Sophia Jane Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, keysersoze123 said: ^^^^ 280m ish. Its doing badly in leggy markets(Europe/Japan) etc. Expecting a huge drop next week and then have an ok run. Competition is not much of a factor. 280m OS+ 250m DOM is the great result. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I am skeptical about 250m. Let us 1st see how rest of the weekend plays before extrapolating domestic. Domestic competition is more intense. 2nd weekend these movies fall like a pack of cards and then we have movies taking away PLF for sure. Creed 3. Scream 6, Shazam 2, John Wick 4, Dungeons and Dragons and then Mario. Plus non summer weekdays and no holiday boost after this Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 This is opening well below AM2 OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, JustLurking said: This is opening well below AM2 OS. Are you surprised? theres no IW/EG Hype 😌 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 22 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: 280m OS+ 250m DOM is the great result. 250m is not happening and it’s far from great Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, John Marston said: 250m is not happening and it’s far from great Consider this movie have suck WOM this is great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Roark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: Consider this movie have suck WOM this is great. There’s nothing great about a really bad MCU film barely crossing $500M… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Mr Roark said: There’s nothing great about a really bad MCU film barely crossing $500M… If other franchise make the trash like this then it’s hardly crossing $300m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 45 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: ^^^^ 280m ish. Its doing badly in leggy markets(Europe/Japan) etc. Expecting a huge drop next week and then have an ok run. Competition is not much of a factor. if it does 120 then isnt a lower number than that possible considering the wom? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Roark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: If other franchise make the trash like this then it’s hardly crossing $300m. I get your point but u can’t compare a franchise that almost made $30 billion theatrically to any other franchise. Again, there’s nothing great about the kickstart movie of the new big baddie 3 years era barely grossing $500M… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 5 hours ago, Mr Roark said: Well I have a feeling it won’t even cross $500M ww. It's a possibility, I'd say 50/50. Domestic market carries this one hard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 hours ago, Sophia Jane said: China $45m+ SK $15m+ DOM $200m+ that’s $260m+ Let’s assume DOM+China+SK=50% of WW gross ,then is $520m WW China might do even less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Roark Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 (edited) 43 minutes ago, Firepower said: China might do even less. Yes, there’s gonna be an awful WOM. SUN looks already lower than FRI. Edited February 18, 2023 by Mr Roark 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 26 minutes ago, Mr Roark said: Yes, there’s gonna be an awful WOM. SUN looks already lower than FRI. Shis... sounds tragic for MCU. Lets see Guardian but i think Marvel need DeadpoolvsLogan really soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Only an event movie can revive this universe Now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 MCU just had 2 mega events. NWH was at Avengers level. Had it released in pre-covid, It could have grossed 3B Yuan in China. Dr Strange 2 early presales were also at crazy level and at way bigger than any movie barring IW, EG and NWH. BP2 did great considering there was no Chadwick. Thor 4 did disappoint relative to potential while this movie is still doing good considering its an Ant-man movie. Guardians 3 should have huge hype domestic for sure. not sure about overseas markets. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: MCU just had 2 mega events. NWH was at Avengers level. Had it released in pre-covid, It could have grossed 3B Yuan in China. Dr Strange 2 early presales were also at crazy level and at way bigger than any movie barring IW, EG and NWH. BP2 did great considering there was no Chadwick. Thor 4 did disappoint relative to potential while this movie is still doing good considering its an Ant-man movie. Guardians 3 should have huge hype domestic for sure. not sure about overseas markets. NWH won’t cross 3B in China More like 2.5B Avatar II likely cross 3B—Endgame without Covid Edited February 18, 2023 by Sophia Jane 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: NWH won’t cross 3B in China More like 2.5B Avatar II likely cross 3B—Endgame without Covid Not in this post COVID era. I was talking about how MCU movies behaved in pre covid. Tobey Mcguire Spider-man movies were popular in China. That ensemble would have ensured huge OW and good run in China had it opened in 2019. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just looking Eternals. If it opens to 120M OS and have similar legs it should get to 288M OS. Considering the shit word of mouth that movie had could Ant-Man do a little better and get to 300M OS? Or does the frontloadness become bigger here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, thajdikt said: Just looking Eternals. If it opens to 120M OS and have similar legs it should get to 288M OS. Considering the shit word of mouth that movie had could Ant-Man do a little better and get to 300M OS? Or does the frontloadness become bigger here? That one did not have China. China could go any way. Either instead death with horrible multi or leggy run like Avatar 2 is having. I have a feeling Ant 2 will be closer to frontloaded than a leggy movie. Only time will tell. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...