The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-9 Thursday(99 showings): 2197(+664)/28556

0.499x Top Gun 2 T-9 (9.61M)

0.471x Batman T-9 (10.17M)

1.57x Eternals T-9 (14.93M)

0.878x Black Widow T-9 (11.60M)

 

T-10 Friday(150 showings): 2181(+770)/43519

0.522x Top Gun 2 T-10 (17.09M)

1.05x Batman T-10 (36.59M)

1.94x Eternals T-10 (41.33M)

1.22x Black Widow T-10 (32.03M)

 

T-11 Saturday(162 showings): 1566(+581)/46146

0.529x Top Gun 2 T-11 (20.11M)

1.43x Batman T-11 (61.92M)

2.80x Eternals T-11 (67.57M)

 

T-12 Sunday(144 showings): 535(+230)/41066

0.720x Top Gun 2 T-12 (26.41M)

2.00x Batman T-12 (68.41M)

4.28x Eternals T-12 (69.89M)

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-8 Thursday(104 showings): 2375(+178)/29567

0.506x Top Gun 2 T-8 (9.74M)

1.57x Eternals T-8 (14.90M)

0.887x Black Widow T-8 (11.71M)

 

T-9 Friday(150 showings): 2376(+195)/43519

0.536x Top Gun 2 T-9 (17.55M)

1.96x Eternals T-9 (41.73M)

1.20x Black Widow T-9 (31.69M)

 

T-10 Saturday(162 showings): 1700(+134)/46146

0.523x Top Gun 2 T-10 (19.89M)

2.70x Eternals T-10 (65.09M)

 

T-11 Sunday(144 showings): 583(+48)/41066

0.711x Top Gun 2 T-11 (26.08M)

4.45x Eternals T-11 (72.67M)

 

Drafthouse doesn't wanna work today, so no numbers from there.

[Brainbug]

20 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

2.70x Eternals T-10 (65.09M)

 

4.45x Eternals T-11 (72.67M)

 

Yes.

[Alex SciChannel]

34 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

Yes.

Backloading a good sign?

Edited June 1, 2022 by Alex SciChannel

[John2015]

Did anyone see the TV spots of "Crimes of the Future" and "Watcher"?  I didn't see any of them.

 

But I did see some TV spots of Sony Pictures Classics' "The Phantom of the Open", which will only open in NY and LA on Friday.  (I just saw another TV spot of the film on TNT.)

 

Edited June 2, 2022 by John2015

[ZackM]

 

Jurassic World: Dominion Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	34	21	10	1	0
Seats Added	5,781	1,486	1,091	391	0
Seats Sold	4,359	3,182	2,674	2,322	1,769
6/1/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	428	4,341	78,192	767,347	10.19%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	13	43	103
ATP
$17.72

 

 

Jurassic World: Dominion Comps
	Top Gun: Maverick		The Batman		Dr. Strange MoM		Net
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-8	$13.9	$13.0	$8.1	$7.7	$8.3	$8.8	$9.2
T-9	$13.8	$12.9	$7.9	$7.5	$8.1	$8.6	$9.0
T-10	$13.9	$13.0	$7.8	$7.3	$8.0	$8.5	$8.9
T-11	$13.9	$13.1	$7.6	$7.2	$7.8	$8.3	$8.8
T-12	$14.0	$13.2	$7.5	$7.1	$7.7	$8.2	$8.7
T-13	$14.2	$13.4	$7.5	$7.1	$7.6	$8.1	$8.6

 

[keysersoze123]

53 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

Jurassic World: Dominion Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	34	21	10	1	0
Seats Added	5,781	1,486	1,091	391	0
Seats Sold	4,359	3,182	2,674	2,322	1,769
6/1/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	428	4,341	78,192	767,347	10.19%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	13	43	103
ATP
$17.72

 

 

Jurassic World: Dominion Comps
	Top Gun: Maverick		The Batman		Dr. Strange MoM		Net
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-8	$13.9	$13.0	$8.1	$7.7	$8.3	$8.8	$9.2
T-9	$13.8	$12.9	$7.9	$7.5	$8.1	$8.6	$9.0
T-10	$13.9	$13.0	$7.8	$7.3	$8.0	$8.5	$8.9
T-11	$13.9	$13.1	$7.6	$7.2	$7.8	$8.3	$8.8
T-12	$14.0	$13.2	$7.5	$7.1	$7.7	$8.2	$8.7
T-13	$14.2	$13.4	$7.5	$7.1	$7.6	$8.1	$8.6

 

Good news is trend is starting to look like Venom 2 and that is great news for JWD. Final few days were bonkers for Venom 2 and doubling that wont be easy. 

