A2 WEEKEND THREAD | 134.1M DOM OW | Thurs 17m / Fri 36m / Sat 45m / Sun 36m

[BluKyberCrystal]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

I was looking at more through the true Friday of 36M. I think with strong matinee shows and with shows starting earlier in the day, it'll do better on Sunday than it did on its true Friday. Kind of like how TGM was always better on Sunday than it was on Friday during it's run... Not to mention, while many schools still aren't out, there are at least some people off starting tomorrow or straight up mailing it in. 

Does the NFL not matter? TGM didn't have that on it's Sundays.

[Nero]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

A -18% Sunday is pretty strong, and given Disney usually lowballs, they must really like the early Sunday numbers

 

For those in the Avatar OW contest, here's what actual you're rooting for:

 

Player	Prediction	Win Range (Low to High)
Cap	$126.71	$126.25	$129.54
M37	$132.37	$129.54	$133.40
TalismanRing	$134.43	$133.40	$134.61
KlapEastwood	$134.78	$134.61	$135.39
Menor Reborn	$136.00	$135.39	$136.51
Skim Beeble	$137.03	$136.51	$137.78
DC Rich	$138.54	$137.78	$138.71
Lion Roar	$138.89	$138.71	$139.53
Just Lurking	$140.18	$139.53	$141.39

 

My guess is that comes up a bit to around $136M, almost exactly an 8x, probably putting @Menor Reborn in the pole position

Hey I had $137M on dot. I'm not included 😢

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

3 minutes ago, Psylocke said:

Will its multiplier from its OW probably be either over TGM or under?

 

Probably under. I'd say it's....95% likely. What say you @Korra Legion? 

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

A -18% Sunday is pretty strong, and given Disney usually lowballs, they must really like the early Sunday numbers

 

For those in the Avatar OW contest, here's what actual you're rooting for:

 

Player	Prediction	Win Range (Low to High)
Cap	$126.71	$126.25	$129.54
M37	$132.37	$129.54	$133.40
TalismanRing	$134.43	$133.40	$134.61
KlapEastwood	$134.78	$134.61	$135.39
Menor Reborn	$136.00	$135.39	$136.51
Skim Beeble	$137.03	$136.51	$137.78
DC Rich	$138.54	$137.78	$138.71
Lion Roar	$138.89	$138.71	$139.53
Just Lurking	$140.18	$139.53	$141.39

 

My guess is that comes up a bit to around $136M, almost exactly an 8x, probably putting @Menor Reborn in the pole position

Hehe, maybe my contest mojo has returned.

[wildphantom]

GOAL ARGENTINA!!!! 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

GOOOOOOOOAAAAAALLLLLLL

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

 

Probably under. I'd say it's....95% likely. What say you @Korra Legion? 

I endorse this 95 🤝

[Heretic]

FUCK YESSSSSS

[ZattMurdock]

2 minutes ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

GOOOOOOOOAAAAAALLLLLLL

I’m outside smoking, it was goal or not?

[Deep Wang]

1 minute ago, Korra Legion said:

I endorse this 95 🤝

 

I endorse your endorsement!

[wildphantom]

[ZattMurdock]

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, Alligator Zatt said:

I’m outside smoking, it was goal or not?

 

It was 

[ZattMurdock]

HOLD ARGENTINA

 

HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLD

[M37]

8 minutes ago, Nero said:

Hey I had $137M on dot. I'm not included 😢

Hmm, had you down at $169M, but don't feel like going back to confirm, so with that included (the $130.03M guess doesn't give you much of a window though)

 

Player	Guess	Win Range (Low to High)
Cap	$126.71	$126.25	$129.54
m37	$132.37	$129.54	$133.40
TalismanRing	$134.43	$133.40	$134.61
KlapEastwood	$134.78	$134.61	$135.39
Menor Reborn	$136.00	$135.39	$136.50
Nero	$137.00	$136.50	$137.01
Skim Beeble	$137.03	$137.01	$137.78
DC Rich	$138.54	$137.78	$138.71
Lion Roar	$138.89	$138.71	$139.53
Just Lurking	$140.18	$139.53	$141.39

 

[ThomasNicole]

15 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

1 week ago people was saying 2 billion was locked. If it's one thing 2022 Boxoffice has taught us is to never assume based on the past Boxoffice history. COVID and streaming has changed everything.

500M is an extremelly average 3.7x , especially for a movie that already showed a different pattern than a SH / SW title on it's OW. 

 

Anything under that for a movie with such good WOM and 0 competition would be shocking even in post-pandemic world. 

 

If i would go based on box office history, especially for this franchise, i would be saying a way bigger number than 500M.

 

And everyone was thinking 2B was locked expecting big numbers in China, it didn't happen. But China is probably the only country with actual unpredictable behavior because of COVID, other than that there's no reason to expect anything drastic.

Edited December 18, 2022 by ThomasNicole

[wildphantom]

PENALTY TO FRANCE!!!! Holy god 

[ZattMurdock]

HOLY FUCK

[M37]

I'm rooting for France, but would much rather a team win extra time than on PKs ...

 

PENALTY KICK!!!

[wildphantom]

 

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