The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

On 11/23/2023 at 5:45 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wonka (T-21):

Day: T-21	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	69	28	120	13889	0.86

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		115	37	95.83
MTC1:		74	17	61.67
Marcus:		17	11	14.17
Alamo:		15	0	12.5
Other chains:		14	0	11.67

 

Comps:

0.17x Barbie (THU): $3.56 Million

1.88x Wish (TUE): $3.37 Million

1.11x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.44 Million

 

Average: $3.46 Million

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wonka (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	69	38	158	13889	1.14

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		134	19	84.81
MTC1:		97	23	61.39
Marcus:		19	2	12.03
Alamo:		19	4	12.03
Other chains:		23	9	14.56

 

Comps:

0.18x Barbie (THU): $3.77 Million

1.93x Wish (TUE): $3.47 Million

1.26x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.92 Million

 

Average: $3.72 Million

 

Keeps doing prettyyyyy nicely over here.

[abracadabra1998]

On 11/23/2023 at 5:49 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (T-28):

Day: T-28	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	82	10	120	15086	0.8

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		110	12	91.67
MTC1:		81	10	67.5
Marcus:		21	-2	17.5
Alamo:		6	0	5
Other chains:		12	2	10

 

Comps:

0.24x The Marvels: $1.55 Million

 

Only comp I have until T-21, sorry @Porthos  

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (T-25):

Day: T-25	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 17 theaters	82	46	166	15086	1.1

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		153	43	92.17
MTC1:		103	22	62.05
Marcus:		33	12	19.88
Alamo:		14	8	8.43
Other chains:		16	4	9.64

 

Comps:

0.24x The Marvels: $1.61 Million*

*Only comp I have at the moment, not indicative of what true previews will actually be.

 

 

Migration (T-25):

Day: T-25	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	67	2	7	8367	0.08

 

Comp:

0.875x Trolls Band Together: $1.14 Million*

*At single digits, there is high variation when it comes to comps. This is here mostly to show that single digits sales at T-25 for this doesn't necessarily doom it.

Edited November 27, 2023 by abracadabra1998

[JimmyB]

Comcast owns NBCUniversal and is using Sunday Night Football as basically an ad for Migration.  Ive seen 4 or 5 commercials and an in game promo. Will be interesting to see if this helps sales.

Edited November 27, 2023 by JimmyB

[HummingLemon496]

4 hours ago, Wotad said:

I'm not beginning to wonder if the reboot of DC did hurt its films cause expected at least a bit more from Aquaman. Maybe the 5-year gap hurt it also.  Doesn't seem possible to even hit 30m OW? 

$30M would be a huge overperformance at this point

[rehpyc]

Wonka T-20

68 tickets

Wish: 4.55M

TLM: 1.61M

Indy: .83M

 

Wonka T-19

70 tickets

Wish: 4.11M

TLM: 1.62M

Indy: .83M

 

Targeting for Wish & TLM to converge somewhere a little above 2M.

[rehpyc]

Migration T-27

12 tickets

Elemental: 1.10M

Trolls: .55M

Wish: 1.03M

 

Migration T-26

21 tickets

Elemental: 1.20M

Trolls: .62M

Wish: .88M

[rehpyc]

Aquaman T-27

112 tickets

Indy: 1.11M

Marvels: 1.26M

GoTG3: .80M

Blue Beetle: Current tickets cume is just above BB's day 1 of presales

 

Aquaman T-26

63 tickets (not great)

Indy: 1.13M

Marvels: 1.23M

GoTG3: .82M

 

Will likely drop GoTG3 going forward, as it's simply a higher class than what Aquaman's previews will come in at.

[Porthos]

On 11/24/2023 at 12:46 AM, Porthos said:

 

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	62	8835	9619	784	8.15%

 

Total Showings Removed Since Sunday	4
Total Seats Removed Since Sunday	534
Total Seats Sold Since Sunday	31

 

Percentage of sales versus TET's Thursday Preview FINAL:

0.77089x The Era Tours Final Previews [2.59m] [1.2x adj]

 

Next Update: Sunday Night

(yes, these have been Q&D's in all but name)

 

 

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	62	8789	9619	830	8.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Last Thursday

46

 

T-4 Comp:

%

Sold T-4

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Unadj  Comp

Ad-hoc Comp

TET (Fri)

9.29

118

8936

1/176

13472/22408

39.88%

28183

2.95%

3.22m

3.87m

Renaissance sold 29 tickets locally on T-4 for an apples-to-apples T-4 comparison

AD-HOC NOTE:  The Ad-hoc comp has been bumped up by 20% above and beyond TET's already inflated ATP to account for the more expensive ticket prices (and lack of kids/seniors tickets) for Renaissance.

 

Percentage of sales versus TET's Thursday Preview FINAL:

0.81613x The Era Tours Final Previews [2.74m] [1.2x adj]

 

===

 

Daily updates, such as they are, the rest of the way.

 

FWIW, the T-7 TET ad-hoc adj Friday comp would have been 3.77m, so not a ton of difference since then but at least is going up.

Edited November 27, 2023 by Porthos

[TwoMisfits]

FYI for openers and holdovers this week..,

 

My 14 has already reserved 6 screens for 5 new openers, so it's gonna be a tight week for holdovers (assuming none of the new films get any more screens).  As for the openers and their presale sets...

