The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

More I think its previews are targeting around $25m. MCU at this point has such a strong fan base that it will be front loaded. Plus this is a very well known character seen for past 11 years including central role in all Avengers movies. Let us see how presales go. It does have a long presales run and Disney could still pull in when they get reviews out to get buzz rolling. 

Reviews will be out on July 5, very close to release 

 

Reactions on June 23 tho

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Lightyear Megaplex [3 days of sales]

 

T-3 Wednesday(4 showings): 287(+84)/2146

T-4 Thursday(92 showings): 388(+180)/23022

Total Previews(96 showings): 675(+264)/25168

4.17x Encanto T-4 (6.25M)

1.01x Ghostbusters T-4 (4.54M)

 

T-5 Friday(154 showings): 672(+266)/43006

0.960x Ghostbusters T-5 (11.67M)

 

T-6 Saturday(155 showings): 521(+261)/41630

0.810x Ghostbusters T-6 (13.31M)

 

T-7 Sunday(153 showings): 142(+58)/42334

1.18x Ghostbusters T-7 (12.88M)

Lightyear Megaplex

 

T-2 Wednesday(4 showings): 324(+37)/2146

T-3 Thursday(102 showings): 560(+172)/24246

Total Previews(106 showings): 887(+209)/26392

4.50x Encanto T-3 (6.75M)

 

T-4 Friday(154 showings): 934(+262)/43006

 

T-5 Saturday(155 showings): 746(+225)/41630

 

T-6 Sunday(153 showings): 186(+44)/42334

 

No Ghostbusters comp today

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Reviews will be out on July 5, very close to release 

 

Reactions on June 23 tho

July 5 is too late !!! Anyway at least social media reactions will be out late next week though that will be targeted based on who gets access to these shows. 

 

Anyway Let us see how things go. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Lightyear Alamo Drafthouse [3 days of sales]

 

T-3 Wednesday(2 showings): 212(+51)/470

T-4 Thursday(122 showings): 2258(+1167)/18419

Total Previews(124 showings): 2470(+1218)/18879

7.87x Encanto T-4 (11.80M)

0.789x Ghostbusters T-4 (3.55M)

 

T-5 Friday(121 showings): 2479(+1320)/19586

0.852x Ghostbusters T-5 (10.35M)

 

T-6 Saturday(140 showings): 2113(+1093)/22004

0.685x Ghostbusters T-6 (11.26M)

 

T-7 Sunday(121 showings): 1488(+666)/19535

0.974x Ghostbusters T-7 (10.64M)

 

Only comparing the Encanto previews for here and Megaplex because Thanksgiving will mess with the rest of the comps

Lightyear Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 Wednesday(2 showings): 236(+24)/470

T-3 Thursday(136 showings): 2725(+467)/19913

Total Previews(138 showings): 2961(+491)/20383

7.22x Encanto T-3 (10.83M)

0.858x Ghostbusters T-3 (3.86M)

 

T-4 Friday(121 showings): 2962(+483)/19586

0.889x Ghostbusters T-4 (10.80M)

 

T-5 Saturday(140 showings): 2573(+460)/22004

0742x Ghostbusters T-5 (12.20M)

 

T-6 Sunday(121 showings): 1851(+363)/19535

1.07x Ghostbusters T-6 (11.68M)

[cax16]

Thor day 1 sales at 24 nearest theatres, 

6819 tickets sold

 

Dr Strange was 11159 tickets sold at the same point on day 1 

[Inceptionzq]

Thor Love and Thunder Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

637

3809

16.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

553

4985

11.09%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 8.5 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2543	2543	37793	6.73%	15	233

 

AMCs sold	1884
Cinemarks sold	348
Regals sold	148
Harkins sold	163

 

0.589x Doctor Strange MoM 11.5 hours (21.21M)

1.12x Batman 24 hours (24.28M)

0.393x NWH 11 hours (19.65M)

[Inceptionzq]

Thor Love and Thunder Megaplex [8.5 hours of sales]

 

T-24 Thursday(190 showings): 2043/47563

0.476x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (17.13M)

0.693x Batman 24 hours (14.97M)

0.211x NWH 11 hours (10.53M)

 

T-25 Friday(258 showings): 851/67683

0.492x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (26.93M)

1.05x Batman 24 hours (36.64M)

0.171x NWH 11 hours (12.27M)

 

T-26 Saturday(264 showings): 350/69227

0.468x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (27.05M)

0.980x Batman 24 hours (42.41M)

0.205x NWH 11 hours (15.16M)

 

T-27 Sunday(253 showings): 91/68879

0.689x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (26.81M)

1.94x Batman 24 hours (66.10M)

0.280x NWH 11 hours (17.97M)

[Inceptionzq]

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse [8.5 hours of sales]

 

T-24 Thursday(143 showings): 7189/22802 ATP: $15.44

0.658x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (23.67M)

1.23x Batman 24 hours (21.65M, using Thurs only gross)

0.516x NWH 11 hours (25.82M)

 

T-25 Friday(192 showings): 4608/30501 ATP: $15.65

0.625x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (34.22M)

0.888x Batman 24 hours (31.07M)

0.542x NWH 11 hours (38.99M)

 

T-26 Saturday(199 showings): 3863/31780 ATP: $14.74

0.589x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (34.02M)

0.952x Batman 24 hours (41.20M)

0.742x NWH 11 hours (54.85M)

 

T-27 Sunday(184 showings): 1748/29544 ATP: $14.28

0.766x Doctor Strange MoM 11 hours (29.78M)

1.18x Batman 24 hours (40.43M)

0.974x NWH 11 hours (62.53M)

[Tinalera]

*seeing all the Love and Thunder posts* I guess Ill take a peek at how Cineplex is doing....*checks*...oh boy.....right lets do a L and T drop and see what we have

[Menor the Destroyer]

Fairly soft start imo. Was hoping for more like 70% DS2 day 1 in order to get previews about 30. As others have said this has enough differences with DS2 that we can expect more backloading -- but there is a limit to how far that can take you. Currently the start suggests mid-20s previews (maybe like 26-27?) to me. Of course that's a big preview but with this being a summer MCU 3 PM it's hard to see it going much more than 6x.

