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CJohn

Weekend estimates thread TA 103,052,274!!

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dude. are you ever going to tell me what software you use for this chart? lol

Sorry did you ask me earlier? With the way these threads move, your query may have got buried. Anyway, the app is Swiffchart.

So about a 560-570mil finish for The Avengers then. :)

Higher.
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TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Marvel's The Avengers BV $103,052,274 -50.3% 4,349 - $23,696 $373,071,647 $220 2
2 N Dark Shadows WB $29,685,274 - 3,755 - $7,906 $29,685,274 $150 1
3 2 Think Like a Man SGem $5,816,108 -28.3% 2,052 +42 $2,834 $81,432,840 $12 4
4 3 The Hunger Games LGF $4,505,362 -19.4% 2,531 -263 $1,780 $387,007,048 $78 8
5 5 The Lucky One WB $4,107,492 -23.5% 2,839 -166 $1,447 $53,788,233 - 4
6 6 The Five-Year Engagement Uni. $3,314,010 -34.1% 2,569 -372 $1,290 $24,623,420 $30 3
7 4 The Pirates! Band of Misfits Sony $3,143,442 -42.9% 3,079 -279 $1,021 $23,047,000 $55 3
8 16 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel FoxS $2,672,140 +262.5% 178 +151 $15,012 $3,744,656 - 2
9 9 Chimpanzee BV $1,755,507 -29.3% 1,559 +28 $1,126 $25,717,478 - 4
10 7 Safe (2012) LGF $1,447,174 -45.9% 1,690 -581 $856 $15,717,429 - 3
11 N Girl in Progress LGF $1,384,078 - 322 - $4,298 $1,384,078 - 1
12 8 The Raven Rela. $1,378,847 -47.7% 1,888 -321 $730 $14,723,775 $26 3
13 10 The Three Stooges Fox $1,078,339 -41.1% 1,416 -758 $762 $41,153,769 $30 5
14 11 The Cabin in the Woods LGF $971,465 -37.9% 1,029 -640 $944 $39,753,912 - 5
15 12 John Carter BV $766,217 -48.7% 230 -119 $3,331 $71,726,762 $250 10
16 13 21 Jump Street Sony $645,109 -40.3% 589 -451 $1,095 $135,117,543 $42 9

 

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You're seeing the effects of this being a spectacle movie like I mentioned. Movies like Avatar, Star Wars, JAWS, The Dark Knight, had the spectacle aspect going for it. The thing that locked this as an opening weekend record breaker, and was just brilliant on Disney and Marvel's part, was knowing they had a great movie, and releasing it abroad the week before. That guaranteed the record was going to be broke by enough that I had no concerns calling it a lock. The quality of Avengers (seen it 3 times!) was a best case scenerio. It was easy to see that DKR never stood a chance against this. Nowhere near the family appeal. The question now remains about just how high it can go. The Dark Knight is obviously going to get passed up, and Titanic could. I don't see Avatar going down anytime soon, but who knows... If any movie could do that, this is the one. The sequel would have to be just as good to stand any chance.

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You're seeing the effects of this being a spectacle movie like I mentioned. Movies like Avatar, Star Wars, JAWS, The Dark Knight, had the spectacle aspect going for it. The thing that locked this as an opening weekend record breaker, and was just brilliant on Disney and Marvel's part, was knowing they had a great movie, and releasing it abroad the week before. That guaranteed the record was going to be broke by enough that I had no concerns calling it a lock. The quality of Avengers (seen it 3 times!) was a best case scenerio. It was easy to see that DKR never stood a chance against this. Nowhere near the family appeal. The question now remains about just how high it can go. The Dark Knight is obviously going to get passed up, and Titanic could. I don't see Avatar going down anytime soon, but who knows... If any movie could do that, this is the one. The sequel would have to be just as good to stand any chance.

It DROPPED from estimates, man. GAME OVER
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You're seeing the effects of this being a spectacle movie like I mentioned. Movies like Avatar, Star Wars, JAWS, The Dark Knight, had the spectacle aspect going for it. The thing that locked this as an opening weekend record breaker, and was just brilliant on Disney and Marvel's part, was knowing they had a great movie, and releasing it abroad the week before. That guaranteed the record was going to be broke by enough that I had no concerns calling it a lock. The quality of Avengers (seen it 3 times!) was a best case scenerio. It was easy to see that DKR never stood a chance against this. Nowhere near the family appeal. The question now remains about just how high it can go. The Dark Knight is obviously going to get passed up, and Titanic could. I don't see Avatar going down anytime soon, but who knows... If any movie could do that, this is the one. The sequel would have to be just as good to stand any chance.

