The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[kayumanggi]

 

[Mojoguy]

1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:

 

It better be 100+ OW or certain people here will be disappointed...

Edited June 11 by Mojoguy

[AniNate]

They're still holding on to that number huh? I guess it will make it look a lot better if it crushes that in actuals.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, AniNate said:

They're still holding on to that number huh? I guess it will make it look a lot better if it crushes that in actuals.

Tracking agencies have to be careful in reporting numbers. Sometime they can't give higher numbers even if they want to, say the studio don't want higher number out in order to control expectations, or they were a bit low initially, so are moving upward slowly, etc.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

After May I think studios are putting out lower numbers just to be safe. 

[kayumanggi]

INSIDE OUT II needs 109M to be in the Top 10 June openings of all time. Four Pixar movies are on the list.

[kayumanggi]

They are so lowballing that overseas start.

[WebSurfer]

37 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

$85?

[vafrow]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Inside Out 2 CANMTC2 T-2 + 12 Hours

THU - 2100
FRI - 4600

 

No comps. From experience, I guess it should reach 11-12K final for previews. So not as bad as Lightyear result in CAN probably.

 

I'm assuming this is the chain that's mainly located in Ontario and Westen Canada? If so, those are pretty strong numbers based on the number of locations that they have.

 

I'm hoping you have a good way to scrape the data because their front end interface is horrible.

[jeffthehat]

On 6/10/2024 at 12:44 PM, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Inside Out 2 T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
1651	32479	183

Comps

1.18x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $5.6m

4.96x IF T-3 = $8.9m

1.02x Godzilla x Kong NE = $10.2m

3.49x Kung Fu Panda 4 = $13.3m

 

AVG = $9.50m

---

Don't think any releases this year are good comps for this. Just showing a mix of genre/size/growth rate. 

Indiana

Inside Out 2 T-2

Sales	Seats	Shows
2098	35517	207

TC = 27

Comps

1.31x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $6.2m

4.94x IF T-2 = $8.9m

1.10x Godzilla x Kong NE T-2 = $11.0m

3.57x Kung Fu Panda 4 T-2 = $13.6m

 

AVG = $9.93m

[misterpepp]

Fly Me to the Moon on sale June 17

 

MaXXXine also went on sale early at some chains, although this appears to have perhaps been an error.

Edited June 11 by misterpepp

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/10/2024 at 4:47 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
157	3217	30823	5.0%

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.780x) of Little Mermaid $8.04M

(3.590x) of Elemental $8.62M

(2.242x) of Wonka $7.85M

Comps average: $8.17M

 

Ok, now I'm not so sure...

Probably gets close to $10M?

Orlando

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
188	3804	33554	11.3%

 

COMPS

T-2

(0.814x) of Little Mermaid $8.39M

(3.693x) of Elemental $8.86M

(2.511x) of Wonka $8.79M

Comps average: $8.68M

 

Comps starting to converge around $9ish

Probably over $10m by T-0 because pace is excellent

[charlie Jatinder]

58 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
188	3804	33554	11.3%

 

COMPS

T-2

(0.814x) of Little Mermaid $8.39M

(3.693x) of Elemental $8.86M

(2.511x) of Wonka $8.79M

Comps average: $8.68M

 

Comps starting to converge around $9ish

Probably over $10m by T-0 because pace is excellent

I believe they are higher excluding Disney spring loc?

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/10/2024 at 4:58 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Inside Out 2

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
692	7609	137935	5.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1120

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-3

(3.822x) of Kung Fu panda 4 $14.52M

(1.610x) of Ghostbusters $7.57M

Comps average: $11.05M

 

Well, this is moving excellent throughout Florida. 

FLORIDA 

 

Inside Out 2

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
817	9613	163281	5.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2004

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

125

 

COMPS

T-2

(3.673x) of Kung Fu panda 4 $13.96M

(1.712x) of Ghostbusters $8.05M

Comps average: $11.01M

 

Well, that went 0 to 100 real quick. Phenomenal pace and this is heading to a BIG final day 

[TheFlatLannister]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I believe they are higher excluding Disney spring loc?

wait wdym?

[charlie Jatinder]

22 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

wait wdym?

I mean Orlando minus Disney Spring locs comps might be higher as that locs gets higher sales in general. Just a speculation.

[charlie Jatinder]

Deadpool 3 CANMTC2 T-44 + 11 Hours

THU - 6300
FRI - 4700

 

Again, no comps but feels normal.

Weekend sales are probably 16K ish aka $225K ish, which feels a bit better than normal ratios relative $1M+ for CANMTC1 which was revealed a few days back.

[TheFlatLannister]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I mean Orlando minus Disney Spring locs comps might be higher as that locs gets higher sales in general. Just a speculation.

2119 seats sold across 19 showings at Disney. Unfortunately, I don't have specific location breakdowns for the previous comps 

[emoviefan]

Finally a weekend maybe where the weekend thread is not a  going in circles conversation about the death of theatrical. Yeah one weekend is not a fix or sign of anything but at least a one week break from that talk until Bikeriders bombs.

[Porthos]

47 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Finally a weekend maybe where the weekend thread is not a  going in circles conversation about the death of theatrical.

 

BOT Weekend Thread in response: