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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Goldenhour36 Indie Sensation

Goldenhour36

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul. (Tracking Day 5) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 11/220 (2 Showings) 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Friday- 11/220 (4 Showings) 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Total: 22 Tickets sold, 3.33% of seats (660) are sold (5 New Tickets, 29.41% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 5): 99 Tickets sold, 15.34% of seats (669) are sold (x0.222) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 5): 35 Tickets sold, 5.19% of seats (674) are sold (x0.629) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 5): Missed 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tracking Day 2 

 

Thursday- 0/438 (3 Showings) 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Friday- 2/594 (4 Showings) 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Total: 2 Tickets sold, 0.19% of seats (1032) are sold  (No Changes) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 1- 2 days until release): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (x2.000) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 5): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (520) are sold  (x2.000) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 2- 2 days until release): Missed 

 

SUM Total: 

24 Tickets sold, 1.42% of seats (1692) are sold (5 New Tickets, 26.32% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 5): 99 Tickets sold, 11.44% of seats (857) are sold (x0.222) ($146,170) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 5): 35 Tickets sold, 1.40% of seats (2498) are sold (x0.629) ($1,278,785) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 5): Missed  

 

 

 

Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul. (Tracking Day 6) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 18/220 (2 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

5:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 7 Tickets sold, 6.36% of seats (110) are sold (2 New Tickets, 40% Increase) 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 11 Tickets sold, 10% of seats (110) are sold (5 New Tickets, 83.33% Increase)

 

 

Friday- 14/440 (4 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

1:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 9 Tickets sold, 8.18% of seats (110) are sold (4 New Tickets, 80% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (2 New Tickets, 50% Increase) 

10:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 1 Tickets sold, 0.91% of seats (110) are sold (1 New Tickets, 100% Increase)

 

 

Total: 32 Tickets sold, 4.85% of seats (660) are sold (10 New Tickets, 45.45% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 18.39% of seats (669) are sold (x0.260) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 53 Tickets sold, 5.79% of seats (916) are sold (x0.604) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 6): 42 Tickets sold, 6.82% of seats (616) are sold (x0.762) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas  

 

Tracking Day 3 

 

Thursday- 0/438 (3 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

5:10 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold (No Changes) 

7:40 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold (No Changes) 

10:05 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Friday- 2/594 (4 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

2:00 PM (Standard): 1 Tickets sold, 0.66% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

4:45 PM (Standard): 1 Tickets sold, 0.66% of seats (151) are sold (No Changes) 

7:45 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold (No Changes) 

10:15 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Total: 2 Tickets sold, 0.19% of seats (1032) are sold (No Changes) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2- 1 more day until release): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (x2.000) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (520) are sold (x2.000) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 3): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (724) are sold  (x2.000) 

 

SUM Total: 

34 Tickets sold, 2.01% of seats (1692) are sold (10 New Tickets, 41.67% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 14.35% of seats (857) are sold (x0.276) ($181,725) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 53 Tickets sold, 1.93% of seats (2740) are sold (x0.642) ($1,305,214) 

Mack and Rita (Tracking Day 6): 42 Tickets sold, 1.89% of seats (2221) are sold (x0.810) ($322,129) 

 

 

 

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
16 hours ago, filmlover said:

Only 43%? I am surprised. I guess the surprisingly solid openings of both Beast and Dragon Ball soften the blow.

10 minutes ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said:

While I only post the big openers (over $50M), I do track every new films Friday numbers for each weekend. I’m trying to decide if this weekend is worth tracking though. What do y’all think? Cinema Day is gonna make this weekend incomparable to every other weekend.

Take these weekends off. Return with The Woman King.

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Old Spice Sleeper Hit

Old Spice

Posted
Posted (edited)
49 minutes ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said:

While I only post the big openers (over $50M), I do track every new films Friday numbers for each weekend. I’m trying to decide if this weekend is worth tracking though. What do y’all think? Cinema Day is gonna make this weekend incomparable to every other weekend.

New openers here, even Spidey, look pretty tepid on Friday, and Honk needs an outright miracle, but I think Cinema Day itself is what makes this the most fascinating weekend we've had in a long time. I will be posting an update Saturday morning on how all the newbies and holdovers are shaping up for that day.

Edited by A Star is Delayed
typo
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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said:

While I only post the big openers (over $50M), I do track every new films Friday numbers for each weekend. I’m trying to decide if this weekend is worth tracking though. What do y’all think? Cinema Day is gonna make this weekend incomparable to every other weekend.

