Weekend Numbers [Aug 02 - Aug 04, 2024] | Actuals | 96.81M DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE | 22.80M TWISTERS | 15.45M TRAP

[ThomasNicole]

2 hours ago, emoviefan said:

So it's basically a M Night movie from the last 20 years or so. Did like Knock at the Cabin though when I watched it on Amazon and Split was good and then he shit the bed with Glass. 

Glass is great and better than Split imo

[ThomasNicole]

A bit lackluster for Trap but not bad either 

 

Not sure if it can make 20M, but should be close enough (18 or so). 
 

If it follows Old he’s fine. Audience reception so far doesn’t seem that bad for a thriller.

Edited August 2 by ThomasNicole

[Ryan C]

https://www.indiewire.com/news/box-office/deadpool-wolverine-august-box-office-embarrassment-1235031021/

 

I know IndieWire is a lot more pessimistic than other box office websites, but I can't wait for them to be shocked when either It Ends With Us or Alien Romulus breaks out in a way that the industry isn't expecting. 

 

I'm sure both movies will be frontloaded, but if they both hit at least $50M on their opening weekends, we'll have two $100M+ grossers in August which they are expecting none and would be better than last year when we only had one (TMNT: Mutant Mayhem).

[Ryan C]

10 minutes ago, blazera said:

I am not to long here but he seems like a pretty accurate source. He nailed nearly everything this year and called a lot of breakouts early. Any reason for beeing careful with his projections? Just curious

 

I've heard plenty of stories about him being a massive jerk on this forum when he was here and if you don't remember, he said that Furiosa looked like it was going to do solid business, but that turned out to be a massive lie. 

 

He may have been right about Inside Out 2, but I'm still gonna be very cautious with whatever he says. I'm sorry but I don't want a Furiosa-type situation again where my hopes are high but are devastatingly not met. 

[ZattMurdock]

 

[rihrey]

 

[ZattMurdock]

 

LET’S FUCKING GO.

[Relevation]

54 minutes ago, Ryan C said:

https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/p/5-week-tracking-and-forecasts-will?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=2245202&post_id=147278891&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=33t9rb&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email

 

Range for Beetlejuice Beetlejuice: $57M-$79M

Range for It Ends With Us: $30M-$45M

Range for Alien: Romulus: $41M-$51M

Range for Borderlands: $8M-$13M

All too low except for Borderlands imo (although I did strongly question Shawn’s ranges on Twisters and DP&W only to be proven super wrong)

 

But with these 3 I’m more optimistic given very strong initial sales for the August two and Beetlejuice Beetlejuice tracking very nicely with other big nostalgia sequel breakouts and having the potential for a monster marketing campaign

 

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice - $81-126M OW

It Ends With Us - $47-55M OW

Alien: Romulus - $54-71M OW

[grey ghost]

What's everyone's top 3 most anticipated for next year?

 

Cap 4
Thunderbolts
Fantastic Four 
Superman
Avatar 3
Minecraft
Naked Gun
Snow White
Mission Impossible 8
Karate Kid
Jurassic Park 4
Tron Ares
Mortal Kombat 2
Wicked 2
Zootopia 2

 

 

Edited August 2 by grey ghost

[Eric Prime]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's everyone's top 3 most anticipated from next year?

 

Cap 4
Thunderbolts
Fantastic Four 
Superman
Avatar 3
Minecraft
Naked Gun
Snow White
Mission Impossible 8
Karate Kid
Jurassic Park 4
Tron Ares
Mortal Kombat 2
Wicked 2
Zootopia 2

Whichever ones have hot people in them.

[Ryan C]

3 minutes ago, Relevation said:

All too low except for Borderlands imo (although I did strongly question Shawn’s ranges on Twisters and DP&W only to be proven super wrong)

 

But with these 3 I’m more optimistic given very strong initial sales for the August two and Beetlejuice Beetlejuice tracking very nicely with other big nostalgia sequel breakouts and having the potential for a monster marketing campaign

 

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice - $81-126M OW

It Ends With Us - $47-55M OW

Alien: Romulus - $54-71M OW

 

I'm more cautious about Alien: Romulus than I was a few days ago (I took the comparison to Furiosa in the pre-sale thread a bit too seriously), but I'm firmly confident that both It Ends with Us and Beetlejuice Beetlejuice will be breakouts. 

[ZattMurdock]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's everyone's top 3 most anticipated for next year?

 

Cap 4
Thunderbolts
Fantastic Four 
Superman
Avatar 3
Minecraft
Naked Gun
Snow White
Mission Impossible 8
Karate Kid
Jurassic Park 4
Tron Ares
Mortal Kombat 2
Wicked 2
Zootopia 2

 

 

Fantastic Four

Captain America: Brave New World

Thunderbolts

Superman

Jurassic Reboot

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's everyone's top 3 most anticipated for next year?

 

Cap 4
Thunderbolts
Fantastic Four 
Superman
Avatar 3
Minecraft
Naked Gun
Snow White
Mission Impossible 8
Karate Kid
Jurassic Park 4
Tron Ares
Mortal Kombat 2
Wicked 2
Zootopia 2

 

 

New PTA Film

New Michael B Jordan/Ryan Coogler Film

Avatar 3

[baumer]

42 minutes ago, blazera said:

I am not to long here but he seems like a pretty accurate source. He nailed nearly everything this year and called a lot of breakouts early. Any reason for beeing careful with his projections? Just curious

 

They are very optimistic projections especially if it does do 28 on friday. 

 

I said it earlier in the week so I think it's going to have a $100 million second weekend but it does seem optimistic right now.

[Mojoguy]

2 hours ago, rihrey said:

help

Yikes at Harold!

 

DM4 and IO2 with another amazing hold this weekend!

[justnumbers]

Yeah BOT number for Beetlejuice Beetlejuice feels low. I think that's going to be big.

[WorkingonaName]

31 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

What's everyone's top 3 most anticipated for next year?

 

Cap 4
Thunderbolts
Fantastic Four 
Superman
Avatar 3
Minecraft
Naked Gun
Snow White
Mission Impossible 8
Karate Kid
Jurassic Park 4
Tron Ares
Mortal Kombat 2
Wicked 2
Zootopia 2

 

 

Resurrection of the Christ

Avatar 3

Dead Reckoning 2

[AniNate]

Just going up to August:

 

Elio

Flowervale Street

Untld Coogler

[lorddemaxus]

57 minutes ago, blazera said:

I am not to long here but he seems like a pretty accurate source. He nailed nearly everything this year and called a lot of breakouts early. Any reason for beeing careful with his projections? Just curious

Aside from him being an asshole, the problem is he always tends to give all movies very high predictions. Sometimes it works out but most of the time his predictions end up being overly optimistic.

[AniNate]

Has Passion 2 even started filming yet? Definitely not gonna be ready for that supposed April release if it hasn't