THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER WEEKEND THREAD | The hammer swings down with 144.2 DOM, 302 WW, the 3rd-biggest 2022 opening | Minions 46.1, TGM 15.5, Elvis 11.2, JWD 8.6

[Eric Duncan]

ALL

HAIL

ASGARD

 

The Marvel Cinematic Universe has gone through a lot these past few years. In this post-Endgame timeline, we’re now bombarded with TV shows that will totes for sure not oversaturate and dilute the franchise, a slew of divisive features folks are split on, and no real understanding yet on what this Multiverse Saga is building up to. And this confusion and uncertainty is made worse by the fact that the two pillars of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, Tony Stark and Steve Rogers, are now gone. The two major leads that made audiences fall in love with this universe and feel certain they would have a good time have now moved on to brighter pastures, with iconic blockbuster epics like Dolittle and Lightyear now under their belt rather than the domain they were safe and comfortable in.

 

But luckily, there’s still one more old guard hero around with another adventure coming this weekend. Thor is a huge fan-favorite, thanks to his numerous appearances throughout the MCU, and Chris Hemsworth’s charming performance and absurdly beautiful looks. Yet for a while, at least amongst the main trio, his films were the ones audiences cared the least about. Branagh’s Thor and Taylor’s The Dark World were both hits, but were left with a meh-tastic reception from critics and audiences alike, a far cry from Downey’s immediate Iron Man smash and Evans’ iconic sequels The Winter Soldier and Civil War.

 

But in 2017, Thor: Ragnarok changed everything. Serving as a goofy, pulpy, 80s cheese-filled fantasy action road movie, Ragnarok was the Thor movie that fans really wanted all along. It served as a fun, creative look around Asgard, featured a lot of new, exciting, and fun characters that audiences immediately loved, and boasted a lot of goofy, sly humor from a rising star in the funky world of New Zealand named Taika Waititi. Becoming far and away the biggest Thor movie ever, it reinvented the character into somebody audiences could get behind, and Taika Waititi becoming one of the busiest filmmakers working today, with his fingerprints appearing on tons of Disney projects both on the big and small screen.

 

And with Ragnarok being such a massive hit, Hemsworth and Taika are back together once again with Love and Thunder. This not only has a lot of the good stuff people loved from Ragnarok, but also has the Guardians of the Galaxy involved, Jane Foster returning, Russell Crowe portraying the almighty Zeus, and Christian Bale himself as a nefarious baddie. Marvel fans are excited, but there’s a lot of uncertainty, both from my fellow trackers, and from the box office community at large. Are reviews for this movie good enough to persuade audience members on the fence? Are they too mixed enough to get people uninterested in checking the film out? Have the more mixed Marvel titles over the past few months made people more weary of the universe? Will these constant Disney+ shows make Thor: Love and Thunder less special? Are people just going to wait until it’s on Disney+ in a couple months?

 

Nobody knows, and frankly, it doesn’t matter. Let’s just all try to enjoy the weekend to the best we can. So of course, a couple rules to follow:

 

1. ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS. NOT EVEN SPOILERS POSTED UNDER SPOILER TAGS. 

This rule also applies to other movies in theaters and films/shows recently released on streaming. So no Minions 2 spoilers, no Elvis spoilers, no Sea Beast spoilers, no Stranger Things spoilers, no Ms. Marvel spoilers, etc. If you do spoil something here, you will be banned. No exceptions.

 

However, we do have a spoiler thread for Love and Thunder right here for you to go nuts in.

 

2. GOOD VIBES!

No matter what happens, we don’t need any major meltdowns over this. Marvel movies make more money than any of us will ever make and these movies will be made until long after we are all dead. So no matter what the opening is, just relax and have perspective. If it only opens to 150M, that’s awesome and another increase for the MCU. If it makes around Ragnarok, that’s cool and shows there's still a steady audience. If it opens to less than Ragnarok, we're still getting cool Marvel movies.

 

Just try to be respectful with your posts, and we'll be good.

 

3. THE REPORT AND IGNORE BUTTONS ARE YOUR FRIENDS.

 

4. IS OFF-TOPIC DISCUSSION OKAY?

Off-topic discussions are okay in situations where there's downtime and there aren't any numbers, so long as they don’t get heated. But when numbers are coming up and things are getting busy, then keep off-topic things down to the minimum.

 

And lastly...

 

5. DON'T BE A DICK.
 

And now...

 

WITHOUT FURTHER ADO

LET'S DO THIS SHIT

[Valonqar]

[fmpro]

Shhhh. Storm Breaker will get jaloux..

[Eric Duncan]

@Blankments @WrathOfHan my trailer update:

 

 

9x:

Lightyear: The King's Man, Ghostbusters: Afterlife, Dog, Death on the Nile, Sonic the Hedgehog 2, The Bad Guys, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Top Gun: Maverick, The Bob's Burgers Movie

Nope: The Batman, X, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Men, Top Gun: Maverick, Crimes of the Future, The Black Phone

 

8x:

Elvis: The Batman, X, Ambulance, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Top Gun: Maverick, Jazz Fest: A New Orleans Story, Lost Illusions

 

7x:

Jurassic World: Dominion: Uncharted, RRR, Ambulance, The Northman, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Top Gun: Maverick, Jazz Fest: A New Orleans Story

 

6x:

