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Issac Newton

Christmas Weekend Thread | Avatar 95.6m, PiB 20.05m, Babylon 4.85m 4 days

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FSSM BREAKDOWN (via @DEADLINE)

 

The 3-day box office per ComScore is $85.9M, -44% from a year ago when Christmas fell on a Saturday. The YTD box office is $7.3 billion, +68% over the same period a year ago.

 

1.) Avatar: The Way of Water (Dis/20th) 4,202 theaters, Fri $19.5M (-63%), Sat $15M, Sun $21.5M, Mon $26M, 3-day $56M (-58%)/4-day $82M/Total: $279.7M/ Wk 2

 

2.) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,099 theaters, Fri $3.8M, Sat $2.8M, Sun $4.7M Mon $6.4M 3-day $11.35M, 4-day $17.77M/Total $24.6M/Wk 1

 

3.) I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Sony) 3,625 theaters, Fri $2M Sat $825K Sun $2.47M Mon $2.2M-$3.7M 3-day $5.3M 4-day $7.5M-$9M/Wk 1

 

4.) Babylon (Par) 3,343 theaters Fri $1.47M Sat $590K Sun $1.44M Mon $1.88M 3-day $3.5M 4-day $5.3M/Wk 1

 

5.) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Dis) 2,250 (-1130) theaters, Fri $1M (-30%) Sat $800K Sun $1.2M Mon $1.67M 3 day $3M (-43%)/4-day $4.7M/Total $427.3M/Wk 7

 

6.) Violent Night (Uni) 2,562 (-966) Fri $960K (-33%) Sat $780K Sun $1.4M Mon $1.06M 3-day $3.1M (-38%) 4-day $4.2M Total $42.6M/Wk 4

 

7.) The Whale (A24) 603 (+597) theaters, Fri $300K (+512%), Sat $208K Sun $413K Mon $393K 3-day $924K (+539%) 4-day $1.3M Total $2.85M/Wk 3

 

8)The Menu (Sea) 840 (-1035 theaters), Fri $175K (-65%) Sa$145K Sun $297K Mon $283K 3-day $617K (-41%) 4-Day $900K Total $34M/Wk 6

 

9.) Fabelmans (Uni/Amb) 1,122 (+167) theaters, Fri $130K (-43%), Sat $160K Sun $260K Mon $330K 3 day $550K (-26%), 4-day $880K Total $10M/Wk 7

 

10.) Strange World (Dis) 1,390 (-1,480) theaters, Fri $145K (-72%) Sat $110K Sun $155K Mon $265K 3-day $410K (-81%) 4-day $675K Total $35.8M/Wk 5

 

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11 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:

Title  Estimated weekend  % change Locations Location change Average  Total  Weekend Distributor
Avatar: The Way of Water $56,000,000 -58% 4,202   $13,327 $253,681,686 2 20th Century Studios
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish $11,350,000   4,099   $2,769 $18,253,000 1 Universal
I Wanna Dance With Somebody $5,300,000   3,625   $1,462 $5,300,000 1 Sony Pictures
Babylon $3,500,000   3,343   $1,047 $3,500,000 1 Paramount
Violent Night $3,140,000 -38% 2,562 -963 $1,226 $41,608,460 4 Universal
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever $3,022,000 -43% 2,250 -1,130 $1,343 $425,677,401 7 Walt Disney
The Menu $617,000 -62% 840 -1,035 $735 $33,796,843 6 Searchlight
The Fabelmans $550,000 -26% 1,122 167 $490 $9,724,456 7 Universal
Strange World $410,000 -81% 1,390 -1,480 $295 $35,599,242 5 Walt Disney
Devotion $180,000 -77% 427 -1,784 $422 $19,263,075 5 Sony Pictures
Empire of Light $71,000 -68% 350 -86 $203 $667,584 3 Searchlight
The Banshees of Inisherin $36,000 -64% 80 -85 $450 $8,891,686 10 Searchlight
Ticket to Paradise $24,000 -86% 105 -426 $229 $68,062,570 10 Universal
TÁR $15,000 -64% 36 -27 $417 $5,503,533 12 Focus Features

 

UNDER DOMINIONS 2ND WEEKEND

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4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Hollywood Reporter is projecting a $53K 4-day from 8 theaters for Women Talking ($6,664 PTA). Even with the dismal weather weakening sales at some of the locations it's playing at, this will be lucky to reach She Said's already low total.

bad title. women talking? i get enough of that with my mother in law around for christmas dinner!!!! am i rite fellas?

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7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

FSSM BREAKDOWN (via @DEADLINE)

 

The 3-day box office per ComScore is $85.9M, -44% from a year ago when Christmas fell on a Saturday. The YTD box office is $7.3 billion, +68% over the same period a year ago.

