The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Cooper Legion]

Occam’s razor: Wed has higher occupancy % because it had less capacity.

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	326	30853	38771	7918	20.42%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2*
Total Seats Added Today	250*
Total Seats Sold Today	1149*

* NOTE:  As mentioned earlier today, I discovered one of the theaters in town was showing an extra "Fan First" screening on Wednesday.  Judging by the pace that showing sold the rest of the day, it was probably at approx 100 tickets sold as of last night, meaning the amount of tickets sold today region wide was probably closer to 1050.

 

T-2 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold  T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	136.52		706	5800		0/241	25079/30879	18.78%		9196	86.10%		18.87m
SC	241.48		490	3279		0/183	21325/24604	13.33%		5847	135.42%		21.25m
LTBC	210.87		718	3755		0/241	29214/32969	11.39%		7712	102.67%		24.46m
NTTD	355.07		349	2230		0/176	22255/24485	9.11%		3737	211.88%		22.01m
Dune	454.54		235	1742		0/109	13069/14811	11.76%		2915	271.63%		23.18m
ET	201.32		496	3933		0/130	14226/18159	21.66%		6409	123.55%		19.13m
NWH	34.27		1659	23106		1/368	18946/42052	54.95%		28183	28.09%		17.13m

COMP NOTE: The comp for Black Widow has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Batman's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Tuesday Sales:        743/815     [91.17% sold]   [+28 tickets] [FINAL]

Wednesday Sales: 1238/1515  [81.72% sold] [+150 tickets] [See note above]

Thursday Sales:   5937/36441  [16.42% sold] [+971 tickets]

---

Regal:  2032/11847  [17.15% sold] [+316 tickets]

Matinee: 388/4889   [7.94% | 4.90% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

All in all a fairly good day.  Even if I don't count that extra 100 tickets or so, it passed my internal benchmarks I was setting in my head.  More importantly the Dune comp (which I thanks to its PLF penetration+ adult skew I think might one of my better comps I might actually have) actually went up, though admittedly that might be due to the extra showtime I found.

 

Black Widow went up by half a mil, and Eternals wasn't much further behind.  Shang-Chi and No Time To Die both dropped a tiny smidge, but, eh. For once can't complain at all today.

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	1	327	29315	38854	9593	24.55%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	83
Total Seats Sold Today	1621

 

T-1 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold  T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	137.37		1144	6944		0/258	25357/32301	21.50%		9196	103.73%		18.99m
SC	228.64		893	4172		0/188	20813/24985	16.70%		5847	163.14%		20.12m
LTBC	186.05		1372	5127		0/244	28009/33136	15.47%		7712	123.69%		21.58m
NTTD	342.39		556	2786		0/178	21932/24718	11.27%		3737	255.26%		21.23m
Dune	452.73		364	2107		0/109	12686/14793	14.24%		2915	327.24%		23.09m
ET	204.17		739	4672		0/136	13796/18468	25.30%		6409	148.84%		19.40m
NWH	38.05		1961	25067		0/373	16985/42052	59.61%		28183	33.85%		19.03m

COMP NOTE: The comp for Black Widow has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Batman's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Tuesday Sales:        743/815     [91.17% sold]    [+28 tickets] [FINAL]

Wednesday Sales: 1363/1515  [89.97% sold]   [+125 tickets] [FINAL]

Thursday Sales:   7433/36524  [20.35% sold] [+1496 tickets]

---

Regal:  2483/11847  [20.96% sold] [+451 tickets]

Matinee: 531/4889   [10.86% | 5.57% of all tickets sold]

 

[keysersoze123]

The Batman MTC2

Wed - 32196/39057 469263.25 183 shows

Thu - 141354/682019 1851550.64  5073 shows

Fri - 148761/875253 1828672.57 6068 shows

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/2/2022 at 10:18 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-0	Batman (Wed)	Jacksonville	5	8	1,166	881	79	75.56%
		Phoenix	2	2	318	279	7	87.74%
	Batman (Wed) Total		7	10	1,484	1,160	86	78.17%
T-1	Batman	Jacksonville	7	142	21,693	1,921	305	8.86%
		Phoenix	7	130	19,340	3,108	453	16.07%
		Raleigh	28	104	11,614	2,317	315	19.95%
	Batman Total		42	376	52,647	7,346	1,073	13.95%
T-15	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0	Jacksonville	6	18	2,151	188	30	8.74%
		Phoenix	6	11	1,313	204	16	15.54%
		Raleigh	5	7	792	143	14	18.06%
	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0 Total		17	36	4,256	535	60	12.57%

 

Batman T-1 comps (Thu sales only)

Spider-Man - .263x (13.17m)

Black Widow - 1.572x (20.75m)

Eternals - 2.15x (20.42m)

Shang-Chi - 3x (26.4m)

 

Didn't seem like a good day when going through shows, but I think that is more so due to the massive number of showtimes.  All in all it still improved against the comps so I'm still happy with 20m true Thursday.

