Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — International Box Office Thread

[Doffy]

30 minutes ago, MG10 said:

 

Bro wts is that, my forecast of 600M in Usa and 500M overseas was already really optimistic but this...

Bp 2 will be huge in dom iam thinking it will explode like f7 in os.

[Liiviig 1998]

9 hours ago, Doffy said:

Dom:600m to 800m

Os:600m to 800m

Ww:1.2b to 1.6b without china.

 

 

BP made 647m with china and Russia. You expect this to go as high as 800m without both !!!!!

[Liiviig 1998]

1 hour ago, Doffy said:

Bp 2 will be huge in dom iam thinking it will explode like f7 in os.

F7 OS-C-R  is 740m . Still doesn't come close to 800m.

 

Highest I see it 1.3-1.37bn

(700-750/600-625)

 

Realistically 1bn+.

Edited August 30, 2022 by Liiviig 1998

[Doffy]

10 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

BP made 647m with china and Russia. You expect this to go as high as 800m without both !!!!!

Yes high end is 800 low end 600.

[John Rambo]

Dom - 400-500m

OS - 350-400m

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Thinking ~140M OW. Around ~75-80% of Thor 4. Can leg out to better total if WOM is good.

 

Asian markets almost all except India and something else gonna drop from BP1. Europe may see some gains.

[thajdikt]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Thinking ~140M OW. Around ~75-80% of Thor 4. Can leg out to better total if WOM is good.

 

Asian markets almost all except India and something else gonna drop from BP1. Europe may see some gains.

How much did the first Black Panther do OW? 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

How much did the first Black Panther do OW? 

$170M unadj for ER. There may be some market missing.

 

Adj for ER and missing Japan would be around $168M.

Edited November 8, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[GOGODanca]

Deadline predicting 185m INT OW

[keysersoze123]

Terrible from deadline but they normally undershoot or in this case grossly overpredict. 

[thajdikt]

THR saying 155M-190M. Why is trades saying so high suddenly? Sunday comes and all will be complaining about it not reaching those high projections.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Terrible from deadline but they normally undershoot or in this case grossly overpredict. 

I think those come from Disney. cc @Shawn ?

[charlie Jatinder]

Very early scores

Megabox Korea - 10/10
HK Movie 6 - 4.5/5

Strong start. Waiting for CGV Korea but looks excellent for now.

[Shawn Robbins]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I think those come from Disney. cc @Shawn ?

Good question, I'll check. They didn't specify anything domestic or international in their traditional curtain raiser email, but it's possible they gave some to the trades if prompted. (They gave me a domestic range after I already asked for that one.)

[charlie Jatinder]

11 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$170M unadj for ER. There may be some market missing.

 

Adj for ER and missing Japan would be around $168M.

 

BP opened to $179M in same markets unadj for ER, inflation and UK 3 days vs 5 days for BP. Adj for inflation, ER and UK it would be $148M approx.

 

This will be targeting $140M ish 

[CaptNathanBrittles]

$468m with China. $392m without.

[GOGODanca]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Very early scores

Megabox Korea - 10/10
HK Movie 6 - 4.5/5

Strong start. Waiting for CGV Korea but looks excellent for now.

Megabox now at 8.2/10, CGV at 87%

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, GOGODanca said:

Megabox now at 8.2/10, CGV at 87%

WTF. dropped from 10 to 8.2 !!!! it meant there are too few reviews initially. Anyway let us wait until end of day. Initially it could be noisy. I would think emotional movie would play better in Asia than say Europe. 

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

WTF. dropped from 10 to 8.2 !!!! it meant there are too few reviews initially. Anyway let us wait until end of day. Initially it could be noisy. I would think emotional movie would play better in Asia than say Europe. 

On contrary, I would expect action and comedy to play better in Asia.

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

On contrary, I would expect action and comedy to play better in Asia.

Interstellar did break out huge in Korea. I would think Asian audience to be emotionally more attached. Action in an MCU movie is given. I dont think there would be lack of that in this. Its however a long movie. It does not have NWH kind of buildup towards huge appearance of audience favs. So there will be enough action to keep audience hooked.