The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[AniNate]

They haven't been promoting it much outside of the initial announcement. Not sure many people are even aware of it. Also doesn't look like it's getting a very wide release

[Flip]

Deadpool 3 Friday (T-19)

 

39 showtimes/714 tix sold

 

1.30x Inside Out 2 Friday (T-6) [65.72m]

8.5x Despicable Me 4 OD (T-17) [229.5m]

.52x Deadpool 3 Thursday (T-19) [???]

 

Despicable Me comp will get less crazy closer to release

[keysersoze123]

On 7/6/2024 at 6:54 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-19) - 210294/1283848 3856994.12 7890 shows +2590

 

This had zero effect from July 4 holiday. So the sales are steady at the moment. Where would the movie be in an week's time. I would say target for 240K to keep 275K(T-7) as Charlie has predicted. 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-18) - 212640/1283949 3896920.06 7891 shows +2346

 

It should increase its pace to 3K+ soon. Let us see if that happens tomorrow or sometime close to middle of the week. 

[AniNate]

On 6/28/2024 at 7:52 AM, AniNate said:

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON
 

Wednesday EA - 30
Thursday - 38
Friday - 51
Saturday - 76
Sunday - 17

 

 

VALLEY VIEW (CLEVELAND)
 

Wednesday EA - 22
Thursday - 22
Friday - 21
Saturday - 28
Sunday - 8

 

Urban/suburban divide on this movie getting a lot more pronounced. Starting to see some movement on the weekend planner side

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON

 

Wednesday EA - 64
Thursday - 59
Friday - 111
Saturday - 110
Sunday - 81

 

VALLEY VIEW

 

Wednesday EA - 34
Thursday - 49
Friday - 40
Saturday - 33
Sunday - 12

 

Finally a little movement on Valley View's weekend front. Lots of new Sunday sales at Canton, surprisingly.
 

[keysersoze123]

On 7/6/2024 at 9:28 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Longlegs MTC1

Previews - 13973/66319 211375.32 679 shows +2592

Friday - 10013/161435 146230.31 1710 shows +2403

 

Almost 2 days of run. I think its going for 1.5-2m in previews at this point. May be OW in low teens?

Longlegs MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 15735/67795 237440.56 693 shows +1762

Friday -12193/165466 177809.31 1742 shows +2180 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-19 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27176	33607	6431	19.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

123

 

T-19 Comp

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.99		193	9459		0/329	31449/40908	23.12%		21117	30.45%		24.48m
L&T	113.22		155	5680		0/228	25920/31600	17.97%		16962	37.91%		32.83m
BP2	101.85		102	6314		1/294	30708/37022	17.05%		16800	38.28%		28.52m
AM3	154.15		41	4172		0/235	28384/32556	12.81%		10475	61.39%		26.98m
GOTG3	196.67		87	3270		0/206	26377/29647	11.03%		10750	59.82%		34.42m
Bats	189.59		157	3392		0/248	28906/32298	10.50%		11757	54.70%		40.95m
Dune 2	340.63		39	1888		0/171	22828/24716	7.64%		6001	107.17%		40.88m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1454/12916  [11.26% sold]
Matinee:    405/4466  [9.07% | 6.30% of all tickets sold]
3D:             720/6790  [10.60% | 11.20% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3192/11526  [27.69% | 49.63% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold       97 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     117 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS

 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.63489x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-19 [39.83m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-18 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	241	27171	33720	6549	19.42%

 

Total Showings Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	113
Total Seats Sold Today	118

 

T-18 Comp

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.97		176	9635		0/329	31273/40908	23.55%		21117	31.01%		24.47m
L&T	111.45		196	5876		0/228	25724/31600	18.59%		16962	38.61%		32.32m
BP2	101.88		114	6428		1/294	30596/37024	17.36%		16800	38.98%		28.53m
AM3	152.62		119	4291		0/235	28265/32556	13.18%		10475	62.52%		26.71m
GOTG3	194.91		90	3360		0/206	26287/29647	11.33%		10750	60.92%		34.11m
Bats	186.16		126	3518		0/248	28780/32298	10.89%		11757	55.70%		40.21m
Dune 2	335.67		63	1951		0/171	22765/24716	7.89%		6001	109.13%		40.28m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1477/13029  [11.34% sold]
Matinee:    408/4466  [9.14% | 6.23% of all tickets sold]
3D:             747/6790  [11.00% | 11.41% of all tickets sold]
PLF:         3211/11526  [27.86% | 49.03% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold     103 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     114 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.65366x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-18 [40.28m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]   

