JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[lab276]

When do the holidays end?

Edited January 3, 2015 by lab276

[Cynosure]

Tomorrow is the last day. Next weekend is a three day weekend though.

Edited January 3, 2015 by Cynosure

[edroger3]

Toho admissions

 

Day      Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0-Fri    49.224
1-Sat    58.491    46.753   133.455
2-Sun    64.414    47.611   137.103
W1-ADM  854.620   463.556 1.484.916

Gr.MYen   986,4     600,4    1629,0

 

3-Mon    19.967    16.834    45.005

4-Tue    21.651    47.073   107.265

5-Wed    43.281    32.637    43.836
6-Trh    26.963    28.705    35.850
7-Fri    68.297    25.265    49.472

8-Sat    67.663    31.272    43.782

9-Sun    72.506    41.083    55.686
W2 Tot  320.328   222.869   380.896

 

10-Mon   28.363    48.697    64.826

11-Tue   34.679    44.206    44.795

12-Wed   83.675    35.066    32.642

13-Thr   40.795    49.665    28.162

14-Fri   37.218    40.730    30.669

15-Sat   58.906    52.774    38.745
Tot     776.093   588.371   891.293

 

BH6 +68% Yokai -12% vs last sat

[humanscrabble]

Will BH6 be able to hit $40 million USD in Japan at the end of this week, or is $35 million more likely?

[edroger3]

Will BH6 be able to hit $40 million USD in Japan at the end of this week, or is $35 million more likely?

TohoX for Frozen's first 16 days was 60, BH6 could have a higher average price, but had for sure weaker exchange rate, so I think about 55X

BH6 had 588k toho admissions by today, it could be (more more more estimates) 31-33M$ and 34-36M$ at the end of the week.

I haven't see officials for past week. We'll see.

Edited January 3, 2015 by edroger

[cremino]

The video for Hikaru Utada's last song was directed by Evangelion co-director and her songs were used as the ending theme for the movies and She will return for the last one.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uuMNmHdr0Lg

 

And some new footage (skip to 1.30)

 

http://animatorexpo.com/untilyoucometome/

Edited January 3, 2015 by eren jaeger

[CelestialFairyIX]

Big Hero 6 needs to continue this trend because we all know it is capable of doing so, the WOM and the people of Japan just have to get really attached to the movie and all will be well.  However, I don't think this is another Frozenite... BUT you never know, so let us all pray for the success of this great movie!  

 

PS: FEAST BETTER WIN THAT OSCAR/ACADEMY AWARD BECAUSE IT MORE THAN DESERVES TO DO SO!

[edroger3]

Japan is a market where animated movies and girl-centric movies are clearly dominant, it's absolutely logical to see Maleficent ahead.

So, what about Cinderella, the live action version of a girl-centric (yes, partially) animated, attached with the sequel (yes, mini) of the most successful girl-centric animated ever?

[Fullbuster]

So, what about Cinderella, the live action version of a girl-centric (yes, partially) animated, attached with the sequel (yes, mini) of the most successful girl-centric animated ever?

 

Do you really need to ask? It's perfectly in line with what I said and it will be a real success, a bit like Alice in Wonderland in 2010.

[cremino]

Corpse

 

Sorry that I didn't provide any updates this past week, but I've been really busy.

Weekend Forecast (01/03-04)

01 (02) ¥680 million ($5.8 million), +50%, ¥3.90 billion ($33.3 million), Big Hero 6 (Disney) Week 3
02 (01) ¥490 million ($4.2 million), -10%, ¥4.85 billion ($41.4 million), Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) Week 3
03 (04) ¥135 million ($1.2 million), +60%, ¥790 million ($3.4 million), The Vancouver Asahi (Toho) Week 2
04 (03) ¥125 million ($1.1 million), +06%, ¥1.35 billion ($11.5 million), Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 4
05 (05) ¥104 million ($890,000), +26%, ¥1.10 billion ($9.4 million), The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 4
06 (08) ¥81 million ($690,000), +40%, ¥1.62 billion ($13.9 million), Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 6
07 (06) ¥78 million ($660,000), +18%, ¥1.71 billion ($14.7 million), The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 5
08 (07) ¥65 million ($480,000), +17%, ¥800 million ($6.8 million), Gone Girl (Fox) Week 4
09 (09) ¥43 million ($360,000), -12%, ¥140 million ($1.2 million), Princess Jellyfish (Asmik Ace) Week 2
10 (11) ¥33 million ($280,000), +25%, ¥1.05 billion ($9.0 million), Interstellar (Warner Bros.) Week 6
11 (09) ¥23 million ($195,000), -19%, ¥450 million ($3.8 million), Aikatsu! The Movie (Toei) Week 4

Note: Weekend Forecast % changes based on last Weekend's Estimates. New Year delays actual figures for a couple weeks,
so take these as very rough estimates.

>Big Hero 6 overtook Yo-Kai Watch in the daily race on Wednesday (Tuesday in gross), and has maintained a steady lead ever since. It was bound to happen eventually once schools start back, which will hit Yo-Kai Watch very hard, but doing so before the Winter Break is over is surprising.