 

1.) Avatar: The Way of Water (Dis/20th) 4,202 theaters, Fri $19.5M (-63%), Sat $15M, Sun $21.5M, Mon $26M, 3-day $56M (-58%)/4-day $82M/Total: $279.7M/ Wk 2

 

2.) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,099 theaters, Fri $3.8M, Sat $2.8M, Sun $4.7M Mon $6.4M 3-day $11.35M, 4-day $17.77M/Total $24.6M/Wk 1

 

3.) I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Sony) 3,625 theaters, Fri $2M Sat $825K Sun $2.47M Mon $2.2M-$3.7M 3-day $5.3M 4-day $7.5M-$9M/Wk 1

 

4.) Babylon (Par) 3,343 theaters Fri $1.47M Sat $590K Sun $1.44M Mon $1.88M 3-day $3.5M 4-day $5.3M/Wk 1

 

5.) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Dis) 2,250 (-1130) theaters, Fri $1M (-30%) Sat $800K Sun $1.2M Mon $1.67M 3 day $3M (-43%)/4-day $4.7M/Total $427.3M/Wk 7

 

6.) Violent Night (Uni) 2,562 (-966) Fri $960K (-33%) Sat $780K Sun $1.4M Mon $1.06M 3-day $3.1M (-38%) 4-day $4.2M Total $42.6M/Wk 4

 

7.) The Whale (A24) 603 (+597) theaters, Fri $300K (+512%), Sat $208K Sun $413K Mon $393K 3-day $924K (+539%) 4-day $1.3M Total $2.85M/Wk 3

 

😎The Menu (Sea) 840 (-1035 theaters), Fri $175K (-65%) Sa$145K Sun $297K Mon $283K 3-day $617K (-41%) 4-Day $900K Total $34M/Wk 6

 

9.) Fabelmans (Uni/Amb) 1,122 (+167) theaters, Fri $130K (-43%), Sat $160K Sun $260K Mon $330K 3 day $550K (-26%), 4-day $880K Total $10M/Wk 7

 

10.) Strange World (Dis) 1,390 (-1,480) theaters, Fri $145K (-72%) Sat $110K Sun $155K Mon $265K 3-day $410K (-81%) 4-day $675K Total $35.8M/Wk 5

 

I wonder why they are projecting only 21% growth for A2 on Monday whereas Puss In Boots, BP2, Babylon etc are projected growth of 30-40% on Monday. Even Fabelmans is being projected to have almost 70% growth on Monday. Then you have Violent Night where they are actually projecting a decrease of 30% on Monday which I find bit surprising. 

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13 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Hollywood Reporter is projecting a $53K 4-day from 8 theaters for Women Talking ($6,664 PTA). Even with the dismal weather weakening sales at some of the locations it's playing at, this will be lucky to reach She Said's already low total.

 

With such a riveting title I'm shocked it didn't break ENDGAME's OW record.

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I'm confused about Box Office Pro's reporting here: 

 

Since the film was released last Wednesday, its five-day total stands at $18.2M. Compared to the five-day totals for other comparable films

 

If the 5-day total is 18.253M and the 3-day is reported as 11.35M that means the Wednesday and Thursday combined is 6.9M. But it is not. It's 6.1M. What is this inconcistency in the math vs reporting?

 

I see this in Deadline too.

 

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,099 theaters, Fri $3.8M, Sat $2.8M, Sun $4.7M Mon $6.4M 3-day $11.35M, 4-day $17.77M/Total $24.6M/Wk 1

 

They say the 6-day is 24.6M and the 4-day is 17.77M. If we subtract those we should get the combined Wednesday and Thursday of 6.1M but we don't. Instead we get 6.83M.

 

What the hell is happening here!?!

 

Edited by Alex SciChannel
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9 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

bad title. women talking? i get enough of that with my mother in law around for christmas dinner!!!! am i rite fellas?


I know you’re joking but my vision for what this movie is VS what I thought it was based off that title is drastically different.

 

I thought the movie resolved around something like this:

 

221206_theview_fep_hpMain_16x9_608.jpg

 

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4 minutes ago, upriser7 said:

I wonder why they are projecting only 21% growth for A2 on Monday whereas Puss In Boots, BP2, Babylon etc are projected growth of 30-40% on Monday. Even Fabelmans is being projected to have almost 70% growth on Monday. Then you have Violent Night where they are actually projecting a decrease of 30% on Monday which I find bit surprising. 

Christmas is over after today so it's natural that Violent Night will start to decline.

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2 hours ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

 

Illumination have re-engineered the brains of family audiences to remove any quality control whatsoever. 