[Eric the Minion]

23 hours ago, Eric Mitchell said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	134	2017	23705	8.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 72

 

Comp

2.155x of F9 T-9 (15.3M)

2.266x of Venom 2 T-9 (26.29M)

2.445x of No Time to Die T-9 (15.4M)

1.121x of Top Gun 2 T-9 (21.59M)

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	134	2132	23705	8.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 115

 

Comp

2.128x of F9 T-8 (15.11M)

2.216x of Venom 2 T-8 (25.71M)

2.266x of No Time to Die T-8 (14.27M)

1.110x of Top Gun 2 T-8 (21.39M)

[Bigscrubnus]

Jurassic world dominion picking up steam

 

you love to see it

[Porthos]

On 5/31/2022 at 11:08 PM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	190	21844	25224	3380	13.40%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	1
Total Seats Removed Today	148
Total Seats Sold Today	194

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	226.54		122	1492		0/108	15995/17487	8.53%		5847	57.81%		19.94m
NTTD	325.63		88	1038		0/142	21077/22115	4.69%		3737	90.45%		20.19m
Dune	375.56		70	900		0/78	11142/12042	7.47%		2915	115.95%		19.15m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	261.08		81	1223		0/80	11347/12570	9.73%		4407	72.45%		19.41m
BW	103.70		171	3079		0/122	16185/19264	15.98%		9196	36.76%		14.33m
JWD (adj)	---		171	3193		0/168	19295/22488	14.20%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.58028x JW2 at the same sources of tracking at T-9 [21.76m adj]
JW3 = 3.33136x KotM at the same sources of tracking at T-9 [18.89m adj]
JW3 = 0.91585x TLK at the same sources of tracking at T-9 [18.96m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:       498/6145  [8.10% sold]
Matinee:    194/1535  [12.64% | 5.74% of all tickets sold]

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	223	24183	27754	3571	12.87%

 

Total Showings Added Today	33
Total Seats Added Today	2530
Total Seats Sold Today	191

 

T-8 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	217.61		149	1641		0/108	15846/17487	9.38%		5847	61.07%		19.15m
NTTD	304.69		134	1172		0/144	21181/22353	5.24%		3737	95.56%		18.89m
Dune	363.65		82	982		0/78	11060/12042	8.15%		2915	122.50%		18.55m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	254.95		100	1323		0/84	11791/13114	10.09%		4407	76.54%		18.95m
BW	97.12		204	3473		0/151	19486/22959	15.13%		9196	38.83%		13.42m
JWD (F9 adj)	---		180	3373		0/201	21645/25018	13.48%		---	---		---
JWD (BW adj)	---		186	3506		0/215	23630/27136	12.92%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (F9 adj) and JWD (BW adj) are the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's and BW's track, respectively.

COMP NOTE: Both the F9 and the BW comp have been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during pre-sale runs of those films (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.57464x JW2 at the same sources of tracking at T-8 [21.68m adj]
JW3 = 3.25938x KotM at the same sources of tracking at T-8 [18.48m adj]
JW3 = 0.87692x TLK at the same sources of tracking at T-8 [18.15m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:       527/6145  [8.58% sold]
Matinee:    197/1535  [12.83% | 5.52% of all tickets sold]

[Mulder]

Dominion repeating FK? Like a lot of people predicted? Shocker. 😉

[Joyous Legion]

29 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Dominion repeating FK? Like a lot of people predicted? Shocker. 😉

Not quite sure what to make of this comment. Is it mean to be positive? Seems negative.

[Mulder]

11 minutes ago, Show Me The Legion said:

Not quite sure what to make of this comment. Is it mean to be positive? Seems negative.

Positive, it's literally repeating FK's sales.

[Brainbug]

So i dont have to abandon my 210M OW dream just yet ...

 

Theres still a very very very small chance ... the movie needs extremely good walk-ups though ofc.

[Bigscrubnus]

The sales picking up should help the projection that updates tomorrow?

[M37]

8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Good news is trend is starting to look like Venom 2 and that is great news for JWD. Final few days were bonkers for Venom 2 and doubling that wont be easy. 

It’s tracking much closer to F9 over last week than Vemon tbh. That’s still much better than CBM comps, puts it in ~$17-$19 range for Thursday, and still quite possible we see a late Venom-ish push that gets it into low $20s, but a $25/$200 opening looking less and less likely with each new update 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

So i dont have to abandon my 210M OW dream just yet ...