Thor: Love and Thunder: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, The Bob's Burgers Movie, Jazz Fest: A New Orleans Story, Lightyear, The Phantom of the Open, Elvis

DC League of Super Pets: King Richard, The Batman, Sonic the Hedgehog 2, The Bad Guys, Lightyear, Mr. Malcolm's List

 

5x:

Bullet Train: The Batman, Ambulance, The Northman, Men, The Bob's Burgers Movie

 

4x:

Black Adam: Uncharted, The Batman, The Phantom of the Open, Elvis

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Dog, Uncharted, The Guide, RRR

 

3x:

Minions: The Rise of Gru: Sonic the Hedgehog 2, The Bad Guys, Lightyear

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris: Phantom of the Open, Elvis, Lost Illusions

Moonage Daydream: Top Gun: Maverick, Crimes of the Future, The Black Phone

 

2x:

The Phantom of the Open: The Duke, Jazz Fest: A New Orleans Story

Fire of Love: Crimes of the Future, Mr. Malcolm's List

Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank: Sonic the Hedgehog 2, Top Gun: Maverick

Where the Crawdads Sing: Elvis, Lost Illusions

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Everything Everywhere All at Once, Men

Bodies Bodies Bodies: Men, The Black Phone

See How They Run: Mr. Malcolm's List

Don't Worry Darling: Elvis, The Black Phone

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish: The Bad Guys, Lightyear

Aquaman: The Lost Kingdom: Uncharted, The Batman

The Flash: Uncharted, The Batman

 

1x:

Spoiler

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song

A Love Song: Mr. Malcolm's List

Easter Sunday: The Bob's Burgers Movie

Mack and Rita: Elvis

Summering: Mr. Malcolm's List

Beast: The Black Phone

The Invitation: The Black Phone

See How They Run: Mr. Malcolm's List

Bros: Elvis

Smile: Top Gun: Maverick

Ticket to Paradise: Mr. Malcolm's List

The Devil's Light: The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent

The Menu: Men

Devotion: Phantom of the Open

Strange World: Lightyear

Avatar: The Way of Water: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1: Top Gun: Maverick

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes: Lightyear

Operation Fortune: Ruse de Guerre: The King's Man

The Unbreakable Boy: King Richard

 

[M37]

Last chance, less than 5 hours left to join the dark side (or even chicken out and switch from in to out)

 

 

 

[XXR vs XXR]

34 minutes ago, Eric the Minion said:

ASGARD

Should be ASSGARD and you know why….

 

Anywho, I’m thinking L&T opens to a solid $155M while Minions drops 57%.

[Legion Again]

37 minutes ago, Eric the Minion said:

If it opens to less than Ragnarok, then we get to see some greedy, evil capitalist pigs knocked down a peg, and that’s the best outcome possible.

 

We’re all adults, so we should act like one and not get all huffy because this silly superhero movie didn’t make a bazillion dollars right off the bat.

This tone in the paragraph about having good vibes doesn’t seem to have a lot of good vibes man 😆

[exomassey]

Honestly expecting maybe a A-/ B+ CinemaScore for this one.

 

 I know audiences are looking for a good time but there is difference between a fun messy comedy and just outright bad comedy. Thor 4 falls into the latter.

[stripe]

My predictions for this weekend just before the thunder.

TL&T 167M

Minions 46M

TGM 18M

Elvis 10M

JWD 8.5M

BP 7M

Lightyear 3.5M

[The Panda]

I went to minions: rise of gru in my business suit.

 

i am going to thor: love and thunder in my birthday suit.

[YM!]

14 minutes ago, The Panda said:

I went to minions: rise of gru in my business suit.

 

i am going to thor: love and thunder in my birthday suit.

You flicked too hard dammit.

[Rebeccas]

29 minutes ago, exomassey said:

Honestly expecting maybe a A-/ B+ CinemaScore for this one.

 

 I know audiences are looking for a good time but there is difference between a fun messy comedy and just outright bad comedy. Thor 4 falls into the latter.

I mean don’t audiences love Dont Look Up? I don’t think GA really has the most elevated taste in comedy anyways. 

[VanillaSkies]

Deadline posted it’s first day international numbers and they are pretty good. 
 

39% ahead of Ragnarok in like for like markets and 24% behind MoM. Of North America follows suit, should put it in that 150 million-ish sweet spot.

[SpiderByte]

Can't wait to see how people insist an opening over the previous movie is somehow an underperformance 

[Ethan Hunt]

Very excited to be here for another Top Gun Maverick weekend thread 

[The Dark Alfred]

Think it will open a bit higher than Batman, but will miss 150m.

[eddyxx]

Let’s see if this is more GOTG2 than Ted 2.

[Brainbug]

Thor will make money this weekend.

 

Minions will make money this weekend.

 

Top Gun will make money this weekend.

 

Dominion will make money this weekend.

 

Elvis will make money this weekend.

 

Black Phone will make money this weekend.

 

Lightyear will continue to make Disney loose money this weekend.

 

 

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, SpiderByte said:

Can't wait to see how people insist an opening over the previous movie is somehow an underperformance 

Sorry, Chris Hemsworth’s butt should be bringing in AT LEAST 60m more in OW revenue. Anything less and it’s just poor marketing by Disney.

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, SpiderByte said:

Can't wait to see how people insist an opening over the previous movie is somehow an underperformance 

Because if it doesn't male a billie, it's a flop. MCU logic