The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Porthos]

On 7/1/2024 at 3:42 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
555	1983	109875	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

38

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-17

(1.088x) of Apes $5.44M

(0.849x) of Ghostbusters $3.99M
Comps AVG: $4.72M 

 

No real movement 

 

14 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Twisters (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	139	43	255	22960	1.11
Wednesday July 17 EA: 16 theaters	20	40	242	4204	5.76
TOTALS:	159	83	497	27164	1.83

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		201	31	78.82
MTC1:		171	24	67.06
Other chains:		84	19	32.94

 

Thursday Comps:

Quiet Place Day One: Missed

1.51x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $7.54 Million

1.81x Fall Guy: $4.25 Million

0.86x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $3.85 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $5.21 Million

 

EA Comps:

1.06x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $1.7 Million

1.69x Fall Guy: $1.35 Million

0.89x TMNT: $1.47 Million

0.55x MI7: $1.1 Million

 

Average: $1.41 Million

 

FWIW, I stopped tracking Twisters on the side about a month back so I wouldn't get burnt out, but the numbers coming out of the Twin Cities has piqued my interest enough to check it Sun afternoon and just now (Thr night).

 

Not even a Quick and Dirty check, but right now I have:

 

Twisters Not-Even-Quick-And-Dirty Spot Sacramento Check [T-14]

506/24307 (2.08% sold) 140 showtimes [EA: 296 | Thr: 210]

 

0.62935x RotB at T-14     [5.54m]

1.114790x GBFE at T-14   [5.24m]

 

Those are probably the two most "on point" comps I have since I don't have The Fall Guy comps and most other things would probably be the wrong pre-sale patterns.  RotB more than GBFE, frankly (summer + Wed EA + RotB being hella backloaded).

 

So kinda in the middle of those two comps from Florida and Minnesota.  

 

Wouldn't be terribly surprising to me should Twisters over-perform in the Midwest, given the subject matter.  Marketing seems to be somewhat targeted to that neck of the woods as well, though perhaps not quite as targeted for the Twin Cities.

 

Still, looking good here, but not breaking out.  Yet.

 

(and not worth a devoted track from Yours Truly.  Again, yet)

 

[Porthos]

On 7/4/2024 at 2:28 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-22 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27483	33616	6133	18.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

137

 

T-22 Comp

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	68.55		168	8947		0/329	31963/40910	21.87%		21117	29.04%		24.68m
L&T	121.21		336	5060		0/228	26540/31600	16.01%		16962	36.16%		35.15m
BP2	103.11		138	5948		1/294	31071/37019	16.07%		16800	36.51%		28.87m
AM3	154.72		119	3964		0/235	28592/32556	12.18%		10475	58.55%		27.08m
GOTG3	203.48		105	3014		0/206	26655/29669	10.16%		10750	57.05%		35.61m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1391/12925  [10.76% sold]
Matinee:     376/4469  [8.41% | 6.13% of all tickets sold]
3D:              675/6799  [9.93% | 11.01% of all tickets sold]
PLF:          3100/11526  [26.90% | 50.55% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        130 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    130 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27416	33607	6191	18.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

58

 

T-21 Comp

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.78		187	9134		0/329	31774/40908	22.33%		21117	29.32%		24.40m
L&T	117.01		231	5291		0/228	26309/31600	16.74%		16962	36.50%		33.93m
BP2	101.53		150	6098		1/294	30924/37022	16.47%		16800	36.85%		28.43m
AM3	152.19		104	4068		0/235	28488/32556	12.50%		10475	59.10%		26.63m
GOTG3	199.26		93	3107		0/206	26559/29666	10.47%		10750	57.59%		34.87m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1405/12916  [10.88% sold]
Matinee:    392/4466  [8.78% | 6.33% of all tickets sold]
3D:            682/6790  [10.04% | 11.02% of all tickets sold]
PLF:    3114/11526  [27.02% | 50.30% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold 56 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold 55 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.6466x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-21 [40.11m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]

 

====

 

People apparently had better things to do tonight than by tickets for a movie three weeks in advance.  Who would have guessed?