 

Theres still a very very very small chance ... the movie needs extremely good walk-ups though ofc.

 

Edited June 2, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[THUNDER BIRD]

15 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

But Deadpool actually achieved the dream..... He is in MCU with Deadpool 3 green signaled.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/1/2022 at 8:32 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-22	Jax	6	16	2	8	1,959	0.41%
		Phx	4	10	8	9	1,898	0.47%
		Ral	7	17	5	7	1,647	0.43%
	Total		17	43	15	24	5,504	0.44%
Black Phone (EA)	T-14	Jax	2	2	0	0	141	0.00%
		Phx	2	2	1	1	229	0.44%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	91	0.00%
	Total		5	5	1	1	461	0.22%
Crimes of Future	T-1	Jax	3	4	29	29	257	11.28%
		Phx	3	4	38	38	252	15.08%
		Ral	2	2	8	8	108	7.41%
	Total		8	10	75	75	617	12.16%
JW3 Dominion	T-8	Jax	7	107	37	963	15,994	6.02%
		Phx	6	94	30	883	16,370	5.39%
		Ral	8	76	48	872	8,543	10.21%
	Total		21	277	115	2,718	40,907	6.64%
JW3+JP	T-8	Jax	5	5	7	159	811	19.61%
		Phx	6	6	7	340	638	53.29%
		Ral	7	7	3	143	688	20.78%
	Total		18	18	17	642	2,137	30.04%
Watcher	T-1	Jax	2	2	-1	4	77	5.19%
		Phx	4	5	-2	2	555	0.36%
		Ral	2	3	2	4	207	1.93%
	Total		8	10	-1	10	839	1.19%

 

 

Crimes of Future T-1 comps

 - Resident Evil - .408x (381k)

 - Antlers - 1.03x (380k)

 - Firestarter - .68x (253k)

 - X - .55x (243k)

 

JW3 T-8 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.04x (13.7m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Eternals - 1.41x (13.41m)

 - F9 - 3.02x (21.44m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.12x (16.46m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-21	Jax	6	16	7	15	1,959	0.77%
		Phx	4	10	0	9	1,898	0.47%
		Ral	7	17	7	14	1,647	0.85%
	Total		17	43	14	38	5,504	0.69%
Black Phone (EA)	T-13	Jax	2	2	0	0	141	0.00%
		Phx	2	2	1	2	229	0.87%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	91	0.00%
	Total		5	5	1	2	461	0.43%
Crimes of Future	T-0	Jax	3	4	10	39	257	15.18%
		Phx	3	4	7	45	252	17.86%
		Ral	2	2	2	10	108	9.26%
	Total		8	10	19	94	617	15.24%
Elvis	T-21	Jax	6	25	33	33	4,322	0.76%
		Phx	4	11	6	6	1,816	0.33%
		Ral	7	16	6	6	1,679	0.36%
	Total		17	52	45	45	7,817	0.58%
Elvis (EA)	T-19	Jax	2	2	42	42	403	10.42%
	Total		2	2	42	42	403	10.42%
JW3 Dominion	T-7	Jax	7	107	63	1,026	15,994	6.41%
		Phx	6	93	79	962	16,293	5.90%
		Ral	8	80	59	931	9,318	9.99%
	Total		21	280	201	2,919	41,605	7.02%
JW3+JP	T-7	Jax	5	5	12	171	811	21.09%
		Phx	6	6	22	362	638	56.74%
		Ral	7	7	16	159	688	23.11%
	Total		18	18	50	692	2,137	32.38%
Watcher	T-0	Jax	2	2	0	4	77	5.19%
		Phx	4	5	7	9	555	1.62%
		Ral	2	3	0	4	207	1.93%
	Total		8	10	7	17	839	2.03%

 

Watcher comps are pointing to around 70k for previews.  Probably was too small to be worth tracking, but it only took a couple minutes so why not.

 

Crimes of Future T-0 comps

 - Resident Evil - .309x (289k)

 - Antlers - .797x (294k)

 - Firestarter - .635x (238k)

 - X - .42x (185k)

 

We should get a number for this one.  Tentative prediction is 250k

 

JW3 T-7 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.03x (13.6m)

 - Batman (Thu) - .737x (12.97m)

 - Eternals - 1.41x (13.36m)

 - F9 - 3.025x (21.48m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.13x (16.54m)

 

Elvis T-21 comp

 - Downton Abbey - .33x (350k)

[Alex SciChannel]

5 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

We should get a number for this one.  Tentative prediction is 250k

That seems really good for a limited release.

[BruiseCruise]

 

 

Any validity to this?