are peeps here that have way more optimistic numbers than me. Just feels like people here are predicting things way too fast.

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	1308	17579	7.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 136

 

Comp

0.568x of Shang-Chi T-3 (5M)

0.839x of No Time to Die T-3 (5.29M)

0.998x of Dune T-3 (5.09M)

0.477x of Eternals T-3 (4.53M)

1.248x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-3 (5.62M)

Okay, maybe you guys were on to something. 😬

[Eric is Quiet]

On 4/11/2022 at 12:21 AM, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	7772	45297	17.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 208

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	7953	45297	17.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 181

[charlie Jatinder]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dr Strange 2 Previews MTC2 - overall 138705/693955 1906236.28 4839 shows.

 

Very good growth from mid saturday finish of previous run.

I think that run may have some issue. Me and @Menor Reborn felt it was bit low.

[charlie Jatinder]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Fantastic Beasts 3 Alpha Previews - 53148/486013 848995.28 2414 shows

 

I would say the growth is just ok but overall numbers are still not bad.

Dune went +5.5k on same day. While Eternals was +8.5k.

 

Can expect 110-120k previews. That will mostly give $5.75-6.25M

[filmlover]

Father Stu is being completely dumped. I'll be surprised if it even approaches double digits for the 5-day frame.

[titanic2187]

6 hours ago, CJohn said:

Low 6s for FB3 previews seems tragic tbh. I am guessing these previews start at like 2 PM and Friday is Good Friday and the Thursdays are always inflated. If an inflated Thursday can only muster low 6s I think the weekend might come in under 40M.

That is why I think we can actually consider Thursday an full OD for FB3, just like RPO. Sub 6m isn’t very ideal since RPO got more than 8m on true Thursday.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

I’ve seen a lot of TV spots and online marketing for Father Stu, but I think it’s going to struggle because while it’s a fairy based film, it’s R and being advertised like a drama.

[Porthos]

On 4/10/2022 at 11:47 PM, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	32585	40916	8331	20.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

224

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	90.59%	12.52
SC:	5847	142.48%	12.54
LTBC:	7712	108.03%	12.53
ET:	6409	129.99%	12.35
NWH:	28183	29.56%	14.78
Batsy:	11757	70.86%	15.31

 

Regal:     1876/10901  [17.21% sold]
Matinee:    452/4632  [9.76% | 5.43% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Man, it seems like just a couple of days ago yesterday that some folks were angsting on DS-MoM reaching 170 OW.  My, how time does fly.

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	32332	40916	8584	20.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

253

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	93.34%	12.90
SC:	5847	146.81%	12.92
LTBC:	7712	111.31%	12.91
ET:	6409	133.94%	12.72
NWH:	28183	30.46%	15.23
Batsy:	11757	73.01%	15.77

 

Regal:     1913/10901  [17.55% sold]
Matinee:    467/4632  [10.08% | 5.44% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 4/10/2022 at 11:48 PM, Porthos said:

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	178	23779	25468	1689	6.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

136

 

T-4 Comps

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	70.20		261	2406		0/113	15205/17611	13.66%		5847	28.89%		6.18m
NTTD	99.18		157	1703		0/145	20757/22460	7.58%		7712	21.90%		6.15m
Dune	126.61		130	1334		0/79	10936/12270	10.87%		2915	57.94%		6.46m
GB:A	169.75		75	995		0/117	16554/17549	5.67%		3034	55.67%		7.64m
Morbius	124.93		127	1352		0/151	20089/21441	6.31%		3477	48.58%		7.12m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

Regal:       239/6790  [3.52% sold]
Matinee:    134/4082  [3.28% | 7.93% of all tickets sold]

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	193	24695	26672	1977	7.41%

 

Total Showings Added Today	15
Total Seats Added Today	1204
Total Seats Sold Today	288

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	72.13		335	2741		0/156	19111/21852	12.54%		5847	33.81%		6.35m
NTTD	105.10		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		7712	25.64%		6.52m
Dune	131.19		173	1507		0/92	11672/13179	11.43%		2915	67.82%		6.69m
GB:A	167.97		182	1177		0/153	19354/20531	5.73%		3034	65.16%		7.56m
Morbius	125.36		225	1577		0/178	22278/23855	6.61%		3477	56.86%		7.15m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        287/6790  [4.23% sold]
Matinee:    181/4082  [4.43% | 9.16% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Not that bad at all, really.  Won't commit to 7m+ quite yet, but it hit what it needed to hit for the trajectory at least.  Do feel more comfortable with mid 6s though.  Still, the proof will be in the pudding in the next three days...

Edited April 12, 2022 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	193	24695	26672	1977	7.41%

 

Total Showings Added Today	15
Total Seats Added Today	1204
Total Seats Sold Today	288

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	72.13		335	2741		0/156	19111/21852	12.54%		5847	33.81%		6.35m
NTTD	105.10		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		7712	25.64%		6.52m
Dune	131.19		173	1507		0/92	11672/13179	11.43%		2915	67.82%		6.69m
GB:A	167.97		182	1177		0/153	19354/20531	5.73%		3034	65.16%		7.56m
Morbius	125.36		225	1577		0/178	22278/23855	6.61%		3477	56.86%		7.15m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        287/6790  [4.23% sold]
Matinee:    181/4082  [4.43% | 9.16% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Not that bad at all, really.  Won't commit to 7m+ quite yet, but it hit what it needed to hit for the trajectory at least.  Do feel more comfortable with mid 6s though.  Still, the proof will be in the pudding in the next three days...

IIRC I remember you saying FB2 overindexed in Sacto. So that will be something to watch for as your comps are higher than other places we are getting.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	32332	40916	8584	20.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

253

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	93.34%	12.90
SC:	5847	146.81%	12.92
LTBC:	7712	111.31%	12.91
ET:	6409	133.94%	12.72
NWH:	28183	30.46%	15.23
Batsy:	11757	73.01%	15.77

 

Regal:     1913/10901  [17.55% sold]
Matinee:    467/4632  [10.08% | 5.44% of all tickets sold]

Another 200+ day. Nice. Need a couple of these. Though yesterday a video feature was released, that may have boosted it a bit

 

 

[Joyous Legion]

25 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

IIRC I remember you saying FB2 overindexed in Sacto. So that will be something to watch for as your comps are higher than other places we are getting.u

Much lower than kantmiss right -- would still be curious to see fb2 though

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Much lower than kantmiss right -- would still be curious to see fb2 though

Woah. Didn't look at Katniss numbers. What is happening there.

[katnisscinnaplex]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Woah. Didn't look at Katniss numbers. What is happening there.

I wish I knew. May separate the regions today and see if one stands out or if all three are just high

[Old Spice]

Fantastic Beasts 3 update, Sugarhouse Cinemark, Tuesday 5:50 AM.

 

I mentioned in an earlier post that Wizarding World tends to overindex in Utah, and that's definitely true at my theater. 152 tix sold so far for Thursday and two more screenings just added. Here are the current comps against finals.

 

Ghostbusters: $7.83

Uncharted: $6.77

Batman: $7.78

Morbius: $12.54

Lost City: $7.48

Sonic: $11.28

Eternals: $7.33

 

Even throwing out Morbius and Sonic as outliers, with 2.5 days of sales left, I don't see how this doesn't break into double digits across the other comps. Still think we're looking at an OW of $50+.

[TwoMisfits]

So, not sure this is gonna move the needle much, but the next TMobile Atom deal will be:

 

Apr 19 The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent - $4 ticket

 

Now, this is a movie I don't "think" will get helped as much by the deal, but 80M $4 codes floating around - who knows.