 

(most of us, aksually)

 

Aside from that, re-worded the "equivalent seats sold" section (which, honestly, never really liked) after the confusion noted earlier today.  Might keep tweaking it a bit, but it's late at night so I don't feel like poking at it right now.

 

Also, under ******EXTREME PROTEST****** added an EXCEEDINGLY unofficial Captain Marvel comp.  For the ATP adjustment, I'm currently using 1.17686x which is 2024 ATP ($10.78)/ 2019 ATP ($9.16) over at the-numbers. 

 

One thing to note is the 2024 ATP ($10.78) is exactly the same as 2023 ($10.78), which very likely means it hasn't been updated for this year.    And then there's the R-rating and everything else mentioned in my prior posts.  Then again, if I bump up the ATP to something like $10.90, it only raises the comp to 40.56m, so perhaps not that big of a deal.

 

Still, "EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL" is there for a reason.   Just have to see how unreasonable of a comp it ends up being (FWIW, CM over-performed in Sacramento for whatever reason).

Edited Friday at 06:03 PM by Porthos

[abracadabra1998]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

 

FWIW, I stopped tracking Twisters on the side about a month back so I wouldn't get burnt out, but the numbers coming out of the Twin Cities has piqued my interest enough to check it Sun afternoon and just now (Thr night).

 

Not even a Quick and Dirty check, but right now I have:

 

Twisters Not-Even-Quick-And-Dirty Spot Sacramento Check [T-14]

506/24307 (2.08% sold) 140 showtimes [EA: 296 | Thr: 210]

 

0.62935x RotB at T-14     [5.54m]

1.114790x GBFE at T-14   [5.24m]

 

Those are probably the two most "on point" comps I have since I don't have The Fall Guy comps and most other things would probably be the wrong pre-sale patterns.  RotB more than GBFE, frankly (summer + Wed EA + RotB being hella backloaded).

 

So kinda in the middle of those two comps from Florida and Minnesota.  

 

Wouldn't be terribly surprising to me should Twisters over-perform in the Midwest, given the subject matter.  Marketing seems to be somewhat targeted to that neck of the woods as well, though perhaps not quite as targeted for the Twin Cities.

 

Still, looking good here, but not breaking out.  Yet.

 

(and not worth a devoted track from Yours Truly.  Again, yet)

 

Makes sense, I do expect Twisters to overindex here a bit, we’re not Nebraska/Kansas/Oklahoma but tornadoes are about the only natural disaster we get other than being cold af half the year

 

Although, I have been seeing a lot of comments about how White-skewing this is gonna be, and part of me thinks that maybe we’re underestimating the “disaster movie” of it all? IMO they’re advertising this less as a nostalgia sequel (TGM advertising) and way more as a typical disaster movie, and those tend to be quite backloaded and more Latino-heavy. Haven’t really decided how I feel about comps, and something like The Fall Guy versus Apes/Quiet Place

[Joyous Legion]

Yeah they won’t update 2024 atp until it’s released in 2025. Looking at CPI and past year’s atp increases I’m currently using a provisional 11.11 for 2024 when adjusting but not a big deal there

Edited Friday at 10:16 AM by Joyous Legion

[AniNate]

The thing I don't like re Twisters is that presales seem absolutely dead in Los Angeles. The EA screening at Baldwin hills is still only at one sale. Midwest definitely seems on board but I think they were hoping for at least a little coastal elite interest.

[vafrow]

On 6/29/2024 at 9:23 AM, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-20 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 9

New Sales since T-27: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 35

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 6/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 7/8

IMAX: 1/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

1.883x Fall Guy for $5.8M

0.367x KOTPOTA for $1.8M

0.647x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $3.8M

 

EA Comp

1.207x Fall Guy for $1.0M

 

The approach on EA showings really throw this off. Thankfully I have the Fall Guy numbers which had a similar set up, but the issue is that I have four of my theatres with Wednesday EA showings that's grabbing the bulk of the sales. This would be ahead of both Bad Boys and KOTPOTA otherwise. 

 

However, The Fall Guy did well in EA sales but it didn't translate to a strong performance in the end.

 

We'll continue to wait and see on this.

