China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

On 2/6/2019 at 4:24 PM, POTUS said:

Lets see how it compares to RSA last year to project out a total

CNY

Day    RSA         TWE     Over RSA

1         130m      187       +44%

2         148         258       +74%

3         188         337       +79%

4         224         383       +71%

5         246         

6         271

7         241

8         212

Final 3565m    

TWE dailies will have to stay 60% ahead of RSA to get there. I think tomorrow will be 300m+ with 75m PS already.

It will have to get over 400m on day 5 and 6 to maintain a 60%+ pace

 

 

17 minutes ago, Bagatelle31 said:

No way, it is playing ¥23M over yesterday so around ¥360M is more likely 

23m more at 1400 will be 46m more for the day, 383m

Its trajectory is still pointing above 5b.  Not a lock until we see how it holds M-th.

I assume school is still out and should hold -50% on Monday.  It will need to hold better than -10% T-W-Th

[peludo]

13 minutes ago, Bagatelle31 said:

No way, it is playing ¥23M over yesterday so around ¥360M is more likely 

But it is making more money per hour than yesterday. The gap keeps increasing. Right now it is 27m over yesterday (245 Thursday vs 272 today at 16:45).

[charlie Jatinder]

Roughly 11.5% over yesterday at same time, so shall go for ¥375-380 million full day.

Edited February 8, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[sgchn40]

TWE is now the lunar new year holiday box office champ, surpassing Crazy Aliens. This is much faster than RSA last year.

 

Any chance of it making at least $50m elsewhere?

[charlie Jatinder]

Date	Gross in CNY ('000)	Gross in $	Weekend	Weekly	Daily Change
Previews	¥13,076	$1,937,185
05/02/2019	¥187,773	$27,818,222
06/02/2019	¥257,160	$38,097,778			36.95%
07/02/2019	¥337,678	$50,026,370		$117,879,556	31.31%
08/02/2019	¥385,000	$57,037,037			14.01%

 

Total

¥1,180,687

$174,916,593

[charlie Jatinder]

Bumble Bee

Total

¥114,575

$168,233,544

Edited February 8, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[POTUS 2020]

20 hours ago, Somoset said:

ORS was less family-centric and had stiffer competition over the CNY. This helped improve its legs during the second and third week of release. TWE is much more palatable for families and has less competition in the market. While there aren't any notable titles releasing over the next 2 weeks, I expect TWE will have stronger dropoffs leading up to ALITA on Feb 22nd. The Maoyan forecasts look quite bullish. 

Family centric should give TWE good holds as WoM spreads.  ORS had very good but not great holds post CNY. TWE could mirror those holds and maintain a 60%+ lead it needs to approach WW2.  Alita could cause a decent hit though

