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James

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Everything posted by James

  1. It is also the best Monday hold for a Wizarding World movie opening in November: SS: -73% (6.6m) CoS: -78% (5.3m) GoF: -69% (8m) DH1: -65% (8.8M)
  2. unleash the beast for a Monday feast So -64% from Sunday. For comparison: DS (-71%) 6.2m
  3. Peter Jackson: LOTR 1, 2, 3 David Yates: HP8, HP5, FB Chris Columbus: Home Alone 1, Home Alone 2, HP2 I think Bay should be there too with the first TF trilogy.
  4. Considering this and the UK were the biggest markets for HP and seeing how this doesn't have nearly as bad an ER, anything under 50m would be disappointing. I am expecting 60m and hoping for 70m. Asia so far has overperformed. Let's hope this continues.
  5. I'm surprised FB managed to beat DS on opening here, seeing how the Marvel brand is really strong in LA. Do you happen to have the admission figures for HP?
  6. I have no clue. They still provide USD and lc figures so at least there's that. Side note, how is the year in Portugal? I think 2016 will hit 13m admissions here.
  7. Apparently so. It is annoying because it is more work for me. But my estimates should be quite exact. Let's say a few thousands each way. No more than that.
  8. Ian Sandwell ‏@ian_sandwell ICYMI, Fantastic Beasts landed with biggest UK opening of the year with £15.33m - http://www.screendaily.com/news/fantastic-beasts-posts-biggest-uk-bow-of-2016/5111514.article?blocktitle=LATEST-FILM-NEWS-HEADLINES&contentID=44435 … It keeps getting bigger and bigger!
  9. I missed that. You are right. In the next few days it should become the most attended one as well.
  10. WEEKEND BOX-OFFICE And another big, big weekend, topped by J.K. Rowling's latest beast. - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them finally opened this weekend to great numbers. With 66.287 admissions and $345k it is the biggest opener ever for the Wizarding World franchise, beating the previous record holder, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (43.219 adm and $307k). Here is the history of the franchise in Romania: With great WOM (8.3 grade on Cinemagia), Fantastic Beasts should be able to cross the $1m border, becoming the first Wizarding World movie to do so. - Trolls registered a beautiful hold (-26%) and now stands at a huge $786k. Depending on how Moana effects it this coming weekend, we will see if it has a shot at $1.5m. Anyway, massive numbers for it. - Doctor Strange fell behind Trolls this weekend, sliding a big 51% while facing Fantastic Beasts. Still, after only three weekend it beat Civil War's final tally and now stands at an incredible $1.23m. It should have no problem beating Thor 2's $1.47m Marvel record. - Arrival is enjoying fantastic WOM, easing a light 25% and reaching $270k. - In fifth, Nocturnal Animals debuted with 9.641 adm and $45k. Classic bomb. - Hacksaw Ridge is also having powerful WOM, with the smallest drop in Top 10 once again (-22%). Total is $240k. - The Accountant was down 44% and the cume is a nice $473k. - The second bomb of the weekend was Snowden (4.902 adm and $24k). - Inferno fell 55%, but the total is a very nice $843k. - And Florence Foster Jenkins collapses after it's already awful debut. Top 10 Next week's openers: - Moana (or Vaiana) - Bad Santa 2 - Album - D'Ardennen - Renesse - Viktoria CinemaCity (main distributor, 65-70% of the market) still doesn't have tickets on sale for Moana. Actually, no theater chain does, which is a bit odd. Still, family movies don't have big presales anyway, so that shouldn't be a problem. It makes predicting it more difficult though. Frozen had the 2nd biggest animation OW ever, with 73.854 adm, while Tangled opened to a still very good 40.400 adm. Anything over 40.000 adm for Moana should be considered a win, especially considering how saturated the family market is right now (Doctor Strange, Trolls and Fantastic Beasts all making or heading for over $1m). We haven't had a big comedy in a while and Bad Santa 2 looks like it could fill the spot. I think 20.000 adm is a given. All the rest will struggle to 5.000 adm. 2016 TOP 20 so far:
  11. I think the numbers will go a bit up with actuals OS. It increased a lot from estimates in UK, Germany, Brazil, Russia. I think SK too.
  12. 158.113 now and still not final. A very slightly better drop than DS's first Monday.
  13. Most of these numbers have Moana doing very close to what Frozen did for it's 5-day wide OW (94M). Some are above that. Is the tracking really that strong (serious question, I haven't been following this)?
  14. That's amazing for FB. Especially considering how in 9/10 cases this year in Germany the final trend brought numbers down. I am expecting great legs.
  15. So 15m pounds OW? Yes! I saw that coming! I am a fuckin psychic.
  16. 280m according to BOM As have several Harry Potter films before it, Beasts scored an "A" CinemaScore from opening day audiences. That being said, while this is the lowest opening for any film in J.K. Rowling's Wizarding World series of films, Beasts's opening is on par with the likes of Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix ($77.1m) and Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince ($77.8m), which went on to gross $292 million and $301 million respectively. Should Fantastic Beasts follow suit a domestic run anywhere from $284-290 million would be in the offing, though a safe expectation right now would seem to be around $275-280 million. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4243&p=.htm I want whatever he's drinking.
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