Between the two of the “new” releases being RE-releases and cinema day factor, not sure they would provide much value for this week or for future comps. Probably just save the effort and scrap it 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

Early Don't Worry Darling tracking:

 

Quote

Currently the opening weekend outlook is in the high teens for Don’t Worry Darling, but there’s a tremendous potential for upside here on this multi-genre romance which also stars Florence Pugh and Chris Pine; it would not be shocking if the pic ascends to a $20M+ start which would be a nice 3-day for what is a dry fall sans any major tentpoles. Key for Warner Bros/New Line’ marketing is continuing to stoke Styles’ fervent fans toward this movie (and we’ve heard many are driving several miles to see early screenings of this hot romance title). Typically young female moviegoers head to the cinema in groups and purchase their tickets day-of.

‘Don’t Worry Darling’: Harry Styles Movie Box Office Projection – Deadline

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Goldenhour36 Indie Sensation

Goldenhour36

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 8/30/2022 at 12:23 PM, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 3 

 

Gigi and Nate (Tracking Day 4) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 7/267 (3 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

 

Friday- 4/456 (4 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Total: 11 Tickets sold, 1.52% of seats (723) are sold (1 New Tickets, 10% Increase) 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 4): 103 Tickets sold, 2.76% of seats (3731) are sold (x0.107) 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 4): 79 Tickets sold, 14.79% of seats (534) are sold (x0.139) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 4): Missed  

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tracking Day 1 

 

Thursday- No Showings 

 

Friday- 0/188 (4 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 4- 3 days until release): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1022) are sold (x1.000) 

Vengeance- No Comps 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 4)- Missed 

 

SUM Total: 

11 Tickets sold, 1.21% of seats (911) are sold (1 New Tickets, 10% Increase) 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 4): 103 Tickets sold, 1.77% of seats (5805) are sold (x0.107) ($998,056) 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 4): 79 Tickets sold, 14.79% of seats (534) are sold  (x0.139) ($91,521) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 4): Missed 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 5 

 

Gigi and Nate (Tracking Day 6) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 13/267 (3 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

3:30 PM (Laser at AMC): 8 Tickets sold, 8.99% of seats (89) are sold (3 New Tickets, 60% Increase) 

6:30 PM (Laser at AMC): 5 Tickets sold, 5.62% of seats (89) are sold ( 3 New Tickets, 150% Increase) 

9:30 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (89) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Friday- 20/456 (4 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

12:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 5 Tickets sold, 5.62% of seats (89) are sold (5 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

3:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 3 Tickets sold, 3.37% of seats (89) are sold (3 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

6:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 10 Tickets sold, 11.24% of seats (89) are sold (6 New Tickets, 150% Increase) 

9:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 2 Tickets sold, 2.25% of seats (89) are sold (2 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

 

 

Total: 33 Tickets sold, 4.56% of seats (723) are sold (22 New Tickets, 200% Increase) 

Comps  

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 6): 291 Tickets sold, 4.32% of seats (6733) are sold (x0.113) 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 18.39% of seats (669) are sold (x0.268) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 53 Tickets sold, 5.79% of seats (916) are sold (x0.623) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tracking Day 3 

 

Thursday- No Showings 

 

Friday- 0/188 (4 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

1:20 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47) are sold (No Changes) 

6:45 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47) are sold (No Changes) 

9:25 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (47)  are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (No Changes) 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 6): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (2710) are sold (x1.000) 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2- 1 more day until release): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (x1.000) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (520) are sold (x1.000) 

 

SUM Total: 

33 Tickets sold, 3.62% of seats (911) are sold (22 New Tickets, 200% Increase) 

Comps 

DC League of Super-Pets (Tracking Day 6): 291 Tickets sold, 2.77% of seats (10495) are sold (x0.113) ($1,054,022) 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 14.35% of seats (857) are sold (x0.268) ($176,457) 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6): 53 Tickets sold, 1.93% of seats (2740) are sold (x0.623) ($1,266,587) 

Edited by Goldenhour36
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misterpepp Sleeper Hit

misterpepp

Posted
Posted
On 8/30/2022 at 12:31 PM, datpepper said:

I have now been informed that The Woman King and See How They Run will both be on sale starting Sep 9 (Run might actually be earlier on 9/2, but unlikely).


This now appears to be true, looking like it’ll be on sale tomorrow.

 

Another new date: Smile will be on sale 9/7.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, datpepper said:


This now appears to be true, looking like it’ll be on sale tomorrow.

 

Another new date: Smile will be on sale 9/7.

Finally a new release worth tracking (though sales will probably be pretty light until 7 days out)

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Honk for Jesus had today for today 69 sold tickets.
For tomorrow it had even worse 25 sold tickets.
Comps for Friday: Massive Talent (7.1M OW) had on Thursday for Friday 440 sold tickets,
and Easter Sunday (5.4M OW) had 297 sold tickets.
Father Stu (5.4M OW) had one day later, on Friday for Good Friday, 67 sold tickets.
At least the Saturday looks way better with 154 sold tickets.

But even with good walk-ups on Saturday I don't see it over 2M.

