Jump to content

A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

Recommended Posts

21 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Over 50% chance of $300M OW?

99.99999999999% +.0000000001%

296m  +9.4m last 30m.  Its picking up steam at 16-1700 instead of slowing down

Looking for

1800  +20

1900  +25 or more high 20s maybe

2000  +25  or more

2100   +25

0000   +25    

AT LEAST 416M MAYBE 425M

Sat and Sun frozen

Wed up 15% already at 31m on course for another 25% increase to 34m.  Pacing to 100-120m.   The multi should easily be over 3 by then

Edited by POTUS 2020
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



12 minutes ago, john2000 said:

? no ? as of now endgame does withing expactations and the expactations ARE BIG so thats good bc if 300+ in 5 days is not high idk what is

 

7 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

in Which Sense Are You Talking About ....?? Movie Doing Extra-Ordinary Business in China 

tenor.gif?itemid=3613490

  • Haha 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

99.99999999999% +.0000000001%

296m  +9.4m.  Its picking up steam at 16-1700 instead of slowing down

Looking for

1800  +20

1900  +25

2000  +25

2100   +25

0000   +25    

AT LEAST 416M MAYBE 425M

Sat and Sun frozen

Wed up 15% already at 31m on course for another 25% increase to 34m.  Pacing to 100-120m.   The multi should easily be over 3 by then

So $500 Million is Done in China .. if We Assume Life Time Numbers 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



39 minutes ago, Surajjj said:

I guess I had my expectations way too high that's why i am feeling that eg's numbers are bit disappointing in china.

Sent from my Redmi Note 7 using Tapatalk
 

This is reaching 500 million in China. How is that disappointing? What did you except lol. 1 billion?

Link to comment
Share on other sites





1 hour ago, UserHN said:

Over 50% chance of $300M OW?

Take it from someone who always errs on the side of caution, it is locked. Counting what it has already done today so far plus PS for Sat and Sun, it only needs another 400m yuan to get to $300. 

 

If it does 100 million yuan more today then $300m should happen tomorrow itself. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites







As for tomorrow, nearly all movies double or more the Fri % gain on Sat

FF7 and AoU were no exception.  Could EG bump 66% to 700m? The PTA would be close to AOU and IW's first sat when factoring increased shows and ATP.  Sat PS have stalled all day at only 208m, cant get a read there.  IW sat PS bumped 85% on Fri. The norm is 100%+.  I was looking for just 50% to 285m.  No way it can be below OD's last day PS bump of just 40%, <260m.  Not one metric has failed yet. The stalls have made it crazy to project.

    FF7         AOU      
Day Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot
Fri                    
Sat                    
Sun 398     398 64          
Mon 185 -53.5%   583 94          
Tue 167 -9.7%   750 121 212     212 34
Wed 137 -18.0%   887 143 123 -42.1%   335 54
Thur 115 -16.1%   1002 162 91 -26.0%   426 69
                     
Fri 142 23.8%   1144 185 127 40.0%   554 89
Sat 226 59.0%   1371 221 236 85.2%   790 127
Sun 185 -18.1% -53.4% 1556 251 165 -29.9%   955 154

 

  AEG 9.3 Shows k AoU 8.6 rating Shows k
        30   8
Th 189   35 186   81
W 535   227 125 -32.8% 82
Th 315 -41.1% 221 92 -26.4% 82
F 420 33.3% 225 126 37.0% 81
S 700 66.7% 230 238 88.9% 84
S 300 -57.1% 221 169 -29.0% 83
Tot 2459   1159 966   501
$$ 366     156    
Link to comment
Share on other sites





36 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Will it beat AoU's ¥1.46b today? 

with that last 30m number it looks good

over under 300m Sunday Gavin?

    EG       XR 6.75 IW       XR 6.35
  Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot
  Wed 535     725 107          
  Thur 315 -41.1%   1040 154          
  Fri 425 34.9%   1465 217 387     447 70
  Sat 700 64.7%   2165 321 493 27.5%   940 148
Workday Sun 300 -57.1%   2465 365 332 -32.8%   1272 200
  Mon 160 -46.7%   2625 389 109 -67.1%   1381 217
Pre Holi Bump Tues 190 18.8%   2815 417 81 -25.7%   1462 230
Holiday Wed 400 110.5%   3215 476 65 -20.0%   1526 240
Holiday Thur 320 -20.0%   3535 524 53 -19.0%   1579 249
                       
Holiday Fri 275 -14.1% -35.3% 3810 564 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260
Holiday Sat 175 -36.4% -75.0% 3985 590 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282
Workday Sun 80 -54.3% -73.3% 4065 602 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303
  Mon 50.0 -37.5% -68.8% 4115 610 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308
  Tue 43.0 -14.0% -77.4% 4158 616 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312
  Wed 37.0 -14.0% -90.8% 4195 621 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315
  Thu 31.0 -16.2% -90.3% 4226 626 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318
                       
              23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322
              50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330
              39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336
              12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338
              11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340
              10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341
              12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343
                       
              35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349
              31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354
              23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358
              7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359
              8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360
              8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361
              7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363
                       
              8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364
              18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367
              15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369
                    2390 376
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites







So it is locked that Endgame in China will break OW record of A:IW in NA (US$257M), ahead of what Endgame in NA is "inevitable" 🙂 to do.

 

Then in coming Sunday, China will likely break 300M OW (opening week) record, followed again by NA (but the latter is like to be end up 10-20M US$ above China 5 days OW).

Link to comment
Share on other sites





Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.