pensivepenguin Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm staying bullish on my 156M OW predict 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Iron Man 3's opening weekend will be bigger than the total gross of every weekend this year. Great little fact you have there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 BTC 2PM Update IRNM3 Headed for 174.1 weekend. Fri 70.0, Saturday 59.5, Sunday 44.6 http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=231653 Oooh, that'd be fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Except TGG won't open to $50M. I'm looking at around $30M. We'll see. Marketing has been superb and tracking for it is excellent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=231653 Current matinee gross of 12.35M. With at least an hour left on the EC and matinees just getting going on the WC, I think we can expect ~20M from matinees. 20+15.6M and we're at 35.6M. Add in 40M from evening shows and we're at ~75M. Edited May 3, 2013 by spizzer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 BTC 2PM Update IRNM3 Headed for 174.1 weekend. Fri 70.0, Saturday 59.5, Sunday 44.6 http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=231653 Also said: Current Matinee gross of 12.35m. For reference, thats... 47% above IRNM2 514% above IRNM1 -17% below AVNGR -30% BATM3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm staying bullish on my 156M OW predict Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Great little fact you have there! I've been waiting to use it for like 3 weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) Just crunched some numbers and here's what I got with a hypothetical 174.1m OW:With SM3 legs: 387.7mWith IM2 legs: 424.6mWith Thor legs: 479.6mWith Avengers legs: 523.3mWith IM1 legs (includes Thursday previews): 542.9m400m looks very likely if that number holds.IM2 faced robin hood (36m), shrek forever after (71m), sex and the city (31m), prince of Persia (30m) Get him to the Greek (17m) and killers (16m) in the month after release. IM3 will face the great gatsby (50m), peeples (15m), star trek (100m), hangover 3 (75m), fast 6 (100m), epic (25m), after earth (40m) and now you see me (20m) in the 3 weeks after release with most going after its demographic. This summer is going to be remembered for the summer of huge openings and terrible legs. There's just way too much competition. All summer films legs will be very short this year unless it's geared towards older audiences. Edited May 3, 2013 by Mattrek 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Where's Azazel? Oh yeah he dissapeared. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bofan Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 (edited) We are underestimated IM3 like we did with the Avengers, so i call 192 M OW (at least this will be first non-underestimated prediction ) Edited May 3, 2013 by bofan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 With a 75M OD 15.6M 9PM/Midnights 59.4M Friday 62.4M Saturday (+5.0%) 43.7M Sunday (-30.0%) 181.1M OW IM2's legs from that 165.5M Fri-Sun figure (2.53 adjusted multiplier) would set it on pace for ~435M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 So we were wrong when we called BKB's prediction bullish. Now he could be right! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 With a 75M OD 15.6M 9PM/Midnights 59.4M Friday 62.4M Saturday (+5.0%) 43.7M Sunday (-30.0%) 181.1M OW IM2's legs from that 165.5M Fri-Sun figure (2.53 adjusted multiplier) would set it on pace for ~435M. A Saturday increase won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 A Saturday increase won't happen. A Saturday increase from Friday without midnights/9PM previews is locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Iron Man 3's opening weekend will be bigger than the total gross of every weekend this year.Wanna bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 A Saturday increase won't happen. Aren't Saturday increases the norm for May movies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Hopefully we don't overestimate the OW likewise The Hobbit. That $13 million was incredible, and that $37 million opening day was less than fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Wanna bet? It's not worth it. The highest weekend gross was Easter with $139M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Aren't Saturday increases the norm for May movies? Not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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