JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[catlover]

The japanese really never get tired of their own franchises : 18th movie for Conan, 17th movie for Pokemon, 35th (!!!) movie for Doraemon, and yet they keep pulling in the same numbers, sometimes even improving them. I can't imagine any other country where fatigue wouldn't have set in by now with such a fast pace in the releases.

 

Those movies are released on the same weekend every year so I think they have become annual events, some kind of tradition. You know, like Christmas, or Halloween. People do the same thing every year on those days. That's why people don't get tired. It's interesting to see how long they're gonna survive.

[Incarnadine]

 

*Total... 807/4903 - 16.4%

 

last Sat 5/3 Roppongi....1334/4823  - 27.6%  

 

The overall level is half of last saturday.

 

807 vs 1334 is a hair over  60%. A 60% hold from last weekend overall would be 6.66m , near the low end of most estimates, but still in the range.

 

Considering the 8th weekend record was 695m Yen before Frozen obliterated it, I'm guessing the 9th weekend record will be in play with any number in the estimated range (most seem to have it 6.5-7.5m)

Edited May 9, 2014 by Incarnadine

[SamComedian]

807 vs 1334 is a hair over  60%. A 60% hold from last weekend overall would be 6.66m , near the low end of most estimates, but still in the range.

 

Considering the 8th weekend record was 695m Yen before Frozen obliterated it, I'm guessing the 9th weekend record will be in play with any number in the estimated range (most seem to have it 6.5-7.5m)

 

I hope that 6,5-7,5m or more...

[rhfqkddl45]

So, Nihonbashi actually has more seats tomorrow than it did last Saturday? I figured they would all have a small reduction this weekend.

 

some Theaters increase (nihonbashi,hibiya,roppongi etc)  

some Theaters decrease (Shibuya etc) 

 

but overall you're correct.

 

Toho..Last saturday -156,396

Toho..This Saturday-150,736

 

reduced very slightly 

[mfantin65]

Friday1.1m day6.3m week +6.6%110.9m totProjections9.8m weekend. I'm tired of being short. 3D will be like an anticipated OW. Sun eve bump and 3d prices bump weekend another 10%. Seat saturation at 60% is feasible. competition from women's drama, Roman bath 2, is the only threat here but plenty of butts to fill the seats.Range for the weekend 8m, if RB2 comes into play, to 10m, if S-A and 3d dubbed cause greater attendance.14 hours to make revisions. Hint: its going to be at 160-170m by the end of GW.mfantin .............314.800. 18 weekend multiplier after huge GW takes out HP7.2!!Boxx93..............260Kingslayer..........250Chucky ..............240Omni .................225Song of Iceroll. .222Ray.....................215Spizzer...............215Edroger..............210Queen Elsa........210Ball Lightning.....210Incaradine..........207Rsyu...................205Tong Kosong......203................................This is the "no fucking way its below this" line or I will be your butler for a year................................Murgatroyd.........200Keysersoze.........200rhfqkddl45........ .195DamienRoc.........193,435,058Catlover..............190Olive Max...........188.4Chasmmi............187Cynosure ...........185Ray subers.........175 "200 is absurd" email him, let'm know whatya think.rsubers@boxofficemojo.com careful, he's easily threatenedcorpse ...............170 "and will never break 244"Labas.................170‏@giteshpandya ..150Lab276 ..............147anyone else? Predictions due 90m before sat 1430 toho(12am ny). Saturday enters phase two w GW, 3d and sing-alongWinner is closest dollar amount away from final number. up or down. np penalty for going over. Aim high aim true!First prize is ray subers job♣Second place is Gitesh Pandya's jobThird place, a set of steak knives, (name the movie, was actually for second place)*5.6m to omni changing his avatar to the greatest actor of the last quarter century

Okay people. Time for another challenge. I projected 165m for the end of GW two weeks ago and there were a lot of non believers judging by so many 200m and below predictions. Mid 160s is going to happen by sunday. Now the question is what kind of hold this weekend and legs are to follow. Its very simple, yet not, to come up with a final number. Determine what the weekend will be, apply a multiplier and add to 165-168m.6m x 10?7m x 15?8m x 20?This is not a revision. The first round stays intact. Someone in the top 5 will win that one. Well, probably me or boxx if it fades.Take the week to contemplate it, due by 1200 Tokyo saturday, 11pm ny friday. This could be months before its decided, if you're all not too low. Aim high and stay in the game until autumn.mfantin............. 325,000,000 KingSlayer............275,000,000Ray........................273,000,000SamComedian.......272,000,000DamienRoc...........266,992,761Boxx93.................265,000,000Henry II................262,000,000Murgatroyd..........258.000,000Catlover................255,800,000Quigley.................255,000,000Chucky.................252,252,252ZackZack..............250,000,000Incardine..............250,000,000Omni....................245,000,000 :rant:tong kosong..........245,000,000Hans13.................228,000,000Keysersoze123 ...225,000,000Corpse..................200,000,000 will never break 244mRaySubers.............I don't know, a lot Will it crash like Its HMC or soar like SA .We could do a third challenge at the start of summer. Triple crown!

