THE LITTLE MERMAID WEEKEND THREAD

[Kon]

Thanks for the clarification about True Friday.

 

These are pretty good numbers. I wonder how Saturday will be.

 

[Joyous Legion]

16 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

Woah this is a huge diff from both rth! I wonder if CS was missing some data yday or something — Tlm, f10, and gotg nums were all bad. 
 

Otherwise it was an insane late night on the west coast 

Edited May 27, 2023 by Legions of the Galaxy

[Issac Newton]

 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

 

[baumer]

8 minutes ago, Legions of the Galaxy said:

Woah this is a huge diff from both dhd and rth! I wonder if CS was missing some data yday or something — Tlm, f10, and gotg nums were all bad. 
 

Otherwise it was an insane late night on the west coast 

They forgot to count the imaxes from Puerto Rico 🤣🤣🤣

[filmlover]

Brutal drop for Fast X, but hardly a surprise between franchise frontloading, losing all IMAX/PLF screens, and WOM being tepid at best. They should take this as a sign they need to wrap it up with the next one.

 

Weekend is looking pretty bleak outside of Mermaid and to a lesser extent The Machine (which is likely incredibly frontloaded) in terms of openers, as expected. About My Father really should've gone straight to streaming and Kandahar will make 1/3 of the similarly-themed The Covenant, which was also seen by hardly anyone.

[Krissykins]

 

[Issac Newton]

SATURDAY AM: Disney’s The Little Mermaid is staying on its great course, maintaining that $38M Friday (which includes previews) for what is shaping up to be an estimated $104M 3-day and a 4-day between $120M-$130M. At that upper part of that threshold, the pic is the third best opening for a movie over Memorial Day weekend

 

Audience exits are great with an A CinemaScore (same grade as Disney’s live-action Cinderella, Beauty and the Beast, Aladdin and The Lion King). Screen Engine/Comscore’s PostTrak notched 91% positive and a 76% definite recommend while kids under 12 were over the moon at 92% positive and a 69% definite recommend. Natch, heavy female leaning at 68% with 61% between 18-34 and the largest demo being 25-34 year olds at 35%. Diversity demos strong across the board with 35% Black, 25% Latino and Hispanic, 26% Caucasian and 11% Asian.

[grim22]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Brutal drop for Fast X, but hardly a surprise between franchise frontloading, losing all IMAX/PLF screens, and WOM being tepid at best. They should take this as a sign they need to wrap it up with the next one.

 

Weekend is looking pretty bleak outside of Mermaid and to a lesser extent The Machine (which is likely incredibly frontloaded) in terms of openers, as expected. About My Father really should've gone straight to streaming and Kandahar will make 1/3 of the similarly-themed The Covenant, which was also seen by hardly anyone.

There's a genuine chance that Fast X sees 2 back to back 65%+ drops with this weekend and then coming off MD next weekend. F9 really benefited from an empty 2021 even with Covid still around to keep going for a while, Fast X not having that benefit.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[ogkalu]

4 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

SATURDAY AM: Disney’s The Little Mermaid is staying on its great course, maintaining that $38M Friday (which includes previews) for what is shaping up to be an estimated $104M 3-day and a 4-day between $120M-$130M. At that upper part of that threshold, the pic is the third best opening for a movie over Memorial Day weekend

 

Audience exits are great with an A CinemaScore (same grade as Disney’s live-action Cinderella, Beauty and the Beast, Aladdin and The Lion King). Screen Engine/Comscore’s PostTrak notched 91% positive and a 76% definite recommend while kids under 12 were over the moon at 92% positive and a 69% definite recommend. Natch, heavy female leaning at 68% with 61% between 18-34 and the largest demo being 25-34 year olds at 35%. Diversity demos strong across the board with 35% Black, 25% Latino and Hispanic, 26% Caucasian and 11% Asian.

 

Looks like every demographic over-indexed besides Caucasian. and those are really strong audience scores.

Wonder what the Sat number will be. any early numbers ?

[XXR & Friends]

Maybe I'm missing something but why would TLM reach 120-130 off a 38M full Friday? WOM is good but even Aladdin ratios only get it to 114.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

There's a genuine chance that Fast X sees 2 back to back 65%+ drops with this weekend and then coming off MD next weekend. F9 really benefited from an empty 2021 even with Covid still around to keep going for a while, Fast X not having that benefit.

It's probably not seeing a sub-50% drop until the weekend of June 23 at the earliest given all the competition it faces the next three weeks. And even then might still see another one as theaters really start to clean house of their low grossers. Question is whether it hits $140M total or not.

Edited May 27, 2023 by filmlover

[M37]

3 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Diversity demos strong across the board with 35% Black, 25% Latino and Hispanic, 26% Caucasian and 11% Asian.

Pretty low on the Caucasian audience for an opening of this size. Coupled with the preview number coming in low (ie over-index in major markets), seems fairly clear that the "backlash" against Disney is having a dampening effect on their grossing potential outside of coasts & big cities. Unfortunate, but that's the reality

[screambaby]

2 minutes ago, XXR Anti-Hero said:

Maybe I'm missing something but why would TLM reach 120-130 off a 38M full Friday? WOM is good but even Aladdin ratios only get it to 114.

For t he 4 day?

Edited May 27, 2023 by screambaby

[cookie]

2 minutes ago, XXR Anti-Hero said:

Maybe I'm missing something but why would TLM reach 120-130 off a 38M full Friday? WOM is good but even Aladdin ratios only get it to 114.

120-130 was for the 4-day

[WrathOfHan]

15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Brutal drop for Fast X, but hardly a surprise between franchise frontloading, losing all IMAX/PLF screens, and WOM being tepid at best. They should take this as a sign they need to wrap it up with the next one.

 

Weekend is looking pretty bleak outside of Mermaid and to a lesser extent The Machine (which is likely incredibly frontloaded) in terms of openers, as expected. About My Father really should've gone straight to streaming and Kandahar will make 1/3 of the similarly-themed The Covenant, which was also seen by hardly anyone.

Fast is sharing some IMAXs with Little Mermaid, which was probably a mistake since my showing this afternoon has only sold like 30-40 seats vs the near sellouts for Little Mermaid...  

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, cookie said:

120-130 was for the 4-day

 

I know. That's what I'm talking about. 

[Issac Newton]