screambaby Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, DisposedData said: That Sunday Drop by Deadline is too steep imo. This is making 88.5m at the very least imo. TGM's second weekend is not safe. Its updated to.87.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 Could be down to the wire for over BatB, but still holding out. Hope that 39.5 bumps up to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 6th biggest 2nd SAT Rank Date Movie Gross Theaters Per Theater Total Gross 1 May 4, 2019 Avengers: Endgame $61,527,049 4,662 $13,198 $576,158,461 2 Dec 26, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $56,731,532 4,134 $13,723 $496,913,249 3 Feb 24, 2018 Black Panther $47,553,478 4,020 $11,829 $368,297,777 4 May 5, 2018 Avengers: Infinity War $46,676,705 4,474 $10,433 $416,462,994 5 May 12, 2012 The Avengers $42,905,519 4,349 $9,866 $342,148,409 6 Jun 20, 2015 Jurassic World $39,112,465 4,291 $9,115 $364,438,555 7 Mar 25, 2017 Beauty and the Beast $38,292,423 4,210 $9,096 $290,500,407 8 Jun 4, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $36,008,145 4,751 $7,579 $266,618,973 9 May 9, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron $33,835,656 4,276 $7,913 $290,723,486 10 Nov 30, 2019 Frozen II $32,363,967 4,440 $7,289 $269,362,239 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 (edited) 28 minutes ago, DisposedData said: That Sunday Drop by Deadline is too steep imo. This is making 88.5m at the very least imo. TGM's second weekend is not safe. When was the last time estimates for a movie kept going up and up throughout the week than weekends? That's right TGM. Any movie would love being compared to TGM, especially with zero family competition for 4 weeks like Mario has been gifted with by the movie gods. Edited April 16, 2023 by Mojoguy 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austin Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 14 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: 6th biggest 2nd SAT Rank Date Movie Gross Theaters Per Theater Total Gross 1 May 4, 2019 Avengers: Endgame $61,527,049 4,662 $13,198 $576,158,461 2 Dec 26, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $56,731,532 4,134 $13,723 $496,913,249 3 Feb 24, 2018 Black Panther $47,553,478 4,020 $11,829 $368,297,777 4 May 5, 2018 Avengers: Infinity War $46,676,705 4,474 $10,433 $416,462,994 5 May 12, 2012 The Avengers $42,905,519 4,349 $9,866 $342,148,409 6 Jun 20, 2015 Jurassic World $39,112,465 4,291 $9,115 $364,438,555 7 Mar 25, 2017 Beauty and the Beast $38,292,423 4,210 $9,096 $290,500,407 8 Jun 4, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $36,008,145 4,751 $7,579 $266,618,973 9 May 9, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron $33,835,656 4,276 $7,913 $290,723,486 10 Nov 30, 2019 Frozen II $32,363,967 4,440 $7,289 $269,362,239 Could potentially get bumped up to 5 if actuals come in with something spicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 Amazing numbers for Mario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 My final number is 39.8 :-) 5 2 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 So what does WW look like? $1.1B-plus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 Wondering if Evil Dead Rise is going to perform like Pope’s Exorcist and Renfield too. Seeing Renfield this afternoon. Glad Scream VI is still top 10, despite 6 new wide releases, two horrors and losing 1,000 cinemas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: So what does WW look like? $1.1B-plus? Probably $1.3 billion or more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 18 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Probably $1.3 billion or more. This only happens if you are a big japan breakout believer. Otherwise it should be somewhere in the 1.1b-1.2b range, low 1.2b maybe looking at the dom-int split. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 10 minutes ago, JustLurking said: This only happens if you are a big japan breakout believer. Otherwise it should be somewhere in the 1.1b-1.2b range, low 1.2b maybe looking at the dom-int split. True, Japan is a real wild card here. I was using Charlie's high end of $750 million OS (which accounted for $150 million Japan + South Korea) along with the expected $550-600 million DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 that decision to release Mario two days early was inspired in the end. Plus it found the moronic loophole that sees the trades talk about a sophomore drop and compare it to movies that opened with Thursday previews. Variety in their current weekend article on SMB…. “A major release that opens above $100 million hardly ever slips less than 50% in its second outing.” Hmmm, I wonder why that is? Christ. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 6 hours ago, MovieMan89 said: Honestly all I truly care about with Mario at this point is if it can dethrone TLK remake WW. I can’t stand that travesty getting brought up as highest grossing “animated” film ever, and me wanting to scream from the rooftop that if that’s animation then so are the Avatar movies, and A1 is the highest grossing “animated” movie. I completely agree. Though id personally like Mario to stop at something like 1,670B. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 6 hours ago, DisposedData said: Well assuming Sat is 38m and it drops 35% tomorrow then we have an 85m weekend on our hands. Shawn's projection for this weekend is looking mighty accurate! Didn't I have a long post about "Don't doubt Shawn" on Thursday:)...now, to post this and check the last 2 pages of posts and see if I get egg on my face when $38M isn't $38M (although hopefully, that's b/c it's higher!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 Im on the 700M train for Mario now. This thing has become a phenomenon and i dont see it stopping anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: 6th biggest 2nd SAT Rank Date Movie Gross Theaters Per Theater Total Gross 1 May 4, 2019 Avengers: Endgame $61,527,049 4,662 $13,198 $576,158,461 2 Dec 26, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $56,731,532 4,134 $13,723 $496,913,249 3 Feb 24, 2018 Black Panther $47,553,478 4,020 $11,829 $368,297,777 4 May 5, 2018 Avengers: Infinity War $46,676,705 4,474 $10,433 $416,462,994 5 May 12, 2012 The Avengers $42,905,519 4,349 $9,866 $342,148,409 6 Jun 20, 2015 Jurassic World $39,112,465 4,291 $9,115 $364,438,555 7 Mar 25, 2017 Beauty and the Beast $38,292,423 4,210 $9,096 $290,500,407 8 Jun 4, 2022 Top Gun: Maverick $36,008,145 4,751 $7,579 $266,618,973 9 May 9, 2015 Avengers: Age of Ultron $33,835,656 4,276 $7,913 $290,723,486 10 Nov 30, 2019 Frozen II $32,363,967 4,440 $7,289 $269,362,239 And the top 5 are all Friday openers, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Brainbug said: Im on the 700M train for Mario now. This thing has become a phenomenon and i dont see it stopping anytime soon. I’m not even on the $600 million train yet. Need to see how next weekend plays out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: And the top 5 are all Friday openers, right? yeah, all opened Friday (aka Thursday) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...