Many that predicted earlier have not ponied up again. Half of you are out of the race unless you're right in predicting the box office collapse of the century! If that happens, I'll clean your house right after Omni's funeral.giddy up! whats your number for the long walk to the close? New people welcome. due in 8 hours Edited May 10, 2014 by mfantin65

[BadAtGender]

266,992,761

[Omni]

I want 245M so badly!

12x post-Obon multiplier is what I'm expecting. I also expect it not to get an extended run.

It's at 160M now. 85/12=7.05M weekend needed.

[mfantin65]

I want 245M so badly!12x post-Obon multiplier is what I'm expecting. I also expect it not to get an extended run.It's at 160M now. 85/12=7.05M weekend needed.

Corpse said NEVER! 243.8 would just ruin your year wouldn't it?

[chuck0]

Corpse said NEVER! 243.8 would just ruin your year wouldn't it?

 

I guess i could up mine to 243.81 after all

[LABAS]

Today is the 109 discount day.Thus, this will affect toho numberto some degree.

[mfantin65]

I guess i could up mine to 243.81 after all

that is still under corpse's spirited away dollar gross.

[chuck0]

that is still under corpse's spirited away dollar gross.

 

Aw damn... i guess then i will have to go with something like with 252,252,252$ in order to squeeze in between the other predictions... 

 

and i am preparing myself for a harsh drop this weekend... though i would hope that the next WE holds typical frozen style

Edited May 9, 2014 by chuck0

[mfantin65]

Aw damn... i guess then i will have to go with something like with 252,252,252$ in order to squeeze in between the other predictions... 

corpse said 244, compared to BOM 230..252 cubed it is!

[Incarnadine]

Aw damn... i guess then i will have to go with something like with 252,252,252$ in order to squeeze in between the other predictions... 

 

and i am preparing myself for a harsh drop this weekend... though i would hope that the next WE holds typical frozen style

I'm not even going to compare this weekend's drop to last weekend, I'm looking forward to a good hold from the Apr. 26-27 weekend. Hoping for a drop of -10% or less from that weekend. That would be the kind of hold for Frozen we are used to.

[Murgatroyd]

I think I'll go with $258M.  That'll put it just above Titanic in yen.

[Ray]

273. That's certainly pushing the high end, but if my numbers are correct, that would take Frozen to $1.3B WW.

[mfantin65]

Unless the world ends before next Sunday, beating The Wind Rises is a done deal. Ponyo is very likely, and barring a post-Golden Week crash, Howl seems more likely than not. Spirited Away is not happening.

I think I'll go with $258M. That'll put it just above Titanic in yen.

your getting close to the "not happening number" these days are ya? Edited May 10, 2014 by mfantin65

[Murgatroyd]

I still say SA isn't happening.  I decided to go with the very optimistic end of my range for this one.

[keysersoze123]

I hope it beats SA but my feeling is this one is going to slow down. Its inevitable. I would say around 225M for now. Hope I am wrong and this does like 300M.

[Rsyu]

corpse:

Best Multipliers (Wide-Releases) [2001-]

01. 30.37 - Spirited Away (July, 2001)

02. 26.99 - Princess Mononoke (July, 1997)

03. 26.13 - Avatar (Dec., 2009)

04. 23.21 - Departures (Dec., 2008) 

05. 20.89 - Frozen (Mar., 2014) [54 Days in Release]

06. 19.96 - Les Miserabes (Dec., 2012) 

07. 16.44 - The Cat Returns (July, 2002)

08. 16.03 - The Eternal Zero (Dec., 2013) [137 Days in Release]

09. 15.69 - Monsters, Inc. (Mar., 2002)

10. 15.25 - The Last Samurai (Dec., 2003)

11. 14.98 - Ponyo (July, 2008)

12. 14.84 - Howl's Moving Castle (Nov., 2004)

13. 14.81 - Always: Sunset on Third Street (Nov., 2005)

14. 14.25 - Confessions (June, 2010)

15. 13.96 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (July, 2003)

16. 13.83 - Thermae Romae (Apr., 2012)

17. 13.64 - Crying Out Love, in the Center of the World (May, 2004)

18. 13.09 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Dec., 2001)

19. 12.98 - Summer Wars (Aug., 2009)

20. 12.88 - Ted (Jan., 2013) 

21. 12.51 - The Wind Rises (July, 2013) 

22. 12.50 - The Phantom of the Opera (Jan., 2005)

23. 12.48 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (Aug., 2003)

24. 12.24 - Finding Nemo (Dec., 2003)

25. 11.56 - The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki (July, 2012)

Edited December 13, 2014 by Rsyu