The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[el sid]

Details and more comps tomorrow but MaXXXine's presales look also in my theaters very good. 

 

It had today counted for Friday 580 sold tickets. 

E.g. The Invitation had on Monday for Friday 87 sold tickets. 

And The Strangers finally (=on Thursday for Thursday) had 553 sold tickets.

 

For the EA shows on Wednesday it had today 512 sold tickets.

 

Of course it's no original film and collected fans over the years who book early but I'm really curious what OW number it could reach. 

[keysersoze123]

20 hours ago, YM! said:

What kind of five day do you think for this movie?

Let us give it a shot

Wednesday - 25m // I am figuring out 95K/150/375k finish at MTC1 over next 3 days. 

Thu - 17m // its pace over past 24 hrs is 9kish. So 60% of OD and pacing and overall still below half of OD. with similar walkups it can get to that. 

Fri - 23m

Sat - 28m

Sunday - 22m

 

115m over 5 days. But looking beyond OD, its not that much about presales as they are well below OD and we have to see if WOM would be good enough to pull the GA over the 5 day weekend. 

Edited Monday at 10:02 PM by keysersoze123

[Insomnia]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Let us give it a short

Wednesday - 25m // I am figuring out 95K/150/375k finish at MTC1 over next 3 days. 

Thu - 17m // its pace over past 24 hrs is 9kish. So 60% of OD and pacing and overall still below half of OD. with similar walkups it can get to that. 

Fri - 23m

Sat - 28m

Sunday - 22m

 

115m over 5 days. But looking beyond OD, its not that much about presales as they are well below OD and we have to see if WOM would be good enough to pull the GA over the 5 day weekend. 

That would be a great improvement over DM3, which opened to $72M but as a Friday opener, not Wednesday.

[Mojoguy]

12 minutes ago, Insomnia said:

That would be a great improvement over DM3, which opened to $72M but as a Friday opener, not Wednesday.

The best comparisons should be with DM2 which made $143M over its first 5 days, the last time a DM film opened over a July 4th weekend.

[Grand Cine]

39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Let us give it a short

Wednesday - 25m // I am figuring out 95K/150/375k finish at MTC1 over next 3 days. 

Thu - 17m // its pace over past 24 hrs is 9kish. So 60% of OD and pacing and overall still below half of OD. with similar walkups it can get to that. 

Fri - 23m

Sat - 28m

Sunday - 22m

 

115m over 5 days. But looking beyond OD, its not that much about presales as they are well below OD and we have to see if WOM would be good enough to pull the GA over the 5 day weekend. 

It's good , better than the 5 Day of DM3

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/28/2024 at 10:03 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-20

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
548	1866	107948	1.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-20

(1.055x) of Apes $5.27M

(0.890x) of Ghostbusters $4.18M
Comps AVG: $4.73M 

 

Not much to add. Pace is still anemic

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
555	1983	109875	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

38

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-17

(1.088x) of Apes $5.44M

(0.849x) of Ghostbusters $3.99M
Comps AVG: $4.72M 

 

No real movement 

[keysersoze123]

On 6/30/2024 at 12:58 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 9074/39650 136575.80 348 shows +1157

Friday  - 10840/157396 154131.96 1621 shows +1956

 

I think its at least doing better than Horizon. With a holiday OW, I think double digit OW should happen. 

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 11040/44897 167095.94 395 shows +1966

Friday  - 13295/169049 188136.23 1771 shows +2455

 

I think its doing really well at this point. Unless the walkups are absolute terrible, it should hit double digits. May be even low teens?

[Flip]

On 6/27/2024 at 1:49 PM, Flip said:

Longlegs (T-14)

 

4 showtimes/78 tickets sold.

 

more shows need to be added but this is pretty strong, just a bit below Watchers T-3, and even ahead of Bad Boys T-11

Longlegs (T-10)

 

4 showtimes/99 tickets sold (+21)

 

more shows still need to be added. Very close to Watchers T-1

[Insomnia]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 11040/44897 167095.94 395 shows +1966

Friday  - 13295/169049 188136.23 1771 shows +2455

 

I think its doing really well at this point. Unless the walkups are absolute terrible, it should hit double digits. May be even low teens?

