The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Porthos]

On 5/18/2022 at 1:10 AM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	179	22879	24647	1768	7.17%

 

Total Showings Added Today	8
Total Seats Added Today	863
Total Seats Sold Today	56

 

T-23 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-23	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	100.29		95	1698		0/104	16488/18186	9.34%		9196	19.23%		13.86m
JWD (adj)	---		55	1703		0/157	20206/21909	7.77%		---	---		---

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal:       291/6065  [4.80% sold]
Matinee:    115/1535  [7.49% | 6.50% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

The Jurassic World Double Feature, well double feature, started getting rolled out at Regal theaters locally tonight.  Only accounted for two of the ticket sales though, so I suspect it was added fairly late in the day/people aren't aware of it that much yet.

 

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	179	22838	24647	1809	7.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

41

 

T-22 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	98.48		73	1771		0/105	16847/18618	9.51%		9196	19.67%		13.61m
JWD (adj)	---		41	1744		0/157	20165/21909	7.96%		---	---		---

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal:      293/6065  [4.83% sold]
Matinee:    115/1535  [7.49% | 6.36% of all tickets sold]

Edited May 28, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

On 5/18/2022 at 1:11 AM, Porthos said:

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	268	31810	37015	5205	14.06%

 

Total Showings Added Today	9
Total Seats Added Today	1082
Total Seats Sold Today	167

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batsy	108.41		168	4801		0/297	31989/36790	13.05%		11757	44.27%		23.42m
DSMoM	44.51		403	11693		0/353	30983/42676	27.40%		21117	24.65%		16.02m
NWH	29.18		424	17839		0/311	20218/38057	46.87%		28183	18.47%		14.59m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	158.07		171	3079		0/122	16185/19264	15.98%		9196	56.60%		21.85m
TG:M (adj)	---		143	4867		0/233	26952/31819	15.30%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:      1490/2477   [60.15% sold] [+32 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    3715/34538 [10.76% sold] [+135 tickets]

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	268	31445	37015	5570	15.05%

 

Total Showings Capped Today	1
Total Seats Sold Today	365

 

T-8 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batsy	111.94		175	4976		0/297	31814/36790	13.53%		11757	47.38%		24.18m
DSMoM	46.07		397	12090		0/353	30586/42676	28.33%		21117	26.38%		16.59m
NWH	30.56		390	18229		0/325	20891/39120	46.60%		28183	19.76%		15.28m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Top Gun: Maverick's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	153.33		171	3473		0/151	19486/22959	15.13%		9196	60.57%		21.19m
TG:M (adj)	---		335	5325		0/253	29858/35183	15.14%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  TG:M (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Tuesday Sales:       1635/2477 [66.01% sold] [+145 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    3935/34538 [11.39% sold] [+220 tickets]
    
Regal:       664/10285  [6.46% sold]
Matinee:    263/4385  [6.00% | 4.72% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

NOTE: The BW comp shifted a bit due to some theaters coming back into the track at that point in BW's pre-sales.  The sole remaining holdout comes back at T-7, meaning all comps will be unadjusted again.

Edited May 19, 2022 by Porthos
Forgot to update Tue/Thr info

[Porthos]

On 5/18/2022 at 1:11 AM, Porthos said:

 

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

Total Seats Sold Today

167

 

22 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

its crumbling......

 

22 hours ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

 

Just now, Porthos said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

Total Seats Sold Today

365

 

[M37]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

 

Ok, I laughed, but ...

 

From your tracking of NTTD:

Total Sold T-15 --> T-8

NTTD = 674 --> 1172

Top Gun 2 = 3796 --> 5570

Ratio = 5.63x --> 4.75x

 

Daily Sales (T-9 & T-8)

NTTD = 88 +134 = 222 (+23.4%)

Top Gun 2 = 167 + 365 = 532 (+10.6%)

Ratio = 2.40x

 

I know most of the trackers here have understandably discarded the NTTD comp because the early volume of sales was more in line with CBMs, but might be worth keeping an eye on that comp for the relative pace of sales over this last week+ run up

[katnisscinnaplex]

15 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is no way it comes close to your numbers as release is not that big. I doubt it will even hit 1m today. Unless you mean including thursday previews and that should happen. 

 

Prediction was only 1m for early shows.  Comps pointing to much higher but, as mentioned in my post, those numbers won't happen with only 1 show per theater.  My areas are known to over-perform for older audience movies so I had to factor that in as well.  

 

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Downtown Abbey Alpha Wednesday - 11773/38824 153403.89 419 shows. 

