charlie Jatinder Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 MON Should be 2.85, lets see what Sony give 1.9 1.65 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 What’s the usual pattern for the bank holiday Friday and Monday around Easter? Big Friday bumps, small Saturday changes, bigger drop Sunday, smaller drop Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 40 minutes ago, Krissykins said: What’s the usual pattern for the bank holiday Friday and Monday around Easter? Big Friday bumps, small Saturday changes, bigger drop Sunday, smaller drop Monday? from what I can remember Friday jumps can be over 100%, but Saturday either stays flat or slightly falls. Sunday decrease in the 30-40% range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) Edited March 26 by kayumanggi 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 31 minutes ago, wildphantom said: from what I can remember Friday jumps can be over 100%, but Saturday either stays flat or slightly falls. Sunday decrease in the 30-40% range. Thank you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) Was expecting a bigger drop for kung fu panda niceee still aligning higher than how to train your dragon 3 3rd Monday 1.4 million mid March spring break dragon 3rd monday 1.6 million for kung fu panda 4 2019 Easter had dumbo which killed a lot of how to train your dragon legs, Disney kids movie I think it will hold fine against Godzilla vs long Edited March 26 by Minnale101 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skim Beeble Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 So if Sony fudged the numbers for this weekend, I'm guessing we should see a larger than usual Tuesday bump estimated by Sony tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ziddletwix Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Only -15% drop for KFP4? Is that expected? (All its recent drops have been so much higher). Should we expect similarly low drops throughout this week & this weekend, or is there some reason this Monday would be an outlier? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squire Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 3 minutes ago, Skim Beeble said: So if Sony fudged the numbers for this weekend, I'm guessing we should see a larger than usual Tuesday bump estimated by Sony tomorrow? Is that the current theory? Sony fudged the weekend numbers to make it look better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) Edited March 26 by kayumanggi 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skim Beeble Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 5 minutes ago, Squire said: Is that the current theory? Sony fudged the weekend numbers to make it look better? According to Charlie, it made around $43M this weekend. Maybe it's because Sony wanted the "bigger opening than Afterlife" headlines. Charlie might be right, I see no reason a movie would drop around 75% on Monday where a lot of people are on Spring Break, though I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leoh Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: MON Should be 2.85, lets see what Sony give 1.9 1.65 Nope. Sony has just reported 2.875, again more than what you’re expecting… I think being such a wide release, almost 4350 location, may be creating some distortions with comps released in 3.5k/4K locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 15 minutes ago, Squire said: Is that the current theory? Sony fudged the weekend numbers to make it look better? Other studios need to call them out then. Throwing out an extra $2M is laughable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) Edited March 26 by kayumanggi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leoh Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Mojoguy said: Other studios need to call them out then. Throwing out an extra $2M is laughable. not really, Charlie said Monday box office should be at 2.85M and he was saying Sony would report 1.9/1.65 if Sony had fudged numbers. However, Sony has just reported 2.875M… even more than what Charlie thought would be the right report. So this ends that theory of fudged numbers. Edited March 26 by leoh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 3 minutes ago, leoh said: not really, Charlie said numbers should be 2.85M and he was saying Sony would report 1.9/1.65 if Sony had fudged numbers. However, Sony has just reported 2.875… so even more than what Charlie thought would be the right report. So this ends that theory of fudged numbers. I can't tell if you genuinely don't get it or you're just that deep into the troll act but 1.9 is Charlie's Dune number and 1.65 is Charlie's KFP number, they have nothing to do with Ghostbusters. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 4 minutes ago, leoh said: not really, Charlie said Monday box office should be at 2.85M and he was saying Sony would report 1.9/1.65 if Sony had fudged numbers. However, Sony has just reported 2.875M… even more than what Charlie thought would be the right report. So this ends that theory of fudged numbers. No, the 1.9 and 1.65 are the numbers for Dune and KFP 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: MON Should be 2.85, lets see what Sony give 1.9 1.65 Did you consider theater buyouts for kid birthday parties for the weekend? They wouldn't show in your Ghostbusters numbers, right? It's like the 2020 problem when we were tracking movies that allowed theater buyouts vs ticket sales that now really only affects new kid/family movie releases b/c they are so infrequent, you get a pile all booking the same movie for the same Sat/Sun showings...maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 26 Author Share Posted March 26 (edited) 17 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Did you consider theater buyouts for kid birthday parties for the weekend? They wouldn't show in your Ghostbusters numbers, right? It's like the 2020 problem when we were tracking movies that allowed theater buyouts vs ticket sales that now really only affects new kid/family movie releases b/c they are so infrequent, you get a pile all booking the same movie for the same Sat/Sun showings...maybe? Everything is reported. The raw gross which is 97-99% of actuals for all films is $41.7M. The best it can be is $43.25M. That aside, there has never been case of SAT actuals coming 5% higher than estimates. The only estimate part of weekend that can change significantly is SUN. Sony firstly fudged OD from $15.4M to $16M but their SAT estimate was $16.9M which was what it was. They gave a optimistic 27% SUN drop for $45M estimates but actual SUN dropped 37% to $10.7M. But Sony just bumped SAT numbers and gave 37% drop from that for $45M weekend actuals. Edited March 26 by charlie Jatinder 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leoh Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 (edited) 31 minutes ago, ChipDerby said: No, the 1.9 and 1.65 are the numbers for Dune and KFP Thanks I was assuming that because 2.87M just reported by Sony is a 74% drop from Sunday, which is pretty much in line with KFP4 drop (71%)… So if I’m not mistaken, if Charlie theory was correct (43.3M instead of 45M), Ghostbusters would have made 4.5M today (considering there would be a 1.7M fudged for the weekend)… right? 4.5M on Monday would be a 58% drop from Sunday (considering Charlie said it made 10.75M on Sunday)… I mean Dune dropped 66% on its first Monday… I’m not saying that a 58% drop from Sunday would be impossible, but it is hard to believe it’s holding so much better than Dune… Edited March 26 by leoh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