 

Puss In Boots uses wit, wordplay and character comedy. Who wants that when you can have yellow sausages squeaking while doing badly executed pratfalls and you have loads of massive celebrities doing voiceovers that there is no reason celebrities have to do since they can barely even be recognised and they're delivering dialogue automated by Excel.

 

It took over a month for people to notice Bad Guys was good, and it eventually came good. We can only hope something similar happens here.

 

minions 2 is great though

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1 hour ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

Even with the still limited expansion, are we anywhere near the phrase "The Fablemans has been rejected by audiences" yet? Or at least "The wide audience simply wasn't interested in the premise underpinning The Fablemans"?

 

$40m price tag.

 

 

the big problem is that vod is also underperforming

I had to force my dad to watch the movie, he thought the premise sounded awful

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25 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Hollywood Reporter is projecting a $53K 4-day from 8 theaters for Women Talking ($6,664 PTA). Even with the dismal weather weakening sales at some of the locations it's playing at, this will be lucky to reach She Said's already low total.

 

that needed a 90+ mc for anyone to care, a movie like that is dead if it barely hangs on to an 80

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32 minutes ago, XXR Krampus Claus said:

I'm not sure The Fabelmans reported numbers make any sense. It increased a normal/expected amount on Friday and Sunday, but somehow it not only didn't drop 25-30% on Saturday it went up 23%? 

Occam’s razor is just a reporting oops, but if not I could plausibly see how that particular film might skew in enough directions to be an anomaly

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25 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

FSSM BREAKDOWN (via @DEADLINE)

 

The 3-day box office per ComScore is $85.9M, -44% from a year ago when Christmas fell on a Saturday. The YTD box office is $7.3 billion, +68% over the same period a year ago.

 

1.) Avatar: The Way of Water (Dis/20th) 4,202 theaters, Fri $19.5M (-63%), Sat $15M, Sun $21.5M, Mon $26M, 3-day $56M (-58%)/4-day $82M/Total: $279.7M/ Wk 2

 

2.) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Uni) 4,099 theaters, Fri $3.8M, Sat $2.8M, Sun $4.7M Mon $6.4M 3-day $11.35M, 4-day $17.77M/Total $24.6M/Wk 1

 

3.) I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Sony) 3,625 theaters, Fri $2M Sat $825K Sun $2.47M Mon $2.2M-$3.7M 3-day $5.3M 4-day $7.5M-$9M/Wk 1

 

4.) Babylon (Par) 3,343 theaters Fri $1.47M Sat $590K Sun $1.44M Mon $1.88M 3-day $3.5M 4-day $5.3M/Wk 1

 

5.) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Dis) 2,250 (-1130) theaters, Fri $1M (-30%) Sat $800K Sun $1.2M Mon $1.67M 3 day $3M (-43%)/4-day $4.7M/Total $427.3M/Wk 7

 

6.) Violent Night (Uni) 2,562 (-966) Fri $960K (-33%) Sat $780K Sun $1.4M Mon $1.06M 3-day $3.1M (-38%) 4-day $4.2M Total $42.6M/Wk 4

 

7.) The Whale (A24) 603 (+597) theaters, Fri $300K (+512%), Sat $208K Sun $413K Mon $393K 3-day $924K (+539%) 4-day $1.3M Total $2.85M/Wk 3

 

😎The Menu (Sea) 840 (-1035 theaters), Fri $175K (-65%) Sa$145K Sun $297K Mon $283K 3-day $617K (-41%) 4-Day $900K Total $34M/Wk 6

 

9.) Fabelmans (Uni/Amb) 1,122 (+167) theaters, Fri $130K (-43%), Sat $160K Sun $260K Mon $330K 3 day $550K (-26%), 4-day $880K Total $10M/Wk 7

 

10.) Strange World (Dis) 1,390 (-1,480) theaters, Fri $145K (-72%) Sat $110K Sun $155K Mon $265K 3-day $410K (-81%) 4-day $675K Total $35.8M/Wk 5

 

 

Interesting that total DOM BO is projected to be below the Thanksgiving weekend 3 day (Fri-Sun)...with the weather not being as bad as planned for the south and east, I did expect something closer to the Thanksgiving number (since I expected $100M for the weekend pre-any weather)...so, I can't say the overall market looks good right now...

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14 minutes ago, AJG said:


I know you’re joking but my vision for what this movie is VS what I thought it was based off that title is drastically different.

 

I thought the movie resolved around something like this:

 

221206_theview_fep_hpMain_16x9_608.jpg

 

The lady on the right is like the Avatar movie, she's got legs, nice legs!

Edited by MrHardapple
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