BoxOfficeFangrl Posted August 19, 2022 Share Posted August 19, 2022 1 hour ago, WittyUsername said: The odds of Brad Pitt and his team admitting to any misdeeds on his part seem pretty much slim to none. They’ll probably just take a page out of a certain other actor’s playbook, and much of the Internet will rally behind him. As for the movies he’s producing, She Said seems like it only would’ve stood a chance as a pat on the back moment for the Academy. Not sure about Women Talking and Blonde, though. Pitt's producing Blonde, too? He's just everywhere this season. I see his team already pushing the "She's dredging up the past!" angle, like it was well known years ago that some FBI agents wanted to arrest him and he already took the PR hit back in 2016. Angelina is a polarizing figure but also a long-time A-lister, good at shaping her image (last week, all the coverage of Angie dropping off Zahara at college while Brad was...at a Bullet Train premiere?). But it does seem that with Hollywood, Pitt "won" the divorce and everyone there simply liked him more than Angelina, and that goes a long way. We will see... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted August 20, 2022 Share Posted August 20, 2022 Babylon (1.) Bardo (5.) Elvis (8.) Everything Everywhere All At Once (3.) The Fabelmans (2.) The Son (9.) TAR (6.) Top Gun: Maverick (7.) White Noise (10.) Women Talking (4.) This is starting to feel like a strong lineup for me. White Noise might be the vulnerable one, but it's Netflix and Venice+NY. It's a highbrow appealing film in a year with a lot of sequels and genre films... never a good match for the Academy. The Son is also low-tier considering it's skipping Telluride and SPC has given a frankly stronger festival run to Living. Following The Father creates heightened expectations. TAR is the #1 for Focus with a comeback narrative for Field and a buzzy role for Blanchett. I flip-flopped on Elvis but it's a box office smash, the audience scores are fine, and it's going to have a decent precursor run. Butler has emerged as a major contender to win Actor and it's WB's biggest film unless Don't Worry Darling overdelivers. ALTERNATES: Triangle of Sadness- I think it's borderline but could have gone to Telluride. Critics might be snarky after the Palme win. The Whale- doesn't have a great festival run, A24 has Everything Everywhere, Aronofsky is divisive, play adaptations can miss here She Said- doesn't feel like a BP nom with just an NYFF premiere. Plan B has Women Talking. Universal has The Fabelmans Glass Onion- too many sequels, can it live up to the first? Watch out for Monae and Screenplay Avatar- too many sequels, can it live up to the first? Black Panther- too many sequels, can it live up to the first Empire of Light- can't rule out Searchlight but mediocre test audience reception. Feels like missed bait, Mendes doesn't have a great track record. Will it be any of a crowdpleaser, box office hit, critical favorite (probably not) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 23, 2022 Author Share Posted August 23, 2022 Official schedule for TIFF has been revealed. Here are the dates as to when reactions will be coming in for key movies making their world premieres there: September 8: The Inspection September 9: Bros, The Woman King September 10: Causeway, The Fabelmans, Glass Onion, The Menu September 11: Chevalier, The Good Nurse, My Policeman September 12: Devotion September 13: The Greatest Beer Run Ever 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 Audience Award predictions: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Bros 3. Women Talking ALT: Glass Onion The Whale and The Son both suspiciously lack multiple public screenings. Huge red flag. Most public screenings: (non press/industry) The Fabelmans- 5 Glass Onion- 5 Banshees of Inisherin- 4 Bros- 4 Eternal Daughter- 4 Good Nurse- 4 My Policeman- 4 Women Talking- 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 4 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Audience Award predictions: 1. The Fabelmans 2. Bros 3. Women Talking ALT: Glass Onion The Whale and The Son both suspiciously lack multiple public screenings. Huge red flag. Most public screenings: (non press/industry) The Fabelmans- 5 Glass Onion- 5 Banshees of Inisherin- 4 Bros- 4 Eternal Daughter- 4 Good Nurse- 4 My Policeman- 4 Women Talking- 4 Theyre not world premieres so it makes sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Theyre not world premieres so it makes sense. But they're both skipping Telluride after Venice which is another red flag. The Whale has the most likes on the TIFFR yet nobody is going to see it. Banshees, Eternal Daughter, Women Talking are not world premieres either but even they have double the screenings, so I doubt that is a reason Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 25, 2022 Author Share Posted August 25, 2022 The trailer for TAR is out and I dunno about its chances beyond Cate. Doesn't seem very accessible tbh (and will likely make very little at the box office). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 26 minutes ago, filmlover said: The trailer for TAR is out and I dunno about its chances beyond Cate. Doesn't seem very accessible tbh (and will likely make very little at the box office). It'll be a highbrow contender of the year and focus top player. Field can surely crack the directing lineup too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 25, 2022 Author Share Posted August 25, 2022 Film Academy CEO Bill Kramer promises to use Oscar rules to support movie theaters by "continuing our theatrical requirement" for awards consideration https://t.co/bVct24Qgaz — TheWrap (@TheWrap) August 25, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 29, 2022 Author Share Posted August 29, 2022 (edited) Here's when to expect reactions/reviews for key Venice titles btw: August 31: White Noise September 1: Bardo, TAR 2: Bones & All 3: Master Gardener, Pearl 4: The Banshees of Inisherin, The Whale 5: Don't Worry Darling 6: Dead for a Dollar, The Eternal Daughter 7: Dreamin' Wild, The Son 8: Blonde Edited August 29, 2022 by filmlover 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 30, 2022 Author Share Posted August 30, 2022 SAG Awards: Key Dates Set for Lead-Up to 29th Ceremony https://t.co/pZTV7qA4RU — The Hollywood Reporter (@THR) August 29, 2022 Ceremony is Sunday, February 26. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 Quick Pre-Fest Predictions Picture Avatar 2 Babylon Bros Everything Everywhere All At Once Fabelmans Glass Onion Killers of the Flower Moon Tar Till Top Gun Maverick Director James Cameron Damien Chazelle The Daniels Martin Scorcese Steve Spielberg Actor Austin Butler, Elvis Tom Cruise, Top Gun Maverick Hugh Jackman, The Son Jeremy Pope, The Inspection Bill Nighy, Living Actress Cate Blanchett, Tar Danielle Deadwyler, Till Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Margot Robbie, Babylon Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once Supporting Actor Paul Dano, The Fablemans Zen McCarth, The Son Brad Pitt, Babylon Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon Key Hey Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once Supporting Actress Laura Dern, The Son Zoe Kazan, She Said Janelle Monae, Glass Onion Jean Smart, Babylon Gabrielle Union, The Inspection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 7 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: Quick Pre-Fest Predictions Picture Avatar 2 Babylon Bros Everything Everywhere All At Once Fabelmans Glass Onion Killers of the Flower Moon Tar Till Top Gun Maverick Director James Cameron Damien Chazelle The Daniels Martin Scorcese Steve Spielberg Actor Austin Butler, Elvis Tom Cruise, Top Gun Maverick Hugh Jackman, The Son Jeremy Pope, The Inspection Bill Nighy, Living Actress Cate Blanchett, Tar Danielle Deadwyler, Till Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Margot Robbie, Babylon Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once Supporting Actor Paul Dano, The Fablemans Zen McCarth, The Son Brad Pitt, Babylon Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon Key Hey Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once Supporting Actress Laura Dern, The Son Zoe Kazan, She Said Janelle Monae, Glass Onion Jean Smart, Babylon Gabrielle Union, The Inspection Flower Moon is officially 2023. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 5 hours ago, filmlover said: Flower Moon is officially 2023. I'm not quite ready to take it out - think it still might surprise and the sourcing on those stories is eh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Ape Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 Is there really Oscar hype for Bros, or is this just for the fun of it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 17 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: I'm not quite ready to take it out - think it still might surprise and the sourcing on those stories is eh. I dunno, I feel like they would've definitely debunked that by now if it were (since all the Fall/Holiday Movie Preview issues are being released at the moment). The Wolf of Wall Street reportedly nearly didn't make it to 2013 but the studio was already promoting it that summer so there were already plenty of indications of it making the cut. Silence also didn't start its official marketing campaign until really late but I don't remember if that was due to reports of Marty working on it until the last minute or the studio trying to figure out a strategy as to how to market a difficult-to-sell movie (considering how little impact it ended up making on the public, would lean more towards the latter). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 Meanwhile the embargo for White Noise has ended following its Venice premiere: Critic Reviews for White Noise (2022) - Metacritic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 58 minutes ago, Eric the Shark said: Is there really Oscar hype for Bros, or is this just for the fun of it? Universal sent it to TIFF. they're assuming it can place for the audience award and test screening reactions have been great. If it takes off at box office and gets hype and support from the LGBT community, there's a path for it (Globe + WGA + Comedy ACE which alone helps it for the PGA nom). I think ultimately it'll miss since Universal has the Spielberg movie, though, but maybe Screenplay in the end ala Big Sick or Bridesmaids Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 (edited) Bros is definitely, at best, Universal's #3 push should it end up with awards buzz (behind drama contenders The Fabelmans and She Said). Maybe a Globes thing (key word being "maybe" since they've always been mostly averse to Apatow's brand of comedies and who knows what this "new and improved" HFPA will go for), but that's it unless the movie becomes a too-big-to-ignore sensation (although we already have Everything Everywhere and Top Gun scratching that particular itch) and/or contenders start to drop like flies. Edited August 31, 2022 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Ape Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 18 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Universal sent it to TIFF. they're assuming it can place for the audience award and test screening reactions have been great. If it takes off at box office and gets hype and support from the LGBT community, there's a path for it (Globe + WGA + Comedy ACE which alone helps it for the PGA nom). I think ultimately it'll miss since Universal has the Spielberg movie, though, but maybe Screenplay in the end ala Big Sick or Bridesmaids I mean...I guess? And I can see a Screenplay nom. But like you said, Universal has higher priorities and something like Bridesmaids, which had way more going for it, couldn't land Best Picture. This getting to BP feels like a stretch IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