ORS	9.4				XR 6.35	TWE	9.3			XR 6.74	WW2	9.7			XR 6.70
Day	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot	Yn	DoD	WoW	Tot	$Tot
Fri	130			166	26.1						214			317	47
Sat	148	13.8%		314	49.4						313	46.3%		630	94
Sun	188	27.0%		502	79.1						367	17.3%		997	149
Mon	224	19.1%		726	114.3						273	-25.6%		1270	190
Tues	246	9.8%		972	153.1	188			201	30	293	7.3%		1563	233
Wed	271	10.2%		1243	195.7	257	36.7%		458	68	279	-4.8%		1842	275
Thur	241	-11.1%		1484	233.7	338	31.5%		796	118	228	-18.3%		2070	309
Fri	212	-12.0%	63.1%	1696	267.1	383	12.4%		1179	174	266	16.7%	24.3%	2336	349
Sat	226	6.6%	52.7%	1922	302.7						406	52.6%	29.7%	2742	409
Sun	239	5.8%	27.1%	2161	340.3						426	4.9%	16.1%	3168	473
Mon	142	-40.6%	-36.6%	2303	362.7						243	-43.0%	-11.0%	3411	509
Tue	124	-12.7%	-49.6%	2427	382.2						229	-5.8%	-21.8%	3640	543
Wed	111	-10.5%	-59.0%	2538	399.7						197	-14.0%	-29.4%	3837	573
Thu	97	-12.6%	-59.8%	2635	415.0						165	-16.2%	-27.6%	4002	597
Fri	133	37.1%	-37.3%	2768	435.9						150	-9.1%	-43.6%	4152	620
Sat	150	12.8%	-33.6%	2918	459.5						217	44.7%	-46.6%	4369	652
Sun	112	-25.3%	-53.1%	3030	477.2						202	-6.9%	-52.6%	4571	682
Mon	49	-56.3%	-65.5%	3079	484.9						100	-50.5%	-58.8%	4671	697
Tue	44	-10.2%	-64.5%	3123	491.8						87	-13.0%	-62.0%	4758	710
Wed	40	-9.1%	-64.0%	3163	498.1						75	-13.8%	-61.9%	4833	721
Thu	68	70.0%	-29.9%	3231	508.8						60	-20.0%	-63.6%	4893	730
Fri	39	-42.6%	-70.7%	3270	515.0						63	5.0%	-58.0%	4956	740
Sat	62	59.0%	-58.7%	3332	524.7						91	44.4%	-58.1%	5047	753
Sun	50	-19.4%	-55.4%	3382	532.6						89	-2.2%	-55.9%	5136	767
Mon	21	-58.0%	-57.1%	3403	535.9						45	-49.4%	-55.0%	5181	773
Tue	19	-9.5%	-56.8%	3422	538.9						39	-13.3%	-55.2%	5220	779
Wed	18	-5.3%	-55.0%	3440	541.7						36	-7.7%	-52.0%	5256	784
Thu	16.4	-8.9%	-75.9%	3456	544.3						32	-11.1%	-46.7%	5288	789
Fri	17.3	5.5%	-55.6%	3474	547.0						26	-18.8%	-58.7%	5314	793
Sat	30.7	77.5%	-50.5%	3504	551.9						40	53.8%	-56.0%	5354	799
Sun	25.5	-16.9%	-49.0%	3530	555.9						43	7.5%	-51.7%	5397	806
				3650	574.8									5683	848

 

 

Edited February 8, 2019 by POTUS

[seduh]

What are the numbersfor the others movies on day 4 ofCNY?

[charlie Jatinder]

17 minutes ago, seduh said:

What are the numbersfor the others movies on day 4 ofCNY?

[fmpro]

16 minutes ago, seduh said:

What are the numbersfor the others movies on day 4 ofCNY?

CA 198

Peg 136

BB 67

King 37

Pep 7,5

[charlie Jatinder]

@POTUS bro what was yesterday presales at midnight. Its ¥85,530,000 today.

 

 

 

[POTUS 2020]

51 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

@POTUS bro what was yesterday presales at midnight. Its ¥85,530,000 today.

 

 

 

90m at 2am

will be flat at 2am. PSm should increase though. 400m+ possible

[juni78ukr]

Last year holidays lasted 10 days. Basically Friday to next Sunday. Now only six days Tuesday to Sunday.  

[charlie Jatinder]

Infinity War final score at Maoyan is 9/10. That's rare IMO because if I gather it right, film started with 8.6/10.

 

This much improvement is rare, right.

[POTUS 2020]

On 2/8/2019 at 6:57 AM, Charlie Jatinder said:

Very strong Friday. ¥205mn already at 14:00 CST. Shall easily go past ¥400mn today.

TWE at 216m at 1400. 