 

Beyonce - 2 screens (1 PLF / 1 reg)

Godzilla - 1 screen

Silent Night - 1 screen

Shift - 1 screen

Animal - 1 screen (early booked, so probably a bigger foreign film than normal)

 

So, 8 screens left, assuming nothing opening gets any more showings.

[misterpepp]

Die Hard will be re-released on Dec 8, will be on some PLF screens. Tickets on sale tomorrow.

[el sid]

Silent Night, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 29 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 3 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): no showtimes
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 21 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 18 (3 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 72.

Comps (all three films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): Plane (435k from previews) had 89 sold tickets,
Expend4bles (775k) had 130
and Violent Night (1.1M) had 137 sold tickets.
Don't Breathe 2 (965k/3.435M/10.6M) had on Wednesday for Friday 197 sold tickets.
 

At the moment on average 450k from previews for Silent Night.
And between 5 and at a max 10M OW.

[keysersoze123]

On 11/25/2023 at 1:51 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Renaissance MTC1

Previews - 96554/321345 2433667.00 1626 shows

Friday - 79489/719914 2022147.00 3488 shows

 

Still just plodding along. Let us see how things go final week. 

Renaissance MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 98615/321231 2483994.00 1626 shows

Friday - 82681/718167 2101422.00 3478 shows

 

 

 Pace is starting to amp up. I think MTC1 alone could hit 3.5m with good final week pace. Overall I am hopeful for 5m previews. 

[YM!]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Renaissance MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 98615/321231 2483994.00 1626 shows

Friday - 82681/718167 2101422.00 3478 shows

 

 

 Pace is starting to amp up. I think MTC1 alone could hit 3.5m with good final week pace. Overall I am hopeful for 5m previews. 

Is there a unique ATP for Renaissance?

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, YM! said:

Is there a unique ATP for Renaissance?

its very high. $22+ for regular shows and almost $30 for Imax/PLF. No discounts for anything. Even kids tickets cost the same as are matinee shows. at MTC2 it has sold just 15415 tickets as of yesterday evening but in gross its at 335795.00. 

 

Edit; Actual gross should be 350K+ as some shows are not returning the ticket prices correctly for me. Need to debug them for sure. 

Edited November 27, 2023 by keysersoze123

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

On 11/13/2023 at 3:13 AM, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

AMC is doing another Screen Unseen on November 27, the same time as Regal's next Monday Mystery Movie. Both are rated R and about 2 hours long. Will there be one movie or two? Already seeing guesses for American Fiction (too prestigious, though Odeon showed Anatomy of a Fall as a mystery movie), Poor Things (lolol), and some horror movie called The Cello with Jeremy Irons and Tobin Bell that's a co-production with Saudi Arabia. Hmmm, which one could it be? 🤔

Well, egg on my face, the poster in the RegalUnlimited subreddit who's correctly spoiled the other Monday Mystery Movies says tonight's movie is American Fiction. Though there seems to be a little more caginess than usual with the confirmation, so it may actually end up being some terrible horror movie after all. Just passing along the info...

[YachtyLogs]

On 11/26/2023 at 1:11 PM, YachtyLogs said:

WONKA

T-19

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

9/1245 - (0.72%)

 

New sold: 2

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Two more sales today, pretty good for this movie and area I guess but hoping as we get closer to the date it picks up more. 

WONKA

T-18

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

9/1245 - (0.72%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

No Wonka sales today. 

[YachtyLogs]

On 11/26/2023 at 1:12 PM, YachtyLogs said:

 

And... No sales today for either on T-25. Not gonna bother writing out a big post for both, just abysmal. 

AQUAMAN 2

T-24

 

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

21/2861 - (0.73%)

 

New sold: 2

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 0

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Two sales. Not doing great but not a terrible day all things considered. Also wanted to note that there's a theater I've been checking that has a few Aquaman and Migration showtimes and not one ticket has sold for either of them.

[YachtyLogs]

On 11/26/2023 at 1:12 PM, YachtyLogs said:

 

And... No sales today for either on T-25. Not gonna bother writing out a big post for both, just abysmal. 

Migration still continues its 0 sale streak on T-24. Very excited for the first sale to eventually occur. Ngl I'm losing just a little bit of the motivation because of how slow sales are for all three movies I'm tracking along with how long it takes to check the three movies. 

[el sid]

Aquaman, counted yesterday for Thursday, December 21. 25 days left.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 148 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 89 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 10 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 120 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 177 (9 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 549.

Comps: TSS (4.1M from previews) had with 19 days left 585 sold tickets.
Indiana Jones 5 (7.2M) had with 28 days left 957 sold tickets.
And GotG III (17.5M) had with 29 days left 2.363 sold tickets.

All three comps point to roughly 4M for Aquaman at the moment.

[TwoMisfits]

37 minutes ago, YachtyLogs said:

Migration still continues its 0 sale streak on T-24. Very excited for the first sale to eventually occur. Ngl I'm losing just a little bit of the motivation because of how slow sales are for all three movies I'm tracking along with how long it takes to check the three movies. 

 

If you are getting demotivated, check Christmas Day.  If your movies don't have sales on Dec 25/26, the biggest movie going days of the year yet, then it's time to totally panic and abandon ship:).