The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[katnisscinnaplex]

Didn't realize it's premiering on Peacock as well.  That's how little I've heard of this movie.  Has there been any advertising?

 

You can't start a fire without a spark.

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Didn't realize it's premiering on Peacock as well.  That's how little I've heard of this movie.  Has there been any advertising?

 

You can't start a fire without a spark.

 

I've seen some on various sports broadcasts.  Not too much though.

[John2015]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

I've seen some on various sports broadcasts.  Not too much though.

In fact, I have seen many "Firestarter" TV spots in many cable channels (not only sport channels); there were also some TV spots in late-night programming in national network .    Universal clearly isn't giving up "Firestarter", they just use this film to promote Peacock.

 

On the other hand, I still haven't seen any TV spot of A24's "Men" (which will open wide on next Friday).

 

 

Actually, based on what I have seen recently;  most streaming television series/movies actually have more TV spots than most of theatrical movies.     (For instance, I had seen too many TV spots of Apple TV+ series "Shining Girls".... almost as many as "Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness")

Some people may think that TV marketing isn't useful, but streaming sites still heavily use TV spots to promote their movies and series.   

 

 

Edited May 13, 2022 by John2015

[Grebacio]

Lmao at Firestarter, verified Score stands at 17% (although there are less than 50 reviews so far)

[ZackM]

First Top Gun: Maverick run for Alpha:

 

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Early Access Event Seat Report: T-12 days
5/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	229	254	23,228	59,823	38.83%
ATP
$23.90

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Investor Connect Screening Seat Report: T-13 days
5/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	195	196	8,117	41,245	19.68%
ATP
$13.62

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days
	Last Day
Showings Added	3,565
Seats Added	695,335
Seats Sold	49,231
5/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	3,565	49,231	695,335	7.08%
ATP
$17.68

 

 

[Cap]

3 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Didn't realize it's premiering on Peacock as well.  That's how little I've heard of this movie.  Has there been any advertising?

 

You can't start a fire without a spark.

I have only seen the trailer in front of movies. I haven’t seen any ads.

 

And I will say that if you all Don’t like Philadelphia’s numbers, then you definitely shouldn’t look at New England. Big fat nothing. I just think people don’t like pre-sales up here because I took a look at top gun and nothing has sold locally. But I have no doubt that the IMAX theater will be full on opening weekend

[filmlover]

I'm still trying to figure out who the audience for a Firestarter remake was supposed to be. Not even close to one of the first things that comes to mind when thinking of Stephen King properties. Is there even much of a fondness for the Drew Barrymore version from the mid-80s?

[Eric the Minion]

22 hours ago, Eric Strange said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	1238	30872	4.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.763x of F9 T-15 (12.52M)

2.327x of No Time to Die T-15 (14.66M)

2.149x of Dune T-15 (10.96M)

3.158x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-15 (14.21M)

3.458x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-15 (20.75M)

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	1328	30872	4.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 90

 

Comp

2.350x of No Time to Die T-14 (14.81M)

2.081x of Dune T-14 (10.62M)

3.162x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-14 (14.23M)

3.018x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-14 (18.11M)

[Eric the Minion]

22 hours ago, Eric Strange said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-29 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	1176	23332	5.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 15

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	1202	23332	5.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 26

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

I'm still trying to figure out who the audience for a Firestarter remake was supposed to be. Not even close to one of the first things that comes to mind when thinking of Stephen King properties. Is there even much of a fondness for the Drew Barrymore version from the mid-80s?

It did have some things going for it: aiming for horror fans and teen girls maybe. Stephen King story, “creepy” kid movie, Zac Efron, new John Carpenter score, Friday the 13th release date. 
 

But it looks bland. Still going to see it on Monday though lol. 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-29 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	22263	23784	1521	6.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

47

 

Regal:     238/5920  [4.02% sold]
Matinee:    99/1535  [6.45% | 6.51% of all tickets sold]

 

 

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	22217	23784	1567	6.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

46

 

Regal:       264/5920  [4.46% sold]
Matinee:    108/1535  [7.04% | 6.89% of all tickets sold]

 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	259	32137	35933	3796	10.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

189

 

T-15 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batsy	96.76		111	3923		0/280	30855/34778	11.28%		11757	32.29%		20.90m
DSMoM	37.18		182	10209		0/351	32227/42436	24.06%		21117	17.98%		13.39m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-15 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	150.31		108	2381		0/117	16753/19134	12.44%		9196	41.28%		20.78m
TG:M (adj)	---		154	3579		0/224	27158/30737	11.64%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:        1002/2477 [40.45% sold] [+87 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    2794/33456 [8.35% sold] [+102 tickets]
    
Regal:       415/10285  [4.04% sold]
Matinee:    200/4385  [4.56% | 5.27% of all tickets sold]

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	259	31878	35933	4055	11.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

259

 

T-14 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batsy	99.22		164	4087		0/285	31380/35467	11.52%		11757	34.49%		21.43m
DSMoM	38.99		190	10399		0/351	32037/42436	24.51%		21117	19.20%		14.04m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-14 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	153.88		106	2487		0/117	16647/19134	13.00%		9196	44.10%		21.27m
TG:M (adj)	---		248	3827		0/224	26910/30737	12.45%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:    1119/2477 [45.18% sold] [+117 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    2936/33456 [8.78% sold] [+142 tickets]
    
Regal:      458/10285  [4.45% sold]
Matinee:    206/4385  [4.70% | 5.08% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

lulz.