And it's looking at possibly its best weekend to date, too, besting its opening weekend. It should be pretty close to the ¥4 billion milestone after this weekend, so it's going to reach at least ¥6 billion ($50 million) minimum and could make a run at ¥7 billion+ ($60 million+).

>Yo-Kai Watch is experiencing some severe frontloading, and even though it had a record opening weekend and should be near an incredible ¥5 billion after Sunday, it's clear the franchise is appealing exclusively to young children (94% of its opening weekend audience were children under 10 with their parents afterall). And since there aren't many children in Japan, and the number is decreasing every year, it's clear the franchise has its limit and this is probably it.

It should still be aiming for about ¥7 billion ($60 million), which is still a huge figure, especially when you consider that it'll have nearly 7 million admissions, too, since its avg. ticket price is incredibly low due to its young audience. Its admissions total won't be easy for any film this coming year to beat.

Besides the two leading New Year films, the rest of the top 10 is kinda uninteresting: The Vancouver Asahi is doing very well after its mediocre debut, and should see the biggest weekend increase after looking at Saturday numbers; The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies looks to be on track to surpass The Desolation of Smaug, but may fall short of An Unexpected Journey; Parasyte Part 1 is experiencing a late boost to its previously disappointing run, though it's a bit too late now; and Interstellar could reappear in the Top 10 this weekend.

[Dingdong123]

Good to see Big Hero 6 atop the Japanese box office after being blocked on its OW! Baymax's revenge haha!

[catlover]

The video for Hikaru Utada's last song was directed by Evangelion co-director and her songs were used as the ending theme for the movies and She will return for the last one.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uuMNmHdr0Lg

 

And some new footage (skip to 1.30)

 

http://animatorexpo.com/untilyoucometome/

 

Actually, "Beautiful World" is not Hikaru's last song. It was released in 2007. And she had a bunch of songs after that before the hiatus. But yeah, this is a new video using her song, as a promotional video for Hikaru's cover album "Utada Hikaru no Uta", a compilation of her songs sung by other Japanese artists. Can't wait for her new song. She's one my favorite artists ever.

Edited January 4, 2015 by catlover

[Fullbuster]

>Yo-Kai Watch is experiencing some severe frontloading, and even though it had a record opening weekend and should be near an incredible ¥5 billion after Sunday, it's clear the franchise is appealing exclusively to young children (94% of its opening weekend audience were children under 10 with their parents afterall). And since there aren't many children in Japan, and the number is decreasing every year, it's clear the franchise has its limit and this is probably it.

 

 

 

A clear example of the importance of demographic changes in Japan.

In 2014 Japan recorded 1,001,000 births, compared 1,010,000 in 2013 / 1,083,000 in 2010 and 1,194,000 in 2000.

 

Still, I expected to see a bigger advantage for Yokai in terms of gross, that means BH6 should pass it in the end

[lab276]

A clear example of the importance of demographic changes in Japan.

In 2014 Japan recorded 1,001,000 births, compared 1,010,000 in 2013 / 1,083,000 in 2010 and 1,194,000 in 2000.

Is that number correct? That's a lot closer to 2013 than 2013 was to 2012.

[Fullbuster]

Is that number correct? That's a lot closer to 2013 than 2013 was to 2012.

 

Japan's birth rate slumped to a record low in 2014, health ministry figures show, dropping to 1,001,000 newborns in 2014 - 9,000 fewer than in 2013.

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-30653825

 

Why would I lie about something like that?

[lab276]

Japan's birth rate slumped to a record low in 2014, health ministry figures show, dropping to 1,001,000 newborns in 2014 - 9,000 fewer than in 2013.

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-30653825

 

Why would I lie about something like that?

Not lie, it's just a much smaller decline than previous years, even though you'd expect it to be increasingly worse and worse.

Edited January 4, 2015 by lab276

[Fullbuster]

Not lie, it's just a much smaller decline than previous years, even though you'd expect it to be increasingly worse and worse.

 

Not necessarily, the declines are relatively small sometimes and sometimes they're pretty big, it depends on many factors.

However next year will be a shock : the number of births will fall under 1 million for the first time since the 1870s, at a time when the Japanese population was much smaller and rural.

[edroger3]

Toho admissions

Day Frozen BH6 YoHW

0-Fri 49.224

1-Sat 58.491 46.753 133.455

2-Sun 64.414 47.611 137.103

W1-ADM 854.620 463.556 1.484.916

Gr.MYen 986,4 600,4 1629,0

3-Mon 19.967 16.834 45.005

4-Tue 21.651 47.073 107.265

5-Wed 43.281 32.637 43.836

6-Trh 26.963 28.705 35.850

7-Fri 68.297 25.265 49.472

8-Sat 67.663 31.272 43.782

9-Sun 72.506 41.083 55.686

W2 Tot 320.328 222.869 380.896

10-Mon 28.363 48.697 64.826

11-Tue 34.679 44.206 44.795

12-Wed 83.675 35.066 32.642

13-Thr 40.795 49.665 28.162

14-Fri 37.218 40.730 30.669

15-Sat 58.906 52.774 38.745

16-Sun 80.440 46.501 34.188

Tot W3 364.076 317.639 274.027

Tot 856.533 634.872 925.481

Estimate 34,9M$

Update: screendaily tells 34,6. Toho multiplier 55X seems to work very well.

