tonytr87 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 On 1/16/2023 at 3:15 PM, thajdikt said: Barbie is way overpredicted. Legit seen people think it will do 600M+. Also think Ant-Man 3 is overpredicted by some but that´s an MCU movie so it at least have some merit. Barbie hype is the definition of echo chamber. Will do 350M at most. That's fucking huge. Maybe don't consider the wildest predictions out there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Super Mario Bros is gonna be a hit, but I don't think that $1 billion is guaranteed like a lot of people seem to. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/2/2023 at 1:18 AM, stripe said: Monthly gross predictions for January 2023. Numbers are the total gross for just this month. Trying to be conservative Openers (around 130M) M3gan: 55M - potential breakout! Plane: 20M A man called Otto: 20M House Party: 15M Devil conspiracy: 5M Missing: 5M New gods: 5M Fear: 5M Holdovers Avatar 2: 200M Puss in boots: 75M Rest: 75M Around 500M Last years January grossed 390M Final January 2023 cumulative gross will be around 580M. So happy to see that it will outgross my predictions! M3gan, Plane, A man called Otto & Missing overperformed. Avatar 2 and Puss in Boots also held better than expected. Solid start for 2023. Let's guess about February (trying to be conservative) Openers (around 400M) The Chosen: 15M Knock at the cabin: 50M 80 for Brady: 40M Magic Mike Last Dance: 35M Titanic: 25M Marlowe: 5M Ant Man Quantumania: 200M Cocaine bear: 15M Jesus Revolution: 10M Holdovers (around 150M) Avatar2: 50M Puss in Boots: 40M A man called Otto: 15M M3gan: 10M Rest: 30M Around 550M for February 2023. Great news if it crosses 600M. Last year the gross was 365M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 A bold statement. After this weekend (January 27-29th) we will see a 10M+ opener every weekend for the rest of the year, except 2 weekends. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 On 1/26/2023 at 3:28 AM, kayumanggi said: year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Jan 20 - 22 / $74,120,785 2022 / Jan 21 - 23 / $46,118,823 year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Jan 27 - 29 / $72,426,759 2022 / Jan 28 - 30 / $35,052,113 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 On 6/18/2022 at 2:06 PM, poweranimals said: I'm probably going to regret doing this so early but I'm bored so... 1. Guardians of the Galaxy vol 3 2. Indiana Jones 5 3. Ant Man 3: Quantimania 4. Aquaman 2 5. Mission Impossib 6. The Marvels 7. Flash 8. Fast 10 9. Dune, Part 2 10. Wonka My updated predictions: 1. Super Mario 2. Guardians of the Galaxy 3. Indiana Jones 4. Mission Impossible 5. Ant-Man 3 6. Fast 10 7. Aquaman 2 8. The Marvels 9. Little Mermaid 10. The Flash Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 1/1/2023 at 3:47 AM, dxmatrixdt said: 1 - The Little Mermaid - 425 2 - Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - 400 3 - Indiana Jones 5 - 375 4 - Super Mario Bros. - 350 (+90) 5 - The Marvels - 300 (+20) 6 - Ant-Man 3 - 290 (+20) 7 - Aquaman 2 - 280 (+50) 8 - Mission: Impossible 7 - 270 (+20) 9 - Spider-Verse 2 - 260 (+20) 10 - The Flash - 230 (+40) 11 - Barbie - 220 12 - Fast X - 200 13 - Wonka - 180 (+20) 14 - Oppenheimer - 170 (+20) 15 - Shazam 2 - 170 (+10) 16 - John Wick 4 - 160 (+10) 17 - Transformers - 160 (-10) 18 - Elemental - 150 19 - Ghostbusters - 150 20 - Wish - 150 21 - Blue Beetle - 150 22 - Dune 2 - 150 (+20) 23 - The Meg 2 - 150 (+20) 24 - The Hunger Games - 140 25 - Migration - 130 26 - Trolls 3 - 130 27 - Haunted Mansion - 110 28 - Kraven the Hunter - 110 29 - Creed 3 - 110 30 - Scream 6 - 100 31 - The Nun 2 - 100 (-10) 32 - Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - 90 33 - The Equalizer 3 - 80 i do not want to update my predictions anymore since AM3 tickets went on sale and BOpro did their long range forecasts, but i should have gone lower on Shazam. glad i went higher with The Flash and Aquaman 2, but maybe i should have gone even higher on Aquaman? the bottom of this list is going to have to do some heavy lifting to keep the placements by staying ahead of M3GAN. Spoiler maybe i should have included The Exorcist since it is probably the most anticipated horror movie of 2023. i was thinking maybe 80m with it, but i wasn't sure so i just left it off the list. does anyone think The Exorcist can beat M3GAN and possibly 100M to be the top horror of 2023? i was also thinking 80M for M3GAN but i didn't include it and glad i didn't since i would have been wrong! also, i might have put Knock at the Cabin at 70M. anything else have a shot at making it on this list this year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNightShya Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, dxmatrixdt said: i do not want to update my predictions anymore since AM3 tickets went on sale and BOpro did their long range forecasts, but i should have gone lower on Shazam. glad i went higher with The Flash and Aquaman 2, but maybe i should