[Maggie]

 

@Porthos is that good?

 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

 

@Porthos is that good?

 

 

I mean, it increased by 70 tickets (or 37% if one prefers) when Sacto was already hella over-performing.   So. Yes.  Or rather, its still "lulz worthy", hence my, well lulz at the silliness of TG:M locally.

 

[AJG]

6 hours ago, filmlover said:

I'm still trying to figure out who the audience for a Firestarter remake was supposed to be. Not even close to one of the first things that comes to mind when thinking of Stephen King properties. Is there even much of a fondness for the Drew Barrymore version from the mid-80s?

It’s referenced in Stranger Things. I guarantee you that was most of the reasoning behind it being greenlit.

[katnisscinnaplex]

2 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	259	31878	35933	4055	11.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

259

 

T-14 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batsy	99.22		164	4087		0/285	31380/35467	11.52%		11757	34.49%		21.43m
DSMoM	38.99		190	10399		0/351	32037/42436	24.51%		21117	19.20%		14.04m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-14 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	153.88		106	2487		0/117	16647/19134	13.00%		9196	44.10%		21.27m
TG:M (adj)	---		248	3827		0/224	26910/30737	12.45%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:    1119/2477 [45.18% sold] [+117 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    2936/33456 [8.78% sold] [+142 tickets]
    
Regal:      458/10285  [4.45% sold]
Matinee:    206/4385  [4.70% | 5.08% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

lulz.

Any Wednesday shows in your area?  

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/6/2022 at 10:11 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Doctor Strange 2	3,660	229,917		187,374	42,543	4,351	28,430
The Bad Guys	3,059	39,570	-28.82%	39,227	343	0	179
Sonic the Hedgehog 2	2,753	32,468	-25.86%	32,347	121	0	0
Fantastic Beasts 3	2,434	24,936	-38.21%	24,851	85	0	0
Memory	2,033	13,702	-55.89%	13,680	22	0	0
The Northman	2,005	22,075	-35.32%	22,040	35	0	0
The Lost City	1,482	13,842	-35.17%	13,783	59	0	0
Everything Everywhere	1,315	13,959	-36.06%	13,948	11	0	0
Massive Talent	1,044	12,345	-60.35%	12,334	11	0	0
Father Stu	937	6,701	-68.54%	6,690	11	0	0
Morbius	503	3,466	-70.92%	3,460	6	0	0
The Duke	329	3,774		3,774	0	0	0
Ambulance	305	1,852	-77.33%	1,841	11	0	0

 

US showtime sample for 5/6/22 weekend

 

OW shows comps

 

Doctor Strange 2 - 229,917 (3,660 TC) (42,543 PLF shows)

 - Batman - 171,959 (3,553) (13,680 PLF)

 - Spider-Man - 206,421 (3,340) (28,624 PLF)

 

Preview show count advantage over NWH dropped from 8.6% last week to 4%.  Combination of adding shows earlier and lower demand.  Full weekend show count still has a pretty nice advantage, especially in PLFs.

 

T-1 Week

Firestarter - 25,486 (1,830 TC)

 - Ambulance - 27,883 (2,198)

 - Dog - 26,312 (2,172)

 - JJK0 - 26,472 (2,001)

Family Camp - 8,851 (622 TC)

  - Spencer - 8,816 (703)

 - Show Me the Father - 9,066 (776)

 

T-2 Week Previews

Downton Abbey (5/18 EA) - 2,099 (2,080 TC)

Downton Abbey - 3,451 (2,258 TC)

 - Father Stu - 3,134 (1,400)

 - Marry Me - 3,771 (1,845)

 

T-3 Week Previews

Top Gun: Maverick (5/24 EA) - 897 (876 TC) (592 PLF)

Top Gun: Maverick (5/25 AMC EA) - 203 (202 TC)

Top Gun: Maverick (Thu Previews) - 20,170 (2,554 TC)

 - Batman - 21,077 (2,439)

 - Venom - 12,285 (1,978)

 

T-5 Week Previews

Jurassic World: Dominion - 18,526 (2,512 TC) (4,973 PLF)

