POTUS 2020 Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 2 hours ago, Fake said: Added nearly 14M in the last hour (vs 17.5M for FF5 or 80%)..... if it can continue this pace... maybe it can push towards 280-290M, giving it a shot at 2B.... but let's see how the evening goes.... Now that summer has started tyically there is a 50% increase in the run rate from 6-9pm. FF8 did not increase due PS sell outs. TF5s runrate could stay close to flat part in sellouts and part in poor WoM. Straight 14m per hour begets 275m. If it increases to 21m p/h then 296m. Like FF8 and RE6 a 15% sat increase is the max. Could be flat like AC. OW will probably be under 900m. Just under 800m possible with 45/275/270/200m. Total at or under 1800m for a 10% decline. Not bad compared to all other markets. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 6pm 21681,RE6 was 15720 and finally did 21330. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 (edited) 2.85 seems the number it will be. 42/285/325/258=910, 2b looks more and more difficult. Edited June 23, 2017 by ymblcza Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 23, 2017 Author Share Posted June 23, 2017 6 hours ago, POTUS said: Now that summer has started tyically there is a 50% increase in the run rate from 6-9pm. FF8 did not increase due PS sell outs. TF5s runrate could stay close to flat part in sellouts and part in poor WoM. Straight 14m per hour begets 275m. If it increases to 21m p/h then 296m. Like FF8 and RE6 a 15% sat increase is the max. Could be flat like AC. OW will probably be under 900m. Just under 800m possible with 45/275/270/200m. Total at or under 1800m for a 10% decline. Not bad compared to all other markets. not to forget service fees 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 FRI estimated before service charges TF5 - 269.1m / 308.7m after service chargers TF5 - 289m / 330.8m the fourth highest OD, before 2 Furious films and JTTW2 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 OD is not bad but douban rating is down to 4.9. That is crazy low for sure. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: FRI estimated before service charges TF5 - 269.1m / 308.7m after service chargers TF5 - 289m / 330.8m the fourth highest OD, before 2 Furious films and JTTW2 nice number in the end. service charge certainly helped making it look more acceptable. 42 + 289 + 310 + 220 = 861m yuan ow sound right? that's 126m usd ow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: OD is not bad but douban rating is down to 4.9. That is crazy low for sure. will sink further for sure, hope it will impact its leg but i doubt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 under TF4 in yuan a near certainty now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: OD is not bad but douban rating is down to 4.9. That is crazy low for sure. Is that lower than Mummy's rating? Damn... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 1 hour ago, a2knet said: nice number in the end. service charge certainly helped making it look more acceptable. 42 + 289 + 310 + 220 = 861m yuan ow sound right? that's 126m usd ow. PS at 88m. Its usually 4x PS day after 3x OD. Could reach 350m up 21% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 (edited) Rank Title Opening Day (million) 1 Fate of the Furious ¥479.90 $69.72 2 Furious 7 ¥398.81 $64.24 3 Journey to the West 2 ¥368.83 $53.62 4 Transformers: The Last Knight ¥330.76 $48.40 5 Warcraft ¥301.71 $45.93 6 The Mermaid ¥277.22 $42.19 7 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter ¥229.55 $33.44 8 Avengers: Age of Ultron ¥215.59 $34.73 9 Star Wars: The Force Awakens ¥212.21 $32.19 10 Lost in Hong Kong ¥210.22 $32.94 11 Time Raiders ¥200.20 $30.09 12 Captain America: Civil War ¥198.31 $30.52 13 Transformers: Age of Extinction ¥195.26 $31.40 Edited June 24, 2017 by Gavin Feng 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Rank Title Opening Day (million) 1 Fate of the Furious ¥479.90 $69.72 2 Furious 7 ¥398.81 $64.24 3 Journey to the West 2 ¥348.83 $50.71 4 Transformers: The Last Knight ¥330.76 $48.40 5 Warcraft ¥301.71 $45.93 6 The Mermaid ¥277.22 $42.19 7 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter ¥229.55 $33.44 8 Avengers: Age of Ultron ¥215.59 $34.73 9 Star Wars: The Force Awakens ¥212.21 $32.19 10 Lost in Hong Kong ¥210.22 $32.94 11 Time Raiders ¥200.20 $30.09 12 Captain America: Civil War ¥198.31 $30.52 13 Transformers: Age of Extinction ¥195.26 $31.40 that includes midnights, right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 (edited) 22 hours ago, NCsoft said: under TF4 in yuan a near certainty now? The most likely case is slightly over TF4,need to wait for how the weekend goes. EDIT:now it almost becomes a certain,Saturday increased just like Mummy and around 870m OW ,need about 2.27 multiplier. Edited June 24, 2017 by ymblcza 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 TF5 running at 18M per hour right now (75% of FF5). If it continues this pace for the day, it will land at 310-320M Yuan. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 8 hours ago, Fake said: TF5 running at 18M per hour right now (75% of FF5). If it continues this pace for the day, it will land at 310-320M Yuan. just about to cross 300m. Great call. Looks like a 310m saturday. That is less than 10% increase. Sunday PS looks weak. Looks like 30% drop day to me !!! Weak competition ahead may be enough for just squeezing out a 2x multi. But it aint making 2B yuan for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 30 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: just about to cross 300m. Great call. Looks like a 310m saturday. That is less than 10% increase. Sunday PS looks weak. Looks like 30% drop day to me !!! Weak competition ahead may be enough for just squeezing out a 2x multi. But it aint making 2B yuan for sure. So, looking at a $125m opening? $250m looks like the ceiling - but could easily wind up under Ultron or even JW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 27 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: So, looking at a $125m opening? $250m looks like the ceiling - but could easily wind up under Ultron or even JW that would be shocking ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 Definitely believe it will be out of top 3 of 2017. When I woke up yesterday, I saw many negative reviews from TF fanboys who enjoyed TF4… I can find so many good things from the worst film I ever saw after watching TF5... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 SAT estimated before service chargers TF5 - 288.7m / 594.8m after service chargers TF5 - 310m / 638.3m > 632m = TF4 OW 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...