 

Jaws had today for today 490 sold tickets, up 12% since yesterday.
Comp: E.T. had also on Thursday of its release week 519 sold tickets.
For Friday it had today 474 sold tickets = up 7.5% since yesterday.
Comp: E.T. had on the same day 460 sold tickets.
And for Saturday it has now impressive 889 sold tickets = up 27% since yesterday.
So again a nice Saturday jump. I just don't know what to do with this numbers. I saw that it's released in ca. 1.200 theaters (E.T. got only ca. 400) and I guess the Saturday walk-ups will be good too. So maybe 3M+ OW?

 

NWH had today for today 242 sold tickets, up 21% since yesterday.
For tomorrow it had today 212 sold tickets, up 15% since yesterday.
For Saturday it had today 750 sold tickets = up very nice 40.5% since yesterday.
Now I'm pretty convinced that moviegoers just changed to Saturday.
Mmh, first of all I thought that the 4-5M from boxofficepro are a bit too optimistic but it's re-released in almost 4k theaters, the jumps till today were quite good, the walk-ups should help too and it's a long weekend...could work.

Edited by el sid
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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
19 hours ago, Eric the Shark said:

Jaws Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 69 445 15327 2.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 85

 

Comp

1.854x of E.T. T-1 (906.8K)

1.286x of Rogue One T-1 (643.4K)

Jaws Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count (Thu+Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 69 555 15327 2.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 110

 

Comp

2.135x of E.T. (1.04M)

1.442x of Rogue One (721.1K)

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
19 hours ago, Eric the Shark said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Thu+Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 105 354 18811

1.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 32

 

Comp

1.475x of E.T. T-1 (721.5K)

1.023x of Rogue One T-1 (511.8K)

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count (Thu+Fri)

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 105 424 18811 1.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp

1.631x of E.T. (797.7K)

1.101x of Rogue One (550.9K)

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John2015 Indie Sensation

John2015

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, el sid said:

Honk for Jesus had today for today 69 sold tickets.
For tomorrow it had even worse 25 sold tickets.
Comps for Friday: Massive Talent (7.1M OW) had on Thursday for Friday 440 sold tickets,
and Easter Sunday (5.4M OW) had 297 sold tickets.
Father Stu (5.4M OW) had one day later, on Friday for Good Friday, 67 sold tickets.
At least the Saturday looks way better with 154 sold tickets.

But even with good walk-ups on Saturday I don't see it over 2M.

 

Jaws had today for today 490 sold tickets, up 12% since yesterday.
Comp: E.T. had also on Thursday of its release week 519 sold tickets.
For Friday it had today 474 sold tickets = up 7.5% since yesterday.
Comp: E.T. had on the same day 460 sold tickets.
And for Saturday it has now impressive 889 sold tickets = up 27% since yesterday.
So again a nice Saturday jump. I just don't know what to do with this numbers. I saw that it's released in ca. 1.200 theaters (E.T. got only ca. 400) and I guess the Saturday walk-ups will be good too. So maybe 3M+ OW?

 

NWH had today for today 242 sold tickets, up 21% since yesterday.
For tomorrow it had today 212 sold tickets, up 15% since yesterday.
For Saturday it had today 750 sold tickets = up very nice 40.5% since yesterday.
Now I'm pretty convinced that moviegoers just changed to Saturday.
Mmh, first of all I thought that the 4-5M from boxofficepro are a bit too optimistic but it's re-released in almost 4k theaters, the jumps till today were quite good, the walk-ups should help too and it's a long weekend...could work.

Variety reported that if Honk for Jesus could open in low-single digits, it would be considered a triumph for Focus Features.

 

I guess Focus Features know what they are doing.  Afterall, they could make profit on "The Northman"

Edited by John2015
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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
9/9/2022 Barbarian $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 -12% $17,000,000 – $32,000,000 -12% 20th Century Studios
9/9/2022 Brahmastra Part 1: Shiva         Disney / Fox Star
9/16/2022 God’s Country         IFC Films
9/16/2022 Running the Bases         UP2U Films
9/16/2022 See How They Run         Searchlight Pictures
9/16/2022 The Silent Twins         Focus Features
9/16/2022 The Woman King $16,000,000 – $21,000,000   $42,000,000 – $67,000,000   Sony / TriStar Pictures
9/23/2022 Avatar (2022 Re-Release) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000   $20,000,000 – $50,000,000   Disney / 20th Century Studios
9/23/2022 Don’t Worry Darling $11,500,000 – $16,500,000 +4% $35,000,000 – $55,000,000 +4% Warner Bros. Pictures
9/30/2022 Bros $10,000,000 – $15,000,000   $35,000,000 – $60,000,000   Universal Pictures
9/30/2022 Smile $15,000,000 – $20,000,000   $35,000,000 – $65,000,000   Paramount Pictures

 

Long Range Box Office Forecast: Bros and Smile - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

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