 

Twisters, T-14 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 9

New Sales since T-20: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 58

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 6/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 7/8

IMAX: 1/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

0.846x Fall Guy for $2.7M

0.256x KOTPOTA for $1.3M

0.393x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $2.3M

0.145x HG: BoSS for $0.8M

0.379x Furiosa for $1.3M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.605x KOTPOTA for $8.0M

2.464x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $12.3M

0.908x HG: BoSS for $4.5M

2.379x Furiosa for $11.9M

 

EA Comp

1.415x Fall Guy for $1.1M

 

No movement on preview sales, but EA continues to do well. Further, I actually realized there were two more EA shows on the Wednesday I didn't capture before (IMAX Q&A sessions). That means all five of my theatres have EA shows, and likely pulling demand away from official Thursday previews.

 

I set up two series of comps, one with Thursday to Thursday. The other that rolls the Wednesday EA into Twisters' total. I had to do the same with Fall Guy, which gives me one ideal comparison. But Twisters is doing better on EA, worse on previews.

 

The answer is probably in between somewhere of all these data points, but I really have no idea. 

I did a check on Friday sales and it's 27 across the sample. A 3:1 ratio from Thursday would be a good sign usually, but not when the theory is that those Wednesday sales would otherwise be Thursday sales.

[AniNate]

It does seem like it's selling pretty well in New York City based on a brief skim, so maybe it's just an LA disinterest thing

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/2/2024 at 5:11 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Despicable Me 4 [+4 days of sales]

T-3 Friday: 3873/262988

MTC4 Despicable Me 4 [+3 days of sales]

T-0 Friday: 17532/410896

[keysersoze123]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	27416	33607	6191	18.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

58

 

T-21 Comp

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	69.20		168	8947		0/329	31963/40910	21.87%		21117	29.32%		24.91m
L&T	122.35		336	5060		0/228	26540/31600	16.01%		16962	36.50%		35.48m
BP2	104.09		138	5948		1/294	31071/37019	16.07%		16800	36.85%		29.14m
AM3	156.18		119	3964		0/235	28592/32556	12.18%		10475	59.10%		27.33m
GOTG3	205.41		105	3014		0/206	26655/29669	10.16%		10750	57.59%		35.95m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1405/12916  [10.88% sold]
Matinee:    392/4466  [8.78% | 6.33% of all tickets sold]
3D:            682/6790  [10.04% | 11.02% of all tickets sold]
PLF:    3114/11526  [27.02% | 50.30% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold 56 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold 55 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
 

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.6466x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-21 [40.11m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]

 

====

 

People apparently had better things to do tonight than by tickets for a movie three weeks in advance.  Who would have guessed?

 

(most of us, aksually)

 

Aside from that, re-worded the "equivalent seats sold" section (which, honestly, never really liked) after the confusion noted earlier today.  Might keep tweaking it a bit, but it's late at night so I don't feel like poking at it right now.

 

Also, under ******EXTREME PROTEST****** added an EXCEEDINGLY unofficial Captain Marvel comp.  For the ATP adjustment, I'm currently using 1.17686x which is 2024 ATP ($10.78)/ 2019 ATP ($9.16) over at the-numbers. 

 

One thing to note is the 2024 ATP ($10.78) is exactly the same as 2023 ($10.78), which very likely means it hasn't been updated for this year.    And then there's the R-rating and everything else mentioned in my prior posts.  Then again, if I bump up the ATP to something like $10.90, it only raises the comp to 40.56m, so perhaps not that big of a deal.

 

Still, "EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL" is there for a reason.   Just have to see how unreasonable of a comp it ends up being (FWIW, CM over-performed in Sacramento for whatever reason).

Was your comps off yesterday or day before. All the comps have not changed at all. 

