POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, ymblcza said: A Quiet Place presales (1.84M 3days+8h before opening) is on par with RPO (1.84M 3d+5h) and Tomb Raider (2.05M 3d+5.5h) , both final presales reached 13M, so it's very likely to do 10M presales and 30M OD and 120M ($19M) final gross even with bad wom could be 40m OD from 10mPS, 4x the norm these days, 130mOW, 200m/$30m+ Total Edited May 14, 2018 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67,31 6,78 21,95 6PM 101,23 11,97 - - 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 118-124 mon i think; 62-64% drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ymblcza Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 15 minutes ago, POTUS said: could be 40m OD from 10mPS, 4x the norm these days, 130mOW, 200m/$30m+ Total horrors may be very unfriendly to GA, that could be reality with a 7.x maoyan score. And Sat's presale is quite weak also. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Still doing 65% of FF8 every hour. If that holds up 116-117 should happen by 10pm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) FF8 had similar presales as IW I believe. It added around 140M during the day. The midpoint for the Monday additions was 5:15 PM approx. IW should get 5:00PM as worst case and 5:30PM as best case. The corresponding figures would be 112M and 120M. Edited May 14, 2018 by Fake 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67,31 6,78 21,95 6PM 101,23 11,97 74,97 7,66 26,26 7PM 118,28 17,05 - - 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67,31 6,78 21,95 6PM 101,23 11,97 74,97 7,66 26,26 7PM 118,28 17,05 84,62 9,65 33,66 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) 50 minutes ago, abra said: Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67,31 6,78 21,95 6PM 101,23 11,97 74,97 7,66 26,26 7PM 118,28 17,05 84,62 9,65 33,66 8PM 135,34 17,06 - - 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - lower than expected bump innit? 120 looks gone with that. 84.62 + 11 + 8 + 6.5 = 110 (-67%) Edited May 14, 2018 by A2k Raptor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 16 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said: lower than expected bump innit? 120 looks gone with that. 84.62 + 11 + 8 + 6 = 110 (-67%) 3pm midpoint on a weekday. never seen that before Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Istealnames Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Looks like we will see heavy drop offs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 16 minutes ago, POTUS said: 3pm midpoint on a weekday. never seen that before It seems IW is forever defying trends of the CBO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 3 hours ago, POTUS said: You're back and on the negative side as usual, don't get ulcers over this. Numbers are just fine. I havent chatted with you in over a year. How you been? Fine! No ulcer, though I needed 400M from China for IW to overtake TFA, and it's becoming more and more unlikely. You? Yes, I'm on the negative side (as you keep being on the overprojecting one :P), but unfortunately that also seems the right one when projecting daily trajectories for IW in China. With today we get 5/5. 95M tomorrow, and we won't get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Omni said: Fine! No ulcer, though I needed 400M from China for IW to overtake TFA, and it's becoming more and more unlikely. You? Yes, I'm on the negative side (as you keep being on the overprojecting one :P), but unfortunately that also seems the right one when projecting daily trajectories for IW in China. With today we get 5/5. 95M tomorrow, and we won't get it. all is well with me, living in malta now yup 20-25% drop likely, 80m something happening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 5 hours ago, POTUS said: Assuming 115m happen. Im looking for it play out like this Mon 115 Tues 92 -20% Wed 74 -20% Thu 59 -20% 1607m/$254m week Fri 82 +40% -79% WoW Sat 148 +80% -70% Sun 108 -27% -67% 2nd W/E 338m -72% 1945m/$307m 10 day 2nd Week 433m -73% 2040m/$322m 14 day 3rd week 147m -66% 4th week 50m -66% 2237m/$353m Second weekend could be over 75% but third or fourth weekend could be in the 50s. Childrens day on the 4th friday will bump it a little We need to see better than 20% holds this week to see high $300s. 15% average daily drop to get to $400m I doubt it can get to $400M. My projections are very similar to yours till Friday... after that it takes a slightly conservative direction. OW: 1270 Mon-Thu: 110/90/75/60 (1.605B) Fri-Sun: 80/140/100 (1.925B) Mon-Thu: 100 (2.025B) Fri-Sun: 100 (2.125B) Rest: 100 (2.225B finish) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Monday F8 LAST HOUR F8 IW LAST HOUR IW F8-IW 1PM 49,58 41,24 8,34 2PM 59,68 10,10 47,76 6,52 11,92 3PM 69,40 9,72 54,23 6,47 15,17 4PM 79,00 9,60 60,53 6,30 18,47 5PM 89,26 10,26 67,31 6,78 21,95 6PM 101,23 11,97 74,97 7,66 26,26 7PM 118,28 17,05 84,62 9,65 33,66 8PM 135,34 17,06 94,31 9,69 41,03 9PM 148,70 13,36 - - 10PM 160,01 11,31 - - 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GraceRandolph Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 30 minutes ago, Istealnames said: Looks like we will see heavy drop offs. Yikes. I thought this was supposed to do 400M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said: Yikes. I thought this was supposed to do 400M? Oh look who's talking. Where's the livestream of you eating a crow? 2 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said: Yikes. I thought this was supposed to do 400M? Wasn't it supposed to do $200m total? 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said: Yikes. I thought this was supposed to do 400M? I thought we were supposed to see you eating crow on a live stream. what happened to that promise? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...