IndustriousAngel Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 The way it's holding up, 8mil admissions total is the lower limit I'd say. 9mil possible and 10mil at least not impossible! Even if holidays will end, there's simply no to very little competition on the horizon, it will keep the bigger and biggest screens all through January and on. Mid-Feb there will be Antman3 but Antman was not very big here. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 4 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: The way it's holding up, 8mil admissions total is the lower limit I'd say. 9mil possible and 10mil at least not impossible! Even if holidays will end, there's simply no to very little competition on the horizon, it will keep the bigger and biggest screens all through January and on. Mid-Feb there will be Antman3 but Antman was not very big here. I like your optimism I am not there yet though - thinking 8m should happen and its heading for 8.5m; though to be honest today doesn't look as bad as new years eve should (or normally does) - so I hope you are right - 9.17m would make it the biggest movie since the first Avatar (with ATP 13€ that would be €119m - so right where the first ended up (with the 2010 and 2022 rereleases)). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 Frohes neues Jahr to all Hopefully it'll be a better Box Office year than the last ones. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 @IndustriousAngel @Aristis @Taruseth 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 1, 2023 Author Share Posted January 1, 2023 happy new year everyone and to a better BO and many fine runs! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 (edited) 2nd Trend #1 Avatar 2 1,05M (+43%) 4,7M #2 PiB2 210k (+74%/+40%) 570k #3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) 475k #4 Oskars Kleid 75k (+88%) 195k #5 Dance with somebody 45k (+96%/+15%) 127,5k This would be enough for the 9th best 3rd WE and it should pass 6M next WE, if it follows RO - and it held better until now. Edited January 1, 2023 by Aristis 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Happy New Year everyone 1050k - wow - I am starting to hope for 1m next weekend (sounds crazy - I know, but considering how much better it's holding than RO). If Avatar 2 manages 742k over the weekdays it would get the best 3rd week ever. If it manages 640k over the weekdays it would get the second-best 3rd week ever (only behind the first Harry Potter). I know that 1m 4th weekend would be the 2nd best 4th weekend ever - only behind Titanic, but one can hope. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Too bad they aren't replacing NY holiday with Monday here. 1m+ 4th weekend isn't entirely impossible since Friday is a public holiday for some states and NYE (Saturday) was a suppressed day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Gotta say, Avatar 2 has already been the best post-Covid run of the german box office. Feels like its numbers come from a movie of the early 2010s/2000s, not from a present film. Exciting stuff! Means that our box office not totally dead and buried yet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 1, 2023 Author Share Posted January 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Brainbug said: Exciting stuff! Means that our box office not totally dead and buried yet. Really exciting, yes - but otoh, there's such an overall lack of appealing releases over the holidays, that's hard to swallow. right now, it's Avatar or nothing it seems, and that's a bit sad - since summer, we've seen a lot of especially domestic releases doing surprisingly good business, and that's obviously over with Avatar grabbing nearly the whole evening and many afternoons, too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 22 hours ago, Aristis said: 3rd Trend #1 Avatar 2 1,05M (+43%) 4,7M #2 PiB2 210k (+74%/+40%) 570k #3 Hotzenplotz 90k (+105%) 475k #4 Oskars Kleid 75k (+88%) 195k #5 Dance with somebody 45k (+96%/+15%) 127,5k Monday numbers Avatar 2 1,07M (+45%) 4,715M The rest mostly stable. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 9m+ seems like a lock. Time to start thinking of 10M perhaps. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 So the top 3 all time (in lc) in Germany will be James Cameron at #1, then James Cameron at #2 and finally James Cameron at #3 ? This is interesting and funny Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) 3 hours ago, LPLC said: So the top 3 all time (in lc) in Germany will be James Cameron at #1, then James Cameron at #2 and finally James Cameron at #3 ? This is interesting and funny Yeah - needs 103m for #3 that's 8m (or less) and it's very likely it gets there (like 90%). I think even in admissions there is a solid shot at most adm. since Avatar in 2009 - it needs 9.2m for that - before this weekend I was pretty certain it will fall short - now I'd say it's the area where it's headed. And maybe it even gets to @Bruce idea of becoming #1 - that would need an insane 9.8m admissions and is made even harder by Titanic getting a rerelease. Edited January 2, 2023 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: 9m+ seems like a lock. Time to start thinking of 10M perhaps. No, I don't think it's a lock. Of course there's no competition at all, but we've seen many healthy runs over christmas with the Hobbit movies f.e., that dropped off quite a bit after holidays were over. The first Hobbit was at about 80% of its run when holidays were over. Lets say Avatar makes another 1,4m-1,5m admissions by sunday, that puts us in the range of 6,2m. With a Hobbit run from there it'd end at around 7,75m admissions. I think it will do better, but 9m is quite a stretch from there. The next weekend will hint at where the journey is going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 4 hours ago, Poseidon said: No, I don't think it's a lock. Of course there's no competition at all, but we've seen many healthy runs over christmas with the Hobbit movies f.e., that dropped off quite a bit after holidays were over. The first Hobbit was at about 80% of its run when holidays were over. Lets say Avatar makes another 1,4m-1,5m admissions by sunday, that puts us in the range of 6,2m. With a Hobbit run from there it'd end at around 7,75m admissions. I think it will do better, but 9m is quite a stretch from there. The next weekend will hint at where the journey is going. 9M looked like a lock if it had followed Rogue One for next 3 days but yeah MON isn't looking as big as it would have, so 9M is no longer lock Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said: 9M looked like a lock if it had followed Rogue One for next 3 days but yeah MON isn't looking as big as it would have, so 9M is no longer lock Yeah well, that's no surprise though, it was pretty much the same story during weekdays last week, but that might have been due to a limit in capacity for Avatar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, Poseidon said: Yeah well, that's no surprise though, it was pretty much the same story during weekdays last week, but that might have been due to a limit in capacity for Avatar. Last weekdays yeah was probably capacity thing on TUE & WED but atleast MON growth was better than Rogue One. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Last weekdays yeah was probably capacity thing on TUE & WED but atleast MON growth was better than Rogue One. 8m is still pretty likely? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
upriser7 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 wait do we have already have Monday numbers ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...