[Eric the Minion]

Quorum Updates

Longlegs T-8: 19.59% Awareness, 43.34% Interest

Twisters T-15: 51.33% Awareness, 55.89% Interest

Megalopolis T-85: 16.97% Awareness, 37.86% Interest

Here T-134: 10.39% Awareness, 37.3% Interest

Moana 2 T-146: 44.19% Awareness, 50% Interest

Captain America: Brave New World T-225: 45.04% Awareness, 54.85% Interest

 

MaXXXine T-1: 25.4% Awareness, 38.67% Interest

Final Awareness: 20% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 23% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 25% chance of 10M

 

Fly Me to the Moon T-8: 37.46% Awareness, 45.78% Interest

Final Awareness: 40% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Medium Awareness: 67% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

Medium Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M

 

1992 T-57: 20% Awareness, 43.5% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 38% chance of 10M

T-60 Interest: 61% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 32% chance of 10M

 

Afraid T-57: 9.83% Awareness, 36.22% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

T-60 Interest: 35% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 40% chance of 10M

[keysersoze123]

Longlegs MTC1

Previews - 11381/64157 172602.01 660 shows

Friday - 7610/157223 111192.68 1672 shows

 

Its previews sales are robust but very small release. I think it will hit double digits but how far it can go will depend on  how many shows it will add in final week. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/4/2024 at 8:37 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Longlegs	T-7	Jax	4	7	63	63	473	13.32%
		Phx	5	9	59	59	591	9.98%
		Ral	4	9	53	53	631	8.40%
	Total		13	25	175	175	1,695	10.32%

 

T-7 adjusted comps

 - Smile (Total) - 1.02x (1.75m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .81x (2.49m)

 - Strangers - 2.65x (2.67m)

 - Watchers - 4.27x (3.59m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 2.16m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Deadpool Wolverine	T-20	Jax	5	109	-	1,957	16,401	11.93%
		Phx	6	144	-	1,845	21,547	8.56%
		Ral	8	129	-	1,766	15,280	11.56%
	Total		19	382	-	5,568	53,228	10.46%
Fly Me to the Moon	T-6	Jax	5	17	-	9	1,232	0.73%
		Phx	7	22	-	10	1,776	0.56%
		Ral	8	23	-	18	2,281	0.79%
	Total		20	62	-	37	5,289	0.70%
Fly Me to the Moon (EA)	T-0	Jax	4	4	-	119	403	29.53%
		Phx	5	5	-	75	421	17.81%
		Ral	4	4	-	108	356	30.34%
	Total		13	13	-	302	1,180	25.59%
	T-1	Jax	4	4	-	53	372	14.25%
		Phx	5	5	-	33	421	7.84%
		Ral	4	4	-	40	356	11.24%
	Total		13	13	-	126	1,149	10.97%
Longlegs	T-6	Jax	4	7	10	73	473	15.43%
		Phx	6	11	30	89	687	12.95%
		Ral	4	9	0	53	631	8.40%
	Total		14	27	40	215	1,791	12.00%
Twisters	T-13	Jax	5	57	-	86	9,841	0.87%
		Phx	6	31	-	98	6,447	1.52%
		Ral	8	44	-	108	6,280	1.72%
	Total		19	132	-	292	22,568	1.29%
Twisters (EA)	T-12	Jax	3	4	-	39	909	4.29%
		Phx	1	2	-	17	618	2.75%
		Ral	2	2	-	27	412	6.55%
	Total		6	8	-	83	1,939	4.28%

 

Fly Me to the Moon (EA Total) T-1 adjusted comps

 - Lost City (EA Total) - 2x (1.54m)

 - Top Gun 2 (EA Total) - .237x (914k)

 - Black Phone (EA Total) - 3.292x (1.35m)

 

Fly Me to the Moon (previews) T-6 adjusted comps

 - Arthur the King - 1.321x (1.26m)

 - No Hard Feelings - .787x (1.7m)

 - Ticket to Paradise - .771x (870k)

 - Joy Ride - .841x (878k)

 - Massive Talent - .86x (715k)

 - Lost City - .182x (466k)

 

Longlegs T-6 adjusted comps

 - Smile (Total) - 1x (1.72m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .91x (2.79m)

 - Strangers - 2.83x (2.85m)

 - Watchers - 5x (4.2m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 2.2m

 

Twisters (Total) T-13 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 2.534x (7.98m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - 1.33x (4.29m)

 - Glass Onion - 1.113x (2.69m)

 - No Time to Die - .728x (4.77m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.07x (4.73m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 4.13m

 

Deadpool Wolverine T-20 adjusted comps

 - Dr Strange 2 - .642x (23.66m)

 - Thor 4 - 1.33x (39.47m)

 - Batman (Total) - 1.712x (38.61m)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 1.761x (30.82m)

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Was your comps off yesterday or day before. All the comps have not changed at all. 