Nice! Had a feeling this would. Low up a bit beyond single digits. 

Edited Monday at 11:18 PM by Insomnia

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

31 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 11040/44897 167095.94 395 shows +1966

Friday  - 13295/169049 188136.23 1771 shows +2455

 

I think its doing really well at this point. Unless the walkups are absolute terrible, it should hit double digits. May be even low teens?

 

MaXXXine's domestic opening surpassing Pearl's and possibly X's worldwide gross would be quite something.

[Eric the Minion]

Quorum Updates

Despicable Me 4 T-2: 69.31% Awareness, 60.93% Interest

Longlegs T-11: 19.42% Awareness, 44% Interest

Deadpool & Wolverine T-25: 68.59% Awareness, 67.54% Interest

Blink Twice T-53: 19.07% Awareness, 41.64% Interest

Nosferatu T-177: 16.47% Awareness, 36.27% Interest

The Wolf Man T-200: 15.42% Awareness, 40.15% Interest

 

MaXXXine T-4: 21.64% Awareness, 37.96% Interest

Final Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 23% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 25% chance of 10M

 

Fly Me to the Moon T-11: 37.51% Awareness, 44.84% Interest

Final Awareness: 40% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Medium Awareness: 67% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Medium Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

Trap T-32: 26.39% Awareness, 50.89% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 53% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M, 22% chance of 20M

T-30 Interest: 95% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M

Horror Interest: 83% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 30M

 

The Front Room T-67: 17.38% Awareness, 39.52% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 31% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M

T-60 Interest: 35% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 40% chance of 10M

[Eric the Minion]

https://thequorum.com/weekly-unaided-awareness-chart-does-paramount-have-another-horror-franchise-with-smile-2/

 

[Caption Action 3]

Despicable Me 

California open captions

Data is as of 9:30 pm EST 7/1. Screen times range from 9:00 am (AMC Mercado) to 5:40 pm. All theaters AMC except for Alamo Drafthouse Los Angeles, and Tristone Jurupa Valley.  Ticket to screentime ratio of less than 2.

 

California open captions – July 3 to July 7
# of tickets/#of theaters		161	22	7.32
#of tickets/#of screen times		161	97	1.66
# of Zero solds/# of screentimes		70	97	0.72

[ThomasNicole]

Seems like both Maxxxine and Longlegs could be huge (for A24 / NEON standards) which makes me so happy

[AniNate]

About time they both actually put effort into promoting their movies again

[Flip]

On 6/30/2024 at 11:02 PM, Flip said:

Despicable Me 4 (T-3)

 

23 showtimes/432 tix sold (+257) 

.97x Inside Out 2 Thursday (T-3) [12.61m] 

.458x Inside Out 2 Friday (T-3) [23.15m]

Sold more than Inside Out 2 Thurs in the same timespan, but slipped against Friday. Would not be surprised with 5-day under 100m unless something changes

Despicable Me 4 (T-2)

 

28 showtimes/620 tix sold (+188) 

 

1.2x Inside Out 2 Thursday (T-2) [15.6m] 

.498x Inside Out 2 Friday (T-2) [25.17m]
 

better day. Tomorrow it should sell at least 430 tickets, anything below 400 is disappointing, and anything above 475 is very good 

[AniNate]

On 6/28/2024 at 7:52 AM, AniNate said:

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON
 

Wednesday EA - 30
Thursday - 38
Friday - 51
Saturday - 76
Sunday - 17

 

 

VALLEY VIEW (CLEVELAND)
 

Wednesday EA - 22
Thursday - 22
Friday - 21
Saturday - 28
Sunday - 8

 

Urban/suburban divide on this movie getting a lot more pronounced. Starting to see some movement on the weekend planner side

