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2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

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On 4/9/2023 at 6:59 PM, kayumanggi said:

 

2023 TOP 15 MOVIES

 

01 | $212.6 M | ANT-MAN AND THE WASP: QUANTUMANIA

02 | $150.5 M | CREED III

03 | $137.3 M | JOHN WICK: CHAPTER IV

04 | $113.3 M | THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE

05 | $100.5 M | SCREAM VI

 

06 | $095.0 M | M3GAN

07 | $064.0 M | COCAINE BEAR

08 | $055.6 M | SHAZAM! FURY OF THE GODS

09 | $052.6 M | DUNGEONS & DRAGONS: HONOR AMOMNG THIEVES

10 | $051.3 M | JESUS REVOLUTION

 

11 | $039.3 M | 80 FOR BRADY

12 | $035.4 M | KNOCK AT THE CABIN

13 | $032.5 M | MISSING

14 | $032.1 M | PLANE

15 | $031.2 M | 65

 

---

 

1 - DISNEY

3 - LIONSGATE

3 - PARAMOUNT

2 - SONY

4 - UNIVERSAL

1 - WARNER BROS.

1 - OTHERS

 

2023 TOP 15 MOVIES

 

01 | $224.7 M | THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE

02 | $212.8 M | ANT-MAN AND THE WASP: QUANTUMANIA

03 | $153.5 M | CREED III

04 | $148.5 M | JOHN WICK: CHAPTER IV

05 | $104.4 M | SCREAM VI

 

06 | $095.0 M | M3GAN

07 | $064.2 M | COCAINE BEAR

08 | $063.2 M | DUNGEONS & DRAGONS: HONOR AMONG THIEVES

09 | $056.8 M | SHAZAM! FURY OF THE GODS

10 | $051.8 M | JESUS REVOLUTION

 

11 | $039.3 M | 80 FOR BRADY

12 | $035.4 M | KNOCK AT THE CABIN

13 | $032.5 M | MISSING

14 | $032.1 M | PLANE

15 | $031.6 M | 65

 

---

 

1 - DISNEY

3 - LIONSGATE

3 - PARAMOUNT

2 - SONY

4 - UNIVERSAL

1 - WARNER BROS.

1 - OTHERS

 

---

 

02 | 200M movies

05 | 100M movies

10 | 050M movies

Edited by kayumanggi
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2 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

We have a new leader. The question is, Will we see a bigger film this year?

I doubt that. After first six days, Mario is looking to finish with R1/TDK/TLK'19 numbers domestically ($525-550m). I don't think there anything that can top that this year. Maybe M:I-7 will explode similiar to TGM?

 

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19 minutes ago, Juby said:

I doubt that. After first six days, Mario is looking to finish with R1/TDK/TLK'19 numbers domestically ($525-550m). I don't think there anything that can top that this year. Maybe M:I-7 will explode similiar to TGM?

 

 

I think TGM will greatly help it, but I don't see it making 500M. The wildcard here is THE FLASH. That's very difficult to predict, but if it is really great like what the hype is saying, that could mean something.

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4 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

We have a new leader. The question is, Will we see a bigger film this year?

 

I hope so. At least, there could be films that challenge it.

Not many thought a month ago that SMB (an animated movie) would gross more than 500M DOM. The same surprise can easily happen with many other possible breakouts.

Little Mermaid

Indiana Jones 5

Mission Impossible

Elemental

Barbie

Hunger Games

Wish...

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3 minutes ago, stripe said:

 

I hope so. At least, there could be films that challenge it.

Not many thought a month ago that SMB (an animated movie) would gross more than 500M DOM. The same surprise can easily happen with many other possible breakouts.

Little Mermaid

Indiana Jones 5

Mission Impossible

Elemental

Barbie

Hunger Games

Wish...

 

I know the movie has a lot to overcome, but I say THE FLASH.

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8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

I know the movie has a lot to overcome, but I say THE FLASH.

 

It will be dificult. SH movies are not as strong as they were 2-3 years ago. Still, I can see The Flash and Guardians 3 reaching 400M DOM

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6 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

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Tenth place movie on this poll will probably win the year and get to a billion. Go Mario!

 

Hard to see any of the others reach a billion.

 

Hunger Games in 8th is quite impressive IMHO. Feeling confident that it will surprise many. Even possible that ends grossing more than Mockingjay part2

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5 hours ago, stripe said:

 

Hunger Games in 8th is quite impressive IMHO. Feeling confident that it will surprise many. Even possible that ends grossing more than Mockingjay part2

 

Same with AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM. That is a December movie.

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11 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Same with AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM. That is a December movie.

 

More impressive, Aquaman is over The Flash, a June tentpole with original Batman and trailer released.

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6 hours ago, stripe said:

 

Hunger Games in 8th is quite impressive IMHO. Feeling confident that it will surprise many. Even possible that ends grossing more than Mockingjay part2

Social media buzz is also very good so far, the poster is getting 1M likes on Instagram anytime at this point and the interactions on facebook are higher than The Marvels poster + the "teaser" has almost 10M of views there when it showed literally nothing but the movie's name and release date. Need to see an actual trailer first but I have the feeling that at least domestic they will be pretty close.

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