 

Thinking between 350-400K for wednesday. Not sure if @katnisscinnaplex has overall showcount for the day to project. 

 

Final count this morning is 2,811 shows in 2,755 theaters.  This isn't EA as we have seen before.  It's half of Thursday previews.

 

6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

That looks really bad. Harkins was $14K. Looks like $700K.

 

I'd go higher, but I'm looking at a pretty small sample.

[filmlover]

7 hours ago, El Squibbonator said:

Am I alone in thinking Bob's Burgers might overperform relative to the projections we've made? I've been seeing a lot of promotion for it, so I can see it opening closer to $15 million, or even $20 million if word of mouth is especially good. 

 

Then again, this is coming from the guy who was convinced PAW Patrol: The Movie would flop, so what am I saying? 

It won't. It's being neglected to puny auditoriums pretty much everywhere. I doubt there's anyone on the fence as to whether they want to see it or not, regardless of being completely overshadowed by Top Gun.

[John2015]

Sony seems to have big faith on "Where the Crawdads Sing". 

Sony had started airing the film's TV spots, even though the film won't open until July 15 2022.

Edited May 19, 2022 by John2015

[keysersoze123]

35 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Prediction was only 1m for early shows.  Comps pointing to much higher but, as mentioned in my post, those numbers won't happen with only 1 show per theater.  My areas are known to over-perform for older audience movies so I had to factor that in as well.  

 

 

Final count this morning is 2,811 shows in 2,755 theaters.  This isn't EA as we have seen before.  It's half of Thursday previews.

 

 

I'd go higher, but I'm looking at a pretty small sample.

That means its way more spread out than what I thought. still 1m is a stretch considering alpha did only 150K. Let us see how things go. 

 

@charlie Jatinder

Downtown Abbey Alpha Thursday - 11490/115223 158499.46 849 shows. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex how many shows for today?

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, John2015 said:

Sony seems to have big faith on "Where the Crawdads Sing". 

Sony had started airing the film's TV spots, even though the film won't open until July 15 2022.

I think that's going to be one of the sleeper hits of the summer. The book was enormous (more than three years on best-selling lists).

[katnisscinnaplex]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That means its way more spread out than what I thought. still 1m is a stretch considering alpha did only 150K. Let us see how things go. 

 

@charlie Jatinder

Downtown Abbey Alpha Thursday - 11490/115223 158499.46 849 shows. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex how many shows for today?

 

I've got 5,463 in 2,671 theaters.  61% of them start before 8pm

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bob's Burgers	T-8	Jax	6	15	33	33	1,542	2.14%
		Phx	6	17	40	40	2,342	1.71%
		Ral	7	16	36	36	1,317	2.73%
	Total		19	48	109	109	5,201	2.10%
Downton 2	T-1	Jax	6	14	8	181	1,935	9.35%
		Phx	6	15	2	100	2,008	4.98%
		Ral	8	13	26	250	1,523	16.41%
	Total		20	42	36	531	5,466	9.71%
Downton 2 (EA)	T-0	Jax	6	6	9	195	783	24.90%
		Phx	7	7	29	186	706	26.35%
		Ral	8	10	28	321	980	32.76%
	Total		21	23	66	702	2,469	28.43%
JW3 Dominion	T-22	Jax	6	105	7	525	15,656	3.35%
		Phx	6	93	8	501	15,960	3.14%
		Ral	8	67	13	532	7,529	7.07%
	Total		20	265	28	1,558	39,145	3.90%
JW3+JP	T-22	Jax	4	4	0	111	745	14.90%
		Phx	5	5	-2	275	564	48.76%
		Ral	4	4	2	91	410	22.20%
	Total		13	13	0	477	1,719	27.75%
Men	T-1	Jax	4	7	10	31	714	4.34%
		Phx	5	9	23	69	1,038	6.65%
		Ral	7	11	2	29	1,029	2.82%
	Total		16	27	35	129	2,781	4.64%
Top Gun 2	T-8	Jax	7	111	32	955	18,617	5.13%
		Phx	6	79	22	661	14,285	4.63%
		Ral	8	75	53	812	8,695	9.34%
	Total		21	265	107	2,428	41,597	5.84%
Top Gun 2 (EA)	T-6	Jax	5	8	37	518	1,166	44.43%
		Phx	1	1	1	166	208	79.81%
		Ral	2	2	2	289	412	70.15%
	Total		8	11	40	973	1,786	54.48%
Top Gun 2 (EA)	T-7	Jax	2	2	0	95	245	38.78%
		Phx	2	2	0	92	434	21.20%
		Ral	1	1	0	38	118	32.20%
	Total		5	5	0	225	797	28.23%

