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Incarnadine

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Everything posted by Incarnadine

  1. Those late, late, late legs are really kicking in.
  2. Top 10 Here’s the Top Ten (based on 3-day weekend estimates): 1. Men in Black 3 3D (Columbia/Sony) NEW [4,248 Theaters] PG13 Friday $18M, Saturday $19.6M 3-Day Weekend $56M, 4-Day Holiday $70M 2. Marvel’s The Avengers 3D (Disney) Week 4 [3,918 Theaters] PG13 Friday $9.7M, Saturda $14.6M 3-Day Weekend $38M, 4-Day Holiday $48.5M, Cume $525.2M 3. Battleship (Universal) Week 2 [3,702 Theaters] PG13 Friday $3.0M (-65%), Saturday $4.0M 3-Day Weekend $10.7M, 4-Day Holiday $13.3M, Cume $46.8M 4. The Dictator (Paramount) Week 2 [3,014 Theaters] R Friday $2.7M (-51%), Saturday $3.3M 3-Day Weekend $9.2M, 4-Day Holiday $11.5M, Cume $43.3M 5. Dark Shadows 3D (Warner Bros) Week 3 [3,404 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.0M, Saturday $2.7M 3-Day Weekend $7.4M, 4-Day Holiday $9.4M, Cume $64.9M 6. Chernobyl Diaries (Alcon/Warner Bros) NEW [2,433 Theaters] R Friday $3.5M, Saturday $2.3M 3-Day Weekend $7.9M, 4-Day Holiday $9.2M 7. What To Expect When You’re Expecting (Lionsgate) Week 2 [3,021 Theaters] PG13 Friday $2.2M (-42%), Saturday $2.6M 3-Day Weekend $7.0M, 4-Day Holiday $8.7M, Cume $23.7M 8. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight) Week 4 [1,233 Theaters] PG13 Friday $1.5M, Saturday $2.5M 3-Day Weekend $6.3M, 4-Day Holiday $8.0M, Cume $18.2M 9. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate) Week 10 [1,421 Theaters] PG13 Friday $565K, Saturday $900K 3-Day Weekend $2.3M, 4-Day Holiday $3.0M, Cume $396.0M 10. Think Like A Man (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 6 [786 Theaters] PG13 Friday $390K, Saturday $550K 3-Day Weekend $1.4M, 4-Day Holiday $1.8M, Cume $88.7M
  3. Holy crap! Now that was an awesome season finale. This show just has so many twists and turns, yet it doesn't get silly or predictable. It's so nice to be surprised by a show, that doesn't happen very often these days. Still digesting what happened, I might have to watch this again when it re-airs in a couple of hours.
  4. I'd settle for roughly $245.5 mil, just enough to put the franchise total over 1 billionAP- Worldwide: $235,483,004AP2- Worldwide: $287,553,595AW- Worldwide: $231,449,203AR- Worldwide: $200,566,000 (And counting)Total so far - $955,051,802The franchise is a model of consistency.
  5. When you have a crowd of 410 people the reaction isn't going to be "silence". For Battleship I heard a few positive comments, but they were clearly coming from younger guys. For Batman it was more like people saying "I'll be seeing this", they didn't start cheering or give a spontaneous standing ovation. The comments seemed to come from all around me and loud enough to hear so I'd say that interest was high. Then again, it's Batman so it could easily be them reacting to just that rather than that specific trailer.
  6. Wow, it already passed The Dark Knight WW and it's still rolling on.
  7. I saw The Avengers again on Friday at 7:40 and Dark Shadows today at noon.Avengers- 7:40 showing in Ultra AVX 3D (used my Scene points so it was free, otherwise ticket price is $17.99)- SOLD OUTtrailersBattleship- Some reaction from some of the younger guys. I'm guessing they are Transformers core audience.TDKR- Much bigger reaction across the boardFrankenweenie- I liked it, there was some reaction.The movie- Crowd reaction was overwhelmingly positive, again. Lots of laughs during the movie. I wonder what % were repeat viewers as more than half the crowd stayed until the 2nd bonus scene played, probably less than 20% stayed that long on opening night.Dark Shadows- Noon showing, maybe 20% fullTrailers (only caught the last 2)Paranorman- Not bad, heard a little chatter.Gangster Squad- I was surprised to see this one, it looks even better on the big screen. Even with such a small crowd I could hear some comments. Definite interest.The movie- It wasn't "bad", but there was very little especially good about it either. It was pretty quiet both during the movie and just after it ended. I guess the best description of the crowds reaction would be "muted"
  8. Love it, love it, love it!http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGK0ysEPHxI
  9. I saw it again today, the 4:10 showing. It was a sell out, as was every show for the rest of the night except the final 2 shows. Checking online those last 2 shows have since sold out.This time I stayed to see the 2nd extra scene, it was... unexpected, but as an ending it was pretty damn funny.