 

ATP comps for T-1

Eternals: 14.04

Batman: 13.73

Shang-Chi: 13.46

Black Widow: 13.09

Spider-Man: 13.05

 

My final show count run for Tuesday netted 360 shows in 358 theaters.   Wednesday is currently at 557 shows in 521 theaters.

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-0	Batman	Jacksonville	7	142	21,693	2,496	575	11.51%
		Phoenix	7	133	19,467	3,732	624	19.17%
		Raleigh	28	104	11,614	2,837	520	24.43%
	Batman Total		42	379	52,774	9,065	1,719	17.18%
T-14	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0	Jacksonville	6	18	2,151	207	19	9.62%
		Phoenix	6	11	1,313	214	10	16.30%
		Raleigh	6	8	840	159	16	18.93%
	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0 Total		18	37	4,304	580	45	13.48%

 

Batman T-0 comps (Thu sales only)

Spider-Man - .292x (14.6m)

Black Widow - 1.565x (20.66m)

Eternals - 2.19x (20.77m)

Shang-Chi - 3.01x (26.48m)

 

Not sure if I'll be able to update later today, but at this point my comps are still pointing to around 20m true Thursday.  Hardly any sellouts so far and capacity seems very open for walkups.  Still a pretty wide range of possibilities depending on how today goes.

[excel1]

The showtime count is staggering, I have never seen so many 

[DAJK]

Starting to get worried about 125M OW. Pace isn’t as strong as I’d hoped it would be. Still hoping though.

Edited March 3, 2022 by DAJK

[Menor the Destroyer]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

The Batman MTC2

Wed - 32196/39057 469263.25 183 shows

Thu - 141354/682019 1851550.64  5073 shows

Fri - 148761/875253 1828672.57 6068 shows

Thu/Fri pace around 30% higher than BW at the same point. Most likely 260k final Thu.

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

In Greece, the e-ticket section of the country's biggest theater chain ( village)m-and maybe the only one that has left after covid) is glitches hard so since I can't check the tickets sold I will take the site crushing as a good sign. That being said, I do know that all the shows during the rush hours are sold out or close to. And it's quite great considering that Greece doesn't have the type of audience that goes to cinema on Thursday (like literally everyone goes on Wednesday with the discount).

 

It's nowhere near NWH, IW, Endgame or Joker (the latest was doing great pre-sale numbers in an era that it was not necessary to book tickets and was also a walk-up and legs monster).

[katnisscinnaplex]

Preview showtimes sample is seeing 30,571 (975 IMAX).  

 

Comps

Spider-Man - 40,351 (1,050 IMAX)

Black Widow - 23,129

Venom 2 - 21,288

[Coneilg93]

Is it still on track to do $100m+ OW

[BruiseCruise]

1 minute ago, Coneilg93 said:

Is it still on track to do $100m+ OW

Easily

[Dragoncaine]

I'm sticking with $138m but could definitely see it coming in at the $120-130m range.

[AnDr3s]

3m wednesday fan screening total of 5m

[Dragoncaine]

4 minutes ago, AnDr3s said:

3m wednesday fan screening total of 5m

God damn, that's good. I figured 3.5-4m

Edited March 3, 2022 by Dragoncaine

[excel1]

Thursdays showing count is staggering, $35m+ total Tues-Thurs looking good 

[BruiseCruise]

1 minute ago, excel1 said:

Thursdays showing count is staggering, $35m+ total Tues-Thurs looking good 

25m* looking good

[titanic2187]

37 minutes ago, Coneilg93 said:

Is it still on track to do $100m+ OW

Anything less than 100m OW will force pattinson to venture into porn industry.

[Notthereverseflash24]

10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Anything less than 100m OW will force pattinson to venture into porn industry.

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

For what is worth, 5m in pre-previews  (this is getting ridiculous) is a lot of tickets sold and demand burnt. Plus, I believe that this will skew older than your typical cbm on top of having better walk ups. So I am gonna say 145-150M.

[Cap]

1 hour ago, excel1 said:

Thursdays showing count is staggering, $35m+ total Tues-Thurs looking good 

Lol, Child. Chill.