 

Other

The Harbingers of Things to Come (5/12 Fathom) - 854 (827 TC)

ABBA: The Movie - Fan Event (5/12 & 5/14) - 982 (499 TC)

Twenty One Pilots Cinema Experience (5/19 & 5/22) - 1,535 (688 TC)

Fortune Favors Lady Nikuko - Fan Event (6/2) - 600 (598 TC)

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Doctor Strange 2	3,692	157,880	-31.33%	128,776	29,104	4,252	17,266
Firestarter	2,998	48,840		48,660	180	0	0
The Bad Guys	3,185	38,409	-2.93%	38,142	267	0	129
Sonic the Hedgehog 2	2,708	30,495	-6.08%	30,394	101	0	0
Fantastic Beasts 3	2,202	19,400	-22.20%	19,357	43	7	0
Everything Everywhere	1,580	16,530	18.42%	16,519	11	0	0
The Lost City	1,428	13,907	0.47%	13,850	57	0	0
Family Camp	851	13,401		13,376	25	0	0
The Northman	1,688	12,913	-41.50%	12,899	14	0	0
Massive Talent	964	9,526	-22.84%	9,526	0	0	0
Uncharted	1,060	6,235		6,235	0	0	0
Father Stu	697	5,060	-24.49%	5,052	8	0	0
Memory	655	4,620	-66.28%	4,620	0	0	0
Sarkaru Vaari Paata	515	4,177		4,177	0	0	0
Jayeshbhai Jordaar	334	3,139		3,139	0	0	0
The Duke	328	2,380	-36.94%	2,380	0	0	0
Don	218	1,547		1,547	0	0	0
Morbius	211	1,214	-64.97%	1,214	0	0	0
Ambulance	185	1,185	-36.02%	1,174	11	0	0
ABBA (Fan Event)	493	983		979	4	0	0

 

US showtime sample for 5/13/22 weekend

 

OW shows comps

Firestarter - 48,840 (2,998 TC)

 - Forever Purge - 46,917 (2,738)

 - Dog - 48,752 (3,099)

 - Ambulance - 51,310 (2,947)

Family Camp - 13,401 (851 TC)

  - Courageous (re-release) - 11,304 (967)

 - Wolf and the Lion - 12,069 (938)

 - Spencer - 11,579 (840)

 

T-1 Week

Downton Abbey (5/18 EA) - 2,601 (2,561 TC)

 - Dog (EA) - 1,099 (1,087)

 - Sing (EA) - 1,100 (1,100)

 

This is basically an extra day of previews at this point.  I haven't seen EA shows in this many theaters since I've been tracking.

 

Downton Abbey - 32,295 (2,760 TC)

 - Death on the Nile - 33,327 (2,240)

 - Moonfall - 33,048 (2,259)

 

Men - 14,289 (1,082 TC)

 - Studio 666 - 13,939 (1,254)

 - Nightmare Alley - 14,207 (1,231)

 - Malignant - 13,875 (1,363)

 

 

T-2 Week Previews

Top Gun: Maverick (5/24 EA) - 970 (932 TC) (623 PLF)

  (These are likely all PLF, but the smaller chains don't provide screen type to my source)

Top Gun: Maverick (5/25 AMC EA) - 205 (204 TC)

Top Gun: Maverick (Thu Previews) - 21,595 (2,856 TC)

 - Batman - 23,704 (2,907)

 - Venom - 26,573 (2,835)

 

T-4 Week Previews

Jurassic World: Dominion - 18,957 (2,593 TC) (5,044 PLF)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - 26,823 (2,402) (6,955 PLF)

 - Venom 2 - 12,067 (1,934) (2,326 IMAX)

 

Other

Twenty One Pilots Cinema Experience (5/19 & 5/22) - 1,536 (697 TC)

Fortune Favors Lady Nikuko - Fan Event (6/2) - 626 (624 TC)

[filmlover]

Firestarter begins with a 38 on Metacritic. The dumping makes sense.

[Eric the Minion]

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022 Calendar
(as of 5/12/22)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Estimated Location Count	Distributor
5/20/2022	Downton Abbey: A New Era	$17,000,000 – $21,000,000	+3%	$48,000,000 – $65,000,000	+3%	3,400	Focus Features
5/20/2022	Men					1,600	A24
5/27/2022	Bob’s Burgers	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000		$16,000,000 – $32,000,000			Disney / 20th Century Studios
5/27/2022	Top Gun: Maverick	$95,000,000 – $125,000,000	+10%	$275,000,000 – $395,000,000	+10%		Paramount Pictures
6/3/2022	Crimes of the Future						NEON
6/10/2022	Jurassic World Dominion	$165,000,000 – $205,000,000		$460,000,000 – $575,000,000			Universal Pictures

[BruiseCruise]