WEEKEND THREAD: Lightyear implodes with 51M DOM, 85.6M WW. THE LAST PIXAR MOVIE EVER?????😱😱😱 | Dominion #1 with 58.66M, Top Gun 44M

[EmpireCity]

2 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

They NEED to get TG2 back into IMAX for July 4th weekend. Minions can get the early shows/TG2 the late ones. 

 

I'm 99% sure this will happen.  

[CJohn]

I want TG2 and JW3 to SMASH today. Give me 20M+ for both.

[John Marston]

13 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

@Brainbug the Dinosaur will be so happy if it makes it to $400m. Thor is nearly locked unless it gets real terrible reviews and it opens under $150m. If that and JWD were to make it to $400m, that would be 4 summer hits over that excellent mark!

 

Thor is not locked 

[JohnnyGossamer]

7 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

I'll just say this.... what I am seeing right now is something I haven't really seen before.  It's wild.  

 

I was about $1m off in my early number yesterday and not going to really give one today because there isn't really a previous test case for this, but I won't be shocked if the number for TG2 on Sunday has a 2 at the front of it.  

 

Let's see how it plays out.  Right now everything I see everywhere is sold out.  

Would be awesome if somehow TGM is #1 today over JWD.

[Brainbug]

But man, to follow Top Guns run is so awesome. Reminds me why i like to spend quite a bit of my freetime with following BO numbers. Epic runs like this one make it just so much fun.

[LegendaryBen]

Just now, John Marston said:

 

Thor is not locked 

Not yet, but it's not a guarantee that it will miss $400m either. 

[CJohn]

I still think Thor will end up doing like 140/390 or something like that.

[Grebacio]

Lightyear might fall under Sing 2

[LegendaryBen]

Just now, Grebacio said:

Lightyear might fall under Sing 2

Might? It's a lock to fall under there unless it avoids a 30% drop. I'm sure @John Marston would agree.

[filmlover]

What would we consider a good run for Minions 2? Cause the vibe surrounding its release feels very similar to The Secret Life of Pets 2 where no one's actually talking about it.

[Brainbug]

14 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

Thor is not locked 

 

I can see an OW of 150 - 180M for Thor, really unsure about it. So yes i agree 400M is not safe in any way for it.

Edited June 19, 2022 by Brainbug the Dinosaur

[CJohn]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What would we consider a good run for Minions 2? Cause the vibe surrounding its release feels very similar to The Secret Life of Pets 2 where no one's actually talking about it.

I would be really happy with anything above 225M DOM and a WW total at around 700-800M or so.

 

DM3 did 1B WW and 265M DOM so I think my numbers are fair. 

Edited June 19, 2022 by CJohn

[Grebacio]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What would we consider a good run for Minions 2? Cause the vibe surrounding its release feels very similar to The Secret Life of Pets 2 where no one's actually talking about it.

I think anything above 200M Dom and 600M worldwide would be a solid run

Edited June 19, 2022 by Grebacio

[AniNate]

No one really talks about any Illumination movie before it releases so I still expect pretty big numbers for it

[YM!]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What would we consider a good run for Minions 2? Cause the vibe surrounding its release feels very similar to The Secret Life of Pets 2 where no one's actually talking about it.

It feels much better in presales though, it’s been outselling Lightyear with ease at Marcus and Minions isn’t presales dependent. 

Edited June 19, 2022 by YourMother

[Issac Newton]

BRIAN AND CHARLES
$198K Opening Weekend (Est.)
279 Screens / $711 Avg.#BrianandCharles #BoxOffice

— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) June 19, 2022

[CJohn]

4 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

I think anything above 200M Dom and 550M would be a solid run

DM3 did 800M OS. Lets hope this one doesn't fall that much.

[XXR & Friends]

8 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

I can see an OW of 130 - 180M for Thor, really unsure about it. So yes i agree 400M is not safe in any way for it.

 

$130M wouldn't even be Ragnarok + inflation. I can't see it below $150M. 

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, StormbreakerXXR said:

 

$130M wouldn't even be Ragnarok + inflation. I can't see it below $150M. 

 

Was a typo, i meant 150-180M.

 

And a 150M OW might be not enough for 400M. Before the summer i was sure that Doctor Strange 2 will open to 200M and have a 500M DOM run and now after its performance and Dominion also coming in under my expectations, im a bit more on the fence regarding Thor.

Edited June 19, 2022 by Brainbug the Dinosaur

[Moviedweeb]

I'd easily pay a $1/day subscription to resurrect the old Box Office Mojo format. When a box office phenomenon (like TGM) comes along, there is just no better way to cross-reference other films and do a true deep dive. There must be someone gifted out there who can get this done!