Edited January 4, 2015 by edroger

[cremino]

Corpse

 

Weekend Estimates (01/03-04)

01 (02) ¥611 million ($5.2 million), +35%, ¥3.85 billion ($33.0 million), Big Hero 6 (Disney) Week 3
02 (01) ¥404 million ($3.4 million), -24%, ¥4.75 billion ($40.6 million), Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) Week 3
03 (04) ¥131 million ($1.1 million), +52%, ¥790 million ($6.7 million), The Vancouver Asahi (Toho) Week 3
04 (03) ¥104 million ($880,000), -14%, ¥1.34 billion ($11.4 million), Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 4
05 (05) ¥85 million ($730,000), +03%, ¥1.08 billion ($9.2 million), The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 4
06 (09) ¥70 million ($595,000), +20%, ¥1.61 billion ($13.8 million), Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 6
07 (06) ¥61 million ($520,000), -08%, ¥1.70 billion ($14.6 million), The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 5
08 (07) ¥58 million ($495,000), +04%, ¥800 million ($6.8 million), Gone Girl (Fox) Week 4
10 (10) ¥45 million ($380,000), -10%, ¥145 million ($1.3 million), Princess Jellyfish (Asmik Ace) Week 2
10 (11) ¥31 million ($265,000), +09%, ¥1.05 billion ($9.0 million), Interstellar (Warner Bros.) Week 6
11 (09) ¥22 million ($190,000), -20%, ¥450 million ($3.8 million), Aikatsu! The Movie (Toei) Week 4
12 (12) ¥22 million ($190,000), +02%, ¥550 million ($4.7 million), Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Gaim & Drive: Full Throttle (Toei) Week 4

Note: Weekend Estimates % changes based on last Weekend's Estimates. New Year delays actual figures for a couple weeks, so take these as rough estimates.

>Big Hero 6 looks slightly ahead of its opening weekend admissions by about 5%, and may have delivered its best weekend to date as a result. It's going to double Wreck-It Ralph's total, having already outgrossed it by a significant amount, and it wont be long before it outgrosses most of Pixar's films (Ratatouille, Wall-E, Up, and The Incredibles are all coming up), too, and becomes Disney Animation's 2nd biggest film behind Frozen.

It may still take a couple weeks to do it, but it's likely to surpass Yo-Kai Watch (in gross at least) with a chance of reaching ¥7 billion ($60 million).

>Yo-Kai Watch... eh. It continues to drop fast, and not even New Year is benefiting it all that much. Of course, it doesn't have a wide audience with 94% of it being elementary kids, that of which it burned through opening weekend/week, but it should be holding up a little better than this.

I think it's just going to edge past ¥6 billion ($50 million) and maybe 6 million admissions. That's a great figure (especially the admissions), much higher than any Doraemon or Detective Conan film, and also bigger than every Pokemon film besides the first two, so that's a huge accomplishment... but it's kinda disappointing after its record opening weekend.

The franchise is also brand new, the first game launching in 2013 and the anime just last year, so let's see where it goes from here.

[cremino]

Corpse

 

Walt Disney Animation's Top Grossing Films (1980-)


01. ¥25.47 billion ($249.6 million) - Frozen (2014) #3 All-Time
02. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) - Dinosaur (2000)
03. ¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) - Aladdin (1993)
04. ¥3.85 billion ($33.0 million) - Big Hero 6 (2014) [16 Days in Release] *Est.*
05. ¥3.20 billion ($31.7 million) - The Lion King (1994)
06. ¥3.00 billion ($32.3 million) - Wreck-It Ralph (2013)
07. ¥2.91 billion ($24.5 million) - Lilo & Stitch (2003)
08. ¥2.80 billion ($26.2 million) - Tarzan (2000)
09. ¥2.68 billion ($23.1 million) - Chicken Little (2006)
10. ¥2.60 billion ($20.2 million) - Beauty and the Beast (1992)
11. ¥2.56 billion ($32.1 million) - Tangled (2011)
12. ¥2.30 billion ($19.3 million) - Peter Pan 2: Return to Neverland (2003)
13. ¥1.95 billion ($18.4 million) - The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996)
14. ¥1.65 billion ($17.4 million) - Bolt (2009)
15. ¥1.60 billion ($14.7 million) - Brother Bear (2004)

16. ¥1.28 billion ($10.6 million) - Atlantis: The Lost Empire (2002)
17. ¥1.20 billion ($8.9 million) - The Little Mermaid (1991)
18. ¥1.10 billion ($9.3 million) - Hercules (1997)
¥1 billion+