 

Downton EA T-0 comps

 - Sonic EA - 1.46x (1.85m)

 - NTTD EA - missed

 - Respect EA - 2.2x

 - Lost City EA - 2.73x (2.05m) 

 

Downton T-1 comps

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - House of Gucci - 1.46x (1.9m)

 - Sonic 2 - .38x (1.89m)

 - Lost City  - 1.1x (2.75m)

 - Ghostbusters - .38x (1.57m)

 

A bunch of locations added second shows for Thursday, and many of them were on a second screen and in the 7-8pm start times instead of adding a late show on the current screen.

 

Downton + EA comp

 - Respect + EA - 3.15x (2.05m)

 

Men T-1 comps

 - X - .95x (417k)

 - Resident Evil - .7x (656k)

 - Night House - 4.61x (1.2m)

 - Firestarter - 1.16x (436k)

 

Top Gun (Thu) T-8 comps

 - Black Widow - .93x (12.24m)

 - F9 - 2.7x (19.15m)

 - Fantastic Beasts - 2.33x (13.99m)

 - Ghostbusters - 4.43x (18.39m)

 - Shang-Chi - 2.23x (19.66m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 

Top Gun + EA comp

 - Batman + EA - missed

 

Bob's Burgers T-8 comps

 - JJK0 - .282x (813k)

 - Ghostbusters - .199x (825k)

 

Not really sure what to use for comps here.  I noticed tickets being on sale yesterday, but didn't get around to setting it up until today.  If this is just one day of sales, it's pretty impressive.  

 

JW3 final sales (T-1 hr) comps

 - F9 - .406x (2.88m)

 - Ghostbusters - .654x (2.71m)

 - NTTD - .57x (2.97m)

 - Dune - .567x (2.89m)

 

JW3 T-22 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.2x (15.89m)

 - DS2 - .189x (6.81m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bob's Burgers	T-7	Jax	6	15	13	46	1,542	2.98%
		Phx	6	17	11	51	2,342	2.18%
		Ral	7	16	5	41	1,317	3.11%
	Total		19	48	29	138	5,201	2.65%
Downton 2	T-0	Jax	6	15	17	198	1,981	9.99%
		Phx	6	16	13	113	2,088	5.41%
		Ral	8	17	36	286	1,759	16.26%
	Total		20	48	66	597	5,828	10.24%
JW3 Dominion	T-21	Jax	7	107	11	536	15,994	3.35%
		Phx	6	93	8	509	15,960	3.19%
		Ral	8	67	15	547	7,529	7.27%
	Total		21	267	34	1,592	39,483	4.03%
JW3+JP	T-21	Jax	4	4	0	111	745	14.90%
		Phx	5	5	3	278	564	49.29%
		Ral	6	6	0	91	622	14.63%
	Total		15	15	3	480	1,931	24.86%
Men	T-0	Jax	4	7	3	34	714	4.76%
		Phx	5	10	14	83	1,082	7.67%
		Ral	7	11	5	34	1,029	3.30%
	Total		16	28	22	151	2,825	5.35%
Top Gun 2	T-7	Jax	7	110	51	1,006	18,482	5.44%
		Phx	6	79	43	704	14,285	4.93%
		Ral	8	75	72	884	8,695	10.17%
	Total		21	264	166	2,594	41,462	6.26%
Top Gun 2 (EA)	T-5	Jax	5	8	137	655	1,166	56.17%
		Phx	1	1	7	173	208	83.17%
		Ral	2	2	3	292	412	70.87%
	Total		8	11	147	1,120	1,786	62.71%
Top Gun 2 (EA)	T-6	Jax	2	2	1	96	245	39.18%
		Phx	2	2	0	92	434	21.20%
		Ral	1	1	0	38	118	32.20%
	Total		5	5	1	226	797	28.36%

 

Downton T-0 comps

 - No Time to Die - .265x (1.38m)

 - House of Gucci - 1.31x (1.71m)

 - Sonic 2 - .34x (1.7m)

 - Lost City  - .87x (2.18m)

 - Ghostbusters - .33x (1.38m)

 

Not surprised to see the comps dropping.  This seemed pretty frontloaded for pre-sales, especially in my areas.  Right now I would predict 1.5m for Thursday shows, but we'll see what the T-1 hr update brings.

 

Men T-0 comps

 - X - .68x (298k)

 - Resident Evil - .5x (464k)

 - Night House - 3.78x (981k)

 - Firestarter - 1.02x (383k)

 

Comps falling for this one too.  I'd put it at 400k currently.