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON

 

Wednesday EA - 34
Thursday - 46
Friday - 75
Saturday - 90
Sunday - 44

 

VALLEY VIEW

 

Wednesday EA - 26
Thursday - 25
Friday - 27
Saturday - 28
Sunday - 8

 

Definitely ramping up in the target dem market at least

[crazymoviekid]

On 6/30/2024 at 11:58 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Despicable Me 4:

 

Wednesday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 70 Tickets

Theater 2: 108 Tickets

 

IO2 (Fri): $20.07M

IO2 (Thrs): $17.80M

KFP4: $23.60M

Wish: $8.15M

Paw Patrol 2: $8.05M

Mario: $12.93M

PiB2: $20.34M

Minions 2 (Fri): $17.24M

Minions 2 (Thrs): $11.00M

 

Either going to $10M based on comps or $20M. Feeling more confident about the latter

Despicable Me 4:

 

Wednesday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 138 Tickets

Theater 2: 196 Tickets

 

IO2 (Fri): $24.98M

IO2 (Thrs): $26.80M

KFP4: $35.55M

Wish: $15.30M

Paw Patrol 2: $11.18M

Mario: $17.00M

PiB2: $38.17M

Minions 2 (Fri): $20.80M

Minions 2 (Thrs): $17.18M

 

All comps went up. Feeling a lot more confident. Closer to $25M

[keysersoze123]

On 6/30/2024 at 10:04 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-3) - 66933/1161863 1084786.29 6251 shows +15306

Midnight Shows -  916/13594 20788.62 75 shows +132

 

Not double but not a bad day at all. Let us see how things go tomorrow. I am bumping up my OD expectations to at least mid 20s. 

 

Mario sold over 24K but grew less. Also on Monday Mario grew only ~ 39K. I expect the gap to go down and walkups could even match or do a bit better. 

 

If we have to compare with IO2, equivalent day would be Tuesday when it sold over 29K. Wed growth was around 39K(taken few hours earlier. I think actual number is 44K). But it was a full thursday preview release and so early demand was divided between both the movies. 

Despicable Me 4 MTC1 Wednesday(T-2) - 95075/1248667 1520952.78 6923 shows +28142

Midnight Shows - 1275/13946 28608.23 77 shows +359

 

It did hit the benchmark I expected earlier today(95k). Very good day as expected. Tomorrow I expect it to hit 150k ish.  

Edited Tuesday at 03:39 PM by keysersoze123

[abracadabra1998]

On 6/30/2024 at 11:45 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Opening Day:

 

Despicable Me 4 (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	306	523	1863	48891	3.81

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		742	206	39.83
MTC1:		543	132	29.15
Other chains:		1320	391	70.85

 

Comps (previews):

1.45x Inside Out 2: $18.86 Million

3.17x Kung Fu Panda 4: $12.04 Million (17 theaters)

7.89x Migration: $11.84 Million (17 theaters)

 

Comps (Opening Day):

1.11x Paw Patrol The Mighty Movie (FRI): Missed

1.82x Madame Web (WED): Missed

0.66x Bob Marley (WED): Missed

Another great day!

 

Minnesota Opening Day:

 

Despicable Me 4 (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	353	1149	3012	53509	5.63

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		1076	334	35.72
MTC1:		844	301	28.02
Other chains:		2168	848	71.98

 

Comps (previews):

1.76x Inside Out 2: $22.93 Million

4.2x Kung Fu Panda 4: $15.95 Million (17 theaters)

9.05x Migration: $13.58 Million (17 theaters)

 

Comps (Opening Day):

Paw Patrol The Mighty Movie (FRI): Missed

2.87x Madame Web (WED): $17.35 Million

1.07x Bob Marley (WED): $14.93 Million

 

Damn, this one kicked my butt. I now understand @Porthos's resistance to tracking Opening Days. Anyways, incredibly jumps and final week paces. Pretty sure I won't be able to update this tomorrow, but I should have a T-1 Hour update in me