grim22 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 (edited) Oh shit, CJohn's gonna tear this place apart with his bare hands. CJohn to ShawnMR (for the 23M comment) - PUNY MOD. Edited February 8, 2014 by grim22 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Nikki and Deadline's Friday #s match for every film other than Lego. Pretty sure they're all official estimates so not sure why there's an issue with one film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 (edited) With 18M Friday, Lego (projection) 0.4M Previews 17.6M Friday 27.3M Saturday (+55%) 20.5M Sunday (-25%) 65.8M Weekend Same thing here, Saturday increase might be well over 55ish. Edited February 8, 2014 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forg Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I hope rth will post since this is a big movie and we need his guidance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 VA might not even crack 5M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Also, seems like a strong hold for Ride Along. Anything above 8M would be pretty solid, which should be fairly standard with a 2.6M Friday. Expected it to fall a bit more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So 200m locked for Lego. I actually see a total north of 250m given the rave reviews. First truly blockbuster of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 (edited) Frozen (projection) 1.4M Friday (+161%) 2.9M Saturday (+110%) 1.9M Sunday (-33%) 6.3M Weekend (-29%) Assuming 1.4M holds, that's a pretty good Friday increase in the face of Lego. If Saturday ends up higher than +110%, then sub 25% drop becomes possible and at that point, I wouldn't count out a ~10M 4-Day next weekend. That would put it at 380M coming off a 9-10M 4-day. Edited February 8, 2014 by spizzer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Yeah seems like a pretty good shot to me. Sure it does ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Frozen (projection) 1.4M Friday (+161%) 2.9M Saturday (+110%) 1.9M Sunday (-33%) 6.3M Weekend (-29%) Assuming 1.4M holds, that's a pretty good Friday increase in the face of Lego. If Saturday ends up higher than +110%, then sub 25% drop becomes possible and at that point, I wouldn't count out a ~10M 4-Day next weekend. That would put it at 380M coming off a 9-10M 4-day. That would guarantee 400M pretty much, since if Frozen follows Tangled from here on it hits 398M and Tangled fell 29% this weekend then about 58% the next 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 When it was first announced I didn't think LEGO could do 30m tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 That would guarantee 400M pretty much, since if Frozen follows Tangled from here on it hits 398M and Tangled fell 29% this weekend then about 58% the next 2. Yeah, with 6.2-6.3M this weekend, I'll have it on pace for 395M. If it pulls 8-10M next weekend I'll have it on pace for ~405M and still going up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dashrendar44 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 So 200m locked for Lego. I actually see a total north of 250m given the rave reviews. First truly blockbuster of the year. More than a block-buster, a LEGO-BUSTER! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Ouch at that VA number. And good number for Lego, although I'm still feeling a bit conservative for the IM, due to schools being out today in various places. 60 seems possible, but I'd not be surprised if it comes in a bit under that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Damn. I thought Lego Movie would be big but not this big. Very impressive. Hope I have time to catch it this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Not quite, but close.Lorax did 70.2 off a 17.5 Friday. So...it's not THAT out of reach if 16.5 is true.Oh.. That puts 70 mill on the table right there..Friday could go to 18.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 WOM is going to be big for this movie. I told my stepmom it was great and she said she thought it was for kids. So a lot of people have that stigma towards this people but when word gets out that adults will enjoy it as well that should mean good business for Lego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I really hope the # is closer to 18m than 16.5m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil18 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Actuals will come in at 15... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I really hope the # is closer to 18m than 16.5m. it wil be , other # in title are in right ball park, RA/TAM should be 100-200k higher now back to my birthday 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...