 

Top Gun (Thu) T-7 comps

 - Black Widow - .92x (12.09m)

 - F9 - 2.69x (19.09m)

 - Fantastic Beasts - 2.18x (13.1m)

 - Ghostbusters - 4.49x (18.66m)

 - Shang-Chi - 2.22x (19.53m)

 - Batman (Thu) - .655x (11.52m)

 - NTTD (Thu) - 3.78x (19.66m)

 

Top Gun + EA comp

 - Batman + EA - .679x (14.66m)

 

Bob's Burgers T-7 comps

 - JJK0 - missed

 - Ghostbusters - .239x (992k)

 - Free Guy - .86x (1.9m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .89x (2.4m)

 

Added a couple more possible comps.  

 

JW3 final sales (T-1 hr) comps

 - F9 - .415x (2.95m)

 - Ghostbusters - .668x (2.77m)

 - NTTD - .583x (3.03m)

 - Dune - .579x (2.95m)

 

JW3 T-21 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.18x (15.62m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 1.015x (17.87m)

 - Eternals - 1.616x (15.35m)

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

That means its way more spread out than what I thought. still 1m is a stretch considering alpha did only 150K. Let us see how things go. 

 

@charlie Jatinder

Downtown Abbey Alpha Thursday - 11490/115223 158499.46 849 shows. 

Added only 1200 yday. Yikes. 

Max I can see is 18k final. That will be like $900K previews. I just hoped there is no error in these, though Philly seems like will may be final at ~$1.75-2M range incl EA.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Downton (EA)	Standard	5	33	174	569	30.58%	$12.70	$2,210.20
T-1	Downton	Standard	21	34	197	2,492	7.91%	$12.55	$2,471.59
T-22	JW3	PLF	30	31	1,241	6,386	19.43%	$16.76	$20,802.74
		Standard	75	29	624	10,357	6.02%	$12.12	$7,564.04
	JW3 Total		105	60	1,865	16,743	11.14%	$15.21	$28,366.78
T-6	Top Gun 2 (EA)	Standard	6	36	1,054	1,599	65.92%	$21.65	$22,819.10
T-8	Top Gun 2	PLF	35	77	1,343	8,485	15.83%	$16.53	$22,200.65
		Standard	63	35	640	8,234	7.77%	$13.03	$8,341.99
	Top Gun 2 Total		98	112	1,983	16,719	11.86%	$15.40	$30,542.64

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-22	JW3	N	84	49	1,613	13,674	11.80%	$15.83	$25,526.66
		Y	21	11	252	3,069	8.21%	$11.27	$2,840.12
	JW3 Total		105	60	1,865	16,743	11.14%	$15.21	$28,366.78
T-8	Top Gun 2	N	72	92	1,763	11,960	14.74%	$15.84	$27,930.42
		Y	26	20	220	4,759	4.62%	$11.87	$2,612.22
	Top Gun 2 Total		98	112	1,983	16,719	11.86%	$15.40	$30,542.64

 

Downton T-1 comp

 - FB3 - .127x (764k)

 - Sonic 2 (Thu) - .129x (644k)

 - Massive Talent - 4.48x (3.74m)

 

Top Gun T-8 comp

 - No Way Home - .129x (6.45m)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - .187x (6.75m)

 - FB3 - 3.384x (20.3m)

 

JW3 final sales (preview morning) comps

 - No Way Home - .094x (4.69m)

 - Batman + EA - .235x (5.08m)

 - DS 2 - .118x (4.23m)

 - Sonic + EA - .657x (4.1m)

 

JW3 T-22 comp

 - DS 2 - .224x (8.05m)

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Downton	Standard	21	44	241	2,492	9.67%	$12.50	$3,012.29
T-5	Top Gun 2 (EA)	Standard	6	38	1,092	1,599	68.29%	$21.65	$23,641.80
T-7	Top Gun 2	PLF	35	57	1,400	8,485	16.50%	$16.52	$23,126.49
		Standard	61	76	716	7,878	9.09%	$12.92	$9,247.60
	Top Gun 2 Total		96	133	2,116	16,363	12.93%	$15.30	$32,374.09

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-7	Top Gun 2	N	71	85	1,848	11,782	15.68%	$15.82	$29,235.48
		Y	25	48	268	4,581	5.85%	$11.71	$3,138.61
	Top Gun 2 Total		96	133	2,116	16,363	12.93%	$15.30	$32,374.09

 

No JW3 today

 

Downton T-0 comps

 - FB3 - .12x (718k)

 - Sonic 2 (Thu) - .12x (594k)

 - Massive Talent - 2.9x (2.4m)

 - Bad Guys - 1.6x (1.835m)

 

Not really any good comps in my short time doing Santikos. 

