XXR & Friends Posted July 25, 2022 Share Posted July 25, 2022 I figured it was time to go ahead and get this ready now that we have the trailer. For reference, Black Panther made $647,171,407 OS and $542,108,948 OS-C. If we want to take it a step further due to current world events, it also made $522,843,416 OS-C-R/CIS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 Early prediction is it beats DS2 handily, but late legs will be cut short. 650-670m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liiviig 1998 Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 2 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said: Early prediction is it beats DS2 handily, but late legs will be cut short. 650-670m. You expect this to beat BP international total without china and russia!! 450-600m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 (edited) I don't think this even sniffs 600M, ERs are terrible and not going to get any better by the time this releases, also many european markets will be suffering heavily this winter when the gas problems hit. -100M from lack of china is already a given. 450-500M with good reception imho. Edited July 26, 2022 by JustLurking 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 around 450-500m .DOM could be 600-700m,full run break 1B Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exomassey Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 So we’re thinking this won’t get a China release? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
p a p i Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 1 minute ago, exomassey said: So we’re thinking this won’t get a China release? 100% it won't. China and MCU is a duo of the past. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 3 hours ago, exomassey said: So we’re thinking this won’t get a China release? Honestly I don't see why it should, more than anything else it will be interesting to see if in 2025 there will be complaints and protests for the non-release of the two Avengers movies... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 Anyway, the very good teaser makes me think of slightly raising my forecast, if the film is good enough it could reach the billion with 550M in Usa/Canada and 450M in rest of the world, unlike Doctor Strange which had quite ruthless reviews that prevented it from doing so (but I agree that the director could have done some things better) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 (edited) 7 hours ago, JustLurking said: I don't think this even sniffs 600M, ERs are terrible and not going to get any better by the time this releases, also many european markets will be suffering heavily this winter when the gas problems hit. -100M from lack of china is already a given. 450-500M with good reception imho. 4 hours ago, Bruce said: around 450-500m . Yep. It's easy to forget that BP is only an American phenomenon but just another Marvel franchise outside of US. There's no reason why it would increase OS especially with bad ER. Edited July 26, 2022 by Valonqar 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted July 26, 2022 Author Share Posted July 26, 2022 My target is $500M OS-C-R. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 (edited) Definitely not as much as the first. The question is can it reach 500m. Possible I’d say since BP1 was more popular than Thor Ragnarok and even Spiderman Homecoming overseas Edited July 26, 2022 by John Marston Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 (edited) BP had the advantage of featuring heavily in IW trailers. So part of the audience went to see it because it was advertised as important to understand IW. WF does not have that advantage and I think that a lot of people overestimate Chadwick Boseman factor. He's unknown OS outside of BP so T'Challa tribute won't be that big of a deal. Edited July 26, 2022 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 26, 2022 Share Posted July 26, 2022 12 hours ago, Liiviig 1998 said: You expect this to beat BP international total without china and russia!! 450-600m. Stand corrected, forgot that the China ship has completely sailed. Should do 550m if the film is good, if it's getting the same mixed reception as DS2 and LT then it's gonna finish somewhere inbetween the two, 457m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 (edited) Japan Box Office Black Panther [4-days Opening Week] Locations / Screen Count - 356 / 631 [OW Only] OP : ¥309,716,400 / 199,124 attendees OW: ¥503,325,600 / 343,150 attendees Final Box Office - ¥1.56B / $14.65M* (3.1x OW / 5.0x OP) No OD Numbers / Thursday was Opening Day. I am not hyping up with Trailer as it gonna clash with Shinkai's "Suzume's Locking-Up", another ¥10B+ potential, after TOHO's "Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0" (¥13.76B) &Paramount's "Top Gun: Maverick" (~¥11-12B) Considering the clash + MCU 50% WKend Decline. I guess ¥2.0B / $14.59M will be the best results for Marvel's "Black Panther: Wakanda Forever", that's a decline of 0.44% in USD..! *USD value per BOM Edited July 27, 2022 by Issac Newton 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 Its OS legs will be cut very short when Avatar opens that's for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 World Cup hurt OS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 28, 2022 Share Posted July 28, 2022 On 7/26/2022 at 7:03 PM, exomassey said: So we’re thinking this won’t get a China release? Politically, China relation with Africa Continent is at Mach 10 level. And we all know what T Challa meant for Africa. So, it's a done deal to get release in China unless we have some LGBTQ issues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doffy Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 Dom:600m to 800m Os:600m to 800m Ww:1.2b to 1.6b without china. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 6 hours ago, Doffy said: Dom:600m to 800m Os:600m to 800m Ww:1.2b to 1.6b without china. Bro wts is that, my forecast of 600M in Usa and 500M overseas was already really optimistic but this... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...