[vafrow]

21 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-12 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 19

New Sales : 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 62

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 16/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 13/8

IMAX: 5/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

1.188x Fall Guy for $3.7M

0.463x KOTPOTA for $2.3M

0.528x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.1M

0.161x HG: BoSS for $0.9M

0.422x Furiosa for $1.5M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.976x KOTPOTA for $9.9M

2.250x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $11.3M

0.686x HG: BoSS for $3.4M

1.800x Furiosa for $9.0M

 

EA Comp

1.476x Fall Guy for $1.2M

 

Zero sales day.

 

Twisters, T-11 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 19

New Sales : 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 64

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 16/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 13/8

IMAX: 5/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

1.056x Fall Guy for $3.3M

0.373x KOTPOTA for $1.9M

0.528x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.1M

0.144x HG: BoSS for $0.8M

0.422x Furiosa for $1.5M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.627x KOTPOTA for $8.1M

2.306x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $11.5M

0.629x HG: BoSS for $3.1M

1.844x Furiosa for $9.2M

 

EA Comp

1.391x Fall Guy for $1.1M

 

Still not much movement.

[AniNate]

Did a quick count for this weekend's openers at Canton:

 

LONGLEGS

Thursday - 58
Friday - 38
Saturday - 30

 

FLY ME TO THE MOON

Thursday - 9
Friday - 0
Saturday - 0

 

 

Is a bit of a weekend presence for Longlegs which is encouraging

[katnisscinnaplex]

19 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fly Me to the Moon	T-4	Jax	5	17	11	22	1,232	1.79%
		Phx	7	22	1	11	1,776	0.62%
		Ral	8	23	11	32	2,281	1.40%
	Total		20	62	23	65	5,289	1.23%
Longlegs	T-4	Jax	4	7	13	94	473	19.87%
		Phx	6	11	8	111	687	16.16%
		Ral	5	11	16	90	763	11.80%
	Total		15	29	37	295	1,923	15.34%
Twisters	T-11	Jax	5	57	15	106	9,841	1.08%
		Phx	6	31	3	105	6,447	1.63%
		Ral	8	44	0	110	6,280	1.75%
	Total		19	132	18	321	22,568	1.42%
Twisters (EA)	T-10	Jax	5	10	2	144	2,186	6.59%
		Phx	1	2	0	17	618	2.75%
		Ral	2	2	4	38	412	9.22%
	Total		8	14	6	199	3,216	6.19%

 

Fly Me to the Moon (previews) T-4 adjusted comps

 - Arthur the King - 1.625x (1.56m)

 - No Hard Feelings - .985x (2.11m)

 - Ticket to Paradise - missed

 - Joy Ride - 1.327x (1.38m)

 - Massive Talent - missed

 - Lost City - .271x (693k)

 - Ungentlemanly - 1.226x (1.04m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .319x (866k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.32m

 

Longlegs T-4 adjusted comps

 - Smile (Total) - missed

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Strangers - missed

 - Watchers - 4.76x (4m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.03x (2.48m)

 - Haunting of Venice (Total) - 1.928x (1.9m)

 - Crawdads (Total) - .778x (1.83m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.82m

 

Twisters (Total) T-11 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - missed

