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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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FB does great,night shows is great too.FB has less showtimes than DS.Per screen is even better than DS.

DS Fri 36.6%

more than eighty thousand shows

Saturday 38.6% 

almost nighty thousand shows

 

FB Fri 31.8%

sixty thousand shows

Saturday 34.7%

seventy thousand shows

 

less showtimes and worse open window.FB does great for sure.

$85M~$90M is possible.

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Saturday Estimates
Fantastic Beasts  ¥112M /189M($27.4M)
Moana  ¥36M /49.3M($7.15m)
Madame Bovary:¥16.2M/¥317M 
Dective Conan 20:¥9.6M/14.85m
Dr Strange ¥4.25M/742M
Billy Lynn: ¥2.65m/¥153M 
 
FB Saturday has increased an impressive 50% from Friday-mids, even better than DS. Heading to around $40M OW.

Moana Saturday also had 170%+ bump, way better than Dory but not as great as Zootopia. Heading to $11.5-12M OW

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16 hours ago, seduh said:

great number for FB, let's hope it can have a good hold next weekend. $80 in play

 

Assuming the evening will be weak, it still looks like 90m will happen today for FB. A very good -20.4% hold edging out DS's 21.3%

Moana might be picking up on WoM. Its looking to be flat or better DoD.  We have two strong WoM movies with a crowded weekend coming up.

Your Name PS at 5.7m. PS should get close to 40m and have a 100m+ OD. Miss Peregrine will open under 15m, the other releases will open under 10m. The question is, will FB and Moana be able to hold 50% of their shows next week. I think if they get hit hard on Friday they will quickly get them back starting Saturday like DS.  Moana will have a tougher time overall next week with direct competition.

 

XMA had very good WoM and managed to do 2x OW with WC opening just 5 days into its run. With a $40.5m OW, FB should make at least $90m with $100m possible(2.5x OW, the same as DS).  I think its skewing younger than DS, I expect Mondays drop to be a little bigger, but Tuesdays hold to be -10% or better.

 

AM           DS         FB        
Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Fri 76     80 13 81     86 13 74     77 11
Sat 108 41.6%   188 29 120 47.4%   206 30 113 52.1%   190 27
Sun 84 -22.1%   272 43 94 -21.3%   300 44 90 -20.4%   280 40.5
Mon 32 -61.9%   304 48 34 -64.0%   334 49          
Tues 29 -10.0%   333 52 31 -9.4%   365 54          
Wed 25 -13.2%   358 56 27 -11.0%   392 57          
Thur 23 -9.0%   380 60 23 -16.1%   415 61          
Fri 33 46.4% -56.3% 414 65 38 65.2% -53.3% 453 66          
Sat 60 80.2% -44.4% 474 74 66 73.7% -45.0% 519 76          
Sun 47 -22.2% -44.4% 520 82 50 -24.2% -47.0% 569 83          
Mon 15.3 -74.5% -52.2% 536 84 16.0 -75.8% -52.9% 585 86          
Tue 14.7 -3.9% -49.0% 550 86 14.5 -9.4% -52.9% 600 88          
Wed 13.4 -8.8% -46.4% 564 88 13.7 -5.5% -50.0% 613 90          
Thu 12.2 -9.0% -46.4% 576 90 12.5 -8.8% -45.7% 626 92          
Fri 15.6 27.9% -53.2% 592 93 14.8 18.4% -61.1% 641 94          
Sat 30.5 95.5% -49.2% 622 98 34.1 130.4% -48.3% 675 99          
Sun 22.0 -27.87% -52.9% 644 101 27.5 -19.4% -45.0% 702 103          
Mon 7.3 -66.8% -52.3% 651 102 8.7 -68.4% -45.6% 711 104          
Tue 5.0 -31.5% -66.0% 656 103 8.2 -5.7% -43.4% 719 105          
Wed 2.7 -46.0% -79.9% 659 103 7.9 -3.7% -42.3% 727 107          
Thu 2.6 -3.7% -78.7% 662 104 7.5 -5.1% -40.0% 735 108          
        672 105     Proj 750 110.0          
        XR 6.38       XR 6.82       XR 6.92

 

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