 

Edited June 13, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Thor first day here 

 

Thursday Cinemark (157)

3 (4), 440 (6), 610 (4), 750 (16), 920 (0), 11 (0) = (30)

330 XD (35), 645 XD (74), 10 XD (18) = (127)

410 3D (0), 720 3D (0), 1030 3D (0) = (0)

 

Dr Strange first day

Cinemark Thursday (319)

XD: 3 (24), 615 (143), 930 (54) = (221)

330 (2), 430 (2), 5 (10), 645 (27), 745 (28), 815 (0), 10 (7), 1030 (8) = (84)

3D: 4 (2), 530 (0), 715 (12), 845 (0) = (14)

 

I'll check AMC later (I didn't check AMC for Strange since it sold very well)

[katnisscinnaplex]

5 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thor 4	T-24	Jax	7	92	591	591	14,689	4.02%
		Phx	5	107	639	639	17,781	3.59%
		Ral	8	61	507	507	8,164	6.21%
	Total		20	260	1,737	1,737	40,634	4.27%

 

Started about an hour after window opened.  Here's where my first runs were for some comps:

 

 - DS2 (on open) - .798x (28.72m)

 - NWH (9 hr) - .184x (9.2m)

 - Batman (9 hr) - .916x (16.13m)

 

May try to get 9 hr update tonight, not sure if I'll have time though.

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thor 4	T-24	Jax	7	92	239	830	14,689	5.65%
		Phx	5	107	465	1,104	17,781	6.21%
		Ral	8	61	468	975	8,164	11.94%
	Total		20	260	1,172	2,909	40,634	7.16%

 

9-hr update!  

 

 - DS2 (9 hr) - .589x (21.22m)

 - NWH (9 hr) - .372x (18.62m)

 - Batman + EA (9 hr) - 1.01x (17.83m)

 

These are much closer to the same amount of time on sale, although NWH started at midnight and hadn't really picked up afternoon/evening sales yet.    ATP is only at $14.87 at this point.  Only 238 of the tickets sold are at matinee price, and standard shows (non-PLF) account for 1,419 of the tickets.

[katnisscinnaplex]

2 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Does seem to be roughly half of MoM for the first third of the first day, if I judge my locals.  Not sure if I'd call that "not a great start" or more "reverting to mean" since MoM was juiced by being a quasi- semi- thought-to-be-partial sequel/followup to NWH.

 

Not as much fan rush, in other words.

 

Also, let's not forget the elephant in the room (and, no, I'm not talking about reception to MoM).  We just had TGM beasting all over the place, JWD doing quite a lot (even if not as much as some might like) and Lightyear/Minions doing respectable numbers on pre-sales. Whooooole lot of entertainment dollars being sucked up the last three weeks.  Not entirely surprising that Thor 4 might be a little soft considering all of that.

 

Might make comps a bit wooly for a while.  But, in the end, I ain't betting against Marvel until I am forced to.

Yeah, sorry, I didn't mean that to read like they weren't good.  Just that they weren't... amazing? I tried a few words before going back to 'great' in the post, but I forgot that normally means bad.

[EmpireCity]

It is also the summer and a long time from release.  Most aren't thinking about Thor: Love and Thunder with great weather and a ton of other things to do.  

 

Let's see how things shake out when the calendar flips to July.  

[John Marston]

Love and Thunder is opening under MoM. That was obvious from the start. Legs  could be a different matter 

[John Marston]

How’s Lightyear doing? Any chance JW Dominion could beat it as number 1 this weekend?

[efialtes76]

12 minutes ago, John Marston said:

How’s Lightyear doing? Any chance JW Dominion could beat it as number 1 this weekend?

0.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, efialtes76 said:

0.

 

I disagree. I think its unlikely that Dominion beats it, but its no 0% chance. All that needs to happen is a Lightyear underperfomance and judging by the early tracking numbers, thats not totally out of the question.

 

Id give it like a 10% chance honestly.

[ThomasNicole]

12 minutes ago, John Marston said:

How’s Lightyear doing? Any chance JW Dominion could beat it as number 1 this weekend?

Maybe 70-75M OW? 

It could still be very walk up heavy, who knows, it´s not really a direct sequel or something to be very frontloaded.

 

But it doesn´t look like it will go lower than 65M, so unless JW have a very soft drop, i think it will be #2.

[Tinalera]

I just HAD to innocently check Thor presales....

 

Thor4

Southwest Ontario and Toronto combined Taken June 13

 

So yea after seeing the amount of seats and stuff I said nope not doing two separate sections for 2 separate days. Will prolly condense the other counts starting tomorrow save what little sanity I have left....ha....hahahahaha

 

I had to double check the numbers of Thurs BOFFO numbers for Thurs. I did find one major error but all else seems to check out....people must not want spoilers I guess.

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	18	113	3656	21586	25242	14.48
Fri	18	154	1682	32435	34117	4.93

 

Edited June 13, 2022 by Tinalera
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