 

2000 Mules T-0 comps

 - Massive Talent - 1.2x (1m)

 - Northman - .433x (584k)

 

Men T-0 comps

 - Firestarter - 2.3x (861k)

 - Ambulance - 1.72x (1.2m)

 - Northman - .268x (362k)

 

Top Gun T-7 comps

 - No Way Home - .135x (6.73m)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - .191x (6.89m)

 - FB3 - 3.192x (19.15m)

 - Batman (Thu) - .616x (10.84m)

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Added only 1200 yday. Yikes. 

Max I can see is 18k final. That will be like $900K previews. I just hoped there is no error in these, though Philly seems like will may be final at ~$1.75-2M range incl EA.

I ran it around 10PM yesterday. Its what it is. Friday PS looks more promising. i am trying to get data now. 

[Alex SciChannel]

Idk it this is the right place to post this but I found it interesting.

[keysersoze123]

More PLF screens makes sense. So AMC will have another format Laser at AMC. Only thing is most screens have limited seats and small screens. We need large screens with laser projection and top notch sound systems. That is the only way to differentiate from home experience where people have 80-90" OLED/QD-OLED/MiniLED screens with good HT systems. 

[el sid]

Downton Abbey 2, counted today at 10am EST for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 19 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 22 (3 showtime)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3+ (2 showtimes, still 1 Sell Out reported but I doubt that it's true because the other shows don't look very crowded)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (1 showtime, the Sell Out wasn't true)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 8 (2 showtime)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 33 (1 showtime)
LA (AMC Universal): 62 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 147+.

Comps (all counted on Thursday for Thursday): Death on the Nile had 466 sold tickets,

The Lost City had 745 sold tickets

and Marry Me had 198 sold tickets.

Downton Abbey 2, counted today at the same time for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 65 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 34 (12 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 72 (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 16 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 6 (8 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 70 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 49 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 312.

Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): Death on the Nile (12.9M OW, super bowl weekend) had 487 sold tickets,

The Lost City (30.5M OW) had 695 sold tickets

and Marry Me (7.9M OW, super bowl) had 210 sold tickets.
Worse numbers than in other reports from me. The AMC in NY is a theater for fans of action and adventure movies so it does not surprise me that the presales aren't big here but also in other states the presales are pretty modest. Idk if the first movie had good walk-ups but I think so. I stay with something between 10-15M OW, maybe 12-14M?

Men, counted today at 10am EST for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 40 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 20 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 4 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 56 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 93 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 216.

Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): Umma (2.1M OW) had 53 sold tickets in 4 theaters (= 172 sold tickets for Men in the same 4 theaters),

Malignant (5.4M OW) had 237 sold tickets in 7 theaters

and Firestarter (3.8M OW) had 144 sold tickets, also in 7 theaters.
I go with 5M OW because the Umma comp would mean 6.5M but this film looks (even) more like a niche film (but interesting as I said before).

 

Bob's Burgers had today for next Thursday 158 sold tickets in 7 theaters.
Comp: Jackass Forever (23.2M OW) had on Monday before its release week (= 3 days earlier but in this week it doesn't make a big difference) 96 sold tickets for its previews.

 

And for Friday Bob's Burgers had today 103 sold tickets in 7 theaters.

Comp: Jackass Forever had on Monday before its release week 265 sold tickets for Friday.

No clear picture so far, the Thursday presales look quite good but the Friday numbers could be better.

[motionpic05]

So it sounds like Nope won't be making it to July since it's behind on VFX.

Where should it move?

[EmpireCity]

1 hour ago, motionpic05 said:

So it sounds like Nope won't be making it to July since it's behind on VFX.

Where should it move?

 

I would take that rumor with a giant grain of salt.  

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

301

2320

12.97%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

346

3250

10.65%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1453	41	24654	5.89%	15	151

 

AMCs sold	1088
Cinemarks sold	142
Regals sold	102
Harkins sold	121

 

1.27x Black Widow T-22 (16.82M)

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

310

2320

13.36%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

350

3250

10.77%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1498	45	24654	6.08%	15	151

 

AMCs sold	1120
Cinemarks sold	150
Regals sold	107
Harkins sold	121

 

1.67x Eternals T-21 (15.83M)

1.23x Black Widow T-21 (16.26M)