 

No I just forgot to update the dailies for the comps.  Fixed and thanks for the catch.

[Porthos]

7 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Although, I have been seeing a lot of comments about how White-skewing this is gonna be, and part of me thinks that maybe we’re underestimating the “disaster movie” of it all? IMO they’re advertising this less as a nostalgia sequel (TGM advertising) and way more as a typical disaster movie, and those tend to be quite backloaded and more Latino-heavy. Haven’t really decided how I feel about comps, and something like The Fall Guy versus Apes/Quiet Place

 

Oh, I think treating it as a disaster flick is very likely the best play.  Problem is, our best recent stand-in for that genre is probably GxK. And since that had a 16 day pre-sale window the usefulness of that comp against a film that... didn't have that short of a pre-sale run isn't much.  At least right away.

 

Edited Friday at 06:10 PM by Porthos

[Flip]

7 hours ago, AniNate said:

The thing I don't like re Twisters is that presales seem absolutely dead in Los Angeles. The EA screening at Baldwin hills is still only at one sale. Midwest definitely seems on board but I think they were hoping for at least a little coastal elite interest.

At the non-plf theaters I track it’s doing meh, but it’s doing pretty strong at the PLF ones

[filmlover]

It's been a minute since we had a traditional disaster movie do well so Twisters is a bit of a wild card, especially since there's no expectation for this to the ride the coattails of the 1996 movie in any meaningful manner. Still thinking $50M is the target for it, all things considered.

[Tinalera]

7 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-14 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 9

New Sales since T-20: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 18

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA sales: 58

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 3/5

Early Evening: 6/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/0

Dolby: 7/8

IMAX: 1/6

4DX: 1/3

 

Previews Comps

0.846x Fall Guy for $2.7M

0.256x KOTPOTA for $1.3M

0.393x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $2.3M

0.145x HG: BoSS for $0.8M

0.379x Furiosa for $1.3M

 

Comps with EA rolled into previews 

1.605x KOTPOTA for $8.0M

2.464x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $12.3M

0.908x HG: BoSS for $4.5M

2.379x Furiosa for $11.9M

 

EA Comp

1.415x Fall Guy for $1.1M

 

No movement on preview sales, but EA continues to do well. Further, I actually realized there were two more EA shows on the Wednesday I didn't capture before (IMAX Q&A sessions). That means all five of my theatres have EA shows, and likely pulling demand away from official Thursday previews.

 

I set up two series of comps, one with Thursday to Thursday. The other that rolls the Wednesday EA into Twisters' total. I had to do the same with Fall Guy, which gives me one ideal comparison. But Twisters is doing better on EA, worse on previews.

 

The answer is probably in between somewhere of all these data points, but I really have no idea. 

I did a check on Friday sales and it's 27 across the sample. A 3:1 ratio from Thursday would be a good sign usually, but not when the theory is that those Wednesday sales would otherwise be Thursday sales.

Im not sure I will tackle twisters because of the EA. I just buggery boos my head lol. I mean i could do some (very) quick and dirtys if there is demand for it, but just adding the extra day for some reason throws me for a loop lol.

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	TC	Shows	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Despicable Me 4 (5-Day)	3,323	209,858	156,820	53,038	8,418	30,325
Despicable Me 4 (3-Day)	3,323	130,130	97,751	32,379	5,126	18,549
Inside Out 2	2967	72,583	62,201	10,382	1,649	8,080
A Quiet Place: Day One	3,019	65,143	63,633	1,510	296	0
MaXXXine	2181	32,174	32,140	34	0	0
Horizon Chapter 1	2,729	28,169	28,113	56	0	0
Bad Boys: Ride or Die	2041	24,238	24,208	30	0	0
Sound of Hope	2,042	22,042	22,022	20	0	0
Kinds of Kindness	799	8,735	8,735	0	0	0
The Bikeriders	1,304	8,232	8,229	3	0	0
Kill (Hindi)	723	6,113	6,113	0	0	0
Blue Lock The Movie	749	3,904	3,904	0	0	0
Thelma	517	3,445	3,445	0	0	0
Kingdom of the Apes	588	3,035	3,021	14	0	0

