Cooper Legion Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, Fake said: Combined global opening: DOM: 257.7 OS: 382.8 + 18.2 (Russia) + 200.3 (China) = 611.3 Total: 869M I wonder when we will see a $1B opener. 52 weeks (15% increase wouldn’t actually be that crazy considering the pseudo-finale nature) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoilingHotCoffee Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 where are we look at for Monday gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 15 minutes ago, Fake said: Combined global opening: DOM: 257.7 OS: 382.8 + 18.2 (Russia) + 200.3 (China) = 611.3 Total: 869M I wonder when we will see a $1B opener. *601.3 *859M 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) @2pm 44.50 130-200 RR= 3.26 Run rate will stay constant until 430, which is typically the midpoint. 57.54 115m -65%, slightly better than the 66-68% norm RPO had a 5pm midpoint. Maybe it can improve to 120m but also be 110m witha 4pm mp Tuesday hold is more critical. -15% to 25% will determine the OW multi FF8 was 163m, but it played stronger midweek, only had a 55% bump on its second Saturday, AoU and CA3 bumped more than 80% FF8s Tuesday drop was an unusually high 25%. I guess weekend demand carried over to monday but not to tuesday @HouseOfTheSun I project off of PS. Not sure what JW2 could do. JW broke out but was cut short on screens as local competition came out. My guess is that it could improve over the the first one($228m) depending on rating and competition Edited May 14, 2018 by POTUS 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 30 minutes ago, Agafin said: *601.3 *859M that 859 is bigger than global totals of most cbms last year. 880 smh 864 gotg2 859 aiw 'ow' 854 thor3 822 wondr 658 jl 619 logan 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 - - 4PM 79,00 9,60 - - 5PM 89,26 10,26 - - 6PM 101,23 11,97 - - 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, abra said: Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 - - 4PM 79,00 9,60 - - 5PM 89,26 10,26 - - 6PM 101,23 11,97 - - 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 3.26 again Does anyone know what PS were last night? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 42 minutes ago, Agafin said: *601.3 *859M Oh yes. Correct! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, POTUS said: 3.26 again Does anyone know what PS were last night? Finished at 22.5M (3AM). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Usually marvel have a bad drop on Monday?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 30 minutes ago, POTUS said: 3.26 again Does anyone know what PS were last night? about 22,00 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Assuming 115m happen. Im looking for it play out like this Mon 115 Tues 92 -20% Wed 74 -20% Thu 59 -20% 1607m/$254m week Fri 82 +40% -79% WoW Sat 148 +80% -70% Sun 108 -27% -67% 2nd W/E 338m -72% 1945m/$307m 10 day 2nd Week 433m -73% 2040m/$322m 14 day 3rd week 147m -66% 4th week 50m -66% 2237m/$353m Second weekend could be over 75% but third or fourth weekend could be in the 50s. Childrens day on the 4th friday will bump it a little We need to see better than 20% holds this week to see high $300s. 15% average daily drop to get to $400m 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Fake said: Combined global opening: DOM: 257.7 OS: 382.8 + 18.2 (Russia) + 200.3 (China) = 611.3 Total: 869M I wonder when we will see a $1B opener. When they make a blockbuster that's less than 2 hours so they can fit 15% more show in a weekend Its funny how movies targeting the "A.D.D" generation are 2.5 hours long and the dramas are less than 2 hours. Used to be the other way around. There were a lot of 3-4 hour epics for the older crowd Edited May 14, 2018 by POTUS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 - - 5PM 89,26 10,26 - - 6PM 101,23 11,97 - - 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 16 minutes ago, POTUS said: Assuming 115m happen. Im looking for it play out like this Mon 115 Tues 92 -20% Wed 74 -20% Thu 59 -20% 1607m/$254m week Fri 82 +40% -79% WoW Sat 148 +80% -70% Sun 108 -27% -67% 2nd W/E 338m -72% 1945m/$307m 10 day 2nd Week 433m -73% 2040m/$322m 14 day 3rd week 147m -66% 4th week 50m -66% 2237m/$353m Second weekend could be over 75% but third or fourth weekend could be in the 50s. Childrens day on the 4th friday will bump it a little We need to see better than 20% holds this week to see high $300s. 15% average daily drop to get to $400m Great analyze. My monday math away from strange bathrooms with nothing else than a phone says 115-120 mill today. I doubt midpoint will be 4,30 today after a little frontloaded weekend. But if it hits 120+ and a 15-18% drop tomorrow it should indicate good enough WOM for a 350-360 mill run 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 So far IW has always come out with slightly weaker numbers than the projected ones. So I guess 110M for today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 - - 6PM 101,23 11,97 - - 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) 4pm: 60.53 Probably be around 64 for 4.30. If that is the midpoint then 128 for the day and around a 61-62% drop. If midpoint is 4pm - 121 and 63.3% drop Edited May 14, 2018 by TalismanRing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, POTUS said: @2pm 44.50 47.76 130-200 RR= 3.26 Run rate will stay constant until 430, which is typically the midpoint. 57.54 63.80 115m -65%, slightly better than the 66-68% norm 128m +/-5m RPO had a 5pm midpoint. Maybe it can improve to 120m but also be 110m witha 4pm mp Tuesday hold is more critical. -15% to 25% will determine the OW multi FF8 was 163m, but it played stronger midweek, only had a 55% bump on its second Saturday, AoU and CA3 bumped more than 80% FF8s Tuesday drop was an unusually high 25%. I guess weekend demand carried over to monday but not to tuesday @HouseOfTheSun I project off of PS. Not sure what JW2 could do. JW broke out but was cut short on screens as local competition came out. My guess is that it could improve over the the first one($228m) depending on rating and competition I should not be doing math as soon as I wake up. Its maintaining the RR but used the wrong start time and total and didnt add in half an hour. Thank god im not a bridge builder 1 hour ago, Omni said: So far IW has always come out with slightly weaker numbers than the projected ones. So I guess 110M for today. You're back and on the negative side as usual, don't get ulcers over this. Numbers are just fine. I havent chatted with you in over a year. How you been? 50 minutes ago, abra said: Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67 6.5 - 6PM 101,23 11,97 76 9 - 7PM 118,28 17,05 89 13 - 8PM 135,34 17,06 102 13 - 9PM 148,70 13,36 115 13 - 10PM 160,01 11,31 125 10 - rate will double from 6-9pm 49 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: 4pm: 60.53 Probably be around 64 for 4.30. If that is the midpoint then 128 for the day and around a 61-62% drop. If midpoint is 4pm - 121 and 63.3% drop yup That changes the whole projection for the total however the larger monday mite lead to a steeper drop on tuesday like FF8 Edited May 14, 2018 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 A Quiet Place presales (1.84M 3days+8h before opening) is on par with RPO (1.84M 3d+5h) and Tomb Raider (2.05M 3d+5.5h) , both final presales reached 13M, so it's very likely to do 10M presales and 30M OD and 120M ($19M) final gross even with bad wom 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...