 - Godzilla x Kong - .932x (8.4m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.204x (7.94m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - .901x (5.9m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.429x (6.29m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .609x (5.36m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.72m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fly Me to the Moon	T-3	Jax	5	17	-3	19	1,232	1.54%
		Phx	7	22	8	19	1,776	1.07%
		Ral	8	23	13	45	2,281	1.97%
	Total		20	62	18	83	5,289	1.57%
Longlegs	T-3	Jax	4	7	4	98	473	20.72%
		Phx	6	11	23	134	687	19.51%
		Ral	5	11	17	107	763	14.02%
	Total		15	29	44	339	1,923	17.63%
Twisters	T-10	Jax	5	57	12	118	9,841	1.20%
		Phx	6	31	6	111	6,447	1.72%
		Ral	8	44	5	115	6,280	1.83%
	Total		19	132	23	344	22,568	1.52%
Twisters (EA)	T-9	Jax	5	10	17	161	2,186	7.37%
		Phx	1	2	0	17	618	2.75%
		Ral	2	2	1	39	412	9.47%
	Total		8	14	18	217	3,216	6.75%

 

Fly Me to the Moon (previews) T-3 adjusted comps

 - Arthur the King - 1.804x (1.73m)

 - No Hard Feelings - .912x (1.96m)

 - Ticket to Paradise - missed

 - Joy Ride - 1.509x (1.58m)

 - Massive Talent - .769x (639k)

 - Lost City - .304x (778k)

 - Ungentlemanly - 1.153x (980k)

 - Jungle Cruise - .347x (944k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.23m

 

Longlegs T-3 adjusted comps

 - Smile (Total) - missed

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Strangers - 2.78x (2.8m)

 - Watchers - 4.19x (3.52m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.01x (2.44m)

 - Haunting of Venice (Total) - 1.704x (1.68m)

 - Crawdads (Total) - .7x (1.65m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.73m

 

Twisters (Total) T-10 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 2.97x (9.35m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .93x (8.39m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.238x (8.17m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - .918x (6.01m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.496x (6.58m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .621x (5.47m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .168x (3.32m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.68m

[cookieleeann]

I'm kinda surprised how little Twisters has sold in PLF at one of my main local theaters. Usually when a big release is on there horizon, Dolby is the first thing to go followed by IMAX. I'm currently looking at showtimes for Dolby and IMAX and it's so little sales. 

 

 

Maybe this is just gonna be a walkup heavy film like some have theorized.

[Eric the Marxist]

Quorum Updates

Longlegs T-4: 22.17% Awareness, 44.61% Interest

Deadpool & Wolverine T-18: 70.34% Awareness, 68.5% Interest

Trap T-25: 27.61% Awareness, 51.77% Interest

Transformers One T-74: 36.62% Awareness, 45.47% Interest

The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-123: 9.25% Awareness, 28.77% Interest

Heretic T-130: 9.44% Awareness, 32.66% Interest

F1 T-354: 17.73% Awareness, 35.79% Interest

 

Fly Me to the Moon T-4: 39.28% Awareness, 44.49% Interest

Final Awareness: 40% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Medium Awareness: 67% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Medium Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

Twisters T-11: 55.12% Awareness, 56.45% Interest

Final Awareness: 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 75% chance of 40M, 25% chance of 50M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Tentpole Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

Alien: Romulus T-39: 29.42% Awareness, 45.44% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 53% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 3% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M, 22% chance of 20M, 5% chance of 40M

T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M, 10% chance of 40M

Horror Interest: 65% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 15% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 40M

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/7/2024 at 11:26 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Fly Me to the Moon (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	61	6	24	5671	0.42

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		20	4	83.33
Other chains:		4	2	16.67

 

Thursday Comps:

0.2x Challengers: $320k

0.37x Anyone But You: $440k (17 theaters)

0.28x Big Fat Greek Wedding: $150k (17 theaters)

0.36x No Hard Feelings: $780k (12 theaters)

 

Weak stuff, but not hitting the panic button just yet. The EA for this looked terrible up until T-1 and then it blew up here.

