THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER WEEKEND THREAD | The hammer swings down with 144.2 DOM, 302 WW, the 3rd-biggest 2022 opening | Minions 46.1, TGM 15.5, Elvis 11.2, JWD 8.6

[XXR vs XXR]

12 minutes ago, Juby said:

1991 - Home Alone becomes the 12th film ever with +$200 million domestic gross.

2002 - Spider-Man becomes the 12th film ever with +$300 million domestic gross.

2011 - The Lion King (1994) becomes the 12th film ever with +$400 million domestic gross.

2022 - Top Gun: Maverick will cross $600 million domestic as the 12th film ever

 

Somehow we skipped "$500 million decade". $600m is the new $400m now 

 

So in 2032 I imagine the number will be $800 million. 

[Legion Again]

11 yrs for +50%

9 for for +33%

11 for +50%

Hello to 12 900M grossers in 2033

[Juby]

Maybe +10 $800m-grossers... Next year it might be 5 of them (Avatar + Avatar 2 might join the club).

Edited July 12, 2022 by Juby

[krla]

28 minutes ago, Juby said:

1991 - Home Alone becomes the 12th film ever with +$200 million domestic gross.

2002 - Spider-Man becomes the 12th film ever with +$300 million domestic gross.

2011 - The Lion King (1994) becomes the 12th film ever with +$400 million domestic gross.

2022 - Top Gun: Maverick will cross $600 million domestic as the 12th film ever

 

Somehow we skipped "$500 million decade". $600m is the new $400m now 

 

1991 to 2011 doubled. 2002 to 2022 doubled.

[Legion Again]

So I went digging a lil more: 
12th 200M — Home alone Jan 1991 (1 yr and 0 quarters posts 1990)

12th 250M — Titanic Jan 1998 (8Y0Q)

12th 300M — SM1 May 2002 (12.25Y)

12th 350M — DMC Jul 2006 (16.5Y)

12th 400M — TLK Sep 2011 (21.5Y)

12th 450M — BatB Apr 2017 (27.25Y, 2MCU)
12th 500M — I2 Jul 2018 (28.5Y, 3MCU)

12th 550M — TGM Jul 2022 (32.5Y, 5MCU)

12th 600M — TGM Jul 2022 (32.5Y, 5MCU)

Also fun fact, TGM will make it 7 movies in the top 12 with A+.

 

From 200 to 450, 125% growth in 26.25 yrs, ~3.1% annual growth.

From 450 to 600, 33% growth in 5.25yrs, 5.6% annual growth.

From 200 to 600, 200% growth in 31.5yrs, 3.55% (mostly matching 200 to 400).  
 

Here’s an exponential regression from those milestones:

 

Projected: 

700M 2028 Q4

800 2032 Q4

900 2036 Q3

top dozen 1B 2039 Q4

 

 

[M37]

6 hours ago, Jiffy said:

Do studios just hate money.

They hate having to share that money. PVOD and streaming (via subs) keeps the revenue in-house

 

… even if the long-term result is to diminish the potential theatrical revenue of future releases. Hopefully they wise up before it’s too late

[Hatebox]

At this point I assume studios which have entire departments paid to know this stuff have a better idea than us of what cinema time windows generate them the most money.