  10. Heading out to see TA shortly, but first I decided to check the sell outs from the 2 closest theaters again. They both have it on 4 screens, 3 3D and 1 2D each, for a total of 16 showings.Metropolis has sold out 13 of the 16 shows, one of the remaining shows has reserved seating and it shows just 7 seats left out of 404.Scotiabank has sold out 14 of 16 shows, just the 10:30 pm show isn't sold out, and the 11:00 pm Ultra AVX showing left, and the 11:00 show has just 30 seats left out of 410.When I checked these theaters yesterday they had sold out just 4 showings combined. Weird that the sales are so last minute, for THG these same theaters had sold out virtually every showing for the entire weekend well in advance.
  11. If TA has the kind of weekend everyone is expecting (150-170m) I still believe THG will benefit somewhat from overflow crowds due to TA sell outs which might give a small cushion for its drop that weekend.
  12. No way Lionsgate pulls it early, this is by far the biggest movie they ever got their hands on, if anything they will leave it in to milk every dollar they can out of it and get its gross as high as possible.
  13. There's competition, but nothing really major, I see about a 40% drop, 12.5 - 13 mil.
  14. Excellent hold for THG, that 21.7 is right in the 21-22 range I had for it this weekend. I do see that the total is a bit off, they have 21.7 weekend with a 335.7 total, but as of Thursday the total was $315,569,539 making the total $337.269.
  15. Theater was actually kind of quiet tonight, but it is the hockey playoffs and game night is usually slow. There was only 1 sell out on the board when I left, the 7:00 showing of THG.
  16. Your weekend numbers actually add up to 21.5 mil, right in the middle of my 21-22 mil range prediction.
  17. I think the remaining significant markets are Spain (Apr. 20), Italy (May 1) and Japan (???). There's a few smaller markets left too. I haven't heard anything about China, but it seems unlikely to be released there.
  18. Actually almost all the major markets have yet to open, only Russia and Australia could be considered major markets of those that it opened in this week. UK, Germany, Spain, Italy, Brazil, Mexico, Japan and so on, as well as a ton of smaller markets. If it performs as well in those markets as it did in Russian and Australia I could see 150-200 mil overseas.
  19. It's not if anything in her stands up for you, it should be did anything in you stand up for her?
  20. Whatever anyone thinks of her talent (she is ok in supporting roles and can sing and dance), she has one of the most amazing behinds in Hollywood.
  21. I read all 3 books in 6 days and I thought THG and Catching Fire were pretty much equal. Mockingjay was good but felt a bit jumbled and rushed. Catching Fire should film quite well but mockingjay is going to need some creative license to make it make sense. I could easily see it split into 2 movies to help flesh it out and get the pacing to work.
  22. That's why I broke them down by ages. Even youngsters like Abigail Breslin and Saoirse Ronan are actually old pros with years of experience behind them already, as well as an Oscar nom . Someone like Elizabeth Olson who is starting late at 23 is actually new.
  23. I think that 100% jump for THG is good, especially since it jumped almost 40% on Thursday first.Titanic on the other hand had less than a 100% increase from a Thursday that dropped 17%
  24. I was checking the movie listings to see what is playing on tv tonight and I noticed an old movie that is the first movie I'm sure I saw in the theater, Jesus Christ Superstar (1973). I was about 7 and my mother was a bit of a hippie and took me with her to see it. I still vaguely remember bits and pieces of it even though I never watched it again, but I think I'll watch it tonight.
  25. Of the April movies the one I see having the most potential to really break out and surprise is The 5 Year Engagement. If it hits I could see it doing as high as $125 mil (American Reunion and Titanic could also do those numbers but they wouldn't be considered all that surprising).
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