 

Longlegs (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	25	145	392	2035	19.26

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		237	79	60.46
Other chains:		155	66	39.54

 

Comps:

0.89x Civil War: $2.58 Million

0.58x KoFM: $1.5 Million (17 theaters)

2.81x Asteroid City: $3.09 Million (12 theaters)

 

Average: $2.39 Million

 

I know these look like super random comps, but to me this is clearly not behaving like a normal horror movie here, instead playing to the cinephile-heavy audience that my market can bring out. Going to roll with these and only had horror comps at probably T-1 Hour or so.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Fly Me to the Moon (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	77	19	43	7911	0.54

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		34	14	79.07
Other chains:		9	5	20.93

 

Thursday Comps:

Challengers: Missed

0.98x Arthur the King: $805k (17 theaters)

0.39x Anyone But You: $470k (17 theaters)

0.49x Big Fat Greek Wedding: $270k (17 theaters)

0.47x No Hard Feelings: $1 Million (12 theaters)

 

Average: $635k

 

Accelerated a bit, really needs to grow now.

 

Longlegs (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	33	166	558	2687	20.77

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		310	73	55.56
Other chains:		248	93	44.44

 

Comps:

1.06x Civil War: $3.09 Million

0.7x KoFM: $1.83 Million (17 theaters)

2.86x Haunting in Venice (w/ EA): $3.43 Million (17 theaters)

2.3x Asteroid City: $2.53 Million (12 theaters)

 

Average: $2.72 Million

 

Lmao wtf is going on here. Absurdly high capacity rate right now at 20%, but still tiny number of seats and showings

[keysersoze123]

One fact to note is due to Hurricane Beryl, theaters in houston are shutdown. So they are not returning data even for future movies. Not sure how long the impact would be. I expect it to be normal by Deadpool for sure. May be even Twisters. But how about this week? Only folks around that area can confirm. 

[Flip]

On 7/6/2024 at 9:35 PM, Flip said:

Longlegs (T-5)

 

4 showtimes/212 tickets sold (+68)

4.24x Watchers (T-4) [4.24m]*

.75x AQP Day One (T-4) [6.8m]*

 

It’s growing very well, but with two caveats: the show count is still very low and probably won’t go past 8 in the end, and there’s definitely a fair amount overindexing 
 

* unfortunately missed T-5 for both my comps

Longlegs (T-3)

 

5 showtimes/252 tickets sold (+40)

3.45x Watchers (T-3) [3.45m]

.76x AQP Day One (T-3) [5.17m]

 

Show count is still very low (only one 11pm show has been added), and there’s definitely a fair amount overindexing. Hopefully tomorrow it can gain 35 more seats sold, but it will be at the limit of the current capacity

[Flip]

On 7/6/2024 at 9:06 PM, Flip said:

Twisters (T-12) 6 days of sales

 

14 showtimes/73 tix sold (+10)

 

Still crawling along.

 

1.06x Bad Boys 4 (T-12) [5.94m]

Twisters (T-10) 2 days of sales

 

15 showtimes/75 tix sold (+2)

 

Pace is almost nonexistent.

 

.64x Bad Boys 4 (T-10) [3.78m]

 

[keysersoze123]

On 7/7/2024 at 7:58 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-18) - 212640/1283949 3896920.06 7891 shows +2346

 

It should increase its pace to 3K+ soon. Let us see if that happens tomorrow or sometime close to middle of the week. 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-17) - 215510/1284186 3946155.54 7894 shows +2870

 

This includes data from theaters impacted by hurricane. Otherwise I am getting drop in ticket sales 🙂 My assumption is these theaters would be back online soon and tickets sold would count for sure. 

[titanic2187]

Twister reaction start appearing and they are highly positive. If that doesn’t move the presale pace, nothing else could change the course of the run. 

[AniNate]

I don't think many average joes are actively following the OMGWTFBBQ post-premiere reactions. But I would expect sales to increase exponentially in the week leading up as more people can confidently plan for a showtime.

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Longlegs MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 15735/67795 237440.56 693 shows +1762

Friday -12193/165466 177809.31 1742 shows +2180 

Longlegs MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 21724/83431 326677.23 812 shows +5989

Friday - 18144/187102 263351.86 1897 shows +5951

 

 

3m+ previews and low 20s OW. I am expecting big growth in shows tomorrow. This includes shows impacted by hurricane but the amount of the shows is limited in that region for it so far. So difference is couple of % only. 

[Unfitclock]

@keysersoze123 how does fly me to the moon look near you?