SPECTRE | 11/6/15 | Final Trailer on Page 126! | Twitter reactions coming in, STID 2.0?

[Jonwo]

I get absolute joy out of the Heineken TV spots just thinking about how much Craig hated doing them.

 

Compare them to Naomi Harris in the Xperia Z5 ad, she looks like she had fun making it. He can't complain as he likely got paid well for it, either in cash or free beer.  

[Jonwo]

$280m is the # someone posted above.  In the Sony leaks it was mid 300 millions.  $280m might be after tax credits.

 

Sony's deal with EON ends after SPECTRE.  Sso either they'll be renewed as financier/distributor or EON and MGM will find another studio to partner up with for the Bond franchise.

 

Warner Bros seems to be the favourite but I assume the Broccolis will have the final say 

[BadAtGender]

I can believe the budget is that high. When Quantum of Solace was released, I believe that per minute of runtime it was the most expensive movie of all time. 1h 46m, $200m reported budget.

[Arthur Pendragon]

Are you really surprised by this low tracking? I never felt any hype for this.

[grim22]

Warner Bros seems to be the favourite but I assume the Broccolis will have the final say 

 

Obviously the Broccolis will have the final say as with all things Bond. I could definitely see them moving to WB for the next 4 movies at the very least just to see how things go at a new studio.

[kayumanggi]

[CJohn]

RIP this movie

 

Star Wars hype is killing everything and marketing has been mediocre at best. 

 

It might still do 200M DOM which is great all things considered. 

[Truckasaurus]

$75-80M = low tracking.

 

 

Never change, BOT.

[TalismanRing]

$75-80M = low tracking.

 

 

Never change, BOT.

 

Boner Omega #s (which I think is Reel Source, are they?) had it at a  giddy $120m+ a month ago and even last week it was tracking at $80m+ so it's understandable.

 

No early reviews probably aren't helping with the tracking but if they're great when it comes out in the UK (which is what they usually are) that will probably turn the tide a bit.

[WrathOfHan]

$75-80M = low tracking.

 

 

Never change, BOT.

It is pretty low compared to what it was originally tracking. I'm starting to doubt high-200's though.

Edited October 20, 2015 by WrathOfHan

[AJG]

A cinema in Wimbledon is showing this 33 times on a TUESDAY.

How big di they expect this thing to be. I don't think there's been as much hype for this compared to Skyfall.

[SchumacherFTW]

A cinema in Wimbledon is showing this 33 times on a TUESDAY.

How big di they expect this thing to be. I don't think there's been as much hype for this compared to Skyfall.

Gotta take the whole family to something that isn't shit this half term remember.

[TalismanRing]

It is pretty low compared to what it was originally tracking. I'm starting to doubt high-200's though.

 

With mid $200s or even $240m it would still rank top 5 in the US adjusted for inflation and quite a bit higher than any other Craig Bond.

 

 

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Adj. Gross / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Date
1	Thunderball	UA	$623,832,000	-	n/a	-	12/21/65
2	Goldfinger	UA	$552,942,000	-	n/a	-	12/22/64
3	Skyfall	Sony	$315,602,300	3,526	$91,548,000	3,505	11/9/12
4	You Only Live Twice	UA	$299,439,300	-	n/a	-	6/13/67
5	Moonraker	MGM	$233,613,400	-	$23,619,000	788	6/29/79
6	Die Another Day	MGM	$230,050,800	3,377	$67,569,800	3,314	11/22/02
7	Tomorrow Never Dies	MGM	$224,439,200	2,807	$45,684,700	2,807	12/19/97
8	From Russia, with Love	UA	$222,371,000	-	n/a	-	4/8/64
9	Diamonds Are Forever	UA	$221,487,900	-	n/a	-	12/17/71
10	Casino Royale	Sony	$212,075,200	3,443	$51,992,100	3,434	11/17/06
11	The World Is Not Enough	MGM	$207,280,700	3,163	$58,312,700	3,163	11/19/99
12	GoldenEye	MGM	$203,528,900	2,667	$50,241,300	2,667	11/17/95
13	Quantum of Solace	Sony	$195,570,000	3,501	$78,438,800	3,451	11/14/08
14	Octopussy	MGM	$179,756,400	1,339	$23,570,600	1,311	6/10/83
15	The Spy Who Loved Me	UA	$175,172,400	-	n/a	200	7/13/77
16	Live and Let Die	UA	$166,695,600	-	n/a	-	6/27/73
17	For Your Eyes Only	MGM	$164,438,400	-	$20,504,900	952	6/26/81
18	Dr. No	UA	$157,646,000	-	n/a	-	5/8/63
19	Never Say Never Again	WB	$146,765,000	1,560	$29,013,000	1,550	10/7/83
20	On Her Majesty's Secret Service	UA	$133,760,000	-	n/a	-	12/18/69
21	A View to a Kill	MGM	$118,235,300	1,588	$25,107,200	1,583	5/24/85
22	The Living Daylights	UA	$109,179,100	1,728	$23,572,300	1,728	7/31/87
23	The Man with the Golden Gun	UA	$93,532,900	-	n/a	-	12/18/74
24	License to Kill	UA	$72,826,900	1,587	$18,433,700	1,575	7/14/89

[AJG]

Gotta take the whole family to something that isn't shit this half term remember.

You shouldn't have reminded me it's half term...

I've got some planning to do.

[dudalb]

Most studios would kill for a 75 to 80 Million opening.

 

Fact is, SPECTRE is not going to get the kind of hype that Skyfall got because of the Fifieth anniversary of James Bond.Skyfall got tons of free publicity because of that. SPECTRE won;t get that benefit.

 

But SPECTRE,even with it's huge budget, will still be a huge Earner for SONY.

 

What is interesting is that this is the last film under EON's current contract with SONY;EON is free to go to any studio with 007 after SPECTRE. Lots of studios will be interested. If SONY wants to keep Bond,they will have to open up their checkbooks.

BTW,Craig's contract is with EON, not SONY.

Edited October 20, 2015 by dudalb

[Truckasaurus]

dudalb and Talisman hit the nail on the head. Perspective, people. A $75-80M opening is still the 2nd highest grossing Bond OW by a big margin, and would all but guarantee the film became the 2nd highest-grossing Bond movie, unadjusted for inflation (and barring toxic WOM). 

[Kvikk Lunsj]

75m-80m seems about right to me. 

[mahnamahna]

Mission Impossible 5 tracked at $35 million a week before opening lol and ended up at $55 million OW.

 

Spectre will skew slightly older than the average tentpole, so it could still do $85-95 million OW. 

 

There's still two weeks for Sony to ramp up Spectre's marketing campaign

[Dementeleus]

The trouble isn't the 75-80m, it's that tracking is decreasing.

[antovolk]

Screens to press tonight UK time so by around 4/5pm ET we'll get reviews.