CoolioD1 Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 IFC are gonna be spending A LOT on oscar campaigning for Boyhood. Way more than they spent actually making the movie. They've already hired the woman who managed the oscar campaign for The Hurt Locker, No Country, Crash, The Departed etc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShouldIBeHere Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Boyhood not nominated for BP would be ridiculous - even for the Academy. Interstellar has a high chance of sweeping the technical categories. If it is well received it will be tough for any movie to compete in categories such as effects, sound editing/mixing, cinematography, etc. It will probably also be a major contender for design and with Zimmer score is also a strong candidate. Not sure about categories such as director, screenplay and BP. It will need to be received very well to be nominated for those, let alone win one of them. The only thing the trailers confirmed so far - imho - is that on a technical level the movie should be great. The story... very unsure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 You have to consider the competition, though. This year already has one of the most critically acclaimed films of the past 20 years. Boyhood will get nominated, but IFC probably doesn't have enough power to get the film to a BP win. A nod seems a lock though. Interstellar's biggest competition is Unbroken, Birdman, and The Imitation Game. Two of those don't seem like BP winners to me while Unbroken seems like a good candidate, especially with Jolie directing. All depends on how Interstellar is received (for acting and screenplay) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Unbroken will have its world premiere in Australia on November 17th. This is significant, I think, because despite the fact it's not screening any festivals etc it will be seen a full month before its release. Not that anyone expected this to be a dud, but it shows confidence and hopefully we'll start getting reviews then. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/angelina-jolies-unbroken-world-premiere-739475 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Hope GG gets in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Hope GG gets in. Haven't seen Gone Girl, but from what I've heard, it's not really Oscar-friendly. Fincher's overdue for an Oscar just like Nolan and Linklater, so I'd love to see any of those three win BD. I'm expecting a lot of nods for GG (BP, BD, Rosamund Pike for Actress, Adapted Screenplay, probably Cinematography, Editing, Sound categories) but not sure about wins. Still have to see the other contenders first (namely how well Birdman and Imitation Game do) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Picture, Actress, Screenplay, Score, Editing. That's what I'm predicting for Gone Girl at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Haven't seen Gone Girl, but from what I've heard, it's not really Oscar-friendly. Fincher's overdue for an Oscar just like Nolan and Linklater, so I'd love to see any of those three win BD. I'm expecting a lot of nods for GG (BP, BD, Rosamund Pike for Actress, Adapted Screenplay, probably Cinematography, Editing, Sound categories) but not sure about wins. Still have to see the other contenders first (namely how well Birdman and Imitation Game do) Oh, I know it isn't. More reason why I want it to get in, but I know there isn't a good chance because The Academy is wack. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 I think people have too many pre conceived ideas about what an AMPAS friendly movie is. Every now and then , they give nominations for movies or roles that are far from the conventionnal AMPAS tastes. The problem for Gone Girl is that there are 3 big movies , selma, unbroken and american sniper that are coming very late in the race ... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 (edited) all 3 are locks - selma, american sniper and unbroken. all 3 are perfect for oscars being period dramas. this category has a limit of 10, and its likely we'll see 10 picture nominees this year. Edited October 10, 2014 by Halba 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 I hope Unbroken is a lock! I'm very nervous for La Jolie, the untraditional release strategy has me worried. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 all 3 are locks - selma, american sniper and unbroken. all 3 are perfect for oscars being period dramas. this category has a limit of 10, and its likely we'll see 10 picture nominees this year. None of those are locks until they are actually screened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Talk of Boyhood not going to win BP is silly. Now, at this point, I doubt it wins, but Crash and The Hurt Locker were summer releases that thanks to screeners took home the gold. Boyhood is in a similar position. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Boyhood will be nominated, but I'd bet money it won't win despite the early odds in its favor. It's just not the kind of movie I can see the Academy really going for, especially with half a dozen major Oscar baiting films in contention this year. At best Linklater will get Director and BP will be different for the third year in a row. Though that seems unlikely too. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 (edited) all 3 are locks - selma, american sniper and unbroken. all 3 are perfect for oscars being period dramas. this category has a limit of 10, and its likely we'll see 10 picture nominees this year. Eastwood's track record since Gran Torino has been abysmal even with his Oscar baiting films (J Edgar), so I certainly would hold off on calling anything by him an Oscar contender right now before it comes out. Especially since even Changeling and Gran Torino were ignored despite actually being good movies. Edited October 10, 2014 by MovieMan89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 (edited) Eastwood's track record since Gran Torino has been abysmal even with his Oscar baiting films (J Edgar), so I certainly would hold off on calling anything by him an Oscar contender right now before it comes out. Especially since even Changeling and Gran Torino were ignored despite actually being good movies. this actually looks like an amazing movie. from the trailer.also war film, is eastwood is familiar with war films, see letters of iwo jima and how brilliant it is. that got a nomination. so strong odds for sniper imho. Edited October 10, 2014 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Boyhood will be nominated, but I'd bet money it won't win despite the early odds in its favor. It's just not the kind of movie I can see the Academy really going for, especially with half a dozen major Oscar baiting films in contention this year. At best Linklater will get Director and BP will be different for the third year in a row. Though that seems unlikely too. I really doubt there'll be another BD/BP split, but it may be more likely than Linklater winning. That's kind of sad though considering Boyhood definitely deserves a BP win. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Or Interstellar sweeps with 15 Oscars. Movies stop being produced. Pinacle,of´the medium has been reached. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 Fury can probably be ruled out. Initial reviews are on the lukewarm side. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 i have ruled fury out. its a bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
