China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[tupek]

And I thoth Interstellar and Shriekapoo () runs were massive, but F7 has passed them in 3 days!!!

[Fake]

Simply Phenomenal!

[keysersoze123]

Furious 7 will be around 1.6B yuan after Sunday, $400M chance looking strong.

 

Awesome !!!

 

So firedeep was way off when he extrapolated from the OD. Its so difficult to project these mega blockbusters. Even TF4 expectation kept going up as we went into the run. We are seeing the same thing here.

 

Does this help or hinder Avengers that F7 is breaking out. Will SARFT try to protect local films by restricting Avengers in any way(like change its release date to share with another movie or limit its screens?).

Edited April 14, 2015 by keysersoze123

[POTUS 2020]

 first 3 days beat TF4's 3 day OW(Fri - Sun) by 28M, 30.5%. Gotta believe it holds well thru the weekend.

If it does continue to outpace TF4 like this, then we start talking about 400m . en fuego

[peludo]

This is INCREDIBLE. It has beaten, for instance, Avengers in 2 days and as someone has said before, more recent blockbusters like Interstellar, Hobbit 3, IM3, Captain America or Apes in 3 days. It is absurdly awesome. I do not like specially Furious franchise, but this is the funniest and most unexpected enormous run I can remember (overall, not just China). Congrats to the fans of this BEAST. I am really shocked.

 

Unless Avengers 2 or Star Wars beat Titanic or Avatar, this is already the story of the year.

[POTUS 2020]

I am going to predict 130m Monday, regardless of what Sunday actuals will be. 130m/110m/95m/80m/100m/160m/125m=800m 2nd week.

If your predicted percentage declines/increases are correct it's looking like this now. However Tues held incredibly well, maybe the drops could continue to be smaller

Mon

178m/167m/146m/123m/153m/240m/170m=1177m 2nd week

close to $260m total for 8 days

 

can someone post the dailies for TF4

Edited April 14, 2015 by No Prisoners

[Olive]

TF4 daily:

1ST WEEK: 20.8M/174M/222.8M/213.1M

2ND WEEK: 123.1m/112.2m/94.6m/84.2m/87.1m/129.6m/117.9m

3RD WEEK: 53.7M/52.6M/43.7M/39.1M/41.7M/62.2M/57.7M

4TH WEEK: 25.7M/27.7M/23.2M/18.2M/16.7M/15.5M/25.3M

5TH WEEK: 12.3M/13.0/11.0M

Edited April 14, 2015 by Johnny Storm

[POTUS 2020]

TF4 daily:

1ST WEEK: 20.8M/174M/222.8M/213.1M

2ND WEEK: 123.1m/112.2m/94.6m/84.2m/87.1m/129.6m/117.9m

3RD WEEK: 53.7M/52.6M/43.7M/39.1M/41.7M/62.2M/57.7M

4TH WEEK: 25.7M/27.7M/23.2M/18.2M/16.7M/15.5M/25.3M

5TH WEEK: 12.3M/13.0/11.0M

Thanks. Following TF4s 2nd week trend it looks like this:

 

 

178m/167m/142m/129m/134m/190m/172m=1112m 2nd week

$250+  8 day total

 

Tues held 94% vs  91%TF4.  Lets hope it can continue to deviate to the upside

 

If it can hold above 150m tomorrow it'll get real interesting

Edited April 14, 2015 by No Prisoners

[Dementeleus]

Wait, what? 400m?! Surely you guys are joking.

[#ED]

Wait, what? 400m?! Surely you guys are joking.

 

Realistically, 300M looks to be locked, with a SMALL chance at 400.

[Olive]

Thanks. Following TF4s 2nd week trend it looks like this:

178m/167m/142m/129m/134m/190m/172m=1112m 2nd week

$250+ 8 day total

Tues held 94% vs 91%TF4. Lets hope it can continue to deviate to the upside

If it can hold above 150m tomorrow it'll get real interesting

Transformers 4 was inSummer, Fri to Sat increase willbe bigger inApril.

[theultimatebiu]

Wait, what? 400m?! Surely you guys are joking.

 

Its already at $120M in just 3 days and is not showing any slowing down.

[Dementeleus]

China total O/U domestic total?

[Olive]

Realistically, 300M looks to be locked, with a SMALL chance at 400.

350M is locked.It will have May day holiday to boost its legs.

China total O/U domestic total?

Over.

[Olive]

Earlier this year we were thinking TA2 and FF7 combined could match TF4 numbers, but now FF7 alone will smash that robot porn quite easily.

[snitch]

WOW that is like triple rainbow stuff.

[seduh]

I can't believe this numbers. TF3 made $170, FF6 made $68. FF7 will make more than TF4 with an increase of over 400% from FF6!!!!!!! (TF4 increase 88%). This is the biggest surprise in the Chinese market i've ever seen

[tomknf]

How big is Titanic's lead in admissions? Would any film be able to maybe pass it with in the next several years?

[POTUS 2020]

Since the opening weekends are not comparable and making it hard to see which is ahead and by how much, I created this table to attempt to project the BO based on individual days going forward. Hard to tell if FF7 is having these huge weekdays because of less weekend burn off or if it will be hurt in its run going forward do to the shortened OW.  We can compare the daily % change side by side then multiply out a projection. OW BO is removed when tabulating the percentage of BO for TF4 going forward. A multiplier is then used on FF7 with the OW then added back in so that we have an apples to apple comparison, sort of... 

 

 

		TF4					FF7
Day	Daily BO	% Change	% of BO minus OW		Daily BO	% Change	Apply TF4 % plus OD (	US$ Proj Total (M)
Mon	123.1		9.07		178		2,355	379
Tues	112.2	-8.85%	8.25		167	-6.18%	2,416	389
Wed	94.6	-15.69%	6.97
Thur	84.2	-10.99%	6.21
Fri	87.1	3.44%	6.42
Sat	129.6	48.79%	9.55
Sun	117.9	-9.03%	8.69

 

[FilmBuff]

Fast 7 dropping so much dick right now!!