Legion Again Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: Of course, and Secret Wars is as good of a guess as any. I don’t think Avengers 5 will do it though, because I expect that to be a Young Avengers type thing and I’m not sure this new batch of characters will have Endgame level buzz for the first go around. If it is a YA movie (let’s say 2025), my expectation is it’ll be closer to IW/NWH than EG. Maybe something like $275M. 275 sounds floptacular, that would be like outside mcu top 5 adjusted weekends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Omicron Driven Legion said: 275 sounds floptacular, that would be like outside mcu top 5 adjusted weekends. Returns diminish. Even the best fall down some times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 The other choice although unlikely would be one of the later Avatar sequels, if cameron can deliver on 2 and 3 and put out the movies in 2 year intervals like he says they will then maybe 4 or 5 can shatter EG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, RiddlerXXR said: Returns diminish. Even the best fall down some times. Little evidence of either sentence 14 years in 👀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 But my main point is really that mid 20s atp may be kind of nuts compared to mid 10s gut calibrated ideas of what a large OW looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Omicron Driven Legion said: Little evidence of either sentence 14 years in 👀 $3.9M Thursday disagrees with you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 Just now, RiddlerXXR said: $3.9M Thursday disagrees with you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 No movie is opening to $400m unless you do another ridiculous multiverse and have all the Spider-Men, Tony Stark comes back, Captain America comes back, Hugh Jackman shows up as Wolverine, Deadpool quips in, and then Luke/Han/Chewy/Vader show up out of nowhere leading the Navi army. They are all thwarted by Thanos and the hologram of Marlon Brando as Don Corleone. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 30 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: I’m calling that it won’t be an Avengers movie that breaks the record. Almost every weekend record since Spiderman 1 was basically inflation doing the thing with admission for all the films being in same range. ENDGAME ripped apart that admission record. Only thing that can come close is only Avengers next event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Almost every weekend record since Spiderman 1 was basically inflation doing the thing with admission for all the films being in same range. ENDGAME ripped apart that admission record. Only thing that can come close is only Avengers next event. Probably but I want to believe there is something out there we aren’t expecting. Like I said though, the record typically falls every 3-4 years. Endgame’s will last longer than any other but in the end, it too shall fall to something. 10 years from today, if EG’s record still stands I will be shocked. Hell, if we aren’t at least $100M past it I’ll be pretty surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Fall Guy Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/ Quote Meanwhile, Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: No Way Home fell to its lowest daily gross with an estimated $3.9M yesterday, -11% from Wednesday. Daily grosses have slowly fell Monday through Thursday for the movie. The pic’s running total stands at $635.7M, the 8th biggest movie at the domestic box office, behind Jurassic World‘s $652.3M, and ahead of The Avengers ($623.3M) and Star Wars: The Last Jedi ($620.1M) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 hours ago, EmpireCity said: They are all thwarted by Thanos and the hologram of Marlon Brando as Don Corleone. Oddly specific.... Don Corleone the next MCU hero?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TinRoyce Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, RiddlerXXR said: Probably but I want to believe there is something out there we aren’t expecting. Like I said though, the record typically falls every 3-4 years. Endgame’s will last longer than any other but in the end, it too shall fall to something. 10 years from today, if EG’s record still stands I will be shocked. Hell, if we aren’t at least $100M past it I’ll be pretty surprised. Within 10 years is compatible with inflation. Today, a film would need to open to the 2019 equivalent of ~327M to surpass Ultron. After an additional 7 years of 3% inflation, the bar would fall to 266M (versus TFA's 2019 inflation adjustment of 268M). You're not likely to get a constant 3% inflation of ticket prices, but we're currently seeing real inflation so it could average out to something like that. Edited January 7, 2022 by TinRoyce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 355 has a $40 mil budget oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 14 minutes ago, TinRoyce said: Within 10 years is compatible with inflation. Today, a film would need to open to the 2019 equivalent of ~327M to surpass Ultron. After an additional 7 years of 3% inflation, the bar would fall to 266M (versus TFA's 2019 inflation adjustment of 268M). You're not likely to get a constant 3% inflation of ticket prices, but we're currently seeing real inflation so it could average out to something like that. How about this… Avengers: Secret Wars December 21, 2029 $518M OW $1.25B DOM $2.50B OS-C $1.3B China Avengers: Battleworld December 20, 2030 $629M OW $1.53B DOM $3.4B OS-C $1.8B China Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 I will never understand why Universal decided to sit on The 355 for an entire year vs. paying off Chastain & co. to make it a Peacock exclusive or something. It's been obvious ever since they decided a movie with three Oscar caliber actors wasn't worthy of anything better than a lame January spot that was set before COVID happened that they knew they had a turkey on their hands. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 41 minutes ago, JonahVex said: 355 has a $40 mil budget oof even 35.5M would be too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 hours ago, Eric Smith said: https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/ Spider-Man falls to it's lowest daily gross. What a unique box office occurrence! I know it must get tedious writing a new SM B.O. article every day but get it together Deadline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 48 minutes ago, JonahVex said: 355 has a $40 mil budget oof For that cast and genre it's a very reasonable budget. Too bad they didn't have a good script and director instead of just a concept and Kinsberg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 355 would have bombed with a better script too. There's no interest in this kind of movie. Why waste time and money on Bourne wannabe when you can watch Bourne series on streaming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