I thinking the sequel will increase or have a big drop off since it won't be as special.
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Est. / Act. Diff Movie Title (click to view) Studio Studio Est. / Actual Diff % Diff Theaters Est. Total Actual Wk
1 1 - Marvel's The Avengers BV $103,163,000 $103,052,274 $-110,726 -0.1% 4,349 $373,182,000 $373,071,647 2
2 2 - Dark Shadows WB $28,805,000 $29,685,274 $+880,274 +3.1% 3,755 $28,805,000 $29,685,274 1
3 3 - Think Like a Man SGem $6,300,000 $5,816,108 $-483,892 -7.7% 2,052 $81,917,000 $81,432,840 4
4 4 - The Hunger Games LGF $4,400,000 $4,505,362 $+105,362 +2.4% 2,531 $386,902,000 $387,007,048 8
5 5 - The Lucky One WB $4,055,000 $4,107,492 $+52,492 +1.3% 2,839 $53,721,000 $53,788,233 4
6 7 +1 The Pirates! Band of Misfits Sony $3,200,000 $3,143,442 $-56,558 -1.8% 3,079 $23,104,000 $23,047,000 3
7 6 -1 The Five-Year Engagement Uni. $3,100,000 $3,314,010 $+214,010 +6.9% 2,569 $24,377,000 $24,623,420 3
8 8 - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel FoxS $2,650,000 $2,672,140 $+22,140 +0.8% 178 $3,723,000 $3,744,656 2
9 9 - Chimpanzee BV $1,624,000 $1,755,507 $+131,507 +8.1% 1,559 $25,586,000 $25,717,478 4
10 11 +1 Girl in Progress LGF $1,350,000 $1,384,078 $+34,078 +2.5% 322 $1,350,000 $1,384,078 1
11 12 +1 The Raven Rela. $1,300,000 $1,378,847 $+78,847 +6.1% 1,888 $14,645,000 $14,723,775 3
12 10 -2 Safe (2012) LGF $1,275,000 $1,447,174 $+172,174 +13.5% 1,690 $15,545,000 $15,717,429 3
13 13 - The Three Stooges Fox $1,000,000 $1,078,339 $+78,339 +7.8% 1,416 $41,075,000 $41,153,769 5
14 14 - The Cabin in the Woods LGF $970,000 $971,465 $+1,465 +0.2% 1,029 $39,752,000 $39,753,912 5
- 16 - 21 Jump Street Sony $675,000 $645,109 $-29,891 -4.4% 589 $135,147,000 $135,117,543 9

 

 

TLAM was really, really off from estimates.  When most movies improved over estimates, that plunged.  By a lot.  Huh.  I guess mothers didn't like TLAM.

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TLAM was really, really off from estimates. When most movies improved over estimates, that plunged. By a lot. Huh. I guess mothers didn't like TLAM.

It actually wasn't so much that as Sony get pretty overconfident: they projected a 9% increase on Sunday lol
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You're seeing the effects of this being a spectacle movie like I mentioned. Movies like Avatar, Star Wars, JAWS, The Dark Knight, had the spectacle aspect going for it. The thing that locked this as an opening weekend record breaker, and was just brilliant on Disney and Marvel's part, was knowing they had a great movie, and releasing it abroad the week before. That guaranteed the record was going to be broke by enough that I had no concerns calling it a lock. The quality of Avengers (seen it 3 times!) was a best case scenerio. It was easy to see that DKR never stood a chance against this. Nowhere near the family appeal. The question now remains about just how high it can go. The Dark Knight is obviously going to get passed up, and Titanic could. I don't see Avatar going down anytime soon, but who knows... If any movie could do that, this is the one. The sequel would have to be just as good to stand any chance.

I'd like this post if I could. My sentiments exactly. There's a real shot of THE AVENGERS sinking the TITANIC (even with the 3D re-release), but a real uphill battle against AVATAR. But who knows? Let's hope so, if there's a movie deserving of becoming the highest grossing movie ever, it's this one. :D
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I'd like this post if I could. My sentiments exactly. There's a real shot of THE AVENGERS sinking the TITANIC (even with the 3D re-release), but a real uphill battle against AVATAR. But who knows? Let's hope so, if there's a movie deserving of becoming the highest grossing movie ever, it's this one. :D

The like feature is available here!
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