have gone even higher on Aquaman? the bottom of this list is going to have to do some heavy lifting to keep the placements by staying ahead of M3GAN. Reveal hidden contents maybe i should have included The Exorcist since it is probably the most anticipated horror movie of 2023. i was thinking maybe 80m with it, but i wasn't sure so i just left it off the list. does anyone think The Exorcist can beat M3GAN and possibly 100M to be the top horror of 2023? i was also thinking 80M for M3GAN but i didn't include it and glad i didn't since i would have been wrong! also, i might have put Knock at the Cabin at 70M. anything else have a shot at making it on this list this year? Wish doing 150M seems a bit low to me. But let's see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 2 hours ago, MNightShya said: Wish doing 150M seems a bit low to me. But let's see. i cautiously put Wish and Elemental at 150m because of Disney's performance record lately. Same with Migration at 130m and the unknown with how animated movies should fare going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNightShya Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 1 hour ago, dxmatrixdt said: i cautiously put Wish and Elemental at 150m because of Disney's performance record lately. Same with Migration at 130m and the unknown with how animated movies should fare going forward. Yeah I actually get it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup23 Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 March Predictions Opening Weekend Creed III: $26.9M 65: $11.7M Scream VI: $38.6M Shazam! Fury of the Gods: $55.4M John Wick: Chapter 4: $51.2M Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves: $19.7M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 On 1/31/2023 at 1:57 PM, kayumanggi said: year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Jan 27 - 29 / $72,426,759 2022 / Jan 28 - 30 / $35,052,113 year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 03 - 05 / $81,317,603 2022 / Feb 04 - 06 / $59,779,023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 i didn't predict Treebeard because i don't think we know how well this could do yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xieh tie Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 1B for some chinese movie my hot take prediction Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 On 2/9/2023 at 12:03 AM, kayumanggi said: year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 03 - 05 / $81,317,603 2022 / Feb 04 - 06 / $59,779,023 year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 10 - 12 / $52,678,222 2022 / Feb 11 - 13 / $53,837,195 This is the first time 2022 has won against 2023. WINS 2023: 5 weekends 2022: 1 weekend 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 7 hours ago, kayumanggi said: year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 10 - 12 / $52,678,222 2022 / Feb 11 - 13 / $53,837,195 This is the first time 2022 has won against 2023. WINS 2023: 5 weekends 2022: 1 weekend 2022 will win other weekends. Next one will be first weekend of March. Batman vs Creed and Operation Fortune... Not a chance for 2023 Best news is that every 2023 weekend (except the first one) had a top 10 with movies grossing at least 1M. 2022 had just 11 weekends with every top10 movie grossing at least 1M in the first six months. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 I am surprised with the weakness of Sept-Dec schedule. Only 7 wide movies between October 20th and December 15th! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 40 minutes ago, stripe said: I am surprised with the weakness of Sept-Dec schedule. Only 7 wide movies between October 20th and December 15th! I think there's still a lot to be scheduled especially awards contenders. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 (edited) 2023 TOP 15 MOVIES 01 | $91.9 M | M3GAN 02 | $31.4 M | PLANE 03 | $28.0 M | 80 FOR BRADY 04 | $27.8 M | MISSING 05 | $26.0 M | KNOCK AT THE CABIN 06 | $15.9 M | PATHAAN 07 | $11.9 M | MAGIC MIKE'S LAST DANCE 08 | $09.7 M | TITANIC 09 | $09.0 M | HOUSE PARTY 10 | $08.1 M | BTS: YET TO COME IN CINEMAS 11 | $05.5 M | THE CHOSEN SEASON III FINALE 12 | $04.9 M | INFINITY POOL 13 | $04.6 M | THE WANDERING EARTH II 14 | $03.6 M | LEFT BEHIND: RISE OF THE ANTICHRIST 15 | $02.8 M | THE AMAZING MAURICE --- 0 - DISNEY 1 - LIONSGATE 2 - PARAMOUNT 1 - SONY 2 - UNIVERSAL 2 - WARNER BROS. 7 - OTHERS Edited February 22, 2023 by kayumanggi 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 On 2/17/2023 at 12:52 PM, kayumanggi said: year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 10 - 12 / $52,678,222 2022 / Feb 11 - 13 / $53,837,195 This is the first time 2022 has won against 2023. WINS 2023: 5 weekends 2022: 1 weekend year / weekend / overall gross 2023 / Feb 17 - 20 / $166,875,843 2022 / Feb 18 - 21 / $111,455,709 2023 / Feb 17 - 19 / $144,939,605 2022 / Feb 18 - 20 / $94,583,877 WINS 2023: 6 weekends 2022: 1 weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...