403m incoming 

[Gavin Feng]

 

Rank	Title	7-days		% of Total	10-days		% of Total	Lifetime Gross		Release Date
1	Detective Chinatown 2	¥2,146.29	$338.33	63.2%	¥2,653.88	$418.35	78.1%	¥3,397.74	$535.61	Friday	2/16/2018
2	Wolf Warrior 2	¥2,070.64	$307.39	36.4%	¥3,169.25	$470.49	55.7%	¥5,685.02	$843.96	Friday	7/28/2017
3	The Mermaid	¥1,823.96	$277.58	53.7%	¥2,272.89	$345.90	67.0%	¥3,393.57	$516.45	Monday	2/8/2016
4	Monster Hunt 2	¥1,822.46	$287.29	81.5%	¥2,028.71	$319.80	90.7%	¥2,237.13	$352.65	Friday	2/16/2018
5	The Fate of the Furious	¥1,806.09	$262.38	67.6%	¥2,186.31	$317.62	81.9%	¥2,671.06	$388.04	Friday	4/14/2017
6	Dying to Survive	¥1,704.04	$256.86	55.0%	¥2,142.32	$322.93	69.1%	¥3,100.00	$467.29	Thursday	7/5/2018
7	Avengers: Infinity War	¥1,579.86	$249.46	66.1%	¥1,926.63	$304.21	80.6%	¥2,390.54	$377.46	Friday	5/11/2018
8	Hello Mr. Billionaire	¥1,571.47	$230.65	61.7%	¥2,023.52	$297.00	79.4%	¥2,547.40	$373.89	Friday	7/27/2018
9	Operation Red Sea	¥1,446.82	$228.07	39.6%	¥2,123.58	$334.75	58.2%	¥3,650.87	$575.51	Friday	2/16/2018
10	Furious 7	¥1,380.93	$222.44	56.9%	¥1,702.90	$274.31	70.2%	¥2,426.59	$390.88	Sunday	4/12/2015

 

Chinatown 2 7-day record is in danger.

[Legion Again]

54 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Rank	Title	7-days		% of Total	10-days		% of Total	Lifetime Gross		Release Date
1	Detective Chinatown 2	¥2,146.29	$338.33	63.2%	¥2,653.88	$418.35	78.1%	¥3,397.74	$535.61	Friday	2/16/2018
2	Wolf Warrior 2	¥2,070.64	$307.39	36.4%	¥3,169.25	$470.49	55.7%	¥5,685.02	$843.96	Friday	7/28/2017
3	The Mermaid	¥1,823.96	$277.58	53.7%	¥2,272.89	$345.90	67.0%	¥3,393.57	$516.45	Monday	2/8/2016
4	Monster Hunt 2	¥1,822.46	$287.29	81.5%	¥2,028.71	$319.80	90.7%	¥2,237.13	$352.65	Friday	2/16/2018
5	The Fate of the Furious	¥1,806.09	$262.38	67.6%	¥2,186.31	$317.62	81.9%	¥2,671.06	$388.04	Friday	4/14/2017
6	Dying to Survive	¥1,704.04	$256.86	55.0%	¥2,142.32	$322.93	69.1%	¥3,100.00	$467.29	Thursday	7/5/2018
7	Avengers: Infinity War	¥1,579.86	$249.46	66.1%	¥1,926.63	$304.21	80.6%	¥2,390.54	$377.46	Friday	5/11/2018
8	Hello Mr. Billionaire	¥1,571.47	$230.65	61.7%	¥2,023.52	$297.00	79.4%	¥2,547.40	$373.89	Friday	7/27/2018
9	Operation Red Sea	¥1,446.82	$228.07	39.6%	¥2,123.58	$334.75	58.2%	¥3,650.87	$575.51	Friday	2/16/2018
10	Furious 7	¥1,380.93	$222.44	56.9%	¥1,702.90	$274.31	70.2%	¥2,426.59	$390.88	Sunday	4/12/2015

 

Chinatown 2 7-day record is in danger.

Mermaid about to be the only entry not from 2017 or after. Kind of feels like mega-movies are growing faster than the market as a whole, but I’m not sure exactly what stats would be best to look at for validating that.     

 

Also could you provide the 6-days for DC2 and WW2? Trying to see where TWE will place in terms of single territory 6-day gross after Sunday.

[Legion Again]

Lag induced double post

Edited February 9, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[tupek]

What is the attendance of Wolf Warrior 2?

[KP1025]

4 minutes ago, tupek said:

What is the attendance of Wolf Warrior 2?

 

159.59 million admissions.