 

US Showtime Sample 7/5-7/7

 

Opening weekend showtime comps

Despicable Me (5-day) - 209,858 (3,323 TC)

 - Puss in Boots (5-day) - 117,093 (3,434)

 - Strange World (5-day) - 105,995 (3,347)

 

Despicable Me (3-day) - 130,130 (3,323 TC)

 - Across the Spiderverse (3-day) - 113,094 (3,484)

 - Minions 2 (3-day) - 127,925 (3,602)

 - Lightyear (3-day) - 132,571 (3,392)

 - Super Mario Bros (3-day) - 147,070 (3,292)

 

MaXXXine - 32,174 (2,181 TC)

 - Men - 31,745 (2,100)

 - Three Thousand Years of Longing - 32,529 (2,230)

 - Memory - 31,063 (2,233)

 - Green Knight - 30,531 (2,468)

 - Immaculate - 33,647 (2,104)

 - X - 34,402 (2,619)

 

Sound of Hope - 22,042 (2,042 TC)

 - Chosen 3: Ep 1/2 - 22,999 (1,970)

 - Chosen 4: Ep 7/8 - 20,593 (2,167)

 

T-1 Week showtime comps

Fly Me to the Moon (7/5 EA) - 952

Fly Me to the Moon (7/6 EA) - 953

 - Bullet Train EA - 887

 - Top Gun EA - 1,031 (944)

 - Dog EA - 1,111

 

Fly Me to the Moon - 29,997 (2,137 TC)

 - Crawdads - 29,677 (2,121)

 - Joy Ride - 29,656 (1,840)

 - 80 for Brady - 30,871 (2,381)

 - I Wanna Dance - 28,953 (2,345)

 - Challengers - 28,782 (1,949)

 - No Hard Feelings - 27,994 (1,836)

 

Longlegs - 21,420 (1,394 TC)

 - Last Voyage - 21,520 (1,552)

 - Back to Black - 20,355 (1,499)

 - Missing - 20,308 (1,615)

 - Last Night in Soho - 20,306 (1,787)

 - Blackening - 19,750 (1,221)

 - X - 19,249 (1,746)

 

Lion King (Re-release) - 17,196 (911 TC)

 - Titanic (re-release) - 17,111 (1,598)

 - No Way Home (re-release) - 15,478 (1,821)

 

T-2 Week previews comps

Twisters (7/17 EA) - 1,149 (983 TC)

 - Kingdom of Apes EA - 1,133 (961)

 - Creed 3 EA - 1,126 (889)

 - Top Gun EA - 970 (932)

 - Fall Guy EA - 1,190 (952)

 

Twisters - 13,352 (2,428 TC)

 - Ghostbusters FE - 12,645 (2,430)

 - Godzilla x Kong - 12,011 (2,175)

 - Indiana Jones - 13,664 (2,536)

 

Disciples in the Moonlight (OD) - 1,577 (1,102 TC)

 

T-3 Week previews comps

Deadpool & Wolverine - 27,246 (2,613 TC)

 - Black Panther 2 - 28,981 (2,733)

 - Dr Strange 2 - 30,203 (2,704)

 - Thor 4 - 23,551 (2,550)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 23,525 (2,664)

[AniNate]

‘Twisters’: Mother Nature, Not Its Cast, Biggest Draw for Audiences (hollywoodreporter.com)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/1/2024 at 6:42 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
555	1983	109875	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

38

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-17

(1.088x) of Apes $5.44M

(0.849x) of Ghostbusters $3.99M
Comps AVG: $4.72M 

 

No real movement 

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	2296	110297	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

94

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

COMPS

T-13

(1.196x) of Apes $5.98M

(0.849x) of Ghostbusters $3.88M

(1.272x) of Furiosa $4.45M
Comps AVG: $4.77M 

 

Pace is not improving much