Weekend Actuals (Jun 23 - 25) | 19.00M ATSV | 18.44M ELEMENTAL | 15.14M THE FLASH | 15.00M NO HARD FEELINGS

[Krissykins]

9 minutes ago, toutvabien said:

This is quickly becoming several studios' motto for this Summer.

Indiana Jones next weekend with his $295m budget: hold my beer 

 

[screambaby]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

This month has been a disaster. 

Gonna end with a huge crash too

[Eevin]

at this point what are the odds elemental beats flash worldwide lol? obviously elemental likely winning dom is wild already, but worldwide would be NUTS —  i could see both coming in 290-310m range if elemental keeps holding well enough

[screambaby]

Actually June started with spideyverse so its not a total failure

[The Dark Alfred]

This summer is doing slightly better than last so far. July is going to be huge.

[cdsacken]

How bad is box office revenue gonna be this year? Feels like a raging dumpster fire.

 

all things considering spiderverse should be thrilled. 

 

2026 forecast for usa revenue is 10B. I bet it’s not even 9B. I’m not convinced 2023 will even beat 2022.

Edited June 25, 2023 by cdsacken

[Krissykins]

7 minutes ago, Eevin said:

at this point what are the odds elemental beats flash worldwide lol? obviously elemental likely winning dom is wild already, but worldwide would be NUTS —  i could see both coming in 290-310m range if elemental keeps holding well enough

Both cost around $200m so tomato tomato. 

[toutvabien]

17 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

You're not wrong, but they have also had their 2 least leggy runs of all time and if I'm looking at the right data - 4 of the bottom 5 in OW multi's are post Endgame.  

That's why I pointed out these leggy runs, those past few years have been such a mixed bag for them. Also, context is important; No Way Home released during Christmas. Shang-Chi and Guardians 3 didn't maximize their OW potential and ended up meeting that demand later in their runs for different reasons. Similarly, even though Love and Thunder's ×2.38 isn't a bottom 5 multiplier, it's very bad for that release date slot - anything else Marvel has released in July has been on the leggier side. It's almost worse in comparison to (already bad) Multiverse of Madness' ×2.19, which is more in line with May openers - it took the record from Civil War's ×2.28 iirc. Black Widow was a Disney+ simultaneous release.

 

Wakanda Forever's legs on the other hand, I believe fall in line with the average Marvel November opener. That should be The Marvels' goal.

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Both cost around $200m so tomato tomato. 

Yes but the disaster seals the fate of dc. Pretty much everything linked to that is dead. 

[Willowra]

6 minutes ago, screambaby said:

Actually June started with spideyverse so its not a total failure

June is a failure because of Spider-Verse lol

[wildphantom]

If Flash finishes on the low end at around $110 million we’d better start placing our bets now. 
 

O/U Trainwreck - $110.2 million 

[toutvabien]

It's just like June 2017 but worse

[John Marston]

26 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

I see Flash finishing around $120 million
 

Appropriately in line with: 

 

Superbad - $121.5 million

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - $120.6 million
The Sum of All Fears - $118.9 million

The Break-Up - $118.7 million

A Series of Unfortunate Events - $118.6 million

Horrible Bosses - $117.5 million

 

 

 

pretty generous. I would say 110m which would be less than

 

 

Dr Dolittle 2 - $112,952,899

Spy Kids - $112,719,001

The Village - $114,197,520

 

 

[Borobudur]

-38% 2nd weekend drop is great but it is still sort of unsatisfying since the OW was already an underperformance. I can only hope ID 5 days weekend can boost the movie to a lot stronger-than usual hold. 

[DAR]

It might have also flopped as well had it been released but Batgirl’s 90 million budget doesn’t seem that bad compared to Flash.

[JohnnyGossamer]

Awesome drops for Elemental, AtSV, TLM and GotGV3. Should all hold very, very well this week and the following holiday week.

[Ledmonkey96]

22 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

How bad is box office revenue gonna be this year? Feels like a raging dumpster fire.

 

all things considering spiderverse should be thrilled. 

 

2026 forecast for usa revenue is 10B. I bet it’s not even 9B. I’m not convinced 2023 will even beat 2022.

As of the weekend this year is 58% of last years total so unless the back half of the year Utterly crumbles it should end well ahead. Still way down from covid but i think 9 billion will be a possibility. June will probably end up over last years June but it'll take till Friday to get there.

[JohnnyGossamer]

Watching Jaws 2 so I was looking at the box office run it had... I didn't realize both Jaws 2 and Grease had the highest OW DOM at the time and opened on the same weekend. That's kind of remarkable.

[Joyous Legion]

34 minutes ago, Eevin said:

at this point what are the odds elemental beats flash worldwide lol? obviously elemental likely winning dom is wild already, but worldwide would be NUTS —  i could see both coming in 290-310m range if elemental keeps holding well enough

Seems likely I have flash below 290

[AniNate]

Apparently that is the best second weekend